GOLDMINI trade ideas
XAUUSDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at ResistanceGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance 📉🟥
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish rejection pattern forming near the resistance zone around $3,450, marked with red arrows. After price tested this level twice, strong selling pressure appeared, resulting in a sharp decline.
📌 Key Observations:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected from the resistance area around $3,450 twice, indicating strong seller presence.
Double top-like behavior seen with lower highs confirming weakening bullish momentum.
🟠 Support Zone:
A well-respected support level near $3,250 has been identified based on past reaction (highlighted with orange circles).
Price previously bounced twice from this zone, validating it as a strong support level.
🎯 Target Level:
A near-term target of $3,305.586 is marked, which aligns with previous reaction zones and short-term structure support.
If momentum continues, a deeper push toward $3,250 support is probable.
📉 Bearish Bias Justified By:
Clear rejection from resistance
Lower high formation
Current consolidation with downward bias
Possible breakout to downside if $3,305 fails to hold
⚠️ Risk Note:
If price retraces and breaks back above $3,400 with volume, the bearish setup will be invalidated.
📊 Conclusion:
The chart favors bearish continuation with a primary target around $3,305, and extended downside to $3,250 if bearish pressure sustains. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation patterns below current price before engaging.
🔽 Resistance: $3,450
🔼 Support: $3,250
🎯 Target: $3,305
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRO📈 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG! 🚀✨
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel 📊, showing clear bullish intent. Price action has respected the lower channel support, bouncing strongly from a key demand zone highlighted in blue.
🟦 Support Zone:
The price is consolidating just above the $3,385–$3,390 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a springboard multiple times in the past. This area aligns perfectly with the lower trendline, increasing its reliability.
📍 Key Price Targets:
🎯 $3,402 – First breakout confirmation and minor resistance.
🎯 $3,422 – Mid-level target, possible resistance.
🎯 $3,452 – High-probability target if bullish momentum continues.
🎯 $3,460+ – Extended target aligning with the channel top.
📈 Technical Structure:
Price is respecting higher lows and higher highs, maintaining bullish momentum.
A breakout above $3,402 could trigger the next leg up.
Market is forming a bullish flag/pennant consolidation—potential breakout pending ⏳.
⚠️ Risk Zone:
A break below the demand zone and the channel could invalidate the bullish setup ❌. Close monitoring of lower structure is essential.
✅ Conclusion:
As long as price holds above the key support zone and within the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the favored scenario. A breakout above interim resistance levels could send Gold toward $3,450+! 🌟📊
🔔 Watch for bullish confirmation candles or volume spikes before entry!
📅 Chart published: June 18, 2025 | XAU/USD | 1H timeframe
🧠 Strategy: Bullish breakout play 📈
💡 Sentiment: Moderately Bullish ♻️
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 18, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure on H4
The recent drop has broken below the previously labeled wave 1 zone, requiring an adjustment to our wave count. Following the abc corrective move (black), a potential triangle formation is emerging.
At this point, we’re monitoring two possible scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Triangle as a Wave X Correction:
Price is forming an abcde triangle, potentially part of a larger WXY corrective structure. If this plays out, we may see a strong decline forming wave Y, targeting a break below 3297, and possibly extending to 3248.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal Triangle as Wave 1:
If this is a leading diagonal triangle for wave 1, then wave 1 is likely completed, and we are currently in wave 2. In this scenario, price should hold above 3248, with likely support zones around 3335 or 3300.
🎯 Key Price Zones & Resistance Levels
Major Resistance: 3389 – 3402 (based on volume profile) – prime area for potential short setups.
Short-term Resistance Levels: 3389, 3402, 3412 – watch for reversal signals here.
🔻 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is declining and expected to enter oversold territory within 2 candles – indicating a weakening downtrend and supporting the leading diagonal scenario.
H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish – supports short opportunities.
H1: Already turned bullish – suggests a possible corrective bounce before the next drop.
📌 Trade Plan
🔴 Sell Zone: 3400 – 3403
• SL: 3410
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3335
🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3335 – 3332
• SL: 3325
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3402
🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3302 – 3209
• SL: 3292
• TP1: 3335
• TP2: 3365
• TP3: 3402
BUY 3375 , sideway H1, gold price accumulatesPlan XAU day: 18 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Heading into the key central bank event risk, the disappointing US macro data released on Tuesday pointed to a softening economy and reaffirmed bets that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in September. This keeps a lid on the overnight US Dollar rally to the weekly peak.
