Round Bottom BreakOut Above 4162 more RISE awaited 🤞
Expected to hit :
TP 1: 4174
TP 2: 4180
TP 3: 4184+
Trade ideas
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure
Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones:
• OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126
• Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166
The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure.
The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above:
• 4,130 – Main OB Support
• 4,104 – Discount FVG
• 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend
If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels:
• 4,166
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126
• FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount)
• Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply)
• Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243
🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY)
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130
When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing).
• Entry: 4,130 – 4,126
• SL: below 4,115
• TP1: 4,166
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089
This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising.
• Entry: 4,104 – 4,089
• SL: 4,070
• TP1: 4,166
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity.
3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift
• Entry: 4,060 – 4,045
• SL: 4,020
• TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207
→ Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears.
🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority)
Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at:
• 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone
• 4,181 – strong reaction zone
• 4,207 – main bearish OB
• 4,243 – large liquidity peak
• SL: 10–15 USD
• TP: 4,148 → 4,130
→ For scalpers only, not a main setup.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets.
As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant.
“Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Building a Quarterly Results Trading Checklist1. Pre-Earnings Preparation: Setting the Foundation
Before any earnings are announced, traders must prepare. Preparation removes guesswork and gives clarity. Key factors include:
a. Identify High-Impact Companies
Not all results move the market equally. Focus on:
Large-cap companies
Sector leaders
Companies with a history of large earnings-day volatility
Stocks with heavy FII/DII ownership
Companies with recent major news (M&A, regulatory changes, product launches)
These stocks typically see stronger price reactions.
b. Know the Earnings Date
Many traders get caught off guard because they miss the exact results-announcement timing. Check:
Whether results are announced before market, during market, or after market close
If management commentary or concall is on the same day or the next day
Timing helps you plan intraday or positional trades better.
c. Study the Previous Quarter’s Performance
Review the last 2–3 earnings releases. Note:
Revenue growth trends
Margins (EBITDA, PAT)
Management guidance accuracy
Market reaction to previous results
Surprise elements (positive or negative)
This helps form expectations about whether the upcoming result can challenge or follow historical patterns.
d. Analyze Expectations (Street Estimates)
Quarterly results trading is more about expectations vs. reality than actual performance. Expectations come from:
Analyst projections
Bloomberg/Refinitiv consensus
News flow
Channel checks
Management guidance
If expectations are too high, even decent results can cause the stock to fall.
2. Fundamental Metrics to Watch in Results
Quarterly results contain dozens of data points, but traders should focus on the most high-impact ones. These include:
a. Revenue Growth
Shows overall demand. Compare YoY and QoQ growth:
YoY reveals long-term momentum
QoQ signals near-term growth consistency
b. Profit Margins
Margins show operational efficiency. Key margins:
Gross margin
EBITDA margin
PAT margin
Expanding margins often result in bullish moves.
c. Profit After Tax (PAT)
A company may show revenue growth but shrinking profits due to higher costs. Such divergences significantly impact stock direction.
d. Guidance and Commentary
Often more important than the numbers themselves. Traders watch:
Next quarter revenue outlook
Margin guidance
CapEx plans
Industry demand expectations
Management tone (optimistic, neutral, cautious)
Negative guidance can tank the stock even if the reported numbers are strong.
e. Segment-Wise Performance
Multi-segment companies like Reliance, Tata Motors, or IT companies require detailed segment analysis:
Which segment grew/dropped?
Is the core business performing well?
Are new initiatives gaining traction?
This helps identify future revenue drivers.
3. Technical Checklist Before Trading Results
Fundamentals show what happened; technicals show how traders positioned themselves before results.
a. Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels
Mark:
Major swing high and low
20-, 50-, 200-day moving averages
Trendline support
Supply zones
These levels help shape entry and exit plans.
b. Assess Pre-Earnings Momentum
Check if the stock is:
Running up before results (a sign of high expectations)
Consolidating (indecision)
Selling off (low investor confidence)
Stocks that run too fast ahead of earnings often correct even on good results.
c. Volume Analysis
Higher volumes before results indicate:
Institutional positioning
Potential for large post-earnings moves
Smart money activity
d. Volatility Check
Recent volatility helps determine:
Lot sizes
Stop-loss width
Position sizing
Whether to take a trade at all
If volatility is extreme, avoid leveraged positions.
