XAU/USDThis XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, indicating a bullish outlook on gold. The entry price is 3352, the stop-loss is set at 3344, and the exit price is 3375. The trade targets a 23-point profit, while the risk is limited to 8 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of nearly 1:3.
Buying at 3352 suggests that the trader expects gold to rise, possibly due to weaker US dollar movement, lower bond yields, or increased safe-haven demand in global markets. The exit price at 3375 is chosen as the profit level, likely near a resistance area where the price may face selling pressure.
The stop-loss at 3344 is placed to protect against any downside move if the trade does not go as expected. Because the stop-loss range is narrow, precise timing and close monitoring of the trade are necessary to avoid being stopped out by short-term market volatility.
With disciplined risk management and adherence to the plan, this setup provides a good opportunity to capture a short-term bullish move. Avoiding emotional decisions and following the strategy strictly increases the chances of consistent trading success in XAU/USD.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
How to Use The Stochastic RSI Indicatorthe stochastic rsi is a momentum oscillator that applies the stochastic formula to the relative strength index (rsi) values, rather than price. this creates an indicator that is more sensitive to market movements, helping traders identify potential overbought and oversold zones faster than traditional indicators.
🔍 how it works
stochastic rsi generates values between 0 and 100 . it is calculated using the rsi value instead of price and then applying the stochastic oscillator formula. this means you're looking at the momentum of momentum!
📊 key levels to watch
* above 80 = overbought 🚨
* below 20 = oversold 💡
these levels suggest potential reversals, but not guarantees. combining them with price action or trend direction increases effectiveness.
⚙️ how traders use it
* entry signals: look for the indicator crossing above 0.2 (bullish) or below 0.8 (bearish)
* exit signals: when stochastic rsi returns from extreme levels
* divergence: just like rsi, divergence between stochastic rsi and price can hint at trend reversals
🛠️ tips for better results
* use with other indicators like moving averages, macd, or trendlines
* adjust the rsi and stochastic settings to fit your trading style
* avoid using it alone in sideways markets — it may give too many false signals
📌 final thoughts
stochastic rsi is a powerful tool when used correctly. it helps traders get early signals and adds depth to momentum analysis. always backtest and combine with proper risk management!
Disclaimer :
This idea post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
GOLD 1H Analysis – Squeeze Before the Move!Price is coiling inside a tight consolidation box right at the upper boundary of an ascending channel. This suggests a breakout is near – but which way?
🔍 Key Observations:
Price respecting the upper trendline
Sideways compression with lower highs and flat resistance
Support zone: 3,345 – 3,343
Below that, deeper targets open:
➤ 3,324
➤ 3,301
➤ 3,298
⚠️ Bearish Breakdown Alert:
A fall below 3,343 may trigger a sharp sell-off toward lower channel support.
🛡 Invalidation:
Sustained breakout above 3,362 will invalidate bearish bias and may lead to new highs.
📌 Be patient, the move is loading…
Breakout = Opportunity. Breakdown = Opportunity. Let price show the way.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #ChartPatterns #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyMoves
maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, August 3, 2025📊
🔍 Momentum Analysis:
D1 Timeframe: Momentum continues to rise strongly. It's expected that the price will keep rising for at least two more trading days, pushing the momentum indicator into the overbought territory, reinforcing the current bullish trend.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, indicating a possible corrective pullback during Monday’s trading session.
H1 Timeframe: Momentum is strongly bullish, especially evident from the powerful upward move on Friday. Price may continue rising at the open of the Asian session, potentially creating a Gap. However, caution is advised, as this Gap could signal exhaustion.
📌 Wave Pattern Analysis:
Given Friday's strong price action, the primary scenario currently favors wave 3 within the 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black). However, we cannot entirely eliminate the possibility that this is wave C within an ABC corrective structure (black).
Presently, the price is forming a smaller 5-wave bullish structure (blue), likely in the final wave 5. Attention should be paid to two critical target zones:
🎯 Blue Wave 5 Targets:
• Target 1: 3368
• Target 2: 3385
⚠️ Next Scenario:
Upon completing the blue 5-wave structure, a corrective move downward will occur.
• If the correction does not break below 3315, the larger 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black) is confirmed, and the price will continue upward to complete black wave 5.
• If the correction breaks below 3315, the structure shifts to an ABC corrective pattern (black), increasing the likelihood of a deeper decline to complete the larger corrective wave C (red).
🧩 Combining Momentum & Wave Analysis:
• D1 momentum strongly supports the continuation of the bullish trend.
• H4 momentum forecasts a short-term bearish correction on Monday, aligning with the formation of wave 4 correction.
• H1 momentum suggests the possibility of a Gap at Monday's Asian session open, marking the beginning of a corrective pullback as momentum reverses.
🎯 Short-term Trading Plan:
We will trade the current blue wave 5 with the following limit order plan:
✅ Sell Limit Zone: 3385 – 3387
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): 3399
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): 3368
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): 3355
📌 Note:
The detailed trading plan for capturing the larger wave 4 correction (black) will be updated once sufficient evidence confirms the completion of the blue wave 5.
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Gold regains shine after Fed shiftHey traders! Let’s break down what’s been happening with XAUUSD recently.
Last week, gold made a stunning comeback — tumbling first, then surging nearly 800 pips within just a few sessions. This rapid shift was fueled by dovish signals from the Fed and soft US jobs data, which sparked growing expectations of early monetary easing.
At the same time, a global financial survey shows analyst sentiment toward gold at its highest in months. With ongoing global uncertainty, gold is once again in the spotlight as a go-to safe haven.
Despite the rally, volatility remains elevated. The next move will likely depend on upcoming economic data and fresh comments from Fed officials. Meanwhile, holiday trading could mean slower market activity in the short term.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its previous downtrend channel and is moving rapidly. According to Dow Theory, a short pullback may occur — but if price holds above key support, the bullish wave could extend toward the $3,416 level, marked by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
This breakout might just be the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of sideways action.
What’s your take — is gold gearing up for something bigger?
XAUUSD - Intraday Eyes Short 📌 XAUUSD 45-min — Sell Signal at Supply After Aggressive Impulse Rally
Technical Structure Notes (45m):
🔺 A strong impulsive leg lifted price from sub-3320 zones toward 3360 — completing a breakout from accumulation.
🔴 SELL Signal triggered near prior rejection zone after signs of exhaustion.
🔻 Price is currently reacting to short-term supply, with the red moving average acting as a dynamic decision point.
🟫 Supply zone aligns with previous resistance, suggesting potential rejection unless price reclaims 3362.
📍 If price fails to hold above 3353, a pullback toward 3315–3320 becomes technically plausible.
Disclaimer: This chart is shared strictly for educational purposes and is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk before taking any trading decisions.
Gold Trading Strategy for 04th August 2025Gold Trading Strategy ($XAU/USD)
Buy Setup:
Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3386
Targets:
$3397
$3408
$3419
Stop Loss: Below the low of the breakout candle (as per your risk management)
Sell Setup:
Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3322
Targets:
$3310
$3298
$3285
Stop Loss: Above the high of the breakdown candle (as per your risk management)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please conduct your own research and consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. You are solely responsible for your own trades and risk management.
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs USD) – 4H Chart AnalysisGold is currently testing a critical confluence zone where the ascending support trendline (green) meets a descending resistance trendline (red). Price recently bounced from a lower support area and is now approaching this key intersection, hinting at a potential breakout or strong rejection.
Key Technicals:
EMA 20 (green): $3,316
DEMA 50 (red): $3,313
Current Price: ~$3,355
Resistance Level: ~$3,363
Support Trendline: Upholding bullish structure since late May
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A confirmed breakout above the red trendline could signal momentum toward $3,400+.
Bearish Case: Rejection from the resistance confluence may drag price back to the $3,300 or even $3,250 region.
📊 Watch for volume confirmation and price action around the trendline intersection for the next directional clue.
Gold analysis and trading strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis
Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data came in significantly below expectations, with new job additions falling far short of market forecasts. This sparked a sharp rise in expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. As a result, the U.S. dollar index declined and gold prices surged violently, rallying from the 3281 level to a high of 3362 — a single-day gain of over $85, completely erasing the week's prior losses and reestablishing a strong bullish structure.
✅ Technical Analysis
📊 Weekly Chart
Gold posted a strong bullish weekly candlestick, reversing the previous consolidation trend and signaling a structural shift in market sentiment. Bulls have regained full control. The key resistance zone lies between 3380–3400; if price breaks and holds above this level, the next upside target will be around 3430.
📊 Daily Chart
Gold stabilized at the 3281 low and surged on Friday evening following the NFP surprise, closing near the day’s high — a sign of aggressive buying. The short-term trend has clearly reversed to the upside, and any pullback is now considered a buying opportunity. The key support has moved up to around 3335, serving as a critical pivot zone. Further support is seen near 3316, a previous swing low.
📊 Hourly Chart
Price is currently trading above short-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The key level for a potential bullish continuation is around 3355, which represents a recent support-turned-resistance area. If price pulls back to this level and holds, or breaks above it directly, it will confirm bullish strength. If gold opens with a gap higher toward 3385, beware of potential short-term volatility due to a liquidity gap. Chasing highs in such scenarios requires caution.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3375–3380 / 3400–3430
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3340 / 3330–3335 / 3316
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔺 Primary Strategy – Buy on Dips:
🔰Consider long entries around 3340–3335, with a stop-loss below 3328.
🔰If the market remains strong, a direct long near 3355 is viable, targeting 3375 and above.
🔰A deeper pullback to 3330–3335 is a favorable entry zone for mid-term longs.
🔻 Secondary Strategy – Sell on Rebounds (Short-Term Only):
🔰If gold opens Monday with a sharp spike to around 3385 but fails to break higher, a light short position may be considered, targeting a quick $10–$15 pullback.
🔰If 3385 is broken and held, abandon short setups and revert to a bullish view.
✅ Overall Outlook
Gold has completed a technical reversal following the bullish fundamental catalyst from the NFP data. The trend has shifted from bearish to bullish, and the market has clearly moved into a higher price range. The core trading logic should remain “buy on dips”, and countertrend trades should be approached with caution. Look for long opportunities near key support levels, and consider short positions only at major resistance levels and for quick intraday trades. A confirmed breakout above 3375 will likely open the door to 3400–3430 in the near term
Gold update: One chance gone, another setup loading?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
XAUUSD – Gold accelerates: Is the 3,600 target within reach?Gold has made an impressive rally of nearly 720 pips, surging from the recent bottom near 3,260 up to 3,365, following a deeply disappointing U.S. jobs report. Non-Farm Payrolls came in at just 106K, far below expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% — a clear sign that the U.S. economy is slowing down. In this context, the expectation that the Fed will pause rate hikes has become more solid, paving the way for gold to break higher.
Technical analysis on the D1 timeframe shows that XAUUSD remains in a well-established ascending channel that has persisted since late 2024. The recent bounce from the 3,260 support zone was strong, with yesterday's bullish candle confirming that buyers are regaining control.
As long as price holds above the 3,260 support area, the next target lies at the psychological resistance around 3,500, and beyond that — the ambitious 3,600 mark.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on(03/08/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Sell Limited - (3372-3377)
If price stay below 3385, then next target 3355,3340 and above that 3420
Plan;If price break 3372-3377 area,and stay below 3368,we will place sell order in gold with target of 3355,3340 and 3320 & stop loss should be placed at 3385
Weekly Analysis for XAUUSD (Gold Spot) on the 4H chartKey Resistance Levels (Upside Watch):
Major Supply & FVG Zone: 3,402.54 – 3,419.46
* This is a high-probability reversal zone, formed by:
- 0.786 & 0.886 Fibonacci Retracement
- Fair Value Gap (FVG)
- Previous Supply Zone
- Look for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns in this zone (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bars).
Strong Overhead Resistances:
* 3,438.74 - 3,451.95
Only if price breaks and sustains above the FVG zone, these levels may come into play.
Support Levels (Downside Watch):
Intraday Pivot Zone:
3,354.15 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement
Acting as a current intraday support
Swing Support / Targets:
TGT1: 3,268.50 – Horizontal structure support
TGT2: 3,244.20 – Previous demand zone & swing low
Thanks
Regards
Bull Man
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
Traders Union
Time Price Research
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
Gold Market Analysis-Month-August 2025Gold Market Analysis-Month-August 2025
Gold has witnessed a remarkable rally, climbing from $1,800 to $3,500 without any significant corrections. This strong upward momentum has dominated the market in recent months. However, July’s monthly chart closed negatively, forming a shooting star candlestick pattern, a signal that often reflects market exhaustion or the potential for a short-term reversal.
For August, market direction will depend on a break of the previous month’s range. A break above $3,450 would confirm continued bullish momentum, whereas a fall below $3,247 would indicate a bearish phase.
In the long term, gold will only lose its upward momentum if it drops below $2,980. Such a decline is likely only if global economic conditions deteriorate, with recessions or significant slowdowns in most developed nations and the top 20 developing economies. In that scenario, reduced purchasing power would dampen gold demand, leading to a sustained downward pressure on prices.
Gold will continue to rise next week✅ Fundamental Analysis
Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data came in significantly below expectations, with new job additions falling far short of market forecasts. This sparked a sharp rise in expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. As a result, the U.S. dollar index declined and gold prices surged violently, rallying from the 3281 level to a high of 3362 — a single-day gain of over $85, completely erasing the week's prior losses and reestablishing a strong bullish structure.
✅ Technical Analysis
📊 Weekly Chart
Gold posted a strong bullish weekly candlestick, reversing the previous consolidation trend and signaling a structural shift in market sentiment. Bulls have regained full control. The key resistance zone lies between 3380–3400; if price breaks and holds above this level, the next upside target will be around 3430.
📊 Daily Chart
Gold stabilized at the 3281 low and surged on Friday evening following the NFP surprise, closing near the day’s high — a sign of aggressive buying. The short-term trend has clearly reversed to the upside, and any pullback is now considered a buying opportunity. The key support has moved up to around 3335, serving as a critical pivot zone. Further support is seen near 3316, a previous swing low.
📊 Hourly Chart
Price is currently trading above short-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The key level for a potential bullish continuation is around 3355, which represents a recent support-turned-resistance area. If price pulls back to this level and holds, or breaks above it directly, it will confirm bullish strength. If gold opens with a gap higher toward 3385, beware of potential short-term volatility due to a liquidity gap. Chasing highs in such scenarios requires caution.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3375–3380 / 3400–3430
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3340 / 3330–3335 / 3316
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔺 Primary Strategy – Buy on Dips:
🔰Consider long entries around 3340–3335, with a stop-loss below 3328.
🔰If the market remains strong, a direct long near 3355 is viable, targeting 3375 and above.
🔰A deeper pullback to 3330–3335 is a favorable entry zone for mid-term longs.
🔻 Secondary Strategy – Sell on Rebounds (Short-Term Only):
🔰If gold opens Monday with a sharp spike to around 3385 but fails to break higher, a light short position may be considered, targeting a quick $10–$15 pullback.
🔰If 3385 is broken and held, abandon short setups and revert to a bullish view.
✅ Overall Outlook
Gold has completed a technical reversal following the bullish fundamental catalyst from the NFP data. The trend has shifted from bearish to bullish, and the market has clearly moved into a higher price range. The core trading logic should remain “buy on dips”, and countertrend trades should be approached with caution. Look for long opportunities near key support levels, and consider short positions only at major resistance levels and for quick intraday trades. A confirmed breakout above 3375 will likely open the door to 3400–3430 in the near term
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave
Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday)
📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control
⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum
🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer
📰 Fundamental Focus:
Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO.
📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274
❌ Stop Loss: 3270
🎯 Take Profits:
3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350
⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341
❌ Stop Loss: 3345
🎯 Take Profits:
3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
📌 Key Notes:
Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart.
If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.
Gold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing StopGold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing Stop
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold finally rallied this weekend.
Despite recent heavy losses for long positions, the past two days have been encouraging.
We ultimately managed to successfully buy the dip in the 3280-3300 range and recover all our losses.
Gold prices continue to rise, and everyone is asking if it's time to sell.
Now is the critical time to exit.
We must acknowledge one fact:
Gold currently presents a huge opportunity.
Of course, the risks are also increasing.
At times like these, I always emphasize that the best approach is to set a 10-point trailing stop.
Even if gold prices soar, we can move with them.
This non-farm payroll data was a huge disappointment.
It was a truly positive surprise for gold.
The market expected 110,000 new jobs, but the result was a disappointing 73,000, a decrease of half from the previous month.
The market went into a tizzy after the outperformance. But even more shocking news is yet to come: Non-farm payrolls for May and June were revised downward by a combined 258,000.
This means the June gain was revised downward from 140,000 to 14,000.
The May gain was abruptly revised downward from 140,000 to 19,000.
The strong data of the past two months was completely false.
Market followers have become the "clowns" of the Fed and Trump.
Now you understand why everyone praised Powell's hawkish speech two days ago.
Because Powell said: "Only if there is a severe decline in employment will we consider cutting interest rates."
Just this Wednesday, some good non-farm payroll data was released.
This undoubtedly gave the market a false impression.
Everyone believed that a rate cut was impossible, and the probability of a September cut had dropped to 40%.
However, today's poor non-farm payroll data, combined with revisions to May and June data, revealed the truth.
The job market has been dismal over the past quarter.
The market reacted quickly, and gold prices soared on this sentiment.
My advice is to buy gold at a low price and hold on.
For investors who have successfully bought in the 3280-3300 level in recent days, I recommend setting a 10-15 pip trailing stop-loss.
Gold prices are likely to continue their upward trend next Monday.
Our next target is above 3380-3400 points.
Gold Breakout Watch: Will XAUUSD Surge to $3760?Gold (XAUUSD) has spent the last few weeks coiling within a tight consolidation range, but the wait may soon be over. The daily chart shows a textbook rectangle formation, a powerful pattern that often precedes significant trend continuation. With prices currently pushing toward the upper resistance of this range, a bullish breakout could be imminent—and potentially explosive.
Let’s dive deep into the technical setup, the potential breakout targets, and what levels traders should be watching right now.
📉 The Pattern: Channel Consolidation
Since late May 2025, gold has been trapped in a sideways structure defined by:
Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Support Zone: $3,270 – $3,290
This structure has formed after a massive prior rally earlier in the year, making it a classic bullish continuation pattern.
Each pullback into support has been met with buying, while resistance has repeatedly held—but now momentum is building.
Technically, this consolidation has validated itself with multiple swing points at both the upper and lower boundaries. The pattern is clean, well-respected, and supported by repeated reactions at both support and resistance levels. If the price breaks and sustains above the $3,620 resistance area, the pattern will be considered complete, signaling continuation of the prior bullish trend. While volume analysis isn't included in the chart, typically such breakouts are supported by increased participation, which can offer added confirmation.
If a breakout occurs, traders can target multiple price levels based on the height of the rectangle added to the breakout point. The first logical target would be around $3,616, followed by a swing-based target at $3,762. These levels are based on technical projection methods using the measured move technique. Importantly, price has already reached a reversal confirmation target around $3,430, which further validates bullish strength.
However, no setup is complete without acknowledging the risks. If gold fails to sustain the recent rally and instead breaks below $3,280 support, the current setup would be invalidated. This would shift the outlook to bearish and could push prices toward $3,200, $3,120, and possibly even lower toward the psychological support at $3,000.
From a trading perspective, the ideal bullish entry would be on a daily candle close above $3,620 or on a retest of the breakout zone with strong buying confirmation. A protective stop loss can be placed below the breakout candle or around the $3,550 area. Initial targets remain $3,616 and $3,762. In the bearish case, a breakdown below $3,280 would be a cue for shorting opportunities with stops above $3,300 and downside targets at $3,200 and $3,120.
In summary, gold is at a critical point on the chart. The current structure suggests a potential breakout is coming, and traders should be ready to act based on confirmed moves beyond key levels. Whether this pattern leads to a strong bullish continuation or a failed setup, the movement is expected to be sharp and potentially rewarding. This is a high-probability setup worth watching closely in the coming days.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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