Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday, we placed a sell order at 3655, then sold all our profits at 3646 in the US market. Yesterday's market saw a surge followed by a decline. The market fluctuations we predicted in yesterday's blog post were all correct. Gold is currently fluctuating at a high level in the short term. In this market, there are opportunities for buying and selling if you capitalize on the market's rhythm. Today, I predict gold will continue to fluctuate and correct before the CPI data is released. Capitalizing on this rhythm, both buying and selling are possible. Today, we are focusing on 3620. If this level breaks, we will consider a short position. Otherwise, we are looking for high-level fluctuations. The long-term trend is still a buy. We made it clear yesterday that long-term trends require time and space to develop. Yesterday's small positive close on the daily chart confirms our analysis. The 5-day moving average is beginning to rise. The volatility will not last long, and results will be seen soon. During the Asian session, we're focusing on the strong support band of 3620-3625. This level is also a buying opportunity for a rebound. Resistance is at 3657, yesterday's rebound high. We anticipate the market to fluctuate within this range. A break above 3657 will open up further upside, and a pullback could be considered a buying opportunity. Volatility occurs when a surge reaches resistance, and further gains are more likely after the volatility ends.
Support is 3620-3625, with strong support at 3600. Resistance is at 3647 and 3657, with 3647 being the dividing line between strength and weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
The most important CPI data this week will be released today. The recent surge in gold prices is driven by increased market expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This CPI may be the final reference data the Fed uses.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674
GOLDMINI trade ideas
Analysis of subsequent gold price trendsMarket News:
Spot gold saw slight gains in early Asian trading on Thursday (September 11th), currently trading around $3,545 per ounce. International gold prices continued their strong performance. Amidst softening US inflation data and widespread market bets that the Federal Reserve will initiate an interest rate cut next week, spot gold prices are approaching all-time highs, with related gold stocks and mining company indices simultaneously reaching record closing highs. The current strength in the gold market stems from a combination of weak US economic data, geopolitical risks, and the Federal Reserve's policy shift. While gold prices may fluctuate in the short term due to CPI data, the overall bull market is firmly in place, with a year-to-date gain of over 39% suggesting further upside potential. Gold prices continue to approach record highs, driven by unexpectedly weak inflation data, market confidence in an imminent Fed rate cut, and increased safe-haven demand. Industry analysts predict that if the Federal Reserve embarks on an easing cycle, gold will likely continue to attract investors, potentially reaching $3,900 per ounce by the end of the year.
Technical Analysis:
Gold has entered a period of volatile adjustment. Yesterday, it fell before rising, consolidating in a wide range around 3620/3660. Technically, the weekly and daily charts remain within a buying trend channel. The daily chart retraced its course below 3620 before stabilizing and rising strongly above 3658, closing above 3640. The daily chart closed with another positive candlestick pattern. The moving averages remain upward, with the 5-day MA moving average moving up to 3626. The hourly Bollinger Bands are converging, with the moving averages converging. The RSI indicator is retracing to its mid-50 level. On the four-hour chart, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. Technically, gold trading continues to see wide range-bound adjustments, with buyers buying at low prices and selling high. Fundamentals: Today's US PPI inflation data will be a key focus!
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3627-3630, stop loss at 3618, target at 3660-3680;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3660-3663, stop loss at 3672, target at 3630-3610;
Key points:
First support level: 3626, Second support level: 3612, Third support level: 3600
First resistance level: 3666, Second resistance level: 3680, Third resistance level: 3696
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update
Hello Traders,
Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun.
Key Levels to Watch
3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside.
3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer.
Medium-Term Scenarios
Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario.
A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe.
The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback.
Trading Strategy
Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure.
Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum.
This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone,
The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge.
My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone.
In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region.
What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
XAU/USD(20250911) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The U.S. PPI annual rate for August hit 2.6%, the lowest since June. Traders are increasing bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
3639
Support and resistance levels:
3676
3662
3653
3625
3616
3602
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 3653, consider buying, with the first target at 3662.
If the market breaks below 3639, consider selling, with the first target at 3625.
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move.
Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe.
If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀
🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly.
• H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle.
• H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C.
o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support.
o Potential targets for wave C:
3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only)
• Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659
o SL: 3667
o TP1: 3631
o TP2: 3563
• Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP1: 3669
o TP2: 3749
• Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP1: 3597
o TP2: 3705
📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
Gold Trading Strategy for 11th September 2025Detailed trading plan — GOLD (15-min breakout rules)
Raw rules :
Buy: if a 15-minute candle closes above the high at $3658 → targets $3669, $3680, $3691.
