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Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 16✅ Fundamental Analysis The U.S. Dollar Index has risen for four consecutive trading days, reaching a high of 98.70, which continues to weigh on gold prices denominated in dollars. Recently, the Trump administration imposed a 30% tariff on goods from the European Union and Mexico, and plans to issue tariff notices to Indonesia (19%) and several other “smaller countries” (around 10%), triggering global trade tensions. Meanwhile, the ongoing escalation of the Russia–Ukraine conflict has increased safe-haven demand, providing some support for gold. ✅ Technical Analysis Gold posted a long upper shadow bearish candlestick yesterday, indicating weak upward momentum and selling pressure near recent highs. The daily chart has shown multiple failures to break above previous highs, signaling fading bullish strength. Currently, price action remains in a high-level, low-volume consolidation, with both daily and weekly charts showing repetitive sideways movement and no clear breakout direction. On the 4-hour chart, gold was rejected near the upper range at $3375 and fell sharply. After breaking below the mid-range support, the price found minor support near the lower band. The overall structure remains a wide-range consolidation, lacking sustained directional movement. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: 3345–$3350; if broken, gold may test the 3400 psychological level. 🟢 Key Support Levels: 3322–3330; if breached, prices could decline further toward 3300. ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰If the price pulls back to below the $3325–$3330 zone and shows signs of support, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3310, targeting $3340–$3350–$3360. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰If the price rebounds to the $3344–$3350 resistance zone and stalls, consider shorting on strength. Set a stop-loss above $3355, with targets at $3320, $3310, and $3300. ✅ Risk Warning The U.S. PPI data will be released today. If the data significantly exceeds expectations and inflationary pressures rise, gold may come under renewed selling pressure and potentially break below the key $3300 support level. Conversely, if the data is moderate, it could ease market concerns and help stabilize gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TechnicalAnalysissss
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 16, 2025🔄 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the downside, suggesting that the price may continue to decline or move sideways in the short term. H4 timeframe: Momentum is rising, indicating that the current recovery may continue. The next resistance zones to watch are 3342 and 3358. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure At present, price action is being compressed within a contracting triangle corrective pattern, with its range narrowing further—signaling market consolidation. We should closely monitor for signs of a breakout that could end this correction. Based on the current wave structure, it is expected that wave d (green) has completed, and the current downward move is likely part of wave e (green). The trading strategy focuses on waiting for the price to approach the lower boundary of the triangle—drawn from the low of wave a to the low of wave c—looking for confluent support areas near this trendline to identify a potential BUY opportunity. 🎯 Target & Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3303 – 3300 Stop Loss (SL): 3290 Take Profits (TP): - TP1: 3327 - TP2: 3358 - TP3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy on July 16, 2025Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy on July 16, 2025: Yesterday's trading session was in line with our prediction, the gold price corrected strongly after meeting the resistance zone of 336x. However, the support zone of 333x did not help the gold price continue to maintain the sideway range. Basic news: The US CPI reached 2.7%, higher than the forecast of 0.1% and higher than the previous 0.3%; positively affecting the USD, helping the gold price to decrease sharply. Technical analysis: Currently, the gold price has broken the sideway range of 3335 - 3375 and is likely to compress in the 3300 area. RSI of the H1, H4 and D1 time frames are moving towards the buying zone. This could be a good long-term trading opportunity for us. Important price zones today: 3338 - 3343, 3350 - 3355 and 3300 - 3305. Today's trading trend: SELL (BUY hold). Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3341 - 3343 SL 3346 TP 3338 - 3328 - 3318 - 3308. Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355 SL 3358 TP 3350 - 3340 - 3330 - 3300. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302 SL 3297 TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3350 - Open (small volume). Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ryemud
1
XAU/USD Ascending Triangle Breakout Setup Pattern: Ascending Triangle Bias: Bullish (Breakout Imminent) Entry Zone: Around 3338 (Current Market Price) Target Zone: 3401 and beyond Invalidation: Below 3322 📌 Technical Breakdown: Higher Lows building momentum from April till July ✅ Flat Resistance Zone around 3400 acting as a ceiling ⛔ Volume likely to expand on breakout 📈 Break above 3400 = explosive upside potential 💣 --- 🧠 Smart Trader Strategy: ✅ Entry: Break and close above 3340–3350 🎯 TP1: 3400 (Major resistance) 🎯 TP2: 3450+ (Post-breakout rally) 🛑 SL: Below 3322 (Ascending trendline invalidation) 📅 Timing Tip: Watch for US Session or major economic news like CPI/NFP/Fed minutes — high volatility may trigger breakout moves.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Chandigarh_trades
