Gold Trading Strategy for 15th July 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Strategy
💰 Buy Setup (Long Trade)
🔼 Buy Above:
If the price of gold closes above the high of the 1-hour candle and the level is above 💵 $3362, then it signals a buy opportunity.
🎯 Targets for Buy Trade:
1st Target: 💵 $3372
2nd Target: 💵 $3383
3rd Target: 💵 $3394
✅ Condition to Enter Buy:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above 💵 $3362. Don’t enter the trade while the candle is still forming. Enter only after the candle closes above this level.
💰 Sell Setup (Short Trade)
🔽 Sell Below:
If the price of gold closes below the low of the 1-hour candle and the level is below 💵 $3333, then it signals a sell opportunity.
🎯 Targets for Sell Trade:
1st Target: 💵 $3320
2nd Target: 💵 $3305
3rd Target: 💵 $3290
✅ Condition to Enter Sell:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close below 💵 $3333. Enter the trade only after the candle closes below this level.
📌 Tips for Beginners
🕐 Use 1-Hour Timeframe: This means each candlestick on your chart represents 1 hour.
🔒 Risk Management: Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
🧠 Stay Patient: Wait for confirmation before entering – never jump in early.
📈 Use Stop-Loss: Always place a stop-loss to limit losses in case the market moves against you.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📢 This is not financial advice. Trading in commodities like gold involves significant risk. This strategy is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making real trades. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis 📊 XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis (July 13, 2025)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a textbook example of smart money behavior, with clear signs of institutional activity driving price action. The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), signaling ongoing market manipulation phases and liquidity targeting.
🔼 Price recently surged into a strong resistance zone ($3,355 – $3,370) — an area where previous supply caused sharp rejections. This level has once again proven its strength, as price formed a new BOS immediately after testing this zone. The reaction suggests the presence of institutional sell orders.
📉 Bearish sentiment is reinforced by the series of lower highs and consistent BOS formations, pointing toward a likely continuation move to the downside. The next area of interest is the liquidity pool near $3,260, which holds resting stop orders from retail long positions. Smart money often drives price toward these levels to fill larger orders efficiently.
💡 Key Technical Observations:
Multiple BOS signals showing shifts in short-term trend.
Rejection from well-defined resistance implies a supply zone.
Bearish imbalance and clean structure favor continuation down.
Liquidity pool below is a prime target for institutional move.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purpose):
Sell Zone: $3,360 – $3,370
Target: $3,260 – $3,300 (liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Clean breakout above $3,380 resistance zone
This setup demonstrates how understanding market structure, supply/demand zones, and liquidity pools can provide powerful insight into future price action. Always remember, smart money moves the market — your job is to follow the footprints, not fight the flow.
Donchain Channel Explainedthe donchian channel is a powerful trend-following indicator that helps traders visualize price breakouts, volatility, and market direction. it plots the highest high and lowest low over a selected period, forming an upper, lower, and middle band on the chart.
🔍 how it works
the donchian channel consists of:
🔹 upper band – highest high over the lookback period
🔹 lower band – lowest low over the same period
🔹 middle line – average of the upper and lower band (optional in some versions)
when price breaks above the upper band, it may indicate bullish momentum or a potential breakout. conversely, a break below the lower band suggests bearish momentum.
⚙️ customizable settings
you can adjust the channel period to fit your trading style:
📆 short periods (10–20) work well for scalping and intraday trading
📆 longer periods (50–100) help filter noise and spot bigger trends
🧠 how to use it
✅ trade long: can enter long when price closes above the upper band
✅ trade short: can enter short when price closes below the lower band
✅ ride trends: stay in the trade as long as price stays outside the band
✅ set trailing stops: use the opposite band as a dynamic stop-loss
✅ confirm signals: combine with volume, rsi, or moving averages for better accuracy
📈 strategy tips
• in trending markets, donchian channels can help capture large moves
• in ranging markets, be cautious of false breakouts
• works best when combined with a solid risk management plan
💡 the donchian channel was originally developed by richard donchian, a pioneer of trend-following systems. it remains popular among swing traders, breakout traders, and trend followers.
feel free to try it on different timeframes and instruments to see how price reacts to the channel boundaries. let the trend guide your decisions 📉📈
Disclaimer :
This post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
XAUUSD at risk of dropping – is gold going to fall further?XAUUSD is currently trading around 3,355, close to the resistance at 3,375. After a strong rally, gold is facing difficulty at this level and is likely to experience a correction. A symmetrical triangle pattern is forming, and if gold fails to break through the resistance, the price could drop to 3,301 or 3,255.
