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GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move. 1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑 Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update. Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances. Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds. 2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉 Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag. Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears. Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area. 3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰 🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp) Buy Zone: $3,939.468 Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance. Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level. 🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup) Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5) → Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline. Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling) → Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel. 4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀 The FOMC decision will set the tone — Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks. The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD. However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish. The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans. 📊 Technical Analysis Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame. Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone). Target zones: • Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930 • Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618. Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it, expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting. That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside. ⚜️ Summary Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural. The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment, and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound. Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 — that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Banking Sector Leadership & PSU Bank Rally – A Deep Dive1. Introduction The Indian stock market has witnessed several phases of leadership rotation over the years. At times, technology stocks dominate; at other times, energy or infrastructure sectors take the front seat. However, whenever the broader market gears up for a major uptrend or a new bull cycle begins, the Banking sector often takes the leadership role — and within that, Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) banks frequently emerge as key outperformers. The recent rally in PSU banks and the resurgence of the banking sector as a whole highlight not just cyclical market behavior but also deep structural changes in the Indian economy. To understand this movement, it’s important to analyze both why banking leads and what’s fueling the PSU bank rally in particular. 2. Why Banking Sector Often Leads the Market a. Core to Economic Growth Banks are the financial backbone of any economy. When economic activity expands — whether through manufacturing, infrastructure, or consumer spending — banks benefit directly. Credit growth picks up, deposit bases rise, and loan demand strengthens. Therefore, the health and momentum of the banking sector often act as a mirror of economic strength. b. Credit Cycle Expansion A strong economy usually corresponds to an expanding credit cycle. When businesses borrow more for expansion, and individuals take more loans for consumption (homes, vehicles, education), banks record higher net interest income (NII) and better profitability. During the early-to-mid phase of a bull market, credit growth typically accelerates sharply, turning the banking sector into a market leader. c. Interest Rate Cycle and Net Interest Margins The interest rate environment plays a crucial role. When rates stabilize after a hiking cycle, banks — especially those with a large low-cost deposit base — witness margin expansion. With loan yields rising faster than deposit costs, Net Interest Margin (NIM) improves. This scenario often unfolds in the mid-stages of economic recovery — precisely when the stock market’s optimism about growth is at its peak. d. Heavy Market Weightage In indices like the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty, banking and financial services account for around 35–40% of total weightage. Naturally, whenever large investors — both domestic and foreign — turn bullish on India, their first entry point is often the banking sector, leading to index-level leadership. 3. Banking Sector’s Structural Transformation The Indian banking landscape has undergone a major transformation over the last decade — both in private and public sectors. a. Clean-up of Balance Sheets Post the 2014–2018 NPA crisis, Indian banks, particularly PSUs, faced massive challenges due to bad loans, corporate defaults, and poor asset quality. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and RBI’s asset quality reviews forced banks to recognize, provision, and resolve bad assets. Today, most major banks — especially SBI, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, and Union Bank — have net NPA ratios below 1%–1.2%, compared to 5–6% a few years ago. This clean-up has set the stage for a sustainable recovery. b. Digitization & Efficiency Gains The digital transformation in banking — UPI, mobile apps, digital KYC, and paperless loans — has enhanced operational efficiency, reduced cost-to-income ratios, and improved customer acquisition. PSU banks, once lagging behind in technology, have now made significant progress through partnerships with fintechs and internal digital drives (like SBI’s YONO or BoB World). c. Government Recapitalization and Consolidation Between FY2017 and FY2021, the Indian government infused over ₹3 lakh crore into PSU banks, strengthening their capital buffers. Additionally, bank mergers created stronger entities — for example: Bank of Baroda absorbed Dena and Vijaya Bank, Canara Bank merged with Syndicate Bank, Union Bank merged with Andhra and Corporation Bank. This consolidation reduced fragmentation, created scale, and enhanced competitiveness. 