4. Crafting the Trading Strategy
Once fundamentals and technicals are studied, create actionable trade plans using this checklist.
a. Decide Your Trading Style
You can trade quarterly results in three ways:
Pre-Earnings Positional Trade
Based on expectation buildup
Suitable only for high-conviction setups
Post-Results Intraday Trade
Safer
Trade only after numbers are out
Post-Results Positional Trade
Based on guidance
Ideal for capturing multi-week moves
Choose one based on risk tolerance.
b. Define Entry Trigger
Triggers can include:
Breakout above resistance
Breakdown below support
High-volume candle
Reversal candle after a knee-jerk reaction
A rule-based entry prevents emotional decisions.
c. Set Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Risk management is the spine of the checklist. For results trading:
Keep wider stops due to volatility
Use position sizing to manage risk
Avoid averaging down
Use ATR-based stops for best results.
d. Avoid Trading Immediately at Results Time
The first 5–10 minutes after results are volatile and full of fake moves. Let the market:
Absorb data
Form a stable direction
Build volume confirmation
Then act.
5. Psychology and Behavior Checklist
Earnings trading requires strong emotional control.
a. Don’t Chase the First Spike
The initial price spike is often wrong. Wait for confirmation.
b. Avoid Bias
If you "like" the company, you may misread the results. Let the data dictate the trade.
c. Stick to the Plan
Do not:
Increase position size impulsively
Trade without stop-loss
Overtrade because of excitement
A structured checklist reduces psychological stress.
6. Risk Management Checklist
Earnings trading can flip sharply. Risk control is crucial.
a. Never Trade Full Capital
Limit exposure to:
2–5% of total capital for intraday
5–10% for positional
b. Use Hedging When Needed
Hedging tools:
Options (buying calls/puts)
Straddles/strangles
Futures for protection
For unpredictable companies, hedge or avoid.
c. Avoid Illiquid Stocks
Low-volume stocks widen spreads and increase slippage.
7. Post-Results Evaluation Checklist
After the trade, analyze performance to refine your strategy.
a. Review What Happened
Document:
Were expectations correct?
Did the stock reaction match your analysis?
Was your entry/exit well-timed?
b. Update Your Earnings Database
Maintain a simple log:
Company name
Estimate vs. actual results
Market reaction
Volatility levels
Over time, this builds pattern recognition.
c. Identify Mistakes
Mistakes commonly include:
Entering too early
Ignoring guidance
Trading on gut feeling
Correct them in the next cycle.
Conclusion: Why a Quarterly Results Checklist Matters
Quarterly results bring both opportunity and chaos. Without a checklist, traders rely on emotions and incomplete information, leading to inconsistent outcomes. A well-designed checklist—combining fundamentals, technicals, psychology, and risk management—creates a structured, rule-based approach. It helps identify winning trades, avoid traps, and build long-term trading consistency.
By following this 1000-word guide, you can build a reliable earnings-season trading framework that maximizes profit potential while protecting your capital.
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg.
Key narrative drivers traders must respect today:
• Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment
• Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation
• Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics
• Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility
The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario:
• Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme)
• Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone)
• Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area)
We expect this sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190
Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement.
Activation rules:
• Price sweeps 4182 liquidity
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break
Targets:
• 4167 (nearest reaction)
• 4150 (equilibrium raid)
• 4135–4133 (discount retest)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125
Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse.
Activation rules:
• Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure)
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation
Targets:
• 4155+
• 4167 (reclaim zone)
• 4180+ (premium raid target)
⚠️ Risk Management
• Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement
• Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution
• Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries
• Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms
• SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop
📝 Summary
Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may:
• Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount
or
• Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse
Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170..XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170 Zone
At the moment, gold has not shown a clearly defined medium-term trend. Price is moving around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting direction early, I prefer waiting for price reaction at key levels before taking action.