In terms of news, the USD and U.S. bond yields are holding steady, with stable U.S. employment data and no clear signals from the Fed on interest rate cuts. Additionally, the World Gold Council warns of a potential correction in gold if global political tensions ease or if USD and bond yields continue to rise.
Sellers are starting to take control, and if the support at 3,320 is broken, gold could fall further. Keep a close eye on the market!
price increase, gold price towards 3385Plan XAU day: 14 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
An already fragile global risk sentiment has deteriorated further in response to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump targeting two of the country’s major trade partners—Mexico and the European Union. In separate letters sent on Saturday to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, President Trump announced the potential for new tariffs, adding to more than 20 similar notices issued since last Monday.
This latest development has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, as reflected in the broadly weaker tone across global equity markets, and may continue to provide support for safe-haven assets such as gold. However, mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s near-term interest rate trajectory are preventing XAU/USD bulls from making aggressive moves or extending the recent rally to multi-week highs
personal opinion:!!!
Trade tensions between two major regions: the US and the EU, have made gold prices positive again, and market concerns that DXY and EURO will restrain each other's value.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3385 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Early Week Correction Ahead of Heavy News Flow GOLD PLAN – July 14 | Early Week Correction Ahead of Heavy News Flow
📰 Macro Context – Volatile Week Expected
Gold opened this week with a sharp correction, retracing after sweeping liquidity from the previous 2-week FVG zone. This early reaction reflects investor caution ahead of key tariff-related announcements due later this week.
In addition to geopolitical factors, the market is also bracing for major US economic data, including:
📊 CPI (Consumer Price Index)
📊 PPI (Producer Price Index)
📊 Unemployment Claims
📊 Retail Sales Figures
These events combined make this a high-volatility week with potentially strong directional moves in the second half.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 Timeframe
Price has taken out minor liquidity above recent highs
Currently retracing over $15 from the top
Price is now trading below the intraday VPOC (around 3358) — suggesting potential bearish momentum
If momentum continues, gold may dip into key demand zones:
🎯 333x
🎯 Possibly lower into 332x
This could provide a healthy retracement before resuming the broader uptrend.
🧭 Trading Strategy
✅ BUY ZONE: 3331 – 3329
Stop-Loss: 3325
Take-Profits:
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3344
TP4: 3350
TP5: 3360 – 3370+
🔍 This zone aligns with prior support, potential liquidity traps, and EMAs on higher timeframes — high-probability area for bounce trades if volume confirms.
⚠️ SELL ZONE: 3393 – 3395
Stop-Loss: 3399
Take-Profits:
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3386
TP3: 3382
TP4: 3378
TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360
📉 Great for short-term scalps if price re-tests the zone and shows rejection signs, especially around key news events.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones
3358
3368
3374
3394
🔻 Support Zones
3349
3340
3331
3318
⚠️ Execution Notes & Sentiment
🕰️ At the time of writing, gold is consolidating near the M30 VPOC with no clear break in either direction.
🧘 Stay patient and wait for clear confirmation from European session volume
🚫 Avoid FOMO trades — stick to structure
✅ Respect all SL/TP levels to protect your capital
This week’s volatility will reward discipline, not speed.
📌 Summary
Gold is currently in a short-term pullback after reaching previous liquidity zones.
There’s potential for a deeper dip early this week before macro news pushes price decisively.
📌 3331–3329 remains the primary BUY zone to watch if price shows bullish confirmation.
📌 3393–3395 remains the key SELL zone for potential short-term rejections.
🔍 What’s your view this week? Are you looking to buy the dip or short the bounce?
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — let’s discuss setups!
✅ If this helped you, hit that like & follow for more daily plans.
📩 Want private signals & deeper trade setups? DM to join our premium group.
7.14 Gold Analysis7.14 Gold Analysis
I. Market Review and Current Situation:
Last week, the trend of gold showed a bottoming-out and rebounding pattern. Affected by the fluctuation of market sentiment at the beginning of the week, the price of gold once broke through the important psychological barrier of $3,300. However, as the market gradually digested the threat of radical tariff policies proposed by former President Trump (including the imposition of high tariffs on the European Union, Mexico, etc.), the demand for safe-haven re-heated, driving the steady rebound of gold prices. At the end of last Friday, the price of gold reached a high of around $3,368, and finally closed above $3,350 on a weekly basis.
II. Key technical observations:
1. Daily level trend and risk:
The current daily structure still maintains a bullish trend, and there is dense technical support below.