1
Gold rebounds – Is the next bullish wave starting? XAUUSD is holding firmly above its ascending trendline, with each pullback quickly absorbed around the support zone near 3,333. The current price structure suggests a continued move higher, as long as the trendline remains intact. On the news front, U.S. PPI data came in at 0.2% — exactly in line with expectations — offering no major surprises. With the dollar failing to gain strength, gold remains supported. In this context, XAUUSD is likely to continue its climb toward the next resistance zone near 3,447, which has previously triggered strong price reactions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
3
recovery 3352, signal SELL gold trendline todayPlan XAU day: 16 July 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintain a firm tone during the early European session on Wednesday, currently trading just below the $3,340 level. Investor sentiment remains cautious amid concerns over the potential economic repercussions of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, coupled with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. This risk-averse mood—reflected in the generally weaker performance of equity markets—is helping to revive demand for the safe-haven precious metal following two consecutive days of losses. Additionally, a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD) from its highest level since June 23—reached in response to slightly stronger-than-expected inflation data for June—provides further support to gold prices. Nevertheless, the growing consensus that the Fed is likely to postpone rate cuts amid persistent inflationary pressures should limit significant USD depreciation and cap upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Consequently, a cautious approach remains advisable for XAU/USD bulls as market participants await the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) later in the North American session personal opinion:!!! Gold price recovers to gain liquidity in Asian and European trading sessions, inflation indicators increase, DXY recovers, gold price continues to be under selling pressure Important price zone to consider : !!! resistance zone point: 3352 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
1
GOLD SELL RECOMMENDATION (XAU/USD)🔴 GOLD SELL RECOMMENDATION (XAU/USD) 🕒 Timeframe: 15 minutes (M15) 📆 Date: July 16, 2025 ✅ Trade Parameters: Sell Entry Zone: 3,341 – 3,342 USD/oz Stop Loss (SL): 3,351 USD Take Profit (TP): 3,307 USD 📊 Technical Analysis: Price is retracing to test a dynamic resistance zone, near the 200 EMA and upper Bollinger Band. A bearish candle with high volume signals a potential return of selling pressure. The 3,341–3,342 zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement from the recent move, a strong confluence for a sell setup. Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio is approximately 1:3.5, indicating a favorable trade. 📌 Suggested Strategy: Sell within the 3341–3342 range. Place a stop loss at 3351 and target 3307 for take profit. Once the price moves halfway to the target, consider trailing your stop to breakeven to secure profits. fl me and ytb
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
GOLD 16/07 Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control!GOLD 16/07 – Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control! 🌍 Market Overview: Inflation Softens, But Risk Remains Gold is currently trading around $3,334 after a sharp correction earlier this week. While core US CPI data for June came in lower than expected, institutions like BlackRock are signaling concerns: The impact of new tariffs is only starting to show. Consumer prices on appliances and electronics are rising. As inventories shrink, businesses may pass on costs directly to consumers. ➡️ This reinforces Gold’s long-term value as a safe-haven asset, especially with rising macroeconomic risks and uncertainty around the Fed's next move. 📉 Technical Insight: Pullback or Trend Continuation? Yesterday’s CPI release triggered a sharp drop, pushing price back to the 332x zone. This created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the H1 chart. Around the 3347–3349 level, we see a Continuation Pattern (CP) forming, hinting that the main downtrend might resume after a temporary bounce. 💡 If price returns to the 334x–336x supply zones during the London or New York session, these will be critical SELL zones. Expect price to potentially target the FVG liquidity area below 329x if bears regain control. 📊 Key Trade Setups 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,296 – 3,294 (Liquidity Trap Zone) SL: 3,290 TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,347 – 3,349 (CP Reaction Area) SL: 3,353 TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300 🚨 SELL ZONE: 3,358 – 3,360 (VPOC Zone) SL: 3,364 TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300 ⚠️ Strategy Note: With the PPI data release expected to move markets today, price may spike upward in early sessions. Watch closely for bearish rejection candles around CP and VPOC zones before entering. Use proper SL and TP levels to protect capital. 💬 What’s Your Outlook Today? Do you see gold breaking below 329x to fill deeper liquidity, or will macro risks support a fresh rally? 👇 Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss trade ideas in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Faces Pressure as USD Strengthens – A Buying Opportunity?Gold prices have seen a slight decline today compared to yesterday’s trading session, fluctuating around 3,328 USD after losing over 43 USD in just one session. The main factors contributing to this drop are: -USD Strength: The USD Index rose by 0.56%, making gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies. -Rising U.S. Bond Yields: U.S. Treasury yields surged to nearly 4.5%, drawing money away from the gold market. -U.S. CPI for June: The CPI met expectations, easing inflation fears and reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Despite the short-term pressure, investors remain hopeful that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, potentially providing a boost for gold. Personal assessment: While gold is currently in a correction phase, its long-term trend remains intact. This could be a buying opportunity if you believe in the upcoming monetary easing cycle. What do you think about gold’s price today? Let us know in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