Sell: if a 15-minute candle closes below the low at $3619 → targets $3610, $3600, $3585.
Execution & order types (step-by-step)
A. Buy setup (how to enter)
Wait for a 15-minute candle to close above the candle high at $3658.
Entry options (choose one):
Buy-stop: place a buy-stop at $3659 (one tick/point above the trigger) so the market enters if price continues up.
Initial stop-loss: place stop below the low of the breakout 15-min candle (or a small buffer below that low to avoid noise). If you prefer a fixed buffer, use e.g. $0.50–$2.00 below that low depending on volatility.
B. Sell setup (how to enter)
Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below the low at $3619.
Entry options:
Sell-stop at $3618 (one tick below trigger), or market sell after the 15-min close.
Initial stop-loss: place stop above the high of the breakout 15-min candle (or a small buffer above).
DISCLAIMER (required)
This is educational / informational only — not financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. You alone are responsible for any trades you place. Always test strategies in a demo environment, use appropriate position sizing, and consult a licensed financial advisor if you need personalized advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 10-11✅ Daily Chart: The overall trend remains upward. After a continuous rally, gold hit a high near 3675 and pulled back. MA5 and MA10 are still trending upward, while MA20 around 3640 provides key support. The daily trend remains bullish but has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with resistance at 3675–3680 and support at 3615–3640.
✅ 4-Hour Chart: After forming a short-term top, gold pulled back with consecutive bearish candles and is now consolidating around 3640. MA5 and MA10 have flattened, while MA20 at 3629 acts as the key dividing line between bulls and bears. The 4-hour trend has shifted to weak consolidation. If 3629–3630 is broken, the price may further test 3610–3595.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: Short-term rebounds are capped near 3650–3655, with prices fluctuating around MA5 and MA10, showing no clear direction. If the price fails to break above 3655, the short-term outlook remains range-bound to the downside.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3650–3655 / 3675–3680
🟢 Support Levels: 3630–3635 / 3610–3595
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔹 In the short term, focus on selling the rebounds. Consider short entries near 3650–3655, targeting 3630–3610, with a stop-loss above 3665.
🔹 If the price pulls back to 3630–3637 and holds, consider long entries at lower levels, targeting 3640–3650.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 3643, 3635, 3642, and 3651. Yesterday's strategy was to maintain a bullish outlook. Gold surged and then retreated, with the daily chart closing at a tombstone, signaling new short-term resistance. Many investors believe this is a top, but the current top still needs to be confirmed. The broader trend indicators and pattern are still bullish. On the daily chart, a break below 3600 today will not change the strength of the daily chart and the candlestick pattern. Therefore, it's too early to call a top. This weekly rally is a weekly one, and a top requires time and space to be established. Today, we'll focus on a correction and volatility. Don't insist on buying today, but consider selling opportunities. After all, a correction isn't a one-sided rally, and there's plenty of room for subsequent fluctuations.
The above analysis chart represents our estimated correction. Focus on 3649 in the Asian session. If it fails to break above, we'll look for strong support below and then rally again. If the market defies our guidance and rises directly, we can consider buying at this point. However, yesterday's high of 3674 was also a selling zone. Today, we need to observe the market and adjust our strategy accordingly. Regardless of fluctuations, the overall trend remains bullish. Currently, there's no sign of a break below major support. The first major support is at 3600. We'll focus on its gains and losses today.