The main focus today is the 4,160–4,170 area – where the market will decide whether to continue the uptrend or start a deeper correction.
🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at 4,162–4,165 (Priority if No Clear Breakout)
Sell: 4.162 – 4.165
SL: 4.173
TP: 4.140 – 4.122 – 4.110 – 4.100
The 4.162–4.165 zone on H1 is a strong resistance area combining Fibonacci confluence, previous supply, and proximity to the short-term rising trendline.
If price taps this zone and shows weakness (upper-wick rejection, reversal candle, low volume confirmation), I prefer taking a short-term sell toward 4.140, with deeper targets at the liquidity cluster around 4.110–4.100.
Risk for this scenario is capped at 1–2% per trade. Do NOT hold the position if price closes above 4.173.
⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY on Break Above 4,170 (Trend Continuation Confirmation)
Buy: 4.171 – 4.173 (only after a clean breakout)
SL: 4.163
TP: 4.188 – 4.200 – 4.215
If price breaks decisively above 4.170 and sustains above it, that confirms buyers are still in control.
In this case, I switch my bias to buying the breakout, targeting the next resistance zones around 4.200–4.215, and possibly higher if momentum remains strong.
Note: Only buy if the breakout is genuine — strong candle body closing above 4.170, not a stop-hunt wick that pulls back immediately.
1. Fundamental Outlook
The DXY continues slipping below 99.50, now near 99.45, showing sustained weakness as markets increase expectations for a December Fed rate cut.
Easier monetary conditions generally support gold because the opportunity cost of holding gold is reduced.
However, U.S. initial jobless claims have dropped to the lowest level since April, showing the labour market is still resilient.
This creates a mixed environment: rate-cut expectations support gold, but strong economic data may cause sudden volatility around news releases.
Overall, fundamentals lean slightly bullish for gold, but not strongly enough to ignore potential technical pullbacks.
2. Technical Structure
On the H1 chart, after a strong rally, gold is now consolidating right below the 4.160–4.170 resistance.
The 4.162–4.165 region is a confluence zone:
• horizontal resistance
• previous supply
• area where strong selling pressure appeared earlier
The 4.140 level is the “correction confirmation level” — if price breaks and closes below it, the market will likely aim for the major liquidity area around 4.110–4.100, where many Buy-side stop losses are clustered.
The current structure allows for both long and short setups, but each scenario requires clear price confirmation at the 4.160–4.170 zone.
3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan
Both buyers and sellers are watching the same price zone — 4.160–4.170.
This makes it a high-liquidity area where stops for both sides may get swept before the market shows its real direction.
If price rejects strongly from this zone, it could be a sign of late buyers being flushed out.
If buyers hold price above 4.170, trapped short positions may fuel a short squeeze toward higher resistance zones.
My plan: I do not enter mid-range. I wait for clear signals:
• Sell at 4.162–4.165 if reversal confirmation appears.
• Buy at 4.171–4.173 after a confirmed breakout and hold above the zone.
• Always use a hard stop-loss. No widening stops if price goes against the trade.
If price breaks both zones without giving clear signals, I stay out and wait for a new structure instead of forcing a prediction.
I always read feedback to improve how I share these analyses in future posts.
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited.
Market sentiment is shaped by:
A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction
Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings
Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations
Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones.
📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1)
Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones.
Key Levels to Watch
Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137
Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118
Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090
Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193
Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below.
🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan
Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias)
Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand.
BUY: 4,115 – 4,118
SL: 4,103
TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170
BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090
SL: 4,070
TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193
Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area.
Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only)
Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance.
SELL: 4,156 – 4,170
SL: 4,177
TP: 4,145 → 4,131
This is not the main bias today.
⚜️ MMF Trading View
Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal.
As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact.
“In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.”
Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support
I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk.
Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100.
After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend.
Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088.
II. Macro Context & News 27/11
02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation.
Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold.
Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold.
19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes
If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows.
However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment.
General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal.
III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel
The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with:
The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated.
Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080.
The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears.
Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise).
IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support.
Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100
This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario.
2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas:
4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088
Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle:
Buy close to the trendline,
SL placed below the immediate support area,
TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance.