The US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales declined by 0.9% in May, compared to a 0.7% contraction expected and a 0.1% dip in April. Moreover, US Industrial Production fell short of estimates and contracted by 0.2% in May, following a revised 0.1% increase the previous month
personal opinion:!!!
sideways fluctuation in the price range of 3370 - 3395, gold price waiting for the result of keeping interest rates unchanged and continuing to accumulate around 3400
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Buy point: 3375 , 3338
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAUUSD – Gold rebounds hard, a breakout rally may be brewing!After a perfect touch of the trendline at 3,367 USD, gold has sharply bounced back within a solid bullish structure. Notably, the latest low is significantly higher than previous pullbacks — a clear sign that buyers are still in control. The short-term target? None other than the 3,479 USD resistance — a key level that has rejected price twice before.
If this barrier is broken, gold could quickly surge toward 3,520 USD.
On the news front, expectations that the Fed may pause rate hikes due to weakening U.S. consumer data are cooling the dollar, giving gold room to rally. At the same time, simmering geopolitical tensions are fueling demand for safe-haven assets. With both technicals and sentiment aligning, this could be gold’s golden moment to catch the market off guard!
GOLD to outperform SILVER massively for next few weeksOn May 3 I posted a chart on the ratio at that time GOLD was performing in comparison to SILVER. Now for past few weeks SILVER was doing the same. It we see the wave count it was wave 4 which is now almost complete. We can see GOLD massively outperforming SILVER in next few weeks.
Which side needs to be seen.
If both Rises then GOLD will rise massively wrt SILVER
If both falls the SILVER will fall much badly in comparison to GOLD.
My bet is on downside, rest time will tell.
Regards
THE KING TRADER
GOLD going to outperform SILVER in short termYes, for past many months GOLD has outperformed SILVER and this is likely to happen in course of next few weeks and months.
That implies:
1. If both of them falls then, SILVER will fall more than GOLD
2. If both rises than GOLD will rise more than SILVER
We are in a ABC Correction and after it is completed than SILVER will outperform GOLD massively
Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?🟡 XAUUSD 18/06 – Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?
🌐 MACRO & SENTIMENT OVERVIEW
The US Dollar Index (DXY) gained 0.7% to start the week, as markets anticipate the Fed may keep rates higher for longer due to rising oil prices and global geopolitical uncertainty.
However, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and US retail sales data, there is a strong potential for a shift in tone if growth shows signs of weakness.
Geopolitical tensions – particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran conflict) – continue to support gold’s defensive appeal, even as short-term profit-taking creates volatility.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – M30 Chart
Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel, but price structure remains above EMA 13–34–89, keeping the potential for a bullish reversal alive.
Liquidity has been absorbed multiple times near 3,345, aligning with dynamic support from trendline and horizontal structure → a key decision zone for bulls.
On the upside, resistance between 3,440 – 3,445 remains a critical distribution zone, likely to trigger sell reactions if price fails to break convincingly.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
SL: 3339
TP: 3350 – 3354 – 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3380 – 3400 – ???
📌 This zone overlaps with trendline and recent demand areas. Watch for bullish price action confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) before entering. If confirmed, we expect a strong bounce targeting the upper channel and beyond.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
SL: 3448
TP: 3438 – 3434 – 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400
📌 This is a strong supply area that has rejected price multiple times. Look for reversal signals like bearish divergence or rejection wicks to consider short entries.
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is caught in a critical reaccumulation zone ahead of the FOMC statement. Patience is key: allow the market to react at liquidity zones and follow price behavior instead of chasing moves.
Stick to your zones – protect your capital – and let the setups come to you.
BUY XAU and Take profit 3.421$The price is continuously forming bearish candles on the M15 timeframe, while a false channel breakout appears at the diagonal resistance. The target of $3,421 is considered achievable
On the sell side, crowd participation is high with a downward bias, which is not a favorable choice. Enter a buy position and wait for a take-profit opportunity
Stoploss and take profit in this picture
good luck!1
XAUUSD – Strong bullish momentum, but key resistance remainsGold on the H4 chart is maintaining a steady uptrend, consistently forming higher lows while respecting the ascending trendline and both key EMAs (EMA34 & EMA89). After a brief pullback, price is now approaching a major resistance zone around 3,441 USD — a level that previously rejected bullish attempts.
The market structure suggests two possible scenarios:
If price breaks above 3,441 USD with strong buying pressure, the uptrend will be confirmed and could extend toward higher levels.
Conversely, if rejected again, price may retreat toward the support zone at 3,347–3,356 USD for accumulation before resuming the upward move.
On the fundamental side, expectations of a Fed rate cut—driven by significantly weaker U.S. retail sales—are pressuring the USD, which in turn supports gold prices in the short term.
GOLD AT CRITICAL SUPPORT: FOMC Minutes Could Trigger Next moveCurrent Market Situation:
Gold opened with a significant gap up on Monday but failed to claim above the 3450 level. Since then, the price has been in pullback mode and is now sitting at a critical major support zone.
Key Support Zone:
Upper Level of support zone: 3,385
Lower Levelof support zone: 3,360
This support zone represents a crucial decision point for gold next directional move.
Today's Catalyst:
The FOMC minutes release today will likely be the key driver that determines gold's next move. This fundamental event could provide the momentum needed to break the current consolidation.
Two Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If gold successfully holds above the support zone (particularly above 3,360:lower level of this zone) and manages to reclaim Monday's high around 3,450, we could see a strong buying rally develop that can push price to 3500 or higher levels. This would indicate that the pullback was merely a healthy correction before the next leg higher.
Bearish Scenario:
If gold breaks below the lower support level of 3,360, it would signal further weakness and we could see the price targeting lower levels. This break would invalidate the current support structure and open the door for extended selling.
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th June 2025🟢 BUY SETUP
📌 Condition:
Buy only if a 1-hour candle closes above $3400, and price breaks above the high of that candle.
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: $3413
🥈 Target 2: $3426
🏅 Target 3: $3438
🔒 Stop Loss: Below $3395 (or candle’s low if using dynamic SL)
🔴 SELL SETUP
📌 Condition:
Sell only if a 1-hour candle closes below $3379, and price breaks below the low of that candle.
🎯 Targets:
📉 Target 1: $3365
📉 Target 2: $3355
📉 Target 3: $3345
🔒 Stop Loss: Above $3385 (or candle’s high if using dynamic SL)
📊 TRADE MANAGEMENT TIPS
✅ Use 1-hour timeframe for setup
✅ Wait for candle close for confirmation
✅ Use trailing SL once Target 1 is hit
✅ Trade with the overall trend for higher probability
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📢 This strategy is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Always do your own analysis and consult a licensed financial advisor. Trading in gold and financial markets involves risk of capital loss. Use proper risk management and only trade with money you can afford to lose.
XAUUSD – Bullish Signal Taking ShapeGold begins the week on a positive note, supported by:
U.S. inflation coming in lower than expected, raising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in the coming months.
Tensions between Israel and Iran, which are driving safe-haven flows into gold.
On the H4 chart, the price is pulling back toward the $3,397 support zone, which aligns with both the EMA and a previous accumulation area. The current structure suggests a potential W-shaped reversal pattern, which could propel gold toward the $3,501 resistance level.
Main strategy: Look for buy setups around $3,397 upon bullish confirmation.
Target: $3,500
Stop loss: Below $3,380
Gold remains in an uptrend. The $3,397 zone is the key level that could trigger the next upward move.
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
investing.com
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reuters.com
+15
barrons.com
+15
forex24.pro
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goldpredictors.com
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Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
fxempire.com
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Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
fxstreet.com
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✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+
Stay tuned for Fed statements and Middle East headlines—they’ll be catalysts.
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance ZoneGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone 📉🟥
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart for GOLD/USD shows a clear price action behavior between a well-defined resistance zone (~3,480–3,510) and a support zone (~3,260–3,280).
🔻 Bearish Signals:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times (highlighted with red arrows and orange circles) but failed to break above it, indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price action suggests another lower high formation, which is a bearish signal 📉.
Recent candles are rejecting the upward move, pointing to potential downside movement.
🟩 Support Confirmation:
Previous reactions from the support zone (green arrows) show that buyers have consistently stepped in near the 3,260–3,280 range.
This level remains a key demand zone where a bounce might be expected.
🔁 Outlook:
If the price continues to reject the resistance and follows the pattern, we might see another drop towards the support area.
A break below the support zone would confirm a bearish breakout and could open the door to deeper downside targets.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is trading within a range, but the repeated failures at resistance suggest bearish momentum might take control in the short term. A move back toward the support zone is likely unless a breakout above resistance occurs.
📉 Resistance: 3,480–3,510
🟩 Support: 3,260–3,280
🔍 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless resistance breaks