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Gold Analysis: Perfect Bounce from 3248 SupportJust as we discussed in yesterday's analysis, gold has delivered an excellent bounce from that Fibonacci golden support zone (3248-3287). The bulls stepped in right where we expected them to, and the reaction has been quite impressive. Monthly & Quarterly Close Above 3300: Gold managed to close both the month and quarter above that critical 3300 psychological level. These higher timeframe closes carry significant weight and suggest the bulls aren't ready to give up just yet. Weekly Pivot Reclaimed:Today we're seeing gold trade above the 3308 weekly pivot level . This is exactly what we needed to see for any meaningful recovery attempt. .All these factors are lining up in the bulls' favor, but there's still one critical piece missing breaking resistance trendline that's been creating the lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) structure. What We Need to See: For gold to confirm this isn't just another counter-trend bounce, the bulls need to: 1. Break above that descending trendline resistance 2. Hold the breakout on higher timeframes 3. Create a higher high to break the current bearish structure We're at a pivotal moment. The bounce from the golden zone was textbook, the monthly/quarterly closes were bullish, and we're back above the weekly pivot. Now it's all about whether the bulls have enough momentum to break through that structural resistance. If they can claim territory above that trendline and hold it, we could see a strong continuation higher. But if they get rejected here, it might just be another failed attempt in the ongoing correction which can lead to consolidation in big range. this week will be crucial in determining gold's near-term direction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Bear Flag Breakdown Looms on XAUUSDGold (XAUUSD) is currently forming a clear bear flag pattern on the H1 chart, signaling a weak corrective move within a dominant downtrend. The 5-wave structure (1 to 5) inside the flag indicates limited bullish momentum. If the lower trendline breaks, gold could plunge toward the key support zone at 3,295 USD. On the news front, the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel brokered by the U.S. has significantly reduced geopolitical risk, weakening the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. In under 48 hours, gold lost over 60 dollars, reflecting the market's rapid shift toward risk-on sentiment. Additionally, speculative money is flowing out of precious metals and into growth assets, adding further downside pressure. Given this confluence of technical and fundamental factors, I lean strongly toward a bearish continuation, with a likely breakdown of the flag pattern. As long as price remains below the EMA 89 (around 3,342 USD), the short-term trend favors the bears. Are you ready for the next leg down?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
7
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart) Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 27, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,278.385, with a slight increase of +2.500 (+0.08%). The chart shows a recent uptrend that appears to be exhausting near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Sell Entry: Enter a BUY position at 3,26O TO 3270 (current price), as it aligns with a resistance zone where the price has peaked and started to show signs of decline. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,240.526, below the recent low, to protect against an upward continuation. This level is approximately 37.859 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,300.898, a conservative target about 35.513 points above the entry. Take Profit 2: 3,305.203, a slightly lower target approximately 34.818 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,313.816, a mid-range target about 17.431 points above the entry. indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates an uptrend with a recent peak followed by a bearish candle, suggesting a possible reversal. The horizontal dashed line marks a key level, supporting the sell setup at the current resistance. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (37.859 points) compared to the take profit levels (14.440 to 35.513 points) presents a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 1 offers a near 1:1 ratio, while Take Profit 4 results in a negative ratio, indicating a high-risk trade against the recent uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NAVIPIPS on TradingView.com on June 28, 2025, at 20:42 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position. Note that the chart indicates a buy setup, but since you requested a sell analysis, I will interpret a potential sell scenario based on the current price action and levels. Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,274.175, with a slight decline of -0.580 (-0.02%). The chart shows a recent uptrend that may be exhausting near the current level, with a potential reversal suggested by the downward trendline. BUY Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,274.175 (current price), as it aligns with a resistance zone where the price has struggled to break higher, indicated by the buy entry level being a potential reversal point for a sell. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,263.740, below the recent low, to protect against an upward continuation. This level is approximately 10.435 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,295.816, a conservative target about 21.641 points above the entry. Take Profit 2: 3,280.254, a mid-range target approximately 6.079 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,263.825, a deeper target about 10.350 points below the entry, aligning with a support zone. Price Action: The chart indicates an uptrend with a potential peak near the current level, supported by the downward trendline. The buy setup suggests a bounce, but a sell could be viable if the price fails to sustain upward momentum. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.435 points) compared to the take profit levels (6.079 to 21.641 points) presents a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 1 offers a 1:2 ratio, while Take Profit 3 results in a negative ratio, indicating a high-risk sell against the buy setup. Conclusion Enter a BUY at 3,274.175, with a stop loss at 3,263.740 and take profit levels at 3,295.816, 3,280.254, and 3,263.825. This is a counter-trend trade against the indicated buy setup, so confirm the reversal with additional indicators (e.g., candlestick patterns or RSI) and be prepared for potential upward momentum if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
Gold Trading Strategy for 01st July 2025📈 GOLD ($XAU/USD) Trading Plan 🕐 Strategy Based on 1-Hour Candle Breakout 🟢 BUY Setup: Trigger: Buy above the high of 1-hour candle after a confirmed close above $3321 🎯 Targets: ✅ $3334 – First Target ✅ $3349 – Second Target ✅ $3368 – Final Target 🛡️ Stop-Loss Suggestion: Just below $3321 (or based on your risk tolerance) 🔴 SELL Setup: Trigger: Sell below the low of 1-hour candle after a confirmed close below $3285 🎯 Targets: ✅ $3273 – First Target ✅ $3261 – Second Target ✅ $3249 – Final Target 🛡️ Stop-Loss Suggestion: Just above $3285 (or based on your risk tolerance) ⚠️ Important Notes: Wait for candle close confirmation above/below the key levels ($3321 for Buy, $3285 for Sell). Avoid trading in a sideways or uncertain market – follow only on clear breakout candles. Use proper risk management and position sizing according to your capital. 📌 Disclaimer: 🧾 This is not investment advice. Trading in gold or any financial market involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Always consult with your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Tweezer Top and Tweezer Bottom Candlestick PatternsTweezer Top and Tweezer Bottom are powerful reversal candlestick patterns often spotted at the end of trends. 🔻 Tweezer Top Appears at the top of an uptrend. It consists of two consecutive candles with similar highs. The first candle is usually bullish, followed by a bearish candle of almost the same high, signaling a potential bearish reversal. 🔺 Tweezer Bottom Appears at the bottom of a downtrend. It consists of two candles with matching lows. The first candle is bearish, followed by a bullish candle of nearly equal low, indicating a possible bullish reversal. 📌 Key Characteristics: • Both candles have equal highs (top) or lows (bottom) • Second candle shows hesitation or rejection of the previous trend • Often found near resistance or support zones • Works best with volume confirmation or other confluence signals Disclaimer : This idea post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only highlighting the power of coding( pine script) in TradingView, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Shivam_Mandrai
Gold Petal Springs from ₹9,651 – Short-Covering or Trend ReverseTechnical Analysis: Gold Petal Futures (2H chart) shows a sharp rebound from the support zone near ₹9,651 after a steep sell-off. The price has formed a series of higher lows and higher closes, indicating a potential short-term bottom. Currently trading at ₹9,731, the instrument is approaching a minor resistance band around ₹9,750–₹9,760. The bullish candles with lower wicks show buying interest on dips, but volume confirmation is key for trend continuation. A close above ₹9,760 can trigger further upside, while any rejection below ₹9,710 may lead to renewed selling. Fundamental Analysis: This recovery coincides with easing US bond yields and a weaker dollar index, which generally supports gold prices. Additionally, physical demand in India tends to pick up post-monsoon season and during festive buildup, offering fundamental support. However, global macro uncertainty remains with the Fed’s rate outlook still hawkish. If inflation ticks higher or the dollar strengthens again, gold could face renewed pressure. Traders should watch both global cues and local MCX volumes before building a fresh position.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by duttkirti
Gold updated levels 3315, 3350-3355 upside target avoid any sellHow My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold price recovers 3310, accumulates MondayPlan XAU day: 30 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices (XAU/USD) regained some lost ground during the early European trading hours on Monday. Increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement additional interest rate cuts this year—and potentially sooner than previously anticipated—may weigh on the US Dollar and, in turn, provide support for the USD-denominated commodity, as a weaker dollar makes gold more affordable for foreign investors. However, improved risk sentiment stemming from the US-China trade agreement, as well as the ceasefire reached between Israel and Iran, may reduce the appeal of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. Market participants now turn their attention to upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials later on Monday, with scheduled speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee. personal opinion:!!! Gold price recovers to gain liquidity at the beginning of the week, using fibonacci to find potential resistance: 3310 Important price zone to consider : !!! SELL point: 3310 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JJainy
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 30, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, we observe a double zigzag correction WXY (in red). Currently, Wave Y appears to be developing as a green abc structure. In this abc structure: + Wave a started with a leading diagonal (5-wave triangle). + Wave b followed as a typical abc correction (in black). + Wave c is currently unfolding as a clear 5-wave impulsive move, characterized by sharp and rapid price action. The key issue now is to determine whether: + The price has completed wave 5 (black), or + It has only completed wave 3 (black) within the green wave c. If the current movement is wave 3 (black), we should expect a wave 4 correction, followed by one more leg down to complete wave 5. In this scenario, wave 5 will be confirmed if the price breaks below 3255. There are two potential target zones for wave 5: + Zone 1: 3247 + Zone 2: 3224 If wave 5 has already completed, the upward move to 3283 could be wave 1 of a new bullish trend. The next pullback would be wave 2, with an expected target between 3266 – 3261. ⚡️ Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold region, suggesting a high probability of a bullish trend in the upcoming week. This supports the view that wave c (green) of wave Y (red) is nearing completion. H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, indicating the current upward movement may continue. This adds to the uncertainty about whether wave 3 or wave 5 has ended. 🧭 Trading Plan 📍 BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3264 – 3261 SL: 3254 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 📍 BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3247 – 3244 SL: 3237 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 ⚠️ Important Note This trading plan assumes either wave 3 or wave 5 has completed. Therefore, if in the early Asian session, the price does not touch the 3264 – 3261 zone but instead rises above 3283 without closing above 3297, and then drops back below 3283, we should avoid buying at 3264 – 3261. Instead, we should wait for a potential entry at the 3247 – 3244 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold at Make-or-Break Zone – Will Sellers Strike Back?Gold is staging a rebound, but don't let it fool you — the real battle is just ahead. After last week's sharp drop, the price is now approaching a key resistance near 3,355, where the 34 and 89 EMAs meet a supply zone. This is not just any level — it's the perfect spot for sellers to step in. Meanwhile, markets are bracing for high-impact US data this week, including Core PCE and Q1 GDP. If inflation runs hot, it could crush gold’s momentum and fuel another leg down. If rejection happens here, gold could drop back toward the 3,265 zone. Bulls need a breakout to regain control — but right now, the edge leans bearish. Are you ready for the next move?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
4
Update the latest gold price todayGold kicks off the new week with a sharp drop, sliding to around $3,258/oz, down more than $14 from Friday’s close. The primary driver behind this decline is the easing geopolitical tension in the Middle East, following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which has significantly reduced demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, stubborn inflation and weak global growth are forcing central banks — especially the Federal Reserve — to keep interest rates elevated for longer. This policy stance continues to pressure gold prices. From my perspective, gold had surged too quickly in recent weeks due to geopolitical risks. Now that those tensions have calmed, capital is flowing out of gold and rotating into risk-on assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate. Looking ahead, this week brings a wave of high-impact economic data from the US, Eurozone, China, and Japan — including the June PMIs from the US and China, and preliminary CPI from the Eurozone. These releases are likely to shape gold’s short-term direction. For now, the bearish bias remains, with $3,300 acting as a key resistance level to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
Gold Weekly Analysis: Breaking Down After 3300 Support FailureCurrent Market Structure: Gold breakdown below critical 3300 support level last Friday, and more importantly, we closed the week below this key psychological level. This breakdown has shifted the technical structure, and we're now seeing a clear pattern of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) developing as gold enters a downside correction phase. The weekly pivot has dropped to 3308, showing a descending formation compared to last week's pivot at 3386. This descending pivot structure confirms the bearish momentum that's been building. Level to Watch: 3308 Weekly Pivot - This is our key reversal level for this week. For any meaningful bullish recovery, we need to see: 1. A convincing breakout above 3308 on higher timeframes 2. Price sustaining above this level 3. Breaking the current LH/LL bearish structure Without these conditions being met, any rallies should be treated as counter-trend bounces rather than genuine reversals. Support Zones: Immediate Support: 3248-3287 (Fibonacci Golden Zone) This is our primary support area to watch. It's a confluence zone that could provide a decent bounce opportunity if we get there. Deeper Support Levels: - 3221Weekly S1 support - 3200 Major psychological level If the golden zone fails to hold and we see a breakdown there, these lower levels become our next areas of interest. The bears are in control of the weekly structure right now. Any recovery attempts need to prove themselves by reclaiming 3308 and holding it on higher timeframes. Until then, we're in correction mode with Fibonacci support levels as our key support area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? GOLD PLAN – 30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ☄️ ✅ Macro Context – Focus on USD Debt and Political Pressure As June comes to a close, the US faces a major $6 trillion debt maturity from COVID-era borrowings, creating potential stress on USD liquidity and overall market sentiment. Gold saw a sharp dip to the 32xx range during the Asian session but has bounced back and is currently hovering near last week's closing levels. While the medium-term outlook remains bearish, short-term signals are showing signs of a potential recovery. ✅ Political Catalyst: Trump’s Pressure on Fed: Trump is pushing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%-2%, saying he won’t appoint anyone unwilling to ease monetary policy. This has sparked expectations for potential rate cuts, which could provide support for gold prices in the near term. ✅ Technical Outlook – Multi-timeframe Structure Gold continues its downward correction on higher timeframes. However, short-term candles are indicating recovery momentum, with buying activity near the 327x zone. Today's Strategy: Focus on short-term BUY setups that align with the recovery wave. ✔️ Key Resistance & Support Levels 🔺 Resistance: 3283 – 3291 – 3301 – 3322 🔻 Support: 3277 – 3271 – 3259 – 3247 🔖 Trade Scenarios ✅ Buy Scalping 🔺 Entry: 3272 – 3274 🔹 SL: 3268 ✔️ TP: 3282 → 3288 → 3298 ✅ Buy Zone 🔺 Entry: 3249 – 3251 🔹 SL: 3244 ✔️ TP: 3265 → 3282 → 3295 → 3310 💠 Sell Scalping 🔺 Entry: 3298 – 3300 🔹 SL: 3304 ✔️ TP: 3292 → 3282 → 3270 💠 Sell Zone 🔺 Entry: 3327 – 3329 🔹 SL: 3333 ✔️ TP: 3322 → 3310 → 3298 → 3282 ⚡️ Final Note As we near the end of the month, expect possible volatility due to USD flows and institutional rebalancing, which could create further opportunities in the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD 15M: ORB+ FVG RETTEST PLAY🚀 XAUUSD 15M: ORB + FVG Retest Play Gold has broken above the Asian Opening Range High (ORH) and formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the breakout. Watching for a pullback into the FVG within the ORB structure for a long entry before testing the next resistance zone. ✅ Entry: Retest of FVG zone near 3271-3272 ✅ Stop Loss: Below ORL / FVG invalidation (~3259) ✅ Target: 3297–3300, prior inefficiency + supply zone ⚡ Volume confirmation, clear market structure shift, and ORB alignment make this a clean intraday play with a good R:R (>2:1). ❌ Invalidation: Clean break below ORL 📈 Plan: Wait for bullish confirmation at the retest (pinbar, engulfing) within the FVG. Avoid chasing. 💡 Trade with a plan. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you. #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #PriceAction #ORB #FairValueGap #SupplyAndDemand #IntradayTrading #Forex #GoldTrading #Scalping #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vikramsingh88
2
XAUUSD – Bearish Momentum Builds Amid Risk-On MoodGold continues to trade within a clearly defined descending channel, forming lower highs and leaving several Fair Value Gaps unfilled. After rebounding from the 3,238 USD support, price is now approaching key resistance near 3,297 USD — aligning with the main descending trendline. If price fails to break above this resistance, a drop back toward the 3,238 USD support is likely, with a deeper target around 3,200 USD at the lower boundary of the channel. Fundamentals currently support the bearish bias: improving US–China trade relations and rare earth agreements have triggered “risk-on” sentiment, pulling capital away from gold. Meanwhile, strong USD momentum is driven by robust Core PCE data and the Fed’s hawkish stance, showing no rush to cut rates. Strategy outlook: Watch for price reaction at 3,297 USD. If bearish rejection occurs, short setups toward 3,238 USD and below could be considered.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Gold in Free Fall – Is This Just the Beginning?Hey fellow traders! Today, gold is taking a serious dive — price has crashed below the critical $3,300 support, and things aren't looking great for the bulls. The chart says it all: the old support zone has been wiped out, and the recent minor bounce? Just the calm before a deeper selloff. 💣 What’s dragging gold down? -The reasons are crystal clear: -US Treasury yields are spiking, pulling capital away from gold. -The US dollar is rebounding strongly, boosted by hawkish Fed commentary. Global markets are optimistic, with geopolitical tensions easing — which means gold is losing its safe-haven appeal. In short: there's not much left to keep gold afloat right now. 📉 Technical outlook – Breaking down and breaking lower? On the H4 chart, gold has officially lost the EMA 34 (~$3,322) — a key dynamic support that's held multiple times in the past. With that breach, sellers rushed in. Price is now sliding toward the bottom of the descending channel, targeting $3,240, and possibly $3,200 if bearish momentum continues. And if gold pulls back to retest the broken zone? Don’t celebrate too soon — it could be the perfect trap for sellers to reload. So, what’s your take?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 30th June 2025📈 GOLD Trading Plan – Intraday Strategy 💰 Buy Setup: ▶️ Buy Above: 1-Hour Candle High & Close Above $3295 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $3308 Target 2: $3321 Target 3: $3333 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle low or as per your risk management. 💰 Sell Setup: 🔻 Sell Below: 1-Hour Candle Low & Close Below $3253 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $3241 Target 2: $3229 Target 3: $3218 🛑 Stop-Loss: Above the breakdown candle high or as per your risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities, forex, or equities involves substantial risk. Always do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe. 🧠 Key Highlights: Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent. Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS. The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone. Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance: Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs. Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone. Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays. Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone. 🛠 Tools Applied: PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D. Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts 📌 Bias: Bearish 📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by hrishabh_07