V. Risk Management & Notes
Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads.
The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168.
If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 27/11/20251. Momentum
D1:
D1 momentum is contracting and preparing to reverse. We need to wait for today’s daily candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting around 4–5 days.
H4:
H4 momentum continues to decline and is approaching the oversold zone. This indicates that the current downward move is weakening, and a corrective bounce is likely once H4 momentum reverses in the oversold area.
H1:
H1 momentum is also decreasing and moving toward the oversold zone. Therefore, we expect a mild bounce once H1 momentum turns upward.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1:
The wave structure on H4 remains unchanged from previous analysis. The key difference is that D1 momentum has now contracted and shows signs of reversal, strengthening the scenario of a continuation of the purple Y wave. The completion of this Y wave will likely align with the moment D1 momentum descends into the oversold zone and reverses.
H4:
On the H4 timeframe, the blue ABC corrective structure is close to completion, and the market is currently in the final stage of wave C.
Based on H4 momentum reversal cycles, a series of lower highs and lower lows suggests that the ABC structure is likely complete and price is in the final phase of wave Y.
H1:
On H1, a 5-wave black structure is forming. In yesterday’s analysis, I presented two scenarios and explained the characteristics of each. With D1 momentum now reversing, I am leaning toward the scenario where the 5 black waves represent the C wave of the blue structure.
Yesterday’s targets for wave 5 (black) and wave C (blue) were truncated — price only reached 4173.8 and failed to touch 4184. Since then, the market has been moving sideways within a wide range.
Key observations:
• Price rose but failed to break the 4173.8 high.
• Price later dropped near 4137.
• RSI showed bearish divergence from wave 3 (black): price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs → suggesting wave 5 likely completed as an Ending Diagonal.
At this stage, I want to see price break below 4137 before H4 momentum reverses upward. This would provide additional confirmation that the ABC corrective structure has completed.
The 4058 zone continues to be a strong liquidity area to look for sell entries under the assumption that wave 5 has finished.
________________________________________
3. Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4158 – 4160
SL: 4178
TP1: 4081
TP2: 4020
TP3: 3958
XAUUSD BUY OR SELL TODAY?1. Main Market Context for Today
Jobless claims came in better than expected → USD strengthens, but gold did not drop — it continued to move sideways → the market is in accumulation and waiting for a breakout.
Today’s priority strategy is range trading:
Lower range: 4130–4135
Upper range: 4170–4175
Once price breaks clearly out of either range → switch to trend-following (pursuit) trading.
2. Range-Trading Plan (Primary Strategy for Today)
(A) Buy at the Lower Range – 413X Zone
Buy area: 4130–4135
SL: 100 pips
TP: 100 pips
Reason: This is the main demand zone and aligns with the ascending trendline shown on your chart.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for price to “sweep” the lows → show confirmation → then take a quick BUY trade.
(B) Sell at the Upper Range – 417X Zone
Sell area: 4170–4175
Reason: Strong supply zone with repeated reactions.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) → then SELL.
3. Current Reaction Zone – 414X
This is the zone price is currently testing.
Do not enter immediately; just observe:
If price bounces strongly from 414X → target is to retest 417X
If 414X breaks → price will likely retest 413X → better BUY entries there.
4. Deeper BUY Zones (If Price Breaks Downward)
Here are the levels you mentioned, organized clearly:
BUY Zone
4110–4108
4102–4100
4096–4094
→ These are deeper liquidity zones below the main range, activated only if gold breaks below 413X.
5. SELL Zones if Price Breaks Upward (Above 417X)
SELL Zone
4202–4200
4194–4190
4183–4180
→ These are upper supply retest zones, activated only after price breaks above 417X.
🟨 6. Main Scenarios for Today
Scenario 1 – Expected Sideway (Highest Probability)
Price moves within 413X – 417X, bouncing between the range limits.
→ Trade the range (scalp/intraday).
Scenario 2 – Break Below Range
If 4130 breaks → price will head to 4110 → 4100 → 4094
→ BUY at deeper zones.