4. The PSU Bank Rally – What’s Driving It? The PSU bank rally has been one of the most notable themes in the Indian stock market in recent years. After a decade of underperformance, these stocks have turned into multi-baggers, with several PSU banks delivering 200–500% returns in just 2–3 years. Let’s decode the reasons behind this rally: a. Massive Valuation Re-rating For a long time, PSU banks traded at deep discounts to book value — often between 0.3x to 0.6x — reflecting investor pessimism. With the clean-up of balance sheets, profitability return, and stable management, the market started to re-rate these banks. Currently, large PSU banks trade at 1.0–1.5x P/B, still lower than private peers (2.5x–4x), leaving room for further revaluation. b. Return of Profitability Post-2020, PSU banks started showing consistent quarterly profits, driven by lower provisioning costs and higher NII. Example: SBI’s FY2025 profits are expected to exceed ₹75,000 crore, Canara Bank, BoB, and Union Bank are recording ROEs above 15%, levels not seen in over a decade. These results changed investor sentiment from skepticism to confidence. c. Credit Growth Momentum PSU banks are witnessing robust credit growth of 12–14%, led by retail loans (housing, personal, auto), SME lending, and corporate capex revival. Their strong presence in rural and semi-urban areas gives them an edge in deposit mobilization, leading to stable funding costs. d. Capital Adequacy & Improved Asset Quality Thanks to recapitalization and internal profit generation, most PSU banks now have Capital Adequacy Ratios above 14%, giving them room to expand their balance sheets. Their Gross NPA ratios have fallen below 4%, compared to 10–12% in 2018. e. FII and DII Interest Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have both turned net buyers of PSU banks. The segment is considered a proxy for India’s growth story — benefiting from both cyclical and structural drivers. Moreover, PSU banks offer attractive dividend yields (3–5%) and stable earnings visibility, making them a favorite in the current interest rate environment. 5. Comparing PSU vs Private Banks Parameter PSU Banks Private Banks Valuation (P/B) 0.9–1.5x 2.5–4.0x ROE/ROA Improving (12–15%) High (16–18%) NIM 3–3.3% 3.5–4.5% Asset Quality Improved, but slightly lower Very strong Technology Adoption Rapidly catching up Already advanced Growth Drivers Retail, Infra, SME, Rural Credit Premium Retail, Digital, Corporate Investor Sentiment Recovering fast Already strong The valuation gap between PSU and private banks has started narrowing, but PSUs still remain value plays, whereas private banks are seen as quality growth plays. 6. Banking Sector as Market Leader in 2025 Cycle In the ongoing market cycle, banking is again showing signs of leadership emergence, driven by several factors: a. Capex Revival India’s private and public sector capex is gaining momentum — from roads and ports to data centers and manufacturing. Banks will play a financing role in this multi-trillion-rupee expansion phase. b. Liquidity & Deposit Growth Despite competition from small finance and fintech banks, traditional banks — especially PSUs — have maintained strong CASA (Current Account Savings Account) ratios, ensuring liquidity. This gives them pricing power in a tightening liquidity environment. c. Credit Quality Cycle at Its Best With low slippages and strong recoveries, India is in the best credit quality cycle in two decades. Credit costs (provisions as a % of assets) are at multi-year lows, directly boosting profitability. d. Government Support & Reforms The government continues to push for PSU bank modernization, privatization of smaller entities, and improvement in governance. The “bad bank” (NARCL) initiative has further helped clear legacy NPAs. e. Rising Financialization of Savings With rising income levels and formalization, more money is flowing into banking and financial systems — deposits, mutual funds, and loans — further deepening the sector’s dominance. 7. Technical & Market Structure Perspective From a market structure angle, the Bank Nifty index is often the leading indicator for Nifty’s trend direction. Historically: When Bank Nifty outperforms Nifty, it signals broad-based bullishness. When PSU banks outperform private banks, it often indicates a mid-stage bull market, where value stocks catch up with growth stocks. As of 2025, both Bank Nifty and Nifty PSU Bank Index are trading near record highs, showing strong volume support, healthy price structure, and institutional accumulation — confirming that leadership lies with the banking pack. 8. Risks & Challenges Despite strong fundamentals, certain risks remain: Interest Rate Volatility: A sharp rate hike cycle can squeeze margins. Global Slowdown: If export demand or global growth falters, corporate loan demand may soften. Competition from Fintechs: Fintechs may eat into certain profitable retail segments. Policy Risks: Privatization delays or regulatory tightening can temporarily hurt PSU valuations. However, these are manageable risks in the current macro setup, as most PSU and private banks maintain high provisioning buffers and stable management practices. 9. Outlook for 2025 and Beyond The outlook for the banking sector remains constructive and bullish. Analysts expect: Credit growth of 12–14% CAGR, NIMs to remain steady, ROEs to sustain above 14%, Asset quality to remain stable. PSU banks are expected to narrow the valuation gap with private banks as they continue to deliver consistent profits, higher dividends, and improved governance. In the medium term (2025–2027), the PSU Bank Index could potentially outperform broader indices, supported by: Credit growth in infrastructure, housing, and MSMEs, Rising investor confidence, India’s macroeconomic resilience. 10. Conclusion The Banking sector’s leadership in the market is not accidental — it is rooted in economic cycles, financial system dominance, and investor psychology. Every major bull market in India’s history has been led, directly or indirectly, by banks. The PSU Bank rally represents not just a price recovery but a structural turnaround story — from being crisis-hit entities plagued by NPAs and inefficiency to becoming profitable, tech-savvy, dividend-paying institutions aligned with India’s growth narrative. As India’s GDP moves toward the $5 trillion mark, and capex, consumption, and credit cycles expand together, banks — both private and public — will remain the torchbearers of the next leg of India’s equity bull market.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup! 🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish. Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally. Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30). 🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES 🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$). Strategy: BUY on confirmation here. TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance). TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance). SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone. Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC | Focus on Buying the Retracement near $3914 Hello Traders, After a strong sell-off, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing early signs of recovery, building a minor upward structure. We continue to focus on buying the pullback, viewing this move as a short-term correction within the broader downtrend. Expect higher volatility as the FOMC decision approaches. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS The market is holding steady ahead of the FED announcement: 🟢 Technical Recovery: Gold reversed part of its decline during the Asian session, bouncing slightly from a 3-week low as traders await the FOMC rate decision. 🔴 Headwinds: However, optimism around US-China trade talks and a stronger USD continue to limit the upside momentum. 📊 TECHNICAL VIEW & TRADING PLAN We are focusing on high-probability liquidity zones for both long and short opportunities: 🟢 Primary BUY Setup (Retracement Buy) Looking for a retest of the key buy-side liquidity zone to trigger the next recovery wave. Entry Zone (Buy): $3914 Stop Loss: $3906 (Tight SL recommended) Take Profit: TP1 $3933 | TP2 $3956 🔴 SELL Setup (Retest / Short-Term Scalping) Using the broken trend area for short opportunities. Entry Zone (Sell): $4048 Stop Loss: $4056 Take Profit: TP1 $4035 | TP2 $4022 🧭 SUMMARY & TRADER’S NOTE Gold is now in a decision zone — volatility will spike around FOMC. Trade with discipline: ✅ Enter only at confirmed liquidity zones. ✅ Always respect your Stop Loss. ✅ Manage your capital carefully before the news release. Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 29, 2025) Momentum • D1: Momentum remains compressed, but yesterday’s candle closed with a long lower wick — a clear sign of weakening downside pressure. A bullish daily close today would confirm a potential D1 reversal. • H4: Momentum is preparing to turn down from the overbought zone, yet the current upward move is still weak. We need to monitor whether price can hold above the previous low once H4 momentum drops toward oversold. • H1: Momentum is falling, but price is supported around 3953 and capped near 3994. As long as price holds above 3927 and avoids breaking 3892, the next H4 oversold phase could confirm a stronger upside structure. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: The current decline equals 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow, a key Fibonacci level. • H4: Wave (4) purple has already retraced 0.782 of wave (3) — unusually deep for a normal 4th wave (which typically stops around 0.382–0.5). This suggests the ongoing correction may represent wave (4) yellow on the D1 timeframe. If true, the market could now be forming wave W of a larger W–X–Y structure, meaning the upcoming recovery might only be a slow, overlapping X wave before another decline. • H1: The 5-wave black structure seems completed. A break above 3995, followed by a test of 4050, would confirm the end of wave (5) black and the start of a corrective move upward. ________________________________________ Summary Price volatility is still high — avoid limit orders for now and watch how price reacts at key zones. • 🔹 Support: 3953 – 3927 – 3892 • 🔹 Resistance: 3994 – 4050
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Breaks Trendline: 4000 Back in FocusYesterday's trading session brought further downside pressure as gold pushed lower to test the 3880 zone, which is just above the monthly open. We have seen a decent recovery bounce from there, suggesting some buying interest is emerging at these lower levels. However, it's important to maintain perspective here while we're seeing short-term stabilization, the reversal signs on higher timeframes haven't materialized yet. We need to see more convincing price action and stronger closes on the larger timeframes before we can confidently call this as reversal to bullish case. Also today we have extremely narrow CPR positioned at 3954. When we see such tight CPR levels, it often signals either an impending trend reversal or the potential for a high volatility session ahead. The early Asian session has already given us something to work with price is attempting to reclaim this CPR zone, which is a constructive development. Adding to the bullish case, we've also seen a breakout from the descending trendline structure that had been capping rallies over the past few sessions. From a tactical perspective, the immediate support zone to monitor is 3900-3910.... If buyers can defend and sustain price action above this level, we could see gold make an attempt toward the first meaningful hurdle at 4000-4010. This target zone is particularly significant as it aligns with today's R1 pivot and the prior week's low, creating a confluence resistance area. A daily close above 4000-4010 would be an encouraging sign that momentum is genuinely shifting back in favor of the bulls and could open the door for further upside. As for my positioning, I'm maintaining my existing buy positions and continuing to manage them as the price action develops. The risk-reward from these levels still appears favorable given the technical setup unfolding.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
2
Gold Gathers Momentum Ahead of Fed's Move as Bulls Aim $4070Gold is in a bullish consolidation as prices made sharp upward bounce back off the lows of 3915 and reached a tad higher at 3982 which again faces intermediate resistance. This may be an attempt to reset institutional order flows for some recovery towards 4050-4100-4150 before any major breakthrough in the directional move or a correctional A-B-C before the next impulse. Intraday perspective shows buying dips around 3945-3935 as long as swing low of 3915 is intact, with potential upside move in the pipeline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range. Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support. The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025 (IST)🪙 TVC:GOLD Intraday Trading Plan 📈 Buy Setup: 🔹 Entry: Above the high of 15-min candle (Close > $3990) 🎯 Targets: $4000, $4015, $4030 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3975 (or below candle low for confirmation) 📉 Sell Setup: 🔹 Entry: Below the low of 15-min candle (Close < $3915) 🎯 Targets: $3903, $3889, $3870 🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3930 (or above candle high for confirmation) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading in gold or any commodity involves substantial risk. This plan is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always assess your own risk before entering any position. 📊
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Gold Trading Strategy | October 28-29✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Gold remains within a clear downward channel. Since falling from the 4381 level, the price continues to trade below major moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20), meaning the bearish trend structure is still intact. Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to diverge downward, indicating that bearish momentum remains dominant. MA20 sits above 4050, acting as a strong mid-term resistance. If price fails to break above MA10 (around 3990), weak downward consolidation is likely to continue. Bollinger Bands: The lower band is expanding downward, and gold has remained near the band’s lower edge, signaling continuation of bearish pressure. The middle band near 4050 remains a key resistance — failure to reclaim it will keep price under downside pressure. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis After reaching the 3886 low, gold has seen a technical rebound, but price is currently hovering only between MA5 and MA10, showing that upward momentum is limited. Price is now testing the Bollinger Bands middle line (3960–3970) — a key short-term resistance zone. If gold breaks and holds above this level, the rebound may extend toward MA20 (3985–3990). If it fails to break above and pulls back, the rebound concludes and price may retest 3900 or even make a new low. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3960–3970 / 3985–3990 / 4050 🟢 Support Levels: 3930–3925 / 3885–3890 / 3800 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 3985–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3930-3925. 🔰 If gold drops to 3880–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3930-3950. ✅ Summary There is short-term rebound demand, but the upside remains limited. As long as price fails to break above 3990-4000, the bearish structure remains intact. If gold drops back below 3930, the downtrend is likely to resume with momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction. The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill. Outlook: 📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term) 🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880 🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980 ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold at Key Support — Will XAUUSD Bounce From 3900 - 3895?Gold is testing a crucial demand zone at 3900–3895, where buyers have previously stepped in. If this level continues to hold, we could see a bullish intraday rebound play out. 📊 Trade Setup Buy Zone: 3900 – 3895 Stop Loss: 3878 Target 1: 3924 Target 2: 3936 💡 Technical Outlook Price action is hinting at renewed buying pressure around 3900, with candles showing wicks and slowing momentum on the downside. This could indicate that bulls are defending this key zone, setting up for a short-term bounce toward the 3920–3935 area. Watch for: A bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick near 3895 Increasing volume confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–H1) 🧭 Bias ✅ Expecting a bullish bounce from the 3900–3895 zone ❌ Invalidated if price closes below 3878 ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
2
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold): 📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25) Timeframe: 1 Hour Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection Market Structure: Bearish 📈 Key Levels: Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1) Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline) Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920 Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883 📉 Technical Confluences: 🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance 🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone 🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap 🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone 🧭 Trading Plan Idea: Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone. Place Sell Limit order in the zone. Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts. Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner). ⚠️ Risk Notes: Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection. Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone. Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 28✅ From the daily chart of spot gold, the price is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level near 3897, combined with the 3900 psychological level, forming a strong short-term support zone where intense buying and selling pressure is expected. However, it is important to note that gold has already broken below the head-and-shoulders neckline, confirming a structural shift into a bearish trend. The measured move target lies near 3750, which overlaps with the 50% Fibonacci retracement around 3800, marking the potential target zone for the next phase of downside. Overall, daily-timeframe bearish momentum remains dominant, and downside risk has not yet been fully released. ✅ From the Asian session through the European session, the market has remained in a unidirectional bearish move, with no meaningful rebound, showing clear bearish pressure. Earlier in the European session, the price broke below the 1-hour consolidation rectangle, and the former key support at 3945 has now turned into resistance. Gold is currently trading around 3900, still within a downward trend channel. ✅ In such a one-way drop with no pullback, where the 1-hour timeframe shows no rebound opportunity, trading should shift to the 5-minute / 15-minute short-term timeframes, using the Bollinger Bands middle line to follow the downtrend. If the price breaks above the middle band on short timeframes, stop loss should be triggered immediately. The ultimate target remains 3800, and long positions should be avoided against this extreme momentum. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3930–3945 🟢 Support Levels: 3800–3805 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 3930–3945 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3850–3800. 🔰 If gold drops to 3800–3805 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3855–3880. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro