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Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 12-13✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, the key short-term resistance to watch is in the 3365–3373 area. If the price rebounds to this zone during the day, short positions can be placed in line with the prevailing trend, targeting a pullback. The short-term bearish threshold is located at the 3380–3385 level. Unless the daily chart breaks and holds above this area, any rebound should be viewed as a selling opportunity, maintaining the overall bias of trading with the trend. ✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, the price is still moving within an ascending channel, with lower support around 3330 and upper resistance near 3409. The price has recently found support near the lower channel boundary, showing a need for a technical rebound. It has bounced back from below the MA20, but MA5 and MA10 are still applying downward pressure, indicating that the medium-term trend has not yet fully reversed. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3349–3357 / 3365–3375 🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3335 / 3320–3310 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3365-3375 area. Target: 3340-3345；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3330. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3335-3340 area. Target: 3365-3373；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3385. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TechnicalAnalysissss
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure • The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed. • Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because: o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree. o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave. • Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle. • Wave 4 targets: 1. 3358 2. 3364 • If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance. • With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323. ________________________________________ 3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5. • H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342. o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323. • Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan • If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342. • Limit Sell Order: o Entry: 3364 – 3366 o SL: 3374 o TP1: 3342 o TP2: 3333 o TP3: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Part6 Institutional TradingIntroduction to Options Trading Options are like a financial “contract” that gives you rights but not obligations. When you buy an option, you are buying the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price before a certain date. They’re mainly used in stocks, commodities, indexes, and currencies. Two main types of options: Call Option – Right to buy an asset at a set price. Put Option – Right to sell an asset at a set price. Key terms: Strike Price – The price at which you can buy/sell the asset. Expiration Date – The last day you can use the option. Premium – Price paid to buy the option. In the Money (ITM) – Option has intrinsic value. Out of the Money (OTM) – Option has no intrinsic value yet. At the Money (ATM) – Strike price equals current market price. Options give traders flexibility, leverage, and hedging power. But with great power comes great “margin calls” if you misuse them.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Key Points: Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG). Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels. Upside Targets: TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,375 TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance) Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245. Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362. Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD Drops $55, Bearish Trend Continues!Yesterday, XAUUSD plummeted from $3,398 to $3,342 , losing more than $55 in just one trading session. This sharp decline pushed XAUUSD below a crucial support level , signaling significant weakness . This drop confirms that gold is under strong selling pressure , with the market struggling to maintain upward momentum . Additionally, the m/m CPI came in at 0.3% , higher than the expected 0.2% . This indicates inflation is rising faster than anticipated, increasing expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates. This outcome could strengthen the USD , which typically leads to a drop in gold prices. This factor further supports the bearish outlook for XAUUSD. The price is now approaching a near resistance level at $3,362 , a key point that may limit further upside potential. The near support is located at $3,310, and this will be tested if the price breaks through the resistance at $3,362. Conclusion: With the combination of strong bearish price action, a stronger USD driven by CPI data, and technical structure supporting the downtrend, XAUUSD appears to be in a strong bearish trend. Risk management should be a priority as the price could test new lows near $3,310, and if this level breaks, the bearish trend could accelerate.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
4
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background: After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock. Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters. Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp) Entry: 3,333 – 3,331 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit. Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone) Entry: 3,311 – 3,309 SL: 3,305 TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong. Today’s Scenarios: If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering. If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation. If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage. Captain’s Note: “The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
2
Mastering the Art of Risk Management in Trading 1. Introduction: Why Risk Management is the Heart of Trading Trading is not about making big profits quickly — it’s about staying in the game long enough to let your edge work for you. Think of trading like a professional sport. Skill matters, but survival matters more. Even the world’s best traders lose trades; what separates them from amateurs is how they manage those losses. In simple terms: Good trading without risk management = gambling. Average trading with strong risk management = long-term success. Warren Buffett’s famous rules apply perfectly here: Don’t lose money. Never forget rule #1. 2. Core Principles of Risk Management Before we go deep into strategies, let’s lock in the foundation. 2.1 Risk is Inevitable Every trade carries risk. The goal is not to avoid it but to control its size and impact. 2.2 Asymmetry in Trading A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even. This means avoiding large drawdowns is far more important than chasing big wins. Loss % Required Gain to Recover 10% 11.1% 25% 33.3% 50% 100% 75% 300% 2.3 Risk per Trade Most professional traders risk 0.5%–2% of their account per trade. This ensures no single bad trade can destroy the account. 3. The Psychology of Risk Risk management is not just math — it’s deeply psychological. Loss Aversion Bias: Humans feel losses twice as strongly as gains. This can push traders into revenge trading. Overconfidence Bias: Winning streaks can lead to oversized positions. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Chasing trades without proper entry rules increases risk. A great risk management system removes emotional decision-making by setting clear, mechanical rules. 4. Position Sizing: The Risk Control Lever Position sizing determines how much capital to put into a trade. Even if your strategy is perfect, bad sizing can blow up your account. 4.1 Fixed Fractional Method Risk a fixed % of capital per trade. Example: If account = ₹10,00,000 and risk = 1% → Risk per trade = ₹10,000. If Stop Loss = ₹50 away from entry, position size = ₹10,000 ÷ ₹50 = 200 shares. 4.2 Volatility-Based Position Sizing Adjust position size according to the volatility of the asset (ATR – Average True Range). If ATR = ₹25 and your risk budget = ₹5,000, position size = ₹5,000 ÷ ₹25 = 200 shares. 4.3 Kelly Criterion (Advanced) Maximizes capital growth based on win rate & reward/risk ratio. Formula: K% = W – (1 – W) / R Where: W = Win probability R = Reward/Risk ratio Caution: Kelly is aggressive; use fractional Kelly for real trading. 5. Stop Loss Strategies: Your Safety Net A stop loss is not a sign of weakness — it’s a shield. 5.1 Fixed Stop Loss Predefined point in price where you exit. 5.2 Volatility Stop Loss Adjust stop distance using ATR to account for market noise. 5.3 Time-Based Stop Exit after a fixed time if the trade hasn’t moved in your favor. 5.4 Trailing Stop Moves with price in your favor to lock in profits. Golden Rule: Place stops based on market structure, not emotions. 6. Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) The RRR tells you how much you stand to gain for every unit you risk. Example: Risk: ₹1000 Reward: ₹3000 RRR = 3:1 → Even a 40% win rate is profitable. High RRR trades allow more losers than winners while staying profitable. 7. Diversification & Correlation Risk 7.1 Asset Diversification Avoid putting all capital into one asset or sector. 7.2 Correlation Risk If you buy Nifty futures and Bank Nifty futures, you’re effectively doubling your risk because they move together. 8. Risk Management for Different Trading Styles 8.1 Day Trading Keep daily loss limits (e.g., 3% of capital). Avoid revenge trading after a loss. 8.2 Swing Trading Use wider stops to allow for multi-day fluctuations. Position sizing becomes even more critical. 8.3 Options Trading Risk can be higher due to leverage. Always calculate max loss before entering. 9. Risk Management Tools ATR Indicator – For volatility-based stops. Position Size Calculators – To control exposure. Heat Maps & Correlation Tools – To avoid overexposure. Journaling Software – To track mistakes. 10. Risk-Adjusted Performance Metrics Professional traders measure performance relative to risk taken. Sharpe Ratio – Risk-adjusted returns. Sortino Ratio – Focuses on downside volatility. Max Drawdown – Largest account drop during a period. 11. Building a Personal Risk Management Plan Your plan should cover: Max % of capital risked per trade. Max daily/weekly loss limit. Position sizing rules. Stop loss & target placement method. Diversification guidelines. Rules for scaling in/out. Plan for handling drawdowns. 12. Advanced Concepts 12.1 Portfolio Heat Sum of all open trade risks; keep it below a set % of account. 12.2 Value at Risk (VaR) Estimates the max expected loss over a time frame. 12.3 Stress Testing Simulate worst-case scenarios (e.g., gap downs, black swans). Conclusion: Risk Management is Your Superpower In trading, capital is ammunition. Risk management ensures you never run out of bullets before the big opportunities arrive. Mastering it is not optional — it’s the difference between a short-lived hobby and a long-term career.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
6
Gold Retreats to Range Zone: CPI Data Could Spark Next MoveGold has encountered strong resistance around the 3400 level and pulled back. The price has now re-entered the range zone again. The technical picture shows gold ltaking support at 3340 support, while the 3400 level continues to act as a concrete resistance barrier above. Yesterday's correction saw prices close below 3350, which raises some concern about near-term weakness. Today's CPI data release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. For gold price structure, a pullback would be healthy to establish a lower high pattern as indicated on the chart, particularly if the gold intends to move lower. On the upside, the weekly pivot at 3384 now is critical level to monitor, followed by the 3400 resistance zone. To the downside, we have to watch the 3330-3335 support area as the next key level that could determine golds immediate direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD This XAU/USD trade setup is a sell trade, showing a bearish outlook on gold prices. The entry price is 3350, the stop-loss is set at 3357, and the exit price is 3335. The trade aims for a 15-point profit while risking 7 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:2. Selling at 3350 suggests the trader expects gold prices to move lower, possibly due to a stronger US dollar, firm bond yields, or reduced safe-haven demand in the market. The target at 3335 is placed near a potential support level where price could slow down or reverse, allowing the trader to secure profits. The stop-loss at 3357 is positioned just above the entry to protect against unexpected upward movement. Since the stop is relatively tight, precise timing is essential—preferably after confirmation of resistance holding or a bearish candlestick pattern forming. This setup is suitable for short-term trading, balancing profit potential with controlled risk. Sticking to the plan without emotional adjustments and following disciplined risk management can help achieve consistent success in XAU/USD trades.
TVC:GOLDShort
by smohdyusuf66
Gold Trading Strategy for 12th August 2025📈 Gold Trade Plan – Intraday Levels 💰 Buy Setup ✅ Condition: Enter Buy only if price closes above the High of the 1-Hour Candle and remains above $3362. 🎯 Targets: $3372 🥇 $3382 🥈 $3392 🥉 📌 Example: Suppose a 1-hour candle forms with a high of $3362 and the price closes above this level (e.g., at $3364). This confirms bullish momentum, and you may place a buy order targeting the given levels. 📉 Sell Setup ✅ Condition: Enter Sell only if price closes below the Low of the 15-Minute Candle and stays below $3345. 🎯 Targets: $3335 🥇 $3325 🥈 $3315 🥉 📌 Example: Suppose a 15-minute candle forms with a low of $3345 and the price closes below this level (e.g., at $3343). This confirms bearish momentum, and you may initiate a short trade aiming for the given targets. 📝 Tips for Execution Wait for the candle to close before taking action — avoid premature entries. Keep a Stop Loss slightly below the buy entry candle low (for buys) or above the sell entry candle high (for sells). Avoid placing trades when market movement is sideways or in low volume conditions. ⚠ Disclaimer: This trade setup is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading commodities, currencies, and stocks carries significant risk. You can lose more than your initial investment. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Always do your own analysis before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
"Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?""Gold at the Tipping Point: Will $3,350 Spark the Next Rally?" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with: BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance. Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries. Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels. The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target. Key technical levels: Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area) Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance Market Sentiment: The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone. 📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350 💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 11-12✅ From the current market perspective, the sharp decline in the early session has completely erased the bullish advantage brought by last week’s weekly close. The market is now entering a post-“shakeout” phase, where the next directional choice will be determined. ✅ Support Levels: The 3375–3380 support zone has been breached, putting short-term price action under pressure. The 3350 level is a key support; if it holds, there remains potential for a bullish rebound. However, a decisive break below this level could allow bears to regain control, opening the way for further declines toward 3330, 3315, 3300, and 3270. The move could even extend to 3245 and the 3150–3120 zone, ultimately testing the 3000–2950 range (corresponding to the starting point of the previous rally during the tariff war). ✅ Structural Changes: On the 1-hour chart, the high-volume consolidation zone has been broken to the downside, ending the previous range-bound pattern. The breakdown from the high-level box pattern has formed a short-term topping structure, with significant resistance pressure now overhead. 🔴 Short-term Resistance: 3380-3385 zone remains the primary overhead resistance. 🟢 Short-term Support: 3350–3340 zone remains the key support area
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TechnicalAnalysissss
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 1. Market Context The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions. Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support. Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision. 2. Technical Outlook Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening. No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance. Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones. Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels. 3. Fundamental & Macro View This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI. Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold. However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key. 4. MMFlow Trading Plan BUY SCALP Entry: 3353 – 3351 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 BUY ZONE Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3325 TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 SELL SCALP Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 SELL ZONE Entry: 3425 – 3427 SL: 3430 TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380 5. Risk Management Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering. Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events. Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2