Scenario 3 – Break Above Range
If 4175 breaks → price will aim for 4183 → 4194 → 4200–4202
→ SELL at higher zones.
✅ One-Line Trading Summary
Trade primarily within the 413X–417X range (buy low – sell high). If the range breaks, switch to trend-following using the deeper BUY zones or higher SELL zones provided above.
Plan the day - Trade the plan Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pairs, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Gold Trding Strategy for 27th November 2025📈 GOLD Trading Plan
🟢 BUY Setup
Enter Buy Position above the High of 15-min Candle
Trigger Level: $4181 (only after a 15-min candle close above this level)
Targets 🎯
$4195
$4205
$4218
SL 🔻: Below recent swing low / candle low
🔻 SELL Setup
Enter Sell Position below the Low of 1-Hour Candle
Trigger Level: $4148 (only after a 1-hour candle closes below this level)
Targets 🎯
$4137
$4125
$4110
SL 🛡: Above recent swing high
⛳ Notes
Wait for confirmed candle close, not wick breakout
Position risk suggestion: 1–2% of capital
Trail SL as targets hit for safety
Avoid trades during major news spikes
⚠ Disclaimer:
This is only for educational purpose.
This is not financial advice. Market conditions may change anytime. Trade at your own risk. Always use Stop-Loss and proper position sizing.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 26–27✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold pulled back noticeably after forming a short-term high at 4173, indicating strong selling pressure above. The price has repeatedly failed to hold above 4170, confirming the effectiveness of the upper resistance. The price is currently trading above MA5 and MA10, but short-term bullish momentum is weakening. The Bollinger Bands are slightly narrowing, showing that the market has entered a high-level consolidation range. Overall, gold remains in a high-level sideways structure, with limited bullish continuation and a tendency for pullbacks after pushing higher.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded quickly after gaining support at 4136, but once again showed a long upper shadow after testing 4173, indicating rejection. Although MA5 and MA10 remain upward-sloping, the candlesticks are repeatedly being pushed down, suggesting a short-term choppy structure. The Bollinger upper band is suppressing the price, and multiple attempts to break through have failed.
The 1-hour chart shows a weak upward attempt followed by consolidation, and price action above 4170 shows a lack of willingness from buyers to chase higher levels—short-term momentum remains weak.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4170–4175 / 4182–4190
🟢 Support Levels: 4136–4140 / 4109–4115
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 1. Short on Rebounds (Main Strategy)
📍 Sell lightly in the 4170–4175 zone
🎯 Targets: 4156 / 4145 / 4136
⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4182
Reason:
H4 and H1 both show repeated failure to break higher
Long upper shadows indicate strong selling pressure
This zone is the top of the high-level consolidation range
🔰 2. Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy)
📍 Consider long positions near 4136–4140
🎯 Targets: 4160 / 4170
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4128
Reason:
4136 is today’s key support and the previous rebound point
Short-term moving averages provide support below
As long as 4136 holds, price remains in a buy-the-dip zone within the consolidation structure
📌 Summary
Gold remains in a high-level consolidation structure:
Strong resistance at 4170–4175 → easy to pull back after testing
Solid support at 4136–4140 → buyers tend to step in on dips
📌 Short-term rhythm:
Sell high, buy low — trade within the 4136–4175 range.
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair.
This matters for gold because:
• A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold.
• Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure.
• Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides.
With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure)
• Market Structure
Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs.
Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4210 – 4212
• Sits above current buy-side liquidity
• Clear premium relative to intraday structure
• High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement
• SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4140 – 4138
• Previous CHoCH origin
• Aligns with discount retracement
• Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block
• SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4212 → 4220
• Sell-side: 4138 → 4130
Expect the typical SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4210 – 4212
Stop-Loss: 4220
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (reaction level)
→ 4145 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4140–4138 (discount zone retest)
📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4140 – 4138
Stop-Loss: 4130
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (intraday reaction)
→ 4185 (premium edge)
→ 4210 (liquidity sweep target)
📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts.
• Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement.
• Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day.
📝 Summary
Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy.
Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction.
Key Levels Today (26/11)
🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
Prepare for:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold (XAU): Fed Cut Incoming? Breakout Time!I. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The Vibe: The US Dollar (DXY) is facing serious heat! The US Fed's recent dovish signals are a major tailwind for non-yielding Gold.
Fed's New Tune: Big guns like Governors Williams and Waller are now talking about rate cuts soon. Why? Because US economic data (Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence) is getting weaker, boss.
Market Buzz: The market is pricing in a strong nearly 85% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December. Picture clear, right?
Takeaway: This shift is Massively Bullish for Gold because lower interest rates make the Dollar less attractive.
II. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA)
The Scene: Gold is currently bumping heads with a major hurdle – the Discount Zone (our supply zone). The real action is here!
Crucial Resistance: Gold is testing the Discount Zone (the main resistance area). This is the make-or-break level.
The Short Game (Bearish): Wait for a clear rejection signal at this resistance zone. If it holds, a correction is coming.
The Long Game (Bullish): For Gold to go on a proper rally, it needs a Strong Breakout and Close above the entire resistance area.
💡 THE STRATEGY
Focus on the Resistance Level: Trade based on Confirmation, whether that's a reversal signal for a short correction, or a strong breakout for a fresh long position.
Don't miss the US data tonight (Durable Goods/Jobless Claims) – it will be the real fire starter!
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #FedRates #DovishFed #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #FinanceIndia
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Uptrend, Monitor Reaction at FvG⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 25/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After breaking the downtrend structure and creating consecutive bullish CHoCH, gold is maintaining above the Break–FvG zone at 4,107 USD, indicating that buying pressure is still controlling the recovery phase.
The price is in a reaccumulation phase after the break, and it is likely to need a short pullback to "gain momentum" towards the extended resistance zone above.
📊 Technical Structure
FvG Zone (4,107 USD): newly formed balance zone – acts as the main BUY Zone, where price reactions can be observed for quick scalping opportunities.
Break Structure: confirms active buying flow after a series of CHoCH, shifting short-term bias to bullish.
Target Expansion: the 4,188 → 4,228 USD range is an extended resistance band, coinciding with Fibonacci 1.272–1.618.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Main Support (Support Zones):
• 4,067 USD – technical balance bottom, the last defense zone.
• 4,084 USD – secondary support, confluence with Fibo 0.382.
• 4,107 USD – main FvG zone, monitor reaction for buy scalp.
• 4,131 USD – dynamic support in the recovery cycle.
🔴 Resistance (Resistance Zones):
• 4,155 – 4,165 USD → intermediate resistance zone, potential short-term profit-taking when price reacts.
• 4,188 USD → confluence with Fibo 1.272 – short-term SELL Zone.
• 4,203 – 4,211 USD → extended supply zone, monitor reaction before the US session.
• 4,228 USD → extended resistance, the final target of the current uptrend.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario:
– Price may retest the FvG zone – 4,107 USD, then bounce to test resistances 4,155 → 4,188 → 4,228.
– Prioritize monitoring reactions – quick scalping at resistance zones, avoid holding long positions as price approaches 4,211–4,228.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:
– If price closes below 4,107 USD, it may reopen the lower balance zone around 4,067 USD.
🧠 Analyst’s View
The market structure leans towards bullish continuation, but the upper zone is approaching a dense resistance cluster – suitable for reactive trading strategies:
→ Observe reactions at each zone to "scalp with the flow," rather than trying to hold the trend.
As long as price maintains above 4,107 USD, the priority remains buy-the-dip – take-profit-on-resistance.
🛡️ Risk Note
Short-term volatility is expanding – clear candle reaction confirmation is needed before taking action.
Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not investment advice.
U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected
🔍 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection.
After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective.
📈 Key Trading Zones
🔻 SELL Setup
Entry: 4188 – 4190
Stop Loss: 4192
Target 1: 4090
Target 2: 4020
Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG.
🟢 BUY Setups
BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085
→ Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG.
BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017
→ Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand.
🧠 Trading Plan Logic
Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short.
Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long.
The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs.
⚙️ Bias
Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090.
Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion
🔍 Market Context
Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep.
This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move.
Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces.
Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure.
Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep.
Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool.
Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG
Entry: 4090–4095
Stop Loss: 4100
Take Profit 1: 4055
Take Profit 2: 4040
Take Profit 3: 4025
➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test
Entry: 4024–4025
Stop Loss: 4022
Take Profit 1: 4065
Take Profit 2: 4080
➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation.
3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone
Entry: 4003–4001
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit 1: 4045
Take Profit 2: 4075
Take Profit 3: 4090
➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+.
🧭 Overall Bias
→ Ranging bias before Core PCE
→ Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data.
→ Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29)
SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week
1. Market Context
Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline.
Above are 3 important supply layers:
OLD FVG 1
OLD FVG 2
Large FVG 4220–4300
the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction.
2. Strong News Schedule for the Week
This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold:
Tuesday (Nov 25)
Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility.
Wednesday (Nov 26)
Unemployment Claims
Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods
GDP q/q – GDP Price Index
Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week)
➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week.
Friday (Nov 28)
German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly)
🎯 News Conclusion:
→ Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly.
→ Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted.
3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent)
🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG)
4189 – 4191 (Main Sell)
SL: 4195
This is a strong reaction zone for the week.
4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp)
SL: 4138
🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)
4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart)
SL: 3999
→ This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart.
Psychological level: 4000 – 3985
If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low.
4. Weekly Trading Scenarios
🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely)
Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191
After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of:
Bearish BOS H1/H4
Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000
🔻 SELL Plan
Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138
Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195
TP targets:
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4050
TP3: 4000
🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity)
If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news:
Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985
Form a low → surge back up to test supply.
🔵 BUY Plan
BUY 4000–3985
SL: 3975
TP:
4050
4100
4130
🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks
If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle:
➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300
→ At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active...XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active, Continue to Prioritise Buying at POC
I maintain the view that the current dominant trend is buying based on the inverse head–and–shoulders structure, and the bullish wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for price to retrace into the POC zone to re-enter with the trend, avoiding chasing buys at the highs.
🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC
Buy: 4,133 – 4,130
SL: 4,123
TP: 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250 – extended targets if momentum remains strong
For me, total risk per trade never exceeds 1–2% of the account. A good setup with poor risk management is still a bad trade.
1. Fundamental Context
Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near its highest levels in about two weeks.
The US Dollar is weakening as markets increase bets on the Fed cutting rates soon, following data showing continued cooling in inflation.
Lower yields and a softer USD reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the flow back into safe-haven assets.
With this backdrop, I do not prioritise large sell setups. Most pullbacks are mainly opportunities for me to accumulate long positions.
2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment
On the H1 timeframe, gold has formed and activated an inverse head–and–shoulders pattern, confirming a bullish reversal phase.
Price is retracing to retest the POC zone around 4,133–4,130, overlapping the previous accumulation area where heavy sell orders were absorbed. This is the zone I prioritise for buying.
Below this lies a deeper FVG acting as secondary support; however, I’m not waiting for price to drop too far to avoid missing the core move of the pattern.
Regarding price behavior, recent pullbacks have been absorbed quickly, with multiple long-wick candles showing buyers are still in control. I’m waiting for a clean pullback into POC with a strong bullish reaction to trigger the entry.
3. Action Plan
Only enter positions when price returns to the 4,133–4,130 zone — absolutely no FOMO buying at higher levels.
Take partial profits at 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250, leaving the remaining position open if gold continues to extend its bullish leg.
If price breaks below 4,123 and closes under that level, I will cut the trade immediately and reassess the structure — never hold on to a bias when the market has changed.
If this analysis is helpful, follow my TradingView channel and leave your comments. I always read feedback to improve and refine my future posts.
GOLD is making Symmetrical Triangle PatternGold is currently making Symmetrical triangle pattern
If GOLD doesn't cross 4180 then it has very high probability to come down
Also if GOLD breaks 3995 level then
We may witness 3700-3800 level in coming weeks
Keep and eye on 4180 level for the upside
Upside is possible till 4300-4350 range if GOLD breaks the resistance
Thank You !!