2
This Isn’t a Range It’s a Distribution Before Collapse.~ H4Gold is on the verge of a breakdown this isn’t speculation, it’s unfolding in real time. Price has failed repeatedly to reclaim the HVZ zone between $3370 and $3400 making it abundantly clear that this is not accumulation this is distribution. Every push into that zone has been systematically sold into, with no follow-through. The order flow confirms it: smart money is offloading, not positioning for upside. Unless we see a complete reclaim and hold above $3430 which looks increasingly improbable this remains a high-conviction sell zone. The key structural pivot now sits at $3290. Once that level cracks, we gonna see an aggressive move lower, especially with the weak bounce zones exhausted. The medium-strength support between $3310 –$3315 is the final shelf before a sharp drop. Don’t expect it to hold this level is soft and already tested. A breakdown from here activates the next major liquidity zone around $3188, which is where the real target lies. That level aligns with prior unmitigated demand, and price is magnetized toward it. This isn’t a market in balance it’s a trap. Gold is coiling for a clean flush. The structure, momentum, and broader flow all signal the same outcome: downside continuation. Until $3430 is reclaimed and held on a closing basis, all rallies into HVZ are shorting opportunities.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
XAUUSD – Facing Strong Resistance, Pullback Risk IncreasesGold is approaching a major resistance zone that previously halted its upward momentum. Bullish momentum is fading, while the RSI shows signs of mild divergence. Market expectations around Federal Reserve policy, along with key data like CPI, unemployment rates, and geopolitical developments, are putting pressure on the precious metals market. Without a strong catalyst from upcoming news, gold may enter a short-term pullback phase before establishing its next major trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th July 2025📈 GOLD (XAU/USD) INTRADAY TRADE SETUP – JULY 16, 2025 🟢 BUY SETUP – BULLISH BREAKOUT 🔹 Entry: Buy only if 1-Hour Candle closes above 3344 🔹 Confirmation: Wait for a strong bullish 1H candle close (with volume if possible). 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 3350 🥇 Target 2: 3363 🥈 Target 3: 3374 🥉 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3330 or the candle low that breaks above 3344. ⚠️ Tip: Avoid buying near resistance without a proper breakout candle. Look for a retest for safer entry. 🔴 SELL SETUP – BEARISH BREAKDOWN 🔹 Entry: Sell only if 15-Minute Candle closes below 3311 🔹 Confirmation: Ensure strong bearish momentum and clean breakdown below 3311. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: 3300 🚩 Target 2: 3290 🚩 Target 3: 3278 🚩 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 3320 or high of the breakdown candle. ⚠️ Tip: Best results come during high-volume periods like NY session. 📌 TRADE MANAGEMENT TIPS ⚖️ Use proper position sizing (1-2% of capital per trade). ⏰ Stick to key market hours for execution (London/US overlap). 📊 Use TradingView for precise candle close tracking. 🧘 Don’t chase the trade if entry level is missed. Wait for the next signal. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 📉 Trading in commodities like Gold (XAU/USD) involves significant risk. The above setup is for educational and informational purposes only. 💼 Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. ❌ We are not liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this setup.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis – Key Rejection at Resistan📉 GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis – Key Rejection at Resistance! 🔍💰 Date: July 15, 2025 🔺 Resistance Zone: 📍 3,385 – 3,405 Price has tested this resistance multiple times (highlighted in pink) and was rejected again recently, as marked by the red arrow. This zone remains a strong supply area, limiting further upward momentum. 📉 Current Price: 💵 Around 3,325.34 – Market is pulling back after the latest resistance rejection. 🟦 Main Support Zone: 📍 3,270 – 3,285 This zone (blue shaded area) has held well as a demand region, with price bouncing several times from it, supported by the green arrows. A break below this could trigger further downside. 🟥 Key Horizontal Levels: 🔻 3,280.38 – Immediate support. 🚨 3,244.93 – Critical support level. Break below this would invalidate bullish bias and may attract strong selling pressure. 📊 Market Sentiment: 🧭 Range-bound between 3,280 – 3,400 for over a month. 💼 Traders may watch for: 🔼 Bullish breakout above 3,405 = continuation toward new highs. 🔽 Bearish break below 3,244 = downside expansion likely. ✅ Trading Plan Ideas: 🔍 Wait for confirmation: Long setup 💚 near 3,280 support (bullish reaction). Short setup 🔴 from 3,385 resistance (rejection or bearish engulfing). ⚠️ Caution: Stay aware of macroeconomic events or Fed speeches that could trigger gold volatility. 📌 Summary: 🎯 Gold is stuck in a well-defined range between major resistance and support zones. Currently showing signs of weakness after rejection from the top. Bulls need to defend support to avoid further decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VikingFx-Community