Minor support lies at 3620 and 3630, while resistance lies at 3649 and 3658. The dividing line between strength and weakness lies at 3649.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the EIA crude oil inventory data. The CPI will be released tomorrow, and this week's major move will also be tomorrow.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold: Sell near 3649, target 3620-3600
Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668
Global central banks are buying gold! Gold prices are soaring!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 9), spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels, currently trading around $3,636 per ounce. London gold prices, like a runaway force, broke through the $3,600 per ounce mark and ultimately reached a new all-time high of $3,647. This was primarily due to the US non-farm payroll data released last week, which fell far short of expectations, reinforcing the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week, with a 10% chance of a 50 basis point reduction. In addition to monetary policy expectations, continued gold purchases by global central banks have provided solid support for the international gold market. Meanwhile, global political dynamics are also fueling gold's upward trend. Any rapid rise in asset prices is accompanied by increased volatility. When positive news is fully digested by the market, be wary of the possibility of a volatile pullback triggered by profit-taking by long positions. Investors await Wednesday's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Thursday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy path. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release revised non-farm payroll figures this trading day, which investors should pay close attention to. Furthermore, investors should monitor news related to the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical situation.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's trend-buying structure remains intact, reaching a new all-time high of 3646. The daily chart is currently moving upwards along the 5-day moving average, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages opening at 3524 and 3570, respectively. The RSI indicator has reached the overbought zone at the high 80s, prompting caution for a pullback and correction. The recent consecutive gains require some technical adjustments, so we should remain cautious about overly bullish gold prices and remain wary of potential pullbacks. Looking at the 4-hour gold chart, short-term support is currently focused on the 3610 level, with particular attention focused on the 3575-83 support level. This level also serves as a strong short-term buying zone. Continued buying at this level within the day maintains a bullish outlook. As long as the daily chart does not break below this level, buying at lower prices on a pullback is the primary strategy. The 4-hour moving average remains upward, with prices within an ascending channel and within the upper Bollinger Band. The RSI is at a high of 80. Gold's technical outlook remains bullish, and the key trading strategy remains to buy on dips (short-term buying) and sell on highs (swing trading). Be wary of potential pullbacks after overbought conditions.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3610-3613, stop loss at 3600, target at 3640-3660;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3667-3670, stop loss at 3679, target at 3620-3600;
Key points:
First support level: 3620, second support level: 3613, third support level: 3600
First resistance level: 3640, second resistance level: 3655, third resistance level: 3678
XAU/USD(20250909) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
New York Fed Survey: Consumers expect unemployment and job losses to rise, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates next week.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3620
Support and Resistance Levels:
3686
3661
3645
3595
3579
3554
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 3545, consider buying, with the first target at 3661.
If the market breaks below 3620, consider selling, with the first target at 3595.
Gold's historic rally continues!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Monday (September 8), spot gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range, currently trading around $3,597/oz. Influenced by exceptionally weak US non-farm payroll data, spot gold prices surged, reaching $3,600/oz in London, a record high. The market now believes there is approximately a 10% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Investors should be wary of the risk of a significant rate cut at this meeting. From a broader perspective, the fundamentals of international gold are exceptionally strong. Non-yielding gold has stood out in an environment of low interest rates and high uncertainty. This rally is not a flash in the pan; it is built on a solid foundation of multiple factors, including a weak US dollar and expectations of a global economic slowdown. Another major pillar of gold's gains is continued central bank buying. In addition to domestic US economic factors, international geopolitical turmoil has also provided strong support for gold. Gold traders are focused on this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. If progress is made in combating inflation, this will strengthen the case for a rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting. Market sentiment for rate cuts has reached its limit. A slight rise in the CPI may lead to temporary caution in international gold prices, but the overall bull market remains intact.
Technical Analysis:
Non-farm payroll data fueled gold buying, extending the trend structure and reaching a new all-time high. Spot gold prices hit another all-time high, posting their strongest single-week gain. Weak US non-farm payroll data further heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut, and amidst growing global economic uncertainty, gold's strong rally has gained new momentum. The weekly chart showed a strong bullish trend. After seven consecutive daily gains, the eighth candlestick formed a small bearish retracing line, retracing to the 3516 level. After a correction, the 5-day moving average regained support. Following Friday's positive non-farm payroll data, gold once again broke through its all-time high, reaching the 3600 mark, driven by the convergence of technical and fundamental factors. The daily candlestick structure remains a buy signal! Price is trading within the upper Bollinger Band, with the RSI nearing the 80-day mark. The latest 10/7-day moving averages are moving upward to 3498/35. The daily and weekly trends remain bullish, but the RSI is approaching overbought territory, prompting caution for potential corrections. On the four-hour chart, price is trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages remaining upward, maintaining its upward trend. The trading strategy for gold at the start of the week continues to be primarily buy-on-low.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3572-3575, stop loss at 3564, target at 3600-3620;
Short-term gold sell at 3636-3639, stop loss at 3648, target at 3590-3570;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3572, Second Support Level: 3555, Third Support Level: 3538
First Resistance Level: 3600, Second Resistance Level: 3616, Third Resistance Level: 3636
Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620Gold Market Analysis:
Friday's gold buying was strong again, driven by two factors: a pre-existing buying trend, and the disappointing non-farm payroll data, which bolstered gold's safe-haven appeal. We also placed buy orders at 3544. Before the non-farm payroll report, the price broke through 3561 again, and all of our buy orders were profitable. The weekly chart ultimately closed with a large, clear bullish candlestick. The buying trend is undeniable. I've always adhered to the principle of not speculating on tops or trends; we aim to follow them, not fight them. Currently, both indicators and patterns clearly indicate a buying trend. This week, we'll focus on the gains and losses of 3523 on the weekly chart. Unless it breaks, it's difficult to call a top, nor will it disrupt the buying pattern. Let's look for buying opportunities in the Asian session. First, focus on support at 3578-3572. 3578 represents the previous top of the pattern and also serves as a minor short-term support level. The low point of Friday's correction from the high was 3572, indicating this level has become a new minor support level. Consider buying at this level in the Asian session. Slightly stronger support is the 1H support at 3562, also the daily moving average. Buying here is certain to trigger another rebound. Friday's gains were quite significant, and with the 3600 mark approaching, we predict either a pullback and subsequent rally, or a direct break below 3600. A direct decline is unlikely. For the first option, wait for a buying opportunity; for the second option, consider buying directly.
Support is 3578-3572, strong support is 3562, resistance is 3500, and the strength-weakness dividing line is 3562.
Fundamental Analysis:
Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs mean a weakening economy, which in turn leads to a rise in gold prices. This week, we'll keep an eye on the CPI.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620
Will gold prices hit new highs today?Will gold prices hit new highs today?
Many people took advantage of yesterday's positive news to sell at high prices, causing gold prices to fall sharply. However, gold prices have risen again today.
Today's rise in gold prices is due to escalating geopolitical tensions.
After the Ukrainian Air Force warned that a Russian drone had entered the airspace of NATO member Poland, Polish and allied fighter jets were scrambled to secure the airspace.
This geopolitical tension has intensified market demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
1: Short-term support: $3,600-3,620.
If broken, this week's low near $3,580 could be tested.
2: Short-term resistance: All-time highs of $3,660-3,675.
If broken, the next target is $3,700 or even $3,750.
As shown in Figure 2h:
1: A large ascending triangle pattern has formed. If gold breaks through the upper boundary, the target price is expected to be $3,750.
2: After hitting a record high, gold prices face a significant short-term technical correction risk.
The market may need a breather.
3: The upcoming US PPI data will be a key driver.
If the data exceeds expectations, it could weaken expectations of a rate cut, provide support for the US dollar, and trigger a gold price correction.
Conversely, weak data could reinforce rate cut expectations, pushing gold prices to test or even break through the all-time high of $3,675.
4: Any further geopolitical developments will continue to influence market risk aversion, triggering gold price volatility.
My trading strategy:
Gold prices are unlikely to break new highs today. I believe the market needs some time to breathe and adjust, but we must acknowledge that gold bulls are currently in a frenzy.
SELL: 3360-3370
SL: 3380
TP: 3350-3340
BUY: 3630-3640-3645
SL: 3625
TP: 3660-3670
I believe the market will fluctuate between 3625 and 3670 today. For intraday trading within this range, you can employ a range-bound strategy: buy high, sell low, buy low, sell high.
Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices remain strong today.
Although gold prices fell sharply yesterday due to profit-taking, they have risen again today.
The impact of news and sentiment has largely reversed.
The market has returned to volatility, and gold prices are currently holding generally high around 3650 points.
I believe gold is unlikely to break new highs today.
The market needs a buffer zone for adjustment.
Sideways trading at high levels is the most likely pattern for gold prices going forward.
Based on this:
For Wednesday's strategy, I believe we can try a short position.
Sell: 3360-3370
Stop loss: 3380
Target: 3350-
This strategy is for intraday reference only.
With the revision of non-farm payroll data, tomorrow's CPI data will be a key focus.
Gold prices are forming a converging ascending triangle pattern, and the possibility of an upside breakout remains high.
This week, there's a strong chance that gold prices will break through the 3700-3750 range.
Therefore, buying low remains the prevailing strategy.
For this reason, it's crucial to clearly identify all key support levels.
Currently, key support levels for gold are: $3640, $3625, $3600, $3580, and $3560.
We can identify a high-probability range for gold price fluctuations: $3330-3360.
Key support levels to watch: $3625-3630.
I would most likely enter a position in this range.
However, if a pullback breaks through this range, gold prices could fall to $3580-3560.
Therefore, we should closely monitor this range when entering a position.
XAUUSD – PPI Ahead: Key Liquidity Levels & Trading PlanMarket View:
After yesterday’s sharp drop where sellers dominated the liquidity zone, gold (XAUUSD) is now recovering from 362x → 364x during the Asian session. In the short term, price may range between 362x–365x in Asia/Europe before going sideways to await the PPI release in the US session.
