Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 11-12✅From the 4H chart, gold experienced a strong bullish rally after breaking above the 4077 pivot level and reached a recent high of 4148.99.
However, after consecutive bullish candles, the price faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band (4154.85) and has since pulled back slightly.
Currently, the price is hovering near 4110–4115, just above the MA10 (4104.83) and MA20 (4051.26) — this area serves as a short-term support zone.
The Bollinger Bands remain in an expanding state, indicating that overall volatility is still active.
If the price stabilizes above 4105–4110, the bullish structure remains intact; a break below this zone could trigger further pullback toward 4077–4050.
✅On the 1H timeframe, gold shows a short-term correction after peaking at 4148.
MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover, and the price is currently below them, signaling short-term bearish pressure.
Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow, reflecting decreasing volatility and a possible sideways consolidation phase.
The MACD has formed a dead cross, and the momentum indicator shows continued downside pressure, but near-term support appears around 4107–4090.
🔴 Resistance levels: 4148 / 4155 / 4175
🟢 Support levels: 4105 / 4077 / 4050
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4145–4148 and faces resistance, consider light short positions, targeting 4105–4077, with a stop loss above 4155.
🔰 If gold drops to 4100–4110 and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, targeting 4130–4150, with a stop loss below 4065.
📈The overall structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term correction pressure is visible.
In the near term, focus on the 4100–4145 trading range — sell high, buy low within the band, and wait for a clear breakout to determine the next major direction.
Trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy for 11th November 2025🟡 GOLD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN 💰
📈 BUY SETUP – BULLISH SCENARIO
If Gold shows strong momentum on the 1-hour chart and closes above $4155, it signals potential continuation of the uptrend.
Traders can look for buying opportunities once a candle closes and confirms above the high of that hour.
📋 Buy Entry Conditions:
✅ Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above $4155
✅ Confirm with good volume or strong bullish candle formation
✅ Enter above the candle’s high after confirmation
🎯 Upside Targets:
1️⃣ $4170 – Initial intraday resistance; partial profit zone
2️⃣ $4185 – Secondary resistance; hold with trailing stop
3️⃣ $4199 – Final target for the session
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss:
Place a protective stop below $4140 or below the candle’s low (depending on your risk tolerance).
📊 Commentary:
A close above $4155 may attract fresh buying interest from intraday and short-term traders. Sustained trading above $4170 could strengthen bullish momentum toward higher targets.
📉 SELL SETUP – BEARISH SCENARIO
If Gold weakens and the 1-hour candle closes below $4075, it could indicate that sellers are gaining control.
A close below this level suggests a possible shift in short-term trend direction.
📋 Sell Entry Conditions:
✅ Wait for a 1-hour candle to close below $4075
✅ Enter below the candle’s low once price confirms breakdown
✅ Ensure downside momentum with volume confirmation
🎯 Downside Targets:
1️⃣ $4056 – First target; book partial profits
2️⃣ $4037 – Second target; hold position with trailing stop
3️⃣ $4019 – Final intraday target zone
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above $4090 or above the breakout candle’s high.
📊 Commentary:
A confirmed close below $4075 can trigger a short-term bearish wave. Further weakness toward $4050–$4020 may be expected if sellers maintain control.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📜 This information is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
Trading in commodities like Gold involves risk of capital loss. Always do your own analysis and use strict risk management before entering any trade.
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
Gold Intraday Setup (XAU/USD)Price tapped into the premium zone after a sharp impulsive leg, showing signs of exhaustion near 4139–4140 levels. Expecting a potential short-term correction as liquidity above recent highs has been swept.
Bias: Short
Entry: 4134
Stop Loss: 4140
Target: 4120
R:R: ~2:1
Watching for confirmation on lower timeframes before continuation.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #YCGHCapital
XAU/USD – Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout? 1. MARKET CONTEXT
The US government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historic record).
Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30)
Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148
Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x
Break 4148 → trigger short-term increase, target 418x – 4205
Decision zone: 4097 & 4148
3. TRADING PLAN
🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway)
→ “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones
RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points
BUY zone:
4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120
Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145
Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if there is a candle reaction)
SELL zone:
4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100
If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout
→ Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205
4. SUMMARY
Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news
Strategy: “Break whichever range, trade that range”
Focus zones:
Upper range: 414x (Sell)
Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart Pattern..GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart with Ichimoku Cloud, and my marked resistance and two target points.
Here’s the analysis based on what’s visible:
Current price: Around $4,141 (based on my chart labels).
Resistance zone: Around $4,140 – $4,150, which is where price is currently testing.
Upper target point (minor correction target): Around $4,123 – $4,125.
Lower target point (major correction target): Around $4,066 – $4,070.
📊 Interpretation:
If price fails to break resistance (4,150) and forms rejection candles, it could retrace toward:
Target 1: $4,123 (short-term support)
Target 2: $4,066 (cloud base and major support zone)
If price breaks and holds above 4,150, then the bullish trend can extend further upward, possibly toward $4,180–$4,200.
XAUUSD / GOLD Analysis – Buy Opportunity Ahead!Gold has formed a strong double-bottom support zone at 4095 – 4090, signaling potential bullish momentum. As long as Gold remains above 4080, the bias stays bullish for short-term buyers.
🧭 Trading Plan:
Buy Zone: 4095 – 4090
Stop Loss: Below 4080 (close basis)
Targets: 🎯 4010, 4030, 4040
💡 Technical Reasoning:
Double-bottom pattern confirmation on 1H/4H timeframe
RSI bouncing from oversold area
Price rejecting key support zone multiple times
Potential bullish divergence forming
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper risk-to-reward management and position sizing. Gold can move fast during high volatility sessions — keep your stops tight and targets realistic.
🔔 Conclusion:
If Gold holds above 4080, buyers could dominate the next leg. Watch price action closely near 4095 – 4090 for entry confirmation.
XAUUSD Short idea 12/11/2025Wassup Lads!!!!! Yeah cmonnnn, we're on a winning streak overall. So this is basically purely a time based model, it's simple nothing complex. Gold has taken out London highs and caused a change in the state of delivery, we'll look to go lower for a 2R Win. C'MON!! Let's keep winning!!
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Monitor FVG 4,060📊 Market Structure
After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block .
Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally.
The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken.
A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD
• Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD
• FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD
• FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD
• Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping
If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD:
• Entry: 4,132 – 4,137
• SL: 4,150
• TP1: 4,104
• TP2: 4,067
→ Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation
When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 4,067 or 4,037
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,140
• TP2: 4,197
• TP3: 4,210
→ Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals.
The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD .
“Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English):
Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline.
The chart projection indicates a likely scenario:
✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable)
Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline.
Buyers step in and defend the level.
A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at:
4,100 USD
4,115 – 4,120 USD
As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact.
⚠️ Bearish Risk
If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING ...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who have bought according to the prior plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their ground.
The price in the Asian session at the start of the week has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 zone, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel.
This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions.
In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 frame, the price remains within the medium-term upward channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows”.
🟣 Breaking the 4021 zone confirms that upward momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity 4090–4100 continues to be the short-term target for testing.
🔹 After hitting this zone, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 zone (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly.
💫 The current price signal is entirely in line with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SHORT scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 LONG scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
🌷 Conclusion
Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted in the structure 💛
Be patient, maintain discipline, and stick to the key price zones – this is the time when perseverance will yield the greatest advantage.
Gold 1H – Is This Pump Temporary or the Start of a Bigger Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure.
However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture.
Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials.
• A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback.
• A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move.
Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply.
• Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal.
• Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward.
• Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces.
🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal)
• Entry: 4090 – 4088
• Stop-Loss: 4100
• Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence)
🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup)
• Entry: 3974 – 3976
• Stop-Loss: 3967
• Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080
(Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS).
• The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken.
• Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment.
• Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows.
• Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term.
✅ Summary
Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable.
The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions.
Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions.
Macro Summary
Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend.
Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the most recent up wave:
The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone.
Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
XAUUSD SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSIS I am back!!
Go "LONG" if it breaks the trendline with 4023.97 as the first target and if it breaks that as well then aim for 4035 adn further breaking that might lead to 4045.
Go " SHORT" if it breaks 4005.20 with 3986.56 as the first target and breaking that trendline might lead to 3967.92 and if it breaks and sustains that as well then we might expect a move till 3949.10
Note: As long as it stays above 3977 you can expect the momentum to be Bullish. If only it breaks the 3977 mark then it might lead till the apbe mentioned Bearish targets.
Also kindly follow candle patterns as well and then go for confirmation.
Happy Trading.
Gold Bulls Eye Major Resistance – Can They Break Through?Gold continues to trade in an upward trend, recovering strongly from recent lows. On the 4-hour chart, price is moving closer to a falling resistance trendline, which has acted as a major barrier in the past. This makes the upcoming resistance zone very important for short-term traders.
The next key resistance lies between $4250–$4265, where profit booking can be expected. This area has multiple technical confluences, and traders should monitor how price reacts here. A successful breakout and close above this zone could lead to an extended rally toward $4320–$4350.
However, if price faces rejection from this trendline, a short-term pullback toward the $4120–$4080 support zone would be normal and healthy for the trend. Despite the short-term caution, the overall market structure for Gold remains bullish as long as the price stays above support.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Key Resistance – Potential Pullback BeforAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4145, approaching a significant resistance zone between 4100 and 4120, marked as the first target region. This level previously acted as strong resistance, and price may experience a temporary pullback before resuming upward momentum.
The strong psychological support zone near 3890–3920 served as a solid foundation for the recent bullish reversal, confirmed by double-bottom formations and consistent higher highs.
If gold maintains momentum above 4120, the next upside target lies around 4210, aligning with previous structural highs and a major supply zone. However, rejection from the current resistance could trigger a short-term retracement toward 4100 before another push upward.
Summary:
Immediate Resistance: 4100–4120
Next Target: 4210
Key Support: 3890–3920
Bias: Bullish above 4100, potential retracement before continuation
Gold H1 – End of Wave 5: Is a Corrective ABC Coming?⚡ XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 11/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure on the H1 timeframe, with Wave 5 pushing into the premium zone above 4130.
Price now shows early exhaustion at the highs, suggesting the market is preparing to transition into a corrective ABC phase.
A confirmed reversal signal will be:
✅ H1 close below the Wave 2–4 trendline → confirming the start of Wave A.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initial rally from 3964
• Wave 2: Shallow pullback near 3985
• Wave 3: Strong impulsive breakout toward 4070+
• Wave 4: Mid-cycle correction holding structure
• Wave 5: Final push topping around 4130–4140 (current swing high)
The 5-wave impulse is now completed → market likely moves into A–B–C correction.
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A
• First levels: 4105 (Fibo 0.236)
• Main target zone: 4078 (Fibo 0.382)
Wave B
• Corrective rebound toward
o 4105, or
o 4115–4120
Wave C
• Strongest leg of correction
• Ideal target zones:
o 4035 (Fibo 0.618 retracement of the full 1–5 impulse)
o 4004 (Fibo 0.786 retracement)
• Wave C often ≈ Wave A → aligns with 4035–4004
📌 Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-Based)
✅ Scenario 1 – SELL the upcoming correction (Preferred)
Entry:
• After H1 candle closes below the 2–4 trendline,
or wait for a Wave B retest into 4105–4120.
Stop Loss:
• Above the Swing High → 4145
Take Profit:
• TP1: 4078
• TP2: 4035
• TP3: 4004
✅ Scenario 2 – BUY only if wave invalidation occurs
If gold breaks and holds above 4145, Wave 5 may be extending.
Entry: above 4145
SL: 4120
TP: 4170–4200
✅ Summary
Gold has finished a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now likely entering a corrective ABC structure.
The highest-probability opportunity today is to sell the Wave B retracement and target deeper corrective zones at 4035–4004.
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure
On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones.
The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region.
However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers.
Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions.
If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD .
Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone.
• Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout:
If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,995
• SL: 3,965
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,052
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance:
If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,990
• SL: 4,000
• TP1: 3,965
• TP2: 3,950
• TP3: 3,944
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone.
If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD.
If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD.
“Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 06/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Candle Patterns Understanding the Basics of a Candlestick
Each candlestick represents the price movement of an asset within a specific time period — it could be one minute, one hour, one day, or even one week.
A candlestick consists of four main components:
Open – the price at which the asset started trading for the period.
Close – the price at which the asset finished trading for that period.
High – the highest price reached during the period.
Low – the lowest price reached during the period.
The body (the thick part of the candle) shows the range between the open and close prices.
If the close is higher than the open, the candle is bullish (usually green or white).
If the close is lower than the open, it’s bearish (usually red or black).
The thin lines above and below the body are called wicks or shadows, showing the highest and lowest traded prices.
Basic Concepts of Options TradingWhat Are Options?
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset—such as a stock, index, or commodity—at a predetermined price (called the strike price) on or before a specified date (the expiry date).
Options are of two main types:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Each option contract typically represents 100 shares of the underlying stock in many markets (such as the U.S.), but in the Indian derivatives market (NSE/BSE), the lot size varies for different stocks and indices.
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations.
Mixed economic signals — including softer labour data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below.
Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favourable for SMC-style setups.
Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players.
• The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg.
• A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution.
• Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation.
• Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125
Rationale:
• Discount zone within the current 4H range
• Liquidity resting below the structure lows
• Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse
🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152
SL: 4161
TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920
Rationale:
• Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity
• Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside
• Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering.
• Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens.
• Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price.
Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction.
Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations.
Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure.
Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favoured at 3907–3909.
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