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Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area. The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity. The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds. Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure. Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area. Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):  • The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).  • When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):  • If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area. The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area. In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold breakout loading🔹 Price respecting a clean falling wedge on 15M ⏳ 🔹 Strong support zone holding firmly 🛡️ 🔹 Buyers showing early signs of reversal momentum 📊 🔹 A breakout above the wedge trendline may trigger a sharp upside rally 🚀 🔹 Targets aligning toward the 4100+ zone 🎯 🔹 Watching for a pullback + bounce entry for safer confirmation ✔️ 💛 Gold gearing up for a potential bullish reversal! #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingSetup #ChartAnalysis 📈🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arunsam10
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November W4, 2025 1. Momentum W1 – Weekly timeframe Weekly momentum is showing early signs of a reversal. If next week forms a confirmed bullish weekly candle, the market may enter 4–5 consecutive bullish weeks, pushing weekly momentum into the overbought zone. D1 – Daily timeframe Daily momentum continues to rise, suggesting the market may experience 1–2 more days of upward movement before reaching the overbought region. H4 – 4-hour timeframe H4 momentum remains bullish, indicating that Monday is likely to show a continuation of upward movement or sideways consolidation. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Structure (W1) The last three weekly candles are bullish, but not strongly decisive: • Two candles have short bodies • One is a bullish candle with an upper wick This behavior suggests the market is completing wave X (purple). Therefore, the main expectation is a continued decline to complete wave Y (purple) toward the lower target zones. Once wave Y finishes and weekly momentum confirms reversal, a new major bullish trend is likely to begin. ________________________________________ Daily Structure (D1) • Wave X (purple) is likely complete. • Price is now progressing within wave Y (purple). Inside wave Y: • Wave 1 (red) appears to have finished. • Price is currently in wave 2 (red) or has already started the early phase of wave 3 (red). 🔸 Key confirmation level: A break below 4001 would confirm that the market has entered wave 3 (red), leading to a sharp and decisive decline. 🔸 Alternative scenario: Because D1 momentum is still rising, wave 2 (red) may be forming a WXY corrective pattern (green zigzag), meaning the market may still produce a final upward swing before the next strong decline. ________________________________________ 3. H4 Wave Structure At the moment, there are two scenarios in line with the D1 structure: • The market may already be in the early phase of wave 3 (red). • Or price is completing the final leg of the WXY correction of wave 2 (red) (indicated by the green zigzag). The zone around 4081 currently acts as the balance area, also the region with the highest traded volume (green POC line). • If price stays below 4081 during Monday, the probability favors wave 3 (red), meaning strong support zones 4020 and 3958 are likely to break. • If price stays above 4081, upside targets at 4145 and 4184 become ideal levels for completing wave 2 (red). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 📌 Preferred Limit Sell Zones: • 4145 • 4184 📌 Direct Sell Zone: • 4020 → only valid if a strong H4 candle closes below 4020, followed by a retest. A more detailed trading plan will be updated on Monday, once fresh market data becomes available.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025 Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further. The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken. 📅 Key News Events Today: 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📉 US Unemployment Rate 🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes 🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams 🧾 Initial Jobless Claims ⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis 🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority ✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032 🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027 🎯 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 4039 TP2: 4047 TP3: 4059 💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend. 🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy 📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095 🛡 SL: 4098 🎯 TP: TP1: 4088 TP2: 4077 TP3: 4060 TP4: 4033 💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news. 🔑 Key Price Zones Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032 → Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held. Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111 → The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise. Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140 → The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed. ✅ Strategy Conclusion 🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032. 🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone. 🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1💛 XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1, AWAITING A NEW BREAKOUT THIS WEEK 🎯 🌤 Overview of the New Week Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 Gold, after a very strong rise from the 3,500 region to above 4,400, is entering a "resting" phase on the D1 frame: the price continuously tests the upward trendline but has not yet broken it to confirm a downtrend. The market is clearly waiting for a real breakout before forming a new medium-term wave. Next week, we have CPI and PPI – important inflation data that could act as a catalyst to push gold out of the current accumulation zone. 💹 Technical Analysis (Daily Triangle) On the D1 frame, when connecting the descending peaks and ascending bottoms, gold is in a narrowing triangle pattern. The upward trendline below is still maintained, indicating that the medium-term trend has not reversed. Below are important zones: ≈ 3,890: if the price closes below this area, it could confirm medium-term weakening. Fibonacci & psychological resistance zone 3,800–3,900: strong support, confluence with old price structure. POC Volume Profile around 3,650: if a deep decline scenario occurs, this will be the next price attraction zone. Above, the old peak zone around 4,300–4,400 remains a large liquidity zone, a natural target if gold breaks the upper edge of the triangle. In summary: the more compressed the triangle, the stronger the breakout – the direction will depend heavily on CPI/PPI data & Fed expectations. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Medium-Term) 💖 Scenario 1 – Maintain Uptrend (priority when the trendline is not broken) Observe the reaction at the D1 upward trendline (area around 4,000). If the price continuously bounces from the trendline and stays above the 3,890 area, you can: Prioritize buying according to the trend at support retests on H4–H1. Medium-term targets: 4,150 → 4,250 → 4,300–4,400 if the triangle breaks upwards. 💢 Scenario 2 – Triangle Breaks, Shifts to Medium-Term Decline If D1 closes below 3,890: Consider this a signal confirming medium-term weakening. Prioritize selling at newly formed resistance zones. Step-by-step targets: 3,800 → 3,700 (POC) → 3,500 (strong previous support). In both scenarios, specific entry points should be refined on smaller frames (H4, H1) based on price action/OB/FVG. ⚠️ Note News & Risk Management Next week's CPI & PPI could be the "final blow," pushing gold out of the triangle – volatility can be wide and fast, spreads may widen. Last week's NFP news hardly created big waves for gold after the US government shutdown, indicating the market is holding strength waiting for more important data. 🌷 Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold on D1 is in the final stage of the accumulation triangle – this is a time where patient observation is as important as a beautiful entry point 💛 Next week, I will continue to update daily details on smaller frames so everyone can have more specific entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Public Sector Banks in the Trading Market1. What Are Public Sector Banks? Public Sector Banks are commercial banks where the Government of India holds majority ownership, usually above 51%. These banks operate under government oversight and play a vital role in: Mobilizing public savings Lending to priority sectors Executing government welfare schemes Providing financial inclusion Supporting economic stability Some major PSBs include: State Bank of India (SBI) – India’s largest bank Bank of Baroda (BoB) Punjab National Bank (PNB) Canara Bank Union Bank of India Indian Bank Bank of India (BoI) UCO Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, Central Bank of India, etc. These banks collectively hold nearly two-thirds of India’s banking assets, giving them huge influence in stock market behaviour. 2. Importance of PSBs in the Trading Market a) High Liquidity and Trading Volumes PSB stocks like SBI, BoB, and PNB consistently appear in the NSE’s most-traded list, making them attractive for: Intraday traders Swing traders Options traders Institutional investors Liquidity ensures narrower spreads, faster order execution, and stable price discovery. b) Macro Indicators PSBs reflect the health of: Credit growth in the economy Corporate borrowing trends Housing and retail loan demand Government capital expenditure Stress in sectors like MSME or agriculture Thus, traders use PSB performance to gauge broader market trends. c) Interest Rate Impact Bank profitability is heavily dependent on the interest rate cycle. Rising rates → higher net interest margin (NIM) → PSBs rally Falling rates → lower margins → PSBs correct Therefore, PSB stocks move quickly after: RBI monetary policy Inflation data Government bond yield changes This makes them ideal for event-based trading. 3. How Public Sector Bank Stocks Behave PSB stocks often show cyclical behaviour related to the broader economy. a) Credit Demand Cycle When corporate and retail loan demand is strong: Bank lending grows NIMs improve Profitability increases Stocks rally During slowdowns, lending slows and PSBs weaken. b) NPA (Non-Performing Assets) Influence A major factor that affects PSB valuations is bad loans. High NPAs = weak valuations Lower NPAs = strong re-rating and investor confidence Whenever PSBs report declining NPAs, stocks usually see multi-month rallies. c) Government Recapitalization PSBs sometimes require government capital infusion to strengthen balance sheets. Announcements of recapitalization often cause: Short-term volatility Long-term stability Such events attract traders seeking momentum. 4. Key Factors Traders Track in PSBs 1. RBI Monetary Policy Interest rate hikes usually have a positive impact on PSBs initially but may impact loan growth later. The reverse is true for rate cuts. 2. Credit Growth Data Higher loan growth = bullish sentiment. 3. NPA Trends Quarterly results showing reduced NPAs cause strong buying. 4. Provisioning Coverage Ratio Higher provisioning means lower future risk. 5. Government Policies Schemes like: Jan Dhan Yojana Mudra loans PM Kisan Affordable housing subsidies impact PSB balance sheets as these banks execute most government programs. 6. Bond Yield Movements Bond yields impact treasury income. PSBs hold large government bond portfolios, so: Falling yields → appreciate bond prices → higher profits Rising yields → mark-to-market losses This directly affects stock movements. 7. Global Market Sentiment PSBs often move in line with: US interest rate trends Crude oil prices Global risk appetite Because they reflect India’s financial stability. 5. Why Traders Prefer PSB Stocks ✔ Volatility and Momentum PSBs offer clear trending phases and sharp breakouts during periods of: Economic expansion NPA reduction Privatization rumours Monetary policy shifts Their volatility works well for both intraday and swing trading. ✔ High Options Activity PSBs like SBI and PNB have: Liquid options Tight premiums Wide strike selections This helps option sellers and buyers trade with confidence. ✔ Low Valuation Base PSBs often trade at low price-to-book (P/B) ratios compared to private banks. So when re-rating happens, rallies are stronger and sustained. ✔ Strong Institutional Participation FIIs and DIIs frequently invest in PSBs during bullish economic cycles. Their buying creates long uptrends. 6. Risks in Trading Public Sector Banks PSBs carry unique risks that traders must consider. 1. High Exposure to Government Schemes While beneficial for society, these schemes sometimes: Reduce profitability Increase operational costs Lead to higher NPAs in certain sectors 2. Slow Decision-Making Compared to private banks, PSBs may be slower to adapt to: Digital banking Fintech competition Modern risk assessment systems This can limit valuation expansion. 3. Vulnerability to Economic Stress PSBs are more exposed to: MSME distress Agriculture stress Infrastructure lending defaults These risks cause periodic corrections. 7. Trading Strategies for Public Sector Banks 1. Event-Based Trading Best events for trading PSBs: RBI monetary policy Union Budget Quarterly results NPA announcements Government recapitalization news Privatization rumours Traders often take positions before or after these events. 2. Trend Following Strategies PSBs tend to show long, clean trends. Traders use: 20/50/200 EMA crossovers RSI breakout levels Price-volume surge patterns Trendline breakouts Trending phases provide multi-week or multi-month opportunities. 3. Options Strategies Popular strategies: Bull call spread (during NPA improvement cycles) Short straddle/strangle (during consolidation phases) Protective put (around volatile policy announcements) 4. Pair Trading Traders sometimes pair: SBI vs Bank of Baroda PNB vs Union Bank Canara Bank vs Indian Bank Based on relative strength comparisons. 8. Long-Term View of PSB Stocks Historically, PSBs have delivered inconsistent long-term returns, but cycles of reform — such as: Bank mergers Digital transformation NPA resolution Government capital infusion Interest rate cycles have created powerful rally phases. Investors who entered during undervalued periods often gained significantly over the long term. Conclusion Public Sector Banks are foundational pillars of India’s financial ecosystem. For traders, they offer a rare combination of: High liquidity Strong correlation with macroeconomic trends Event-driven volatility Clear trend opportunities Attractive options trading potential However, trading PSBs also requires careful monitoring of: NPAs RBI policies Government decisions Bond yields Sector-wise economic health Understanding these factors helps traders navigate PSB stocks effectively in both short-term and long-term market environments.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold is compressed; next week’s US data will pick a side.Gold is being compressed, the upcoming US data week will determine which side is squeezed. Good evening everyone, Brian here with a view on XAUUSD on the H2 and H4 frames for the upcoming week. Fundamental Analysis – a "tailor-made" week for the USD Next week is packed with US data, meaning gold will react more to numbers than narratives: Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales Initial Unemployment Claims Prelim GDP q/q Core PCE Price Index m/m – the Fed's preferred inflation measure If inflation and growth come out weak, the market will lean more towards the slow growth / easing policy narrative. This usually puts pressure on the USD and supports gold, especially when real yields gradually decrease. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data will strengthen the USD, increase yields, and create short-term downward pressure on gold. In such a context, price and liquidity areas around news release times will be more important than usual – typically, fading emotional spikes back to structural areas is safer than chasing the initial move. Technical Analysis – triangle, FVG, and key support areas On the H4 frame, gold is still trading within a broad triangle structure. The previous decline has stalled, with prices continuously reacting at the upward support line and around 4,000, but there has yet to be a clear breakout from the pattern. When zooming into H1–H2: The price has broken a short-term downtrend line and closed strongly above – this is an early signal that selling pressure in this move is weakening. The nearest support is around 4050–4040, deeper is the 4000–3998 support band (marked on the chart as important support). As long as it holds above 4,000, the structure remains positive. Above, we have a very important confluence area around 4135–4160 including: Fibo 0.382 of the most recent main decline An old fair value gap (FVG) and resistance block Chart note: "Gold will go strong if it passes this price range" – aligns with my view: if the price accepts above this area, the potential for a stronger upward move will open up. Around 4100 is an area prone to "large liquidity response" – expect strong profit-taking and position restructuring if the price returns to this area. Currently, I consider the market to be accumulating above 4,000 in a corrective pattern, with a slight upward bias as long as 4,000 is maintained. Key Price Areas Resistance: 4100 – first liquidity area 4135–4160 – Fibo 0.382 + FVG + strong resistance Support: 4050–4040 – nearest intraday support 4000–3998 – large frame support; if broken, the picture changes 3940 area – stronger support if 4k is breached Trading Scenarios for Next Week (All are for reference only, not investment advice.) Scenario 1 – Buy when price corrects above 4,000 (foundation for the next upward wave) Idea: follow the forming upward bias as the price respects the triangle support and the 4,000 mark. Entry area: 4050–4040 or any clean retest of the broken downtrend line on smaller frames Cautious position addition area: 4025–4005 if there is a deep sweep to 4,000 with a strong bounce reaction Stop loss: below 3990–3988 depending on risk appetite Targets: First: 4100 (liquidity area) Second: 4135–4140 (lower edge of FVG/resistance) Extended: 4155–4160 if a strong continuation move appears Signals to wait for: wick rejections from support, bullish engulfing candles, or clear intraday structural phase shifts to higher highs and lows. Scenario 2 – Break & Retest Long above 4135–4140 If the price doesn't give a deep correction and runs straight up: Condition: H2/H4 candle closes clearly above 4135–4140 and holds on retest Entry: when price pulls back in a controlled manner to the 4135–4140 area, turning this area from resistance to support SL: below 4120 TP: 4180 → 4200+ depending on momentum strength This is the "gold goes strong" scenario as noted on the chart – viewing the FVG/0.382 area as a launchpad for a larger impulsive upward wave. Scenario 3 – Bearish scenario if 4,000 is broken If fundamentals and flows turn against gold, decisively pushing the price below 4,000, the bullish view needs to be set aside. Condition: daily candle closes clearly below 4000–3998 Plan: wait for the price to retrace up to retest 4000–4020 from below Entry: short when rejection signals appear at that retest area TP: 3960 → 3940, then reassess the structure When below 4,000, the triangle will break down, and the market is likely to hunt deeper liquidity areas before potentially forming a new medium-term upward wave. In summary: as long as 4,000 holds, I prioritize the buy scenario on corrections, respecting the upward potential to 4135–4160 and beyond. If there is a decisive break below 4,000, the picture will reverse – then retracements up will be opportunities to look for shorts. Trade according to what the structure shows, not what I hope for. Manage risk tightly around next week's data points and let the major price areas "do the heavy lifting." If this perspective helps you plan better, don't forget to follow Brian for weekly gold analysis and share your scenarios in the comments to compare.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Option Pricing Concepts (Greeks) Option pricing models use various mathematical tools called Greeks: 1. Delta Measures how much an option's price moves with the underlying asset. Call delta: 0 to 1 Put delta: 0 to –1 2. Theta Measures time decay—how much premium decreases daily. 3. Vega Measures sensitivity to volatility. 4. Gamma Indicates how delta changes as the underlying moves. These Greeks help traders understand risk and adjust their strategies.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts. Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity. Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction. Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020. • The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops. • A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution. • The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation. • Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction. 🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008 SL: 4000 TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220 Rationale: • Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity • Confluence of demand + structural mitigation • High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227 SL: 4235 TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction • Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries. • Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop. ✅ Summary Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion. Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups. Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation. 🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Comex XAUUSD holding buy @4035 , target 4110, 4150, 4185Parameters Data Asset Name : Price 🟩 Gold Comex : 4080.50 Price Movement 🟩 Upmove will continue to 4095, 4110 if break 4110 then breakout Until 4050 not break if break then 4025, 4000 possible. Reason 🟩 Geopolitical Risk & US Dollar Weakness: Middle East tension aur Dollar Index mein kami se safe-haven demand badhi. 🟥 RSI Overbought: Short-term correction ki possibility. Confidence 🟩 Bullish 22/30 Bullish , Avoid , Bearish (73.33% score Above 60% hai, isliye Green.) Probability 🟩 80% Upside: Price all-time high zone mein hai, jahan momentum aur risk appetite strong hai. R:R 🟨 Neutral: Current level par R:R 1:1 hai. Pullback par entry favorable (1:2) ho sakti hai. FNO Data 🟩 Strong Long Build-up: Price up aur OI up expected hai. Fresh buying ka sanket. Liquidity Zones 🟩 Support Zone: $4050 - $4065 (Previous Resistance turned Support) 🟥 Resistance Zone: $4095 - $4110 (Next Technical Target) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (No specific Max Pain data found for this contract) DEMA Levels 🟩 20 DEMA: $4045.00 50 DEMA: $3995.00 100 DEMA: N/A 200 DEMA: N/A 250 DEMA: N/A (All key averages ke upar trade, extremely bullish signal) Supports 🟩 S1: $4065.00 S2: $4050.00 S3: $4025.00 Resistances 🟩 R1: $4095.00 R2: $4110.00 R3: N/A ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI(14): 75.10 (Overbought) ADX: 45.00 (Very Strong Trend) Market Depth 🟩 Buy-biased (High demand at $4075 levels) Volatility
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained⭐ Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained ✨ A deep dive into how institutions manipulate price before major moves ✨ In every financial market — Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices — price doesn’t simply move at random. Behind the scenes, Smart Money (institutions, banks, hedge funds) engineer setups that allow them to enter positions at the best possible price. One of their most effective tools is the Liquidity Trap. Let’s break it down beautifully and clearly. 👇 🔥 What Is a Liquidity Trap? A Liquidity Trap occurs when Smart Money deliberately pushes price into areas loaded with: ❌ Stop-loss orders 📉 Sell-side liquidity 📈 Buy-side liquidity 😰 Emotional retail entries 🔥 Breakout traders placing pending orders These areas become liquidity pools — perfect fuel for institutions to fill their massive positions. Retail traders think it’s a breakout… But Smart Money thinks: ➡️ "Thank you for the liquidity." 🧩 How Smart Money Creates the Trap 1️⃣ Phase 1: Build the Setup Smart Money guides price slowly toward an obvious level: A clean high A clean low A trendline A double top/bottom Retail traders get excited: 📢 “Breakout coming!” But institutions are simply gathering attention. 2️⃣ Phase 2: The Liquidity Grab ⚡ Price spikes violently above/below the obvious level. This move triggers: 🟥 Stop-loss hunts 📉 Forced liquidations 💥 Breakouts that fail instantly This sudden spike gives institutions the liquidity needed to place large buy or sell orders without causing massive slippage. This is why the spike is often fast and dramatic. 3️⃣ Phase 3: The Real Move Begins 🚀 After the liquidity is collected, price reverses sharply. This is the moment Smart Money actually commits to the real direction. Retail traders feel: 🤯 “Why did it reverse?!” 