Today’s PPI is expected at 0.3% vs 0.9% previous, signalling cooling inflation. However, actual data could come in higher – often creating a “news trap”. From a technical view, gold may need to retest 360x liquidity before resuming its uptrend ahead of CPI & the upcoming FED meeting.
👉 In short: Structure stays bullish, but short-term liquidity sweeps are likely before continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3647 – 3654 – 3665 – 3674 – 3704
Support: 3635 – 3613 – 3600 – 3586
Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY Zone: 3600 – 3598
SL: 3592 (or tighter at 3580)
TP: 3605 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+
🔴 SELL Zone: 3703 – 3705
SL: 3710
TP: 3698 → 3694 → 3690 → 3680 → 3670 → 3660+
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in an uptrend, but may retest 360x liquidity before heading higher.
✅ PPI today & CPI tomorrow could trigger traps – caution is advised.
👉 Watch the key levels and follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates & BIGWIN setups!
Analysis of subsequent gold price trends!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Wednesday (September 10), London gold prices fluctuated downward, currently trading around $3,621 per ounce. After hitting a record high of $3,674, the spot price plummeted nearly $50, ultimately ending the day in the red. International gold prices have recently seen a sharp rise, with some investors taking profits ahead of the release of key US inflation data, triggering a pullback from their highs. Although the revised employment data released by the US Department of Labor fell short of market expectations, gold buyers took advantage of the opportunity to take profits. The rebound of the US dollar index from a seven-week low and US Treasury yields from a near five-month low also made gold buyers cautious. Furthermore, the continued rise of US stocks to new record highs has slightly weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Investors are currently awaiting US producer price data (PPI) to be released on Wednesday and consumer price data (CPI) to be released on Thursday, hoping for clues on further interest rate cuts before next week's Federal Reserve meeting. These data are expected to provide new guidance for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with an inverted hammer candlestick pattern on the daily chart. After hitting a record high of 3674 following yesterday's US market data, the price, as expected, capitalized on the data to drive selling, resulting in the largest single-day correction since August 20th. The daily chart currently maintains an ascending channel buying trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain open and rising to 3550/3590, while the New York closing price remains above the 5-day moving average of 3605. After the RSI indicator on the four-hour chart reached overbought levels above 80, gold prices followed the expected surge and then retreat to a correction, falling back to 3623 in late trading. However, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. The main strategy for gold trading today is to see wide range fluctuations, with selling high and buying low as a strategy. The initial intraday range is 3610/3660. Overall, gold is expected to experience repeated high-level fluctuations in the short term, and any strong rebound may not be sustainable. If this week's correction breaks below the strong support of $3,600 and further declines, we will need to adjust our strategy!
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3,603-3,606, stop loss at 3,595, target at 3,640-3,660;
Short-term gold sell at 3,650-3,653, stop loss at 3,662, target at 3,620-3,600;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3,612, Second Support Level: 3,603, Third Support Level: 3,590
First Resistance Level: 3,650, Second Resistance Level: 3,663, Third Resistance Level: 3,676
Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Update | 15m Outlook🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Structure
On the 15-minute timeframe (M15) , price just formed a Break of Structure (BoS) above the previous accumulation zone → confirming temporary control by the Buy side.
However, the Bearish Order Block (H1 Zone) around 3655 is being tested, marking a key resistance area.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the OB zone 3644 – 3655 , buying pressure may continue to push the ship toward the Weak High 3674 .
Further ahead, the next destination is Storm Breaker Peak (3701 – 3708) – where strong selling reactions are expected.
📉 Captain’s Chart – Bearish Scenario
After sweeping liquidity and touching the Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) , Gold may reverse lower.
Key level to monitor: OB 3644 . If this area breaks, the market could open a deeper bearish leg.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Key Levels
Golden Harbor (Support) : 3644 – 3655 (OB retest zone)
Target (Bullish) : 3674 → 3701 – 3708
Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) : 3701 – 3708
Invalidation : Break below 3644 opens a new bearish journey
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails have just caught new wind after a BoS , showing that the captain and crew still hold a short-term advantage. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3644 – 3655) is the key dock to sustain the bullish trend. If Gold clears the Weak High 3674 , the ship may head straight to Storm Breaker 🌊 (3701 – 3708) , where reversal waves are likely to rise. While the short-term tide remains bullish, Storm Breaker still hides major risks – sailors must sail with strict risk management discipline.”