The core support area is in the range of $3,320-3,340, which brings together key moving average systems (such as MA20, MA30, etc.) and the previous trading concentration area, forming an important bullish defense line.
Key warning: Although the trend is bullish, the risk of chasing high is significant. If you chase more above $3350 or even $3360, once the gold price technically retreats to the 3340-3320 area for consolidation, the position will face greater floating loss pressure and psychological test of holding positions.
III. 4-hour level short-term signal:
The gold price failed to effectively stand above $3360 on the 4-hour chart, which is a signal worthy of vigilance, suggesting that the short-term upward momentum may be insufficient.
This signal increases the possibility of gold prices falling back to the lower support again.
The nearest support level clearly points to around $3340. This position is a key node for short-term long and short competition. If it is effectively broken, it may further test the 3320-3330 area.
IV. Core drivers and event outlook:
Tuesday's US CPI data (released on July 15): This is the most critical risk event that dominates the trend of gold prices this week. The market will assess the current state of US inflation based on this, and revise its expectations for the future monetary policy path of the Federal Reserve (especially the timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts) based on this. Any data that exceeds expectations (whether up or down) may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices.
Trump's policy trends: His "important statement" on trade (high tariff threats) and the announcement of today's "important statement" on the Russian issue are still important sources of market uncertainty and risk aversion. The escalation of relevant remarks or measures will be good for gold, and vice versa, it may weaken safe-haven demand.
US dollar trend: The US dollar index fluctuated upward last week (recorded its first increase in three weeks). Although it did not effectively break through the 98 mark, its relative strength has put a certain pressure on gold prices, and its trends need to be continuously monitored.
5. Intraday operation strategy:
1. The core idea before the release of CPI: cautious fluctuations and range operations.
It is expected that before the release of the crucial US June CPI data (Tuesday), the probability of gold prices remaining in the range of 3360-3340 US dollars is very high. Market participants tend to wait and see, waiting for data to guide the direction.
2. Specific strategy:
The upper edge of the range (near and above 3360 US dollars): It is not advisable to aggressively chase the rise. It can be considered as a short-term light position test, and the stop loss is strictly set above 3365/3370 US dollars. The target is 3345-3340 US dollars.
The lower edge of the range (near 3340 US dollars): Pay attention to the defensive strength of bulls. If effective support is obtained in this area (such as a stabilization signal), you can consider light position layout of long orders, and set the stop loss below 3335/3330 US dollars. The target is 3350-3360 US dollars.
Breakthrough strategy (low probability but need a plan):
Break above 3365/3370 US dollars: The effectiveness and sustainability need to be confirmed. The aggressive can follow up with a light position, and the target is 3380 US dollars, but it is necessary to be wary of the risk of false breakthroughs before CPI, and the stop loss must be strictly enforced.
Break below 3335/3330 US dollars: It may open the downward space to 3320 or even lower. You can consider shorting with the trend, and the target is 3310-3300 area, and the stop loss must also be strictly enforced.
*Today, the gold market is in a "quiet period" before the release of key data. Although the overall technical trend remains bullish, and there is strong support in the 3320-3340 area below, it is difficult for gold prices to effectively break through last week's high (3368) and open up upward space in the absence of a new strong catalyst (CPI data). At the same time, the failure of the 4-hour chart to stand above 3360 also indicates a short-term correction risk. Therefore, the most likely path during the day is to fluctuate in the range of 3360-3340 US dollars. Traders should remain patient, adopt a strategy of light positions, high selling and low buying within the range, and strict stop loss, focus on avoiding the risk of chasing up and selling down before the release of CPI data, and wait for tomorrow's data to guide a clear direction.
Be cautious in trading and control risks! I wish you a smooth transaction!
Good if break 3345 then again fall will ome buy above 3368How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold Finds Strength in UncertaintyGold prices surged for the fourth consecutive session after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new wave of tariffs — including a 35% import tax on Canadian goods and threats of 15–20% tariffs on other major trade partners. Previously, the U.S. had already imposed a 50% tariff on copper and Brazilian imports. These aggressive trade measures have reignited fears of a global economic slowdown, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold.
As a result, gold is increasingly viewed as a buying opportunity, with many prioritizing safety over chasing equity market highs.
Adding to the bullish case, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut — reinforced by comments from Fed officials Waller and Daly — have further boosted the metal’s appeal.
In summary, the mix of rising trade tensions and a dovish monetary outlook is providing strong short-term support for gold’s upward momentum.
Gold Trading Strategy for 14th July 2025🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Trade Setup
Timeframe: 1-Hour Candle Strategy
Instrument: Gold (Spot) – XAU/USD
✅ Buy Setup (Bullish Bias)
📈 Entry Trigger:
Buy only if the 1-hour candle closes above the high and price sustains above $3369.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3379
Target 2: $3389
Target 3: $3399
🔒 Stop Loss (Suggested):
Below the breakout candle low or $3360 (based on risk appetite and price action)
🔻 Sell Setup (Bearish Bias)
📉 Entry Trigger:
Sell only if the 1-hour candle closes below the low and price sustains below $3342.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3331
Target 2: $3319
Target 3: $3305
🔒 Stop Loss (Suggested):
Above the breakdown candle high or $3350 (based on price action)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities like gold involves high risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trade at your own risk. The author assumes no liability for any trading losses you might incur.
GOLD | 15min Idea – 14 Jul 2025📌 GOLD | 15min Idea – 14 Jul 2025
Bias: Bullish while above trendline
CMP: 3,355.75
Market Structure
• Rising with HL-HH structure, holding above support box + up TL.
• Minor consolidation before a possible breakout continuation.
Levels
│ R1 3,368 │ R2 3,391
│ S1 3,347 │ S2 3,325
Trade Plan
🟢 Pullback Long → Entry at 3,347–3,350 support zone
Targets 3,360 / 3,368 | SL 3,343
🔴 Breakdown Short → Entry on 15min close < 3,347
Targets 3,336 / 3,325 | SL 3,358
Notes
• Uptrend intact but box needs clean breakout
• Watch volume spike for confirmation
Set alerts at 3,368 and 3,347. Risk ≤ 1 %.
Gold (XAUUSD) | 4H Triangle Breakout SetupPrice is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle with clear compression. We've just seen a breakout toward the upside, now testing a minor supply zone (3,355–3,365).
I'm watching two scenarios:
Bullish Case: Break and close above 3,393 confirms continuation toward 3,445–3,460 major supply.
Bearish Case: Rejection from 3,355–3,365 zone could send price back to 3,300 or even to the 3,180 demand zone.
Key Confluences:
Triangle breakout
Clean supply/demand zones
Price structure support below
Let’s see how price reacts.
#gold #xauusd #priceaction #supplydemand #orderblock #technicalanalysis #breakout #forex
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Imminent? Targeting 3500 +This is a long term plan not suitable for day trading and scalping
Idea:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating in a falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart — a classic bullish setup. We've already seen two previous impulsive rallies of ~17%, each adding ~$530 to the price. Currently, price is respecting the wedge resistance and appears to be gearing up for a breakout.
If we break above the wedge, a similar move could project XAUUSD towards the 3650 zone, aligning with the previous move projection.
Technical Highlights:
📊 Pattern: Falling wedge (bullish)
✅ Historical rallies of ~$530 (~17%) suggest similar potential
🎯 Target: 3650.743
🟢 Confirmation: Break and close above wedge resistance
⚠️ Risk: Failure to break may lead to another consolidation phase
Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout with strong bullish candles and volume. Entry can be taken on retest of the breakout level, with SL below recent swing low.
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY - Overtrading The Silent Killer of ConsistencyTRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 1: Overtrading – The Silent Killer of Consistency
In the dynamic world of forex trading, success doesn't come from doing more — it comes from doing right. Yet many traders, especially full-time traders in India, unknowingly fall into a common psychological trap that slowly erodes both their capital and confidence: Overtrading.
Let’s break it down — what overtrading is, why it happens, and most importantly, how to stop it before it burns through your progress.
🧠 What Is Overtrading in Forex?
Overtrading refers to excessive trading – opening too many positions without clear signals or justification based on your strategy. In most cases, it’s driven by emotion, not logic.
It usually shows up in two forms:
Trading out of boredom or the urge to “do something”
Trying to recover from previous losses (a.k.a. revenge trading)
Over time, this behavior becomes a habit — and like most bad habits in trading, it’s expensive.
⚠️ Signs You Might Be Overtrading
If you answer "yes" to any of these, it’s time to check your discipline:
Do you feel uncomfortable when you’re not in a trade?
Do you enter trades even when your system says “no trade”?
Do you keep switching charts hoping to “find a setup”?
After a losing trade, do you jump right back in to recover?
Have you lost more to fees/spread than actual price movement?
🧩 Why Indian Traders Often Fall Into Overtrading
🔹 The Action Bias
Traders often feel they must "do something" to be productive. In reality, sitting out is a strategy — especially when markets are flat or unclear.
🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily
Many traders in India try to generate consistent income from trading — and assume they must win every day. That pressure leads to forcing trades just to “hit targets.”
🔹 Overconfidence After a Winning Streak
Success leads to confidence — but too much confidence without structure leads to impulsive trading. One good day shouldn’t convince you that you’ve mastered the market.
🔥 Consequences of Overtrading
Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your account — it breaks your mindset.
Capital Depletion: Small losses + transaction costs = big drawdown over time
Mental Burnout: You feel drained, frustrated, and reactive
Lack of System Trust: You abandon good strategies because you never followed them properly
Emotional Instability: You start making decisions based on fear or revenge, not analysis
✅ How to Control Overtrading – Practical Steps
1. Limit the Number of Trades Per Day
Set a clear rule — e.g., “Maximum 3 trades per day.” This forces you to choose the best setups and ignore mediocre ones.
2. Keep a Simple Trading Journal
Write down:
Why you took the trade
Whether it matched your plan
Your emotional state
Reviewing this weekly will reveal patterns you never noticed in real time.
3. Block Out Non-Active Trading Hours
For Indian traders, this might mean avoiding low-volume periods like mid-Asia session. Focus on London or US overlap hours — when liquidity and volatility are high.
4. Understand: Not Trading Is Still Trading
Being flat (no position) is a strategic decision. Markets reward patience, not impatience.
🎯 Final Thoughts
Overtrading is not a technical issue — it’s a mindset issue.
When you feel the urge to “do something,” remind yourself: the best traders don’t trade all the time. They wait, they observe, and they only act when everything aligns.
"The market doesn’t pay you for activity — it pays you for accuracy."
If you want to grow consistently, you must master the art of waiting, filtering, and executing with purpose.
📌 Next in the Series:
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 2: FOMO – How Fear of Missing Out Destroys Good Decisions
Follow this page to get notified when it drops!
GOLD (XAUUSD) – NEXT WEEK PROFESSIONAL OUTLOOK & STRATEGY
### ✅ **Chart Observation**
* **Timeframe:** 4H
* **Pattern:** **Clear Flag Formation** identified after a sharp impulsive move up.
* The flag is highlighted in **blue channel**, confirming classic **bullish continuation** structure.
* Breakout above upper channel line **has already triggered** fresh momentum.
---
🔎 **Technical Analysis**
* Flag patterns generally resolve in the direction of the prior trend — here **uptrend**.
* The measured move target typically equals the flagpole length projected from breakout — *this suggests a near-term move toward the **3410–3420 zone**.*
* Strong support now seen at **3320–3330** (previous consolidation + flag base).
* RSI remains healthy near 55–65 on 4H, confirming momentum sustainability without extreme overbought risk.
* Minor intraday resistance will be faced near **3380–3390**, but above that, clear runway toward **3410–3420**.
📈 **Next Week Short-Term Strategy (15–22 July)**
✅ **Bias:** **Bullish / Buy-on-Dips**
✅ **Buy Zone:** 3340–3350 (if retraced)
✅ **Targets:** 3380 / 3410 / 3420
✅ **Stoploss:** 3317 (below flag structure base)
✅ **Aggressive Target Extension:** 3450 (if strong momentum continues mid-week)
⚡ **Key Support Levels:**
* 3330–3340 (flag base & breakout retest)
* 3317 (critical invalidation)
⚡ **Key Resistance Levels:**
* 3380–3390 (first hurdle)
* 3410–3420 (projected move from flag)
* 3450 (extension)
---
💼 **WHITEROCK PRO INSIGHT:**
This flag breakout shows a *classic textbook bullish setup.* Short-term view remains **strongly bullish** as long as price holds above **3320–3330 support zone.**
⚠️ Clients are advised to **accumulate on dips** within recommended zone and **scale out near upper targets** for efficient risk management.
---
⭐ **“Trade Smart. Ride the Trend. Be Ahead.”**
✅ *Stay connected for live levels, strategy updates, and premium support with WHITEROCK.*
Gold .....Triangle pattern in the making ?Do you see what i see ?
Marked on the above chart are two triangular patterns which are identical in nature, one already formed and one in the making . if we break the sloping trend line on the upside, the targets mentioned is possible. stoploss for the trade will be the swing low of the structure which breaks the upper trend line. Plan your trade and then trade the plan.
This is just my view. Trade according to your risk management or consult your financial consultant before taking the trade.
XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!