Good holding sell trade frim 3356 our target 3305,3285How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹Gold prices surged and then retreated yesterday, mainly due to risk-off sentiment triggered by Trump’s announcement of a potential 30% tariff on EU imports. However, this sentiment was offset by the EU’s softened stance, indicating that “negotiation is still possible.” Additionally, the strength in both the U.S. Dollar Index and Treasury yields added pressure on gold. 🔹Geopolitical risks continue to rise. The EU is preparing to impose retaliatory tariffs on €72 billion worth of U.S. goods, while Trump has threatened a 100% tariff on Russian products. The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict also has the potential to escalate further, adding underlying support for gold. 🔹Today, the U.S. CPI data will be released — a key event for market participants. A higher-than-expected CPI figure will likely reinforce expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, which is bearish for gold. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected reading may boost rate-cut expectations and support gold prices. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸Gold failed to break the key resistance at $3375. The daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish body, indicating strong selling pressure from above. The MACD is showing early signs of a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: $3360–3365, $3375 (critical level) 🟢 Key Support Levels: $3340, $3325 (major downside support) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price pulls back and stabilizes around $3335–3340, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3325 and aim for a target of $3355–3365. 🔰 If the price breaks above $3365 and holds, consider following the breakout with a long position, targeting $3375–3385. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price rebounds to $3360–3365 and faces resistance, consider shorting. Set a stop-loss above $3365 and aim for a target of $3340. If that level breaks, look for $3330. 🔰 If the price breaks below $3330, consider a momentum short toward the $3320 zone. ✅ Gold is likely to remain in a consolidation range during the European session. Maintain a buy-low, sell-high strategy with light positions and strict stop-losses. Pay close attention to the support at $3340 and resistance at $3365. Before the U.S. CPI data release, it's recommended to manage risk and control position sizes to avoid unexpected volatility. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TechnicalAnalysissss
Wait for hunt🟢 XAU/USD (30-Min Chart) | Bullish Structure Holding | Potential Breakout Setup Price has been respecting a clean ascending trendline, forming higher highs and higher lows. 🔹 Support Zone Held: After a corrective move, price bounced strongly from the minor demand zone (blue box) around the trendline — showing buyer strength. 🔹 Key Resistance Ahead: Price is currently testing a major resistance supply zone (highlighted in blue above). This zone has previously acted as a strong rejection area. A breakout and retest above this zone could signal continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 Volume Observation: There’s increasing volume on the bullish candles around the trendline area, suggesting accumulation. 🔹 Trade Idea: Wait for a clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone for a potential long entry targeting the next significant resistance. Alternatively, if price rejects this zone again and breaks below the trendline, short setups could be considered targeting the lower demand zone. 🧭 Bias: Bullish until the trendline is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kamleshahir720
2
Gold Turns Bullish on Tariff threats, Bulls look at $3395-$3408As the US President Trump issues warning to slap sweeping tariff on EU and counter threats of EU retaliation sparks global macro economic concerns, Gold gets tailwind boosting prices to renewed rally towards $3365 and bulls reposition their bets on further upside targets reaching $3395 and $3408 The wave structure clearly shows rebound attempts as current bullish momentum supported by price stability above 4 hourly 50 EMA $3335 and recent decline found buyers at $3341 which shaped the recovery to $3365 with London opening. Immediate resistance is seen located at 61.8%Fibonacci zone $3373 and a break above swing high $3375 will extend bullish advance towards next leg higher $3395 & $3408 Any rejection from $3375 will resume downward shift to $3350-$3340 below which further decline may retest $3325 Overall structure looks bullish subject to price stability above $3350-$3341
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday). H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages. In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting: A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case. On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers. These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended. 💡 Trading Outlook The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week. However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely. We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330. 📊 Trading Plan BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340 Stop Loss (SL): 3330 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX