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“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟 Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold! Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset. Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move. Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉 Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities. Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724 Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666 Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key): Buy Scalp: Zone: $3688 - $3686 SL: $3682 TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706 Buy Zone: Zone: $3667 - $3665 SL: $3657 TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715 Sell Scalp: Zone: $3704 - $3706 SL: $3710 TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686 Sell Zone: Zone: $3724 - $3726 SL: $3734 TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676 Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis: Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580. Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone. Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold. Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650 🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580 🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Bullish Structure, Eyeing 3,700Hello everyone, gold is heading into a very sensitive week with the upcoming FOMC decision on rates and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke out to 3.68xx with a strong candle and improved volume, now consolidating just below 3,690–3,700 – a psychological barrier and session high. The broader trend remains upward as gold trades above a rising Ichimoku cloud, while clear support steps form below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest floor, 3,648–3,642 as a deeper defense, and the 3,635–3,625 cloud zone as intraday trend protection. As long as gold holds above 3.66x, I favour a high-probability accumulation setup to retest 3,690–3,700; if H1/H4 candles close above 3,700, the next target could extend to 3,715–3,730. On the news side, the midweek FOMC is the key trigger. A dovish Powell and dot-plot could soften USD and yields, giving gold a chance to break 3,700. A hawkish tone, however, may spark profit-taking and pull gold back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test demand. Labour data, manufacturing reports, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With US figures lately underwhelming, markets lean toward a softer Fed stance, which underpins gold. I tilt bullish, watching reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 as FOMC headlines hit. Do you think the Fed will sound dovish or hawkish this week? Drop your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Part ! Ride The Big MovesWhat is an Option? An option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date). Underlying Asset: This can be a stock, index, commodity, currency, or ETF. Strike Price: The price at which the asset can be bought or sold. Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires. Premium: The price paid to purchase the option. There are two main types of options: Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Call Options Explained A call option becomes profitable when the price of the underlying asset rises above the strike price plus the premium paid. Example: Stock price: ₹1,000 Strike price: ₹1,050 Premium: ₹20 If the stock rises to ₹1,100: Profit = (Stock Price – Strike Price – Premium) = 1,100 – 1,050 – 20 = ₹30 If the stock remains below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is the premium paid.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
GOLD Bullish continuation (new highs, momentum sustain) : Probability: around 60–65% The breakout has strong support from macro conditions. Real yields look like they are peaking, inflation expectations remain sticky, and the Fed is leaning toward easing. On top of that, the US dollar is softening and central banks are continuing to add gold to reserves. These combined factors increase the odds that the breakout holds and the trend continues higher. Sideways consolidation or retest of breakout : Probability: about 25–30% A pullback or cnsolidation wouldn’t be surprising, especially if the Fed sounds less dovish or if inflation data cools faster than expected. In that case, gold could spend some time chopping between support and resistance before deciding its next big move. Major correction or deep mean reversion : A deep selloff looks like the least likely path right now. Real yields aren’t rising sharply, inflation isn’t collapsing, and the dollar is still under pressure. But nothing is guaranteed. A surprise hawkish turn from the Fed or a sudden global disinflation shock could knock gold back toward old structural levels.but this remains the least likely scenario in the near to medium term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ard-komercisto
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis: 🔹 Chart Analysis Support & Resistance Support S1: Around 3678 zone. Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area. Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area. Entry & Stoploss Current price: 3683.63 Stoploss: Below 3676 level. Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid. Target Levels Target Price 1: ~3688 Target Price 2: ~3692–3696 Indicators Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator): Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum. RSI (bottom indicator): Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure. 🔹 Projection The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+. The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets. As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Fresh Highs, Hot Headlines , Is a Pullback Next?Gold broke out of its recent range yesterday and is now trading at new all-time highs, showing strong follow-through momentum. On the weekly pivot chart, price is currently testing Weekly R1, with the next key level being the psychological 3700 resistance. While the technical structure remains bullish, today’s headlines from major gold newsletter are a reminder that sentiment is running extremely hot. When you start seeing mainstream media comparing gold rally to 1979 and celebrating retail traders wins, it often signals that we’re entering a frothy phase. With the FOMC decision approaching, the risk of a short-term shakeout or healthy correction is definitely on the table. A close back below the breakout zone could trigger profit-taking, while holding above R1 would keep the path open for 3700 and beyond. For now, 3625–3650 remains the key support area, and as long as price holds above this zone, the trend stays firmly bullish but we should stay cautious and avoid chasing too aggressively at these levels until we get clarity from the Fed. Personally I am expecting some cool down after FOMC .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area. Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703). Liquidity Zones Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area) Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone) 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703 Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617 🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup) Entry: 3595–3592 Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3615 TP2: 3625 TP3: 3635 TP4: 3645 Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target) 🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade) Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone) Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3690 TP2: 3680 TP3: 3670 TP4: 3660 Open TP: 3650 ⚡ Scalping Strategy Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones. Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance. Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade. ✅ Conclusion Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region. At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