😭 “I got stopped out for nothing!” 😵 “The breakout was fake!” But Smart Money simply executed their strategy perfectly. 🎯 How to Use Liquidity Traps in Your Trading Study where retail traders commonly place: ⛔ Stops 📌 Breakout orders ❗ Predictable entries Then wait for the fast liquidity grab followed by: A displacement 🎇 A sharp wick rejection A structure shift (CHoCH / BOS) These signals often reveal the true direction of the upcoming move. 💡 Key Features of a Smart Money Liquidity Trap ✨ Sudden spike into obvious areas ✨ Fast liquidation and stop-hunting behavior ✨ Sharp wick rejections ✨ Structure shift after the spike ✨ Smooth continuation in the real direction 🚀 Why This Concept Is So Powerful Recognizing liquidity traps allows you to: ❌ Avoid fake breakouts 🛡️ Protect yourself from stop-hunts 🎯 Enter the market at premium/discount levels 🤝 Align with Smart Money 💼 Improve long-term consistency This is how professional traders stay on the right side of volatility — by understanding why the market moves, not just where it moves.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon. According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows. This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum. Key takeaways from the news: • Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts. • Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported. • Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels. • Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move. Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure: Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030. • Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply): 4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135 → Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020 Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4128 – 4130 • Stop-Loss: 4140 • Take-Profit: → 4080 (minor imbalance fill) → 4045 (range EQ) → 4030–4028 (discount demand retest) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4020 • Take-Profit: → 4060 (short-term reaction level) → 4095 (inefficiency fill) → 4120 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility. • Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms. • Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken. • Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours. 📝 Summary Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move: • Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand) Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs. Recent Drivers USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures Session Outlook London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character) Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085 Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081 Liquidity Levels BSL: Above 4147 & 4081 SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993 Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders Imbalances Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells Minor imbalance: 4081 Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation) 4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity. Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply. 4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts. Often triggers sharp intraday reversals. 4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below. Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys. 3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure. Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell Entry: 4148–4147 Stoploss: 4126 TP1: 4135 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4085 Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4079–4081 Stoploss: 4087 TP1: 4065 TP2: 4048 TP3: 4033 Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stoploss: 4027 TP1: 4048 TP2: 4070 Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stoploss: 3987 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4040 TP3: 4070 Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly 🏁 CONCLUSION Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081. Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals. Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes. Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
XAU/USD: Gold Set to Test Downtrend Line!⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/21/2025 🔍 Market Context After adjusting from the 4,107 USD area, gold is moving sideways in the liquidity rebalancing zone – indicating a tug-of-war between the two sides. The consecutive CHoCH – BOS movements forming around the 4,006 USD bottom show that buying pressure is starting to reappear. The current decline seems to be just a correction phase, not yet showing enough signs of a complete reversal of the medium-term uptrend structure. 📊 Technical Structure Downtrend line: continues to act as dynamic resistance – a confirmation area for the recovery trend if broken. OB Bullish (4,006 USD): confluence with the previous liquidity bottom, is a potential BUY Zone. Break–Resistance (4,045 USD): the first level to surpass to confirm buying pressure. OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD): short-term supply zone – short-term SELL Zone, may witness profit-taking reactions if the price touches it. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price may retest the OB Bullish / BUY Zone (4,006–4,025 USD).  – When a clear upward reaction appears, gold is likely to break through the downtrend line, heading towards OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD). 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:  – If the price does not hold the 4,006 USD area, the short-term structure will be invalidated, opening the possibility of retreating to a lower equilibrium area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,006 – 4,025 USD → demand zone confluence OB + liquidity bottom. SELL Zone: 4,086 – 4,107 USD → potential supply zone if the recovery trend is activated. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a short-term accumulation state with signs of capital flow gradually leaning towards the buyers. The retest phase of the 4,006 USD support area will be the key confirmation for a reversal – retest – continuation phase. As long as the price stays above this area, the priority remains a buy-the-dip scenario in the short term. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is operating in a "break or hold" zone – clear confirmation is needed before following the trend. Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not trading advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
OVERVIEW GOLD CHART H1 11/21 🧭 1. CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT Gold remains in a downtrend on the H1 timeframe, despite a minor rebound after the NFP release. A sharp drop to 4,039 created a new low, followed by a weak recovery and sideways movement during the Asian session. When the London session opened, price broke below the consolidation zone, confirming that sellers are still in control of the market. Key highlights: • The market remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,052–4,060 • Volume Profile shows VAL at 4,052 turning into a new resistance • Intraday structure continues to form lower highs → maintaining the main downtrend ⸻ 🔍 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1 🔹 Trend overview • H1: Clear bearish pattern with consecutive LL – LH. Breakout from the Asian session sideways confirms the continuation of the downtrend. 🔹 Price action • Asian session: Price consolidates after the sharp drop • European session: Break below the sideways range → sellers continue to push • All upward moves are just retracements – not a reversal ⸻ 📌 3. IMPORTANT PRICE ZONES 🔥 Resistance zones (SELL priority) • 4,040 – 4,052 → Strong intraday resistance – Confluence of VAL, supply zone, and downtrend line • 4,060 – 4,070 → For deeper pullbacks 🟩 Support zones (downside targets) • 3,995 – 4,005 → Stronger support – extended target if selling momentum increases ⸻ 🎯 4. TRADING SCENARIOS 🔻 Scenario 1 – Most important (priority) SELL on pullback If price retraces to 4,040 – 4,052 and shows rejection signals (M5/M15): Sell zone: 4,040 – 4,052 TP: 4,025 → 4,010 → 3,995 SL: Above 4,060 🔻 Scenario 2 – Continuation after breaking the low If price breaks 4,028 with a strong H1 candle close: Sell continuation TP: 4,010 → 3,995 SL: 4,045 🔻Scenario 3 – Only trigger on reversal structure If price breaks & closes above 4,060, the structure weakens: ➡️Quick Buy: up to 4,075 → 4,092 (Only trade with strong signals – this is a counter-trend setup) ⸻ 🥇 5. CONCLUSION • Main trend: Down – SELL is preferred • Best entry zone: 4,040 – 4,052 (strong confluence) • Only Buy on a clear break above 4,060
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
Gold Drops to 4050 – Testing a Key Support Zone📊 Market Overview: Gold continues to fall toward the 4050 region as the US Dollar strengthens and US bond yields edge higher, reducing safe-haven demand. The market is now awaiting clearer signals from the Fed minutes and upcoming US economic data, causing bullish momentum to weaken. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: 4072 – 4085 Stronger Resistance: 4095 – 4105 Nearest Support: 4055 Stronger Support: 4045 – 4040 EMA09: Price is trading below the EMA09 on the H1 chart → short-term bearish signal. Candlestick / Momentum: H1 candles continue forming lower highs, showing sellers are in control. Volume is gradually decreasing, indicating the market is waiting for a reaction at the 4050 support zone. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: • Gold may continue to decline in the short term if price breaks below 4045. • Conversely, if gold bounces strongly from 4050 with a clear reversal candle, price could retrace toward 4072–4085, and may extend to 4095 if buying pressure strengthens. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4082 – 4085 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4088 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4040 – 4037 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4035
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals