Trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy | November 6-7✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold experienced a significant pullback after touching 4019 and is currently in a consolidation phase following a short-term rebound failure. The candlesticks have fallen back below the short-term moving averages, while the MACD continues to weaken.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 have flattened and are slightly turning downward → indicating weakening bullish momentum. MA20 continues to suppress the price, showing clear overhead pressure. Price has returned below the short-term MA cluster, reflecting weakening mid-term upside momentum and fading rebound strength.
🔸 Bollinger Bands Structure:
The middle band (3978–3980) has become a key short-term support. The upper band is narrowing downward, suggesting reduced volatility and short-term consolidation. Candlesticks failed to hold above the middle band, indicating insufficient rebound strength and a corrective sideways structure.
✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline, but the strength remains limited and failed to stand above MA20, leaving the price in a weak rebound pattern.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 are flattening and intertwining, while MA20 applies downward pressure. The moving average convergence signals a consolidation phase.
🔸 Bollinger Bands:
The middle band (3994) serves as short-term resistance, while the lower band (3967) continues to rise, indicating supportive pressure at the bottom. After the bearish momentum was released, a minor technical rebound is reasonable, but the upside remains limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3994–3996 / 4003–4005 / 4015
🟢 Support Levels: 3978–3980 / 3966–3968 / 3942
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Rebound Short Setup
If gold rebounds to:
3994–3996 or 4003–4005 and faces rejection → consider light short positions
🎯 Targets: 3980 / 3970
⛔ Stop Loss: above 4008
🔰 Pullback Long Setup
If gold pulls back to:
3978–3980 and stabilizes → consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 3994–3996
⛔ Stop Loss: below 3968
✅ Overall Outlook:
Gold is currently showing a weak corrective rebound and remains overall bearish. Short-term rebound strength is limited. Unless price can stabilize above 4010–4015, further downside support tests are likely.
XAUUSD – Intraday H1 Plan Range-Bound Volatility(November 5, 2025)
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold is trading within a narrow range around ₹3,963 – ₹4,015, showing indecision between safe-haven demand and short-term profit-taking pressure.
After the previous New York session, price created a new local low near ₹3,962.92, then quickly rebounded as dip buyers stepped in.
However, the ₹4,015–₹4,020 zone remains a strong supply area, limiting further upside momentum.
Bias for today: Ranging with mild bullish potential
→ Prefer buying at lower supports and taking profits quickly near the ₹4,015–₹4,020 supply zone.
If price breaks below ₹3,962, deeper downside movement toward ₹3,945 may occur.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure: On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is consolidating between the strong demand zone ₹3,962–₹3,965 and the supply zone ₹4,015–₹4,020, forming a clear sideways range.
Liquidity Map:
Below ₹3,962 lies heavy sell-side liquidity, which Smart Money may sweep before a reversal.
Above ₹4,015–₹4,020 sits buy-side liquidity, serving as the next liquidity target if a breakout occurs.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Zone Type Price Range Description
Supply Zone ₹4,015 – ₹4,020 Short-term supply zone, likely to trigger sell reactions
Order Block ₹4,010 – ₹4,008 Quick reaction zone during London session
FVG zone ₹3,956-₹3,960 as a retest reaction area to look for confirmed Buy setups if the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, or Sell on retest if price breaks below this zone
Deep Demand - OB ₹3,935 – ₹3,940 Deep buy zone, for liquidity sweep setups
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – OB Reaction Entry
Entry: ₹3,935 – ₹3,934
Stoploss: ₹3,928
TP1: ₹3,970
TP2: ₹4,000
Logic: Price may sweep liquidity below the FVG and mitigate the H1 Bullish Order Block (₹3,935–₹3,944); if CHoCH/BOS confirms reversal, enter buy targeting the previous imbalance and liquidity above ₹4,000.
✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – FVG Rebalance Entry
Entry: ₹3,955 – ₹3,954
Stoploss: ₹3,948
TP1: ₹3,985
TP2: ₹4,015
Logic: Price retraces to fill the ₹3,955–₹3,954 H1 FVG within the discount zone; if bullish CHoCH/BOS confirms a reversal, execute buy entry targeting liquidity above recent highs.
🔻 SELL SCENARIO – From Short-Term Supply Zone
Entry: ₹4,011 – ₹4,009
Stoploss: ₹4,017
TP1: ₹3,990.000
TP2: ₹3,965.000
Logic: Price reaches supply zone, forms rejection or bearish engulfing → valid short setup within range.
⚠️ SCALPING SELL – Quick Reversal Opportunity
Entry: ₹4,020 – ₹4,022
Stoploss: ₹4,028
TP: ₹4,000.000 – ₹3,985
Logic: If price spikes to ₹4,020–₹4,022 sweeping buy-side liquidity and quickly rejects → short scalp opportunity.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Focus on London and New York sessions when liquidity is highest.
Wait for H1 candle confirmation (wick, retest, or CHoCH) before entering any trade.
Avoid trading just because price touches the zone — confirmation is key.
Risk management: limit exposure to ≤1% per trade; maintain at least a 1:2 RR ratio.
When price approaches entry zones, use M15 timeframe to confirm structure and momentum before executing.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Within the ₹3,962.92 – ₹4,015.04 range, XAUUSD is consolidating tightly.
→ Prefer buying near ₹3,965–₹3,963 upon confirmation, or deep buys at ₹3,958–₹3,956 after liquidity sweep.
→ Conversely, if price rallies to ₹4,015–₹4,020 and shows rejection signals, short opportunities may arise.
Trade according to structure, wait for confirmations, and manage risk strictly to avoid stop-hunts.
XAUUSD Tape readingwaiting for a correction and a sign of continuation on htf , then i will start looking for longs
#Gold | #XAUUSD 4H Update🔴 Price testing key resistance zones
🚧 $4129-$4133 / $4160-$4162
⚠️ Strong supply area — consider booking profits or tightening stops on longs.
👀 Only a clean 4H close above $4162 can open the way to $4185-$4205 .
#Gold TVC:GOLD #XAUUSD #PriceAction #Commodities #Trading #Forex #ChartPattern
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSDGold is approaching supply zone. From there it can fall to sweep sell side liquidity.
Then again continue to push up from Demand as soon as we get confirmation
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 12-13✅From the 4H chart, gold surged sharply to a high of 4206.57 before experiencing a strong pullback, forming a long upper shadow. This indicates that bullish momentum weakened after testing resistance around the upper Bollinger Band (4203.88).
The current price is trading around 4190–4195, slightly above the MA10 (4133.81) and close to the Bollinger midline (4099.50) — this area serves as a short-term support zone. The MA5 (4140.23) remains above MA10, showing that the broader trend is still upward, but the sudden bearish candle signals short-term correction pressure.
The uptrend remains intact on the 4H timeframe, but the rejection near 4206 signals exhaustion of short-term buying power. If gold fails to reclaim 4200, a temporary pullback toward 4130–4100 is likely before another potential rise.
✅ On the 1H chart, gold spiked to 4206, then quickly reversed, forming a bearish engulfing candle. This reflects profit-taking pressure from intraday bulls.
The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating increased volatility, and the price is currently testing the midline (4138.49) as a short-term pivot.
The MA5 (4181.73) is crossing below the MA10 (4154.48), forming a short-term bearish crossover, suggesting that gold may consolidate or correct slightly before resuming any uptrend.
MACD is showing early signs of divergence, with the histogram turning down after a strong expansion, confirming that momentum is cooling off.
🔴 Resistance levels: 4203–4206 / 4215–4230
🟢 Support levels: 4150–4155 / 4130–4138
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4200–4210 and shows resistance, consider taking light short positions, targeting 4150–4130, with a stop loss above 4220.
🔰 If gold drops to 4130–4140 and stabilizes, consider taking long positions, targeting 4180–4200.
📈 Summary:
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term charts indicate correction pressure after the surge to 4206.
In the near term, focus on the 4100–4210 range.
Adopt a “sell high, buy low” approach — wait for retracement confirmation before entering new positions, and avoid chasing price near resistance levels.
Advanced Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis1. Introduction to Advanced Chart Patterns
In trading, patterns repeat because human behavior is repetitive. Fear, greed, and hope drive market movements, and these emotions get imprinted in price charts. Advanced chart patterns are an extension of classical technical formations, combining structure, volume, and momentum to forecast price trends. Mastering them helps traders differentiate between false breakouts and genuine opportunities.
Advanced patterns generally fall into two main categories:
Continuation Patterns – Indicating a pause before the prevailing trend continues.
Reversal Patterns – Signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one.
2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal Pattern)
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most reliable reversal signals. It indicates a change in trend direction — from bullish to bearish (standard form) or from bearish to bullish (inverse form).
Structure:
Left shoulder: A price rise followed by a decline.
Head: A higher peak than the left shoulder, followed by another decline.
Right shoulder: A lower rise, followed by a breakdown through the neckline.
Neckline: Connects the lows between the shoulders and serves as a key breakout level.
Once the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms a bearish reversal. The target is estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Inverse Head and Shoulders works similarly but in the opposite direction — signaling a bullish reversal after a downtrend.
3. Cup and Handle Pattern
The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern resembling a teacup. It was popularized by William O’Neil in his book How to Make Money in Stocks.
Formation:
Cup: A rounded bottom, showing a gradual shift from selling to buying.
Handle: A short pullback or consolidation that follows the cup, forming a downward-sloping channel.
When the price breaks above the handle’s resistance with strong volume, it often signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Target: The depth of the cup added to the breakout point.
This pattern is often seen in growth stocks and long-term bullish markets.
4. Double Top and Double Bottom
These patterns are classic but essential to advanced technical traders due to their reliability and frequency.
Double Top:
Appears after a strong uptrend.
Price makes two peaks at similar levels separated by a moderate decline.
A breakdown below the “neckline” confirms a bearish reversal.
Double Bottom:
Appears after a downtrend.
Two troughs form around the same level with a peak in between.
A breakout above the neckline signals a bullish reversal.
Volume confirmation is crucial — rising volume on the breakout adds credibility to the pattern.
5. Flag and Pennant Patterns
Flags and Pennants are short-term continuation patterns that often appear after a strong price movement, known as the “flagpole.”
Flag: Forms as a small rectangular channel sloping against the main trend.
Pennant: Appears as a small symmetrical triangle following a sharp move.
These patterns typically consolidate the market before the next strong move in the same direction.
Breakout Rule:
When price breaks in the direction of the previous trend, accompanied by high volume, it confirms continuation.
Target Projection:
Length of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
6. Wedge Patterns
Wedges are advanced chart patterns signaling either continuation or reversal depending on their position and direction.
Rising Wedge:
Forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the slope narrows upward.
Typically appears in an uptrend and indicates weakening bullish momentum — a bearish reversal signal.
Falling Wedge:
Forms with lower highs and lower lows converging downward.
Usually appears in a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Volume generally declines during formation and expands during breakout, confirming the move.
7. Symmetrical, Ascending, and Descending Triangles
Triangles represent consolidation phases and serve as reliable continuation patterns.
Symmetrical Triangle:
Characterized by converging trendlines with no clear direction bias.
Breakout direction typically follows the prior trend.
Ascending Triangle:
Horizontal resistance with rising support.
Usually forms during an uptrend, signaling bullish continuation.
Descending Triangle:
Horizontal support with declining resistance.
Typically bearish, indicating continuation of a downtrend.
Triangles are volume-sensitive patterns — declining volume during formation and surge during breakout strengthens reliability.
8. Rectangle Pattern
A Rectangle or Trading Range represents a period of indecision between buyers and sellers.
Formation: Price oscillates between horizontal support and resistance.
Interpretation:
Breakout above resistance → bullish signal.
Breakdown below support → bearish signal.
Traders often trade within the rectangle until a confirmed breakout occurs, using stop-losses near the opposite boundary.
9. Diamond Pattern
The Diamond Top is an advanced reversal pattern that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It begins as a broadening formation (wider price swings) and ends with a narrowing triangle — resembling a diamond shape.
Indicates distribution and market exhaustion.
Once price breaks below the support line, it confirms a bearish reversal.
This pattern is rare but highly reliable when spotted correctly.
10. Harmonic Patterns (Advanced Category)
Harmonic patterns use Fibonacci ratios to predict potential reversals with high precision. These include Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, and Crab patterns.
Gartley Pattern: Indicates retracement within a trend, typically completing at the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Bat Pattern: Uses deeper retracement levels (88.6%) to identify precise turning points.
Butterfly Pattern: Suggests a reversal near 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extensions.
Crab Pattern: Known for extreme projections (up to 224% or more), signaling deep retracements.
These patterns require advanced understanding of Fibonacci tools and are used by professional traders for precision entries.
11. Rounding Bottom and Top
Rounding Bottom:
Gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Indicates long-term accumulation before a breakout.
Typically seen in major trend reversals in large-cap stocks.
Rounding Top:
Slow shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Represents distribution and is often followed by a sustained downtrend.
These patterns form over long durations (weeks or months) and are reliable for positional traders.
12. Broadening Formation
Also known as a megaphone pattern, it shows increasing volatility and investor uncertainty.
Formation: Two diverging trendlines — one ascending, one descending.
Meaning: Early sign of market instability; may precede major reversals.
Trade Setup: Enter once a confirmed breakout occurs beyond the pattern boundaries.
13. Volume and Confirmation in Chart Patterns
Volume plays a critical role in confirming pattern validity. Key principles include:
Decreasing volume during consolidation or pattern formation.
Increasing volume during breakout, confirming institutional participation.
False breakouts often occur on low volume, trapping retail traders.
Combining volume indicators (like OBV or Volume Oscillator) with pattern analysis enhances accuracy.
14. Practical Application and Risk Management
Even the most reliable patterns fail without proper risk management and confirmation strategies.
Wait for breakout confirmation with candle close beyond key levels.
Use stop-loss slightly below support or above resistance.
Combine patterns with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation.
Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups with clear symmetry and volume validation.
15. Conclusion
Advanced chart patterns bridge the gap between price action and trader psychology. They help traders interpret market behavior and anticipate future movements with a structured approach. Patterns like the Cup and Handle, Head and Shoulders, and Wedges reveal not just the direction but also the strength and conviction of trends.
Mastering these patterns requires practice, discipline, and confirmation through indicators and volume. When used correctly, advanced chart patterns empower traders to make informed, high-probability decisions — transforming random price data into profitable trading opportunities.
Gold selling expected today 12-11-2025Gold is about to dump down by 1.5 percent today by chart analysis.
Lets see what happenes.
Waiting for structure to become bearish. If it makes lower low and then again
Then it will be down.
15 MINUTES CANDLE CHART ANALYSIS$XAU/USD BUY NOW
ENTERY NOW 4006.00
TP 1 4030.00
TP 2 4050.00
TP 3 4070.00
TP 4 4100.00
SL 3964.00
Do not use more than 2X leverage.
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
XAUUSD TRADE SETUP @3996.480
stop at AR low 3985.600
tp 4046.615
Last trading day of the week, so caution makes sense. There are a few potential news catalysts that could create some volatility. My bias here is long, and I’m scaling into the position gradually as confluences develop.
Add this pair to your watchlist and monitor price action. Only take the trade if it aligns with your own analysis and directional bias. This isn’t a chase setup — patience matters here.
GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility.
• A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone.
• A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200.
Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range.
• Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys.
• Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,201 – 4,199
• Stop-Loss: 4,210
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,140 (first liquidity pocket)
→ 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,083 (discount zone confluence)
📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,102
→ 4,140
→ 4,199
📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup.
• Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise.
• Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops.
• Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area)
The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts.
FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time SMC updates ⚡
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; await correction to 4090/4041 – break 4145 to confirm further rise
Quick context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Price is moving within an upward channel, hitting the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, not forming a lower low yet. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, a break of 4145 is needed; otherwise, prioritise the technical correction scenario towards liquidity zones.
Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Holding the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid.
Liquidity & FVG:
Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing direction.
Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if deep correction occurs.
Main resistance: 4130–4135 (retest of channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears).
Main support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive point for buyers.
Trading Scenarios (optimised for mobile reading)
Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority)
Entry: 4084–4086
SL: 4078
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160
Suggestion: Wait for rejection candle at 4090 or M15 reversal signal before entry.
Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R)
Entry: 4041–4043
SL: 4036
TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120
Suggestion: Prioritise when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick.
Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060
Note: Quick scalp only; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145.
Bonus – Sell scalp 4200
Condition: Clear rejection on smaller timeframe.
SL: above the nearest recent high.
Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145.
Risk Management & Invalidation
Short-term bullish bias remains valid if price holds above 4085–4090.
H2 closes above 4145 → prioritise buying on breakout, limit all sell orders.
H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020.
Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average against the trend.
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
XAUUSD LOOKING FOR LTF LONGS I'm breakeven out in the last one , I’ll still be actively watching for a lower-timeframe bullish shift during this session.
Gold start buying on dip if break 4060 then 4150-4180 come Gold start buying on dip for nex week 4150-4180 upside will come if break 4060
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
XAUUSDUS has 35 trillion dollars dept and its going to pay everyday interest of 25000 crs if jobs rates once completed we have clear about interest rate cut if i had happen US market is gonna crash and safest investment like gold ,silver and bonds gonna rise let’s hope all gonna good
XAUUSD | Gold 4H Breakout Setup | Wait for Retest Before Long Gold is currently trading near the 4H resistance zone after a short-term recovery move. The price is approaching a key supply area where a breakout or rejection can decide the next direction. I am planning a long entry only after a proper retest to avoid chasing the move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 4045 – 4075
• Strong Support: 3955 – 3980 (200 EMA zone)
• Major Upside Target after breakout: 4210 – 4230
Trade Plan:
1. Let price approach the resistance zone
2. Wait for breakout and then retest near 4045 – 4075
3. Look for bullish rejection candle to confirm entry
4. If retest holds, next leg up toward 4210 is possible
Why Wait for Retest?
Retest reduces false breakout risk and improves risk to reward. Market is still recovering from a previous strong sell-off, so patience gives a more controlled entry.
Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Style: Swing / Position
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, just my personal price structure view.
Gold Breaks Above $4000, Bulls Take Control for $4100.Dollar Index Meets Resistance at 100.35 near 50 Week EMA
.ADP and ISM Non-Manufacturing data improved sentiments.
.Fed signals dovish tilt in monetary policy shift.
.Mid east tensions and global concerns on economic growth support safe haven demand.
.Gold gains strong momentum on breakout above $4000 psychological zone.
What's Going on in Gold?
After historical one sided bullish rally in Gold the technical indicators were extremely overbought with Monthly RSI reading above 92 screaming for a healthy price correction long overdue and the metal price has witnessed almost $500 correction since then, from $4380 down to $3886 which is very close, just $40 away from 50% Fibonacci retracement zone of $3846
The recent few weeks have witnessed dramatic volatility surge and several unseen records like a $300 intraday drop from the record high and wild swings like a giant roller-coaster.
The recent downward spike that dragged Gold prices to $3929 has attracted buyers once again leading to strong breakout above the psychological mark of $4000 reaching $4017 which is lower boundary of immediate resistance bracket $4017-$4028
What's Likely Scenario Ahead for Bulls?
This $4017-$4028 zone is significant as solid demand accumulation above this zone will extend rebound towards next resistance cluster of $4060-$4085 above which $4100 sits as next critical resistance.
If macro factors align together in favour of safe haven demand for Gold with consolidated break above $4100, the probability for bullish rebound extending further would increase with potential upside reaching $4130 followed by $4190 in near term.
Will the Bullish Rally Pause at $4200?
The probability of current rebound extending or pausing is purely subject to price reaction to key price levels aligned with Fibonacci retracements.
As of now considering the strong breakout above $4000 psychological mark and current consolidation above $4010, a strong push above $4018-$4020 will extend move to $4028-$4035-$4045 while next effective resistance areas are $4060 and $4085 with major hurdle $4100 which may act as supply zone.
If the rally has to pause, price action needs to be monitored at $4060 and $4085-$4100 for signs of rejection and momentum exhaustion.
If price resistance shows rejection on the critical areas, a sell off may be witnessed towards $4000-$3975
Short Term Outlook:
The breakout and price consolidation above $4000 is supportive for a short term bullish rebound which initially targets $4030-$4045-$4060 followed by $4085-$4100
Any pullback towards $3975-$3965 is likely to attract buyers on dips.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 11, 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum has closed, showing that bullish strength is fading. We’ll wait for today’s daily candle to confirm whether a reversal is forming.
• H4 timeframe:
The two momentum lines are sticking together — this indicates that while upward pressure remains, it is weakening, suggesting a possible formation of wave X top.
• H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is turning down from the overbought zone. With all three timeframes (D1, H4, H1) aligned, the current price area is likely marking a wave top.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
The corrective wave (4) is still developing. Once D1 momentum fully reverses and moves into the oversold zone, it may mark the final stage of the correction phase.
• H4 timeframe:
Price has reached the wave X target area around 4145.
With both D1 and H4 momentum in the overbought zone and starting to turn down, this level is likely the completion of wave X.
After that, price may begin a decline to complete wave Y.
The duration of wave Y is expected to correspond to the time it takes for D1 momentum to move from overbought to oversold.
• H1 timeframe:
The red 5-wave structure has completed, with price currently in wave (5).
The target area for wave (5) lies between 4145 and 4050, overlapping with the wave X target zone.
Therefore, the sell entry from yesterday around 4145 remains valid.
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🔹 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4145 – 4147
• Stop Loss: 4165
• Take Profit 1: 4075
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
⚠️ Note: If price closes below 4046, it will confirm that purple wave Y is in progress.
In that case, the target of wave Y could extend below 3855.
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context
Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$.
The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar.
Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week.
If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure)
Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest)
• 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone)
• ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure.
The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps.
The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.”
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 11.11.25XAUUSD/GOLD 1H Sell Projection (11.11.25) chart.
Here’s a quick technical breakdown of what this chart represents:
🟣 Setup Overview
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
🧩 Key Levels
Resistance / High: 4148.82
Stoploss: ~4141.63
Entry Zone: ~4129.45–4128.32
Target 1 (TP1): Around 4110 (S1 + FVG zone)
Target 2 (TP2): Around 4081 (S2 zone)
📉 Projection Logic
Price rejected from major resistance at 4148.
A short-term pullback / retracement is expected into the entry zone.
After possible retest, price is expected to drop towards TP1 and TP2.
The setup suggests a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of roughly 1:2.5 to 1:3, favoring the sell side.
⚙️ Trading Idea Summary
Parameter Value
Bias Sell
Entry Range 4128–4130
Stop Loss 4141
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4110
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4081
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3
Confirmation Bearish engulfing or rejection from resistance zone
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today
Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025
Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for.
Technical Analysis
Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling.
Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction.
FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound.
VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections.
POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected.
Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension).
Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects.
Trading Scenarios
Buy shallow pullback (trend-following)
Entry: 4083–4085
SL: 4077
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166
Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile
Entry: 4025–4028
SL: 4020
TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112
Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume.
Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4135–4140
SL: 4148
TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090
Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140.
H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990.
Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe).
Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