5
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 16, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is currently in an uptrend, suggesting that price may continue to rise for the next 5–6 days. • H4: Momentum is turning downward, indicating the possibility of a correction today. • H1: Recently showed a bullish reversal signal, but now there are signs of weakening again. This suggests that the downward move on H1 may not yet be complete. Wave Structure • D1: Yesterday’s daily candle created a new high, which indicates that wave iv (black) has likely been completed. The market is now developing in wave v (black). • H4: Wave iv (black) is likely finished. With H4 momentum turning lower, wave 1 of wave v (black) may already be completed, and the market is now entering a corrective phase. • H1: Wave v (black) is unfolding into a 5-wave structure (green). Combined with weakening H4 momentum, there are two possible scenarios: 1. This is wave 4 (green), with a maximum correction level around 3662. 2. This is wave 2 of wave v (black – D1), with a potential correction target around 3657. Since both scenarios point to a similar price zone, we select 3662–3660 as the buy entry zone. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3662 – 3660 • SL: 3650 • TP: 3698
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 19th September 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan 🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes above the high of the 15-minute candle at $3686. 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3696 2nd Target → $3709 3rd Target → $3720 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL below $3678 (just under the breakout candle’s low). 🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes below the low of the 1-hour candle at $3663. 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3653 2nd Target → $3643 3rd Target → $3633 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL above $3670 (just above the breakdown candle’s high). 📘 Notes ⚖️ Wait for candle close confirmation (don’t enter early). 🕒 Use 15-minute chart for Buy setup & 1-hour chart for Sell setup. 💵 Risk small (1–2% of capital). Never risk full money on one trade. 📉 Always place Stop-Loss before entering a trade. 📊 Trail your SL to lock profits once the first target is hit. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. 📚 Trading involves high risk. 💸 Do your own research before investing. I am not a financial advisor.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660.Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660. International gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, with market expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks acting as key support. From a technical perspective, the overbought region supports the view that gold prices will continue to fluctuate within a range. As shown in Figure 2h: Key short-term support levels: $3,620-3,635-3,600; resistance level: $3,660. Market focus is highly focused on this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut probability exceeding 93%. This is likely to trigger the next directional breakout in gold. Gold faces short-term technical correction pressure and needs to consolidate before building momentum for the next round of gains. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Upward Resistance: Near-term major resistance lies in the $3,657-3,658 range. A successful breakout could re-challenge the all-time high of $3,675 and open the door for a test of the $3,700 mark. Downside Support: Immediate support lies in the $3,627-3,620 range. If broken, further declines to $3,600-3,580 (static level, 20-day simple moving average) are possible. Stronger support lies at the psychological level of $3,500. Current Trend Analysis: Since reaching a new all-time high, gold prices have not shown any clear reversal signals (such as a high-level shooting star or a large black candlestick), indicating that bullish market sentiment remains dominant. Currently, the price is consolidating at a high level, which can be considered a healthy correction within the trend. Trading Strategy: Short-term traders: Try to buy low and sell high in the $3,620-3,660 range, but be sure to maintain a small position and set a strict stop-loss. Focus on a directional breakout opportunity after the Fed's decision. Medium- to long-term investors: The bullish trend in gold remains unchanged. Any pullback caused by the market "selling the facts" or by less-than-expected dovish Fed comments could be an opportunity to establish a phased long position in the $3,600-3,500 support area. Key Points to Watch Next: Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting (this week): More importantly, it's not just the interest rate decision, but also the future rate trajectory and Powell's outlook for the economy and inflation. Other Central Bank Moves: The Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and others will also announce interest rate decisions, which will influence global liquidity expectations and the dollar's trajectory. Geopolitical Situation: Any escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict or the situation in the Middle East could trigger a new round of safe-haven buying. US Economic Data: Any data on employment, inflation, and economic growth will influence market expectations of Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | September 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase. 🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range. 🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation. After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680 🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660. 🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion. • H4 timeframe: Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY). • H1 timeframe: An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination. With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart. ________________________________________ 3. Price Zones & Targets • Breakout level: o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal. • Support / Buy zones: o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction. o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure. • Wave v (black) target: o Projection: 3709 (main target). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 1. Buy Breakout 3657 o SL: below breakout candle o TP: 3709 2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630 o SL: 3622 o TP: 3709 3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3709 ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases. Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket. Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend. Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602 SL 3597 TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620 SL 3615 TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly