Gold Continues to Struggle at 4000We're seeing a familiar story play out in gold as it makes multiple attempts to reclaim and hold above the 4000 level, but none of these efforts are showing the conviction we need to see from buyers. The price action on the hourly chart is particularly telling ,we're witnessing similar structural patterns repeating themselves, which often indicates indecision or a lack of strong directional commitment from either side. Once again, we've seen the rising support trendline get broken, which is not ideal for the bullish case in the short term.
However, there's a small silver lining worth noting. Today's CPR is showing an ascending structure, which typically carries some positive implications for intraday sentiment. It's not a game-changer by itself, but it does suggest that the technical setup isn't completely bearish. The key level to focus on for today's session is the CPR BC at 3971. This becomes our pivotal point ,if bulls can sustain trading above this level throughout the day, we could see another recovery attempt materialize toward the higher side. The ability to hold above 3971 would at least keep the door open for further upside exploration.
On the flip side, if we fail to maintain support at 3971 during the intraday session, it could trigger another leg down toward lower levels. Given the repetitive failed attempts at 4000 and the breakdown of support trendlines, the market is clearly at a crossroads here. We need to see some decisive action one way or the other to break out of this choppy, repetitive pattern.
As for my positioning, there's no change to my approach. I'm still holding my buy positions and actively managing the trades as this price action develops. The patience game continues, and while these repeated failures at 4000 are testing that patience, the broader picture still supports the long-term bullish thesis.
Trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy | October 30-31
✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold has pulled back from the upper highs and remains within a medium-term bearish structure. The current candlestick is attempting to test the upper Bollinger Band (around the 4040–4045 zone). The MA5 and MA10 are starting to converge upward, suggesting the possibility of continued short-term rebound momentum. However, the MA20 is still sloping downward, indicating that the medium-term trend remains weak. Therefore, the current rise is mainly a technical correction.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has broken above short-term moving average pressure and is now operating above the MA5, MA10, and MA20, forming a short-term bullish consolidation structure. Price has repeatedly tested the upper Bollinger Band, and although bullish momentum is sufficient, it is gradually slowing down. The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating increased volatility in the short term. The 4028–4032 area forms strong resistance (previous high + upper band pressure). If price fails to break above, this zone may cap further upside. Overall, the 1-hour timeframe remains bullish, but caution is required near key resistance levels to avoid a sharp pullback.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4028–4032 / 4050 / 4072
🟢 Support Levels: 3995–3990 / 3977 / 3955
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold tests the 4028–4032 zone but fails to break through, consider light short positions, targeting 3995–3977.
🔰 If gold pulls back to the 3990–3995 zone and stabilizes, you may consider short-term long positions, targeting 4020–4028.
🔰 If gold breaks above 4035, consider light long positions, targeting 4050–4070.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Short Gold Positionaly#GoldUSD | Swing Setup
Price has completed an extended rally near the psychological 4000 zone and is showing early signs of exhaustion.
A corrective phase is expected as momentum cools off and structure aligns with prior breakout zones.
📉 Setup: Short Gold
🎯 Target: 3445
🛑 Stop Loss: 4148
📅 Expected Completion: 26 Dec 2025
Chart View: Breakdown confirmation below key short-term support with cyclical timing alignment for Q4 2025.
Risk–reward favors a short bias until the 3445 support area is tested.
#BullsBearsClub #GoldAnalysis #SwingTrade #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis
PCR Trading Strategies How Option Trading Works
Let’s take an example. Suppose you believe Infosys stock will go up from ₹1,500 to ₹1,600 soon. You buy a call option with a strike price of ₹1,500 for a premium of ₹20.
If the stock rises to ₹1,600, your option’s value also rises. You can sell it for a profit.
If the stock stays below ₹1,500, the option expires worthless, and you lose only the ₹20 premium.
Risks and Rewards
Option trading can be highly rewarding but also risky. The risk for buyers is limited to the premium paid, but sellers (writers) of options can face unlimited losses if the market moves against them. Hence, it’s important to understand how options work before investing.
Part 10 Trade Like Institutions Types of Options
There are two main types of options: Call Options and Put Options.
A Call Option gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a predetermined price, known as the strike price, within a specific time frame. Investors buy calls when they expect the asset’s price to rise.
A Put Option gives the holder the right to sell an asset at the strike price before expiration. Traders buy puts when they anticipate a price decline.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Gold Struggles at 4000: Managing Longs in Corrective PhaseYesterday's session brought some disappointment for the bulls as gold tested the psychological 4000 level but failed to sustain above it on the larger timeframes. After reaching a high around 4028, we saw sellers step in with conviction, leading to a breakdown of the ascending trendline that had been supporting the recent recovery attempt. The rejection at these levels was swift, and now we're trading back at lower levels, which puts the immediate bullish case on hold for the time being.
For today's trading session, the CPR range positioned between 3943-3968 represents the intraday battleground. This zone is now acting as resistance, and bulls will need to prove themselves here if they want to regain any meaningful momentum. To shift the current selling sequence and get back into control, price needs to reclaim the broken trendline support and more importantly, break above yesterday's high at 4028. Until that happens, the path remains to the downside, and we need to respect what the market is telling us for current short term structure.
On the support side, the 3880-3900 zone that we have to watch and losing control here could open the door for more corrections toward lower levels and can make attempt towards 3850 (50% Fib Level).
From a fundamental perspective, we're also dealing with some interesting cross-currents. The China-US trade deal developments are currently providing some headwinds for gold, giving short-term sellers additional reasons to press their advantage. However, zooming out to the bigger picture, yesterday's Federal Reserve decision to cut rates by another 25 basis points and signal the end of Quantitative Tightening is structurally bullish for gold over the medium to long term. This transition to monetary easing typically creates a favorable environment for precious metals.
As for my positioning, I'm continuing to manage my existing long positions. My broader view remains to buy the dip because the longer-term structure still favors the bulls. These short-term corrections, while uncomfortable, are part of the journey in trending markets. The key is staying patient and not getting shaken out by near-term volatility when the fundamental and structural backdrop remains supportive.
XAU/USD OUTLOOK – TODAY 13/11/25
The US House has approved the reopening of the government, now just awaiting President Trump's signature. This means US economic data will gradually be released again, promising a week of strong and unpredictable fluctuations.
In terms of technicals, gold maintains an upward trend after breaking the H4 sideway boundary, but signs of overbought conditions and H4 peak divergence are emerging.
In smaller time frames (M30 – H1), slight divergence is also beginning to appear, so BUY positions need to be selected carefully, avoiding FOMO. SELL should only be short-term reactive trades.
🎯 Scenario for the day
Morning
Expecting sideway ~30 points within the 4180 – 4212 range
You can WATCH FOR TRADES WITHIN THIS RANGE
if the price breaks through 4212, then wait for a retest back to 4205 to buy up.
Afternoon
Wait for gold to adjust to reasonable BUY zones:
4160 – 4162
4152 – 4148
4123 – 4120
If a strong adjustment occurs:
Beautiful BUY at 4070 – 4040 (deep support zone).
🎯 Target increase:
4280 – 4285
4300 – 4305
🎯 Reactive SELL:
4255, 428X, 430X
(SL 10 – TP 10)
⚠️ Important Note
The overall trend is still uptrend, but attention is needed:
H4 shows signs of overbought + peak divergence.
M30 – H1 shows slight divergence, indicating the market may have a short adjustment before continuing to rise.
BUY should only be entered at beautiful support zones, if a bad candle is seen → close short and exit quickly.
SELL is only reactive selling at strong resistance zones, not holding for long.
XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5💛 XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently trading around the 4210 region, indicating that the upward momentum has slowed after two strong days of gains.
According to Elliott wave, wave 5 may not have ended yet, and this region is becoming a strong resistance – where prices can accumulate or adjust at any moment.
Besides technical factors, political news from the US President's administration is causing significant USD fluctuations, leading to a wide range of gold movements in the short term. Therefore, today it is crucial to prioritise risk management and monitor price reactions in the 4210–4260 region.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 chart, gold is approaching the resistance area of 4210–4260, which also coincides with the 0.236 Fibonacci and the previous FVG zone.
🟣 The bearish view (ABC correction) will be confirmed when the price breaks below 4180 – targeting an adjustment to 4120–4050.
🔹 The bullish view remains valid if the price closes the H4 candle above 4212, in which case the trend could extend to 4250–4280.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (on breakout)
Entry: 4230–4232 | SL: 4225
TP: 4165 – 4190 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (reaction at resistance)
Entry: 4265–4267 | SL: 4273
TP: 4249 – 4215 – 4200
⚠️ Important Note
Closely monitor reactions at the levels: 4246 – 4212 – 4260 – 4280.
USD is highly volatile due to political factors, which may cause rapid fluctuations in gold.
🌷 Gold is at a crucial transition zone – Elliott wave 5 may soon end or expand further 💛
Be patient for clear confirmation, as at this stage, even a small deviation can change the entire price structure.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to keep updated with daily gold insights with me ✨
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 13/11/2025🔸 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• D1 momentum continues to close inside the overbought zone, signaling weakening buying pressure.
• A bearish reversal may occur at any moment.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to contract → a potential signal that H4 may soon turn downward.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is currently oversold, so a short-term bounce is likely to push momentum back toward the overbought area.
________________________________________
🔸 2. Wave Structure
D1 Structure
• No significant change compared to yesterday; price is still heading toward the completion zone of wave X.
H4 Structure
• Price is inside wave X and currently reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of wave W (purple).
• This area aligns with both D1 and H4 momentum, creating a strong reversal confluence.
• We wait for an H4 bearish close to confirm the potential top of wave X.
• Note: The current H4 candle is compressing tightly, so one more upward spike is still possible before reversal.
H1 Structure
• Within the red 5-wave sequence, a smaller 5-wave black structure is developing.
• RSI showed a bearish divergence at the top of wave 3 (black) → early signal of a wave 5 top forming.
• Based on wave projections, wave 5 black (which also completes wave 5 red and wave X) may extend into:
o 4223 (0.382 Fibo of wave 1–3)
o 4248 (0.618 Fibo of wave 1–3)
Confluence for wave-top formation:
• RSI divergence between wave 3 and wave 5
• H1 momentum rising into overbought then reversing
→ This supports the expectation of wave X topping around these zones.
________________________________________
🔸 3. Trading Plan
You have three entry options, depending on your trading style:
✅ 1. Sell Limit: 4223 – 4225
• SL: 4233
• TP1: 4181
• TP2: 4145
• TP3: 4046
✅ 2. Sell Limit: 4248 – 4250
• SL: 4260
• TP1: 4181
• TP2: 4145
• TP3: 4046
✅ 3. Sell Stop at 4181
• Trigger only when the candle closes below 4181 (wave 4 black low).
• This method offers stronger confirmation, since structure breaks down before entry.
________________________________________
📌 Summary
• Wave X is approaching its final target area and multiple signals support a potential top.
• H1 may still push higher toward 4223–4248 before reversing.
• These two zones are strong sell areas with momentum and divergence confluence.
• All three entry methods (limit – limit – breakout) provide strategic options depending on risk preference.
Gold Holds Firm Near $4,180 as Markets Await Fed Signal Gold prices are holding steady around $4,184 per ounce, maintaining strong momentum after last week’s sharp rebound of nearly $250 from the $3,930 low. On the 4-hour chart, the uptrend remains intact with multiple Fair Value Gaps acting as key support zones. The nearest support is seen between $4,150–4,120, while resistance lies at $4,220–4,260.
According to Kitco and Reuters, the rally is largely supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates in December, amid signs of a cooling U.S. economy. The reopening of the U.S. government after a 35-day shutdown means crucial data such as CPI, NFP, and GDP will soon be released — which could reinforce the market’s belief that a dovish shift is near.
Adding to the intrigue, the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review former President Donald Trump’s authority to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook in early 2026. Analysts warn that if this threatens the Fed’s independence, it could trigger a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar and push gold up by as much as $500 per ounce.
Meanwhile, UBS forecasts global gold demand in 2025 could reach its highest level since 2011, as central banks continue increasing reserves. Heightened geopolitical risks — including the upcoming U.S. election in 2026, the Middle East conflict, and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions — are further strengthening gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
In the near term, gold could correct slightly towards $4,150–4,120 before resuming its advance towards $4,260. A decisive break above that level could open the path to $4,300–4,340. With a weakening dollar, potential rate cuts, and global uncertainty, gold appears well-positioned for the next medium-term bullish cycle.
While everyone is worried about CPI, gold has already 'leapt ahe1️⃣ PREVIOUS SESSION DEVELOPMENTS
Gold surged from 4,095 → 4,211, due to:
US CPI being lower than expected, USD weakening, yields dropping below 4.5%.
Stoploss for Sell positions around 4,150 was triggered → creating a FOMO buying effect.
Technical: OB H4 (4,095–4,105) maintains the trend, H1 CHoCH increases → confirming a medium-term bullish trend.
“It's not gold flying – but USD... losing steam.”
2️⃣ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Main trend: Bullish.
Support: 4,175–4,185 (OB M30 + FVG H4).
Resistance: 4,210–4,235 (peak liquidity + FVG D1).
RSI H1 is high, a slight correction might occur before the trend continues.
“As long as 4,175 holds, gold remains king. Losing this area is when we talk about a pullback.” 👑
3️⃣ DAILY SCENARIOS (OPTIMAL PRICE ZONES)
🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUYING WITH THE TREND (BUY BIAS)
MAIN BUY:
Entry: 4,175–4,185 → TP1: 4,210 → TP2: 4,235 → SL: 4,165
🧭 Reason: Retest FVG H4 + OB M30, confluence with rising CHoCH.
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 4,190–4,195 → TP: 4,210 → SL: 4,180
🧭 Reason: Light liquidity sweep at the start of the European session, in line with the US session rebound.
BREAKOUT BUY:
If H1 closes >4,215 → Buy follow → TP 4,240–4,265 → SL: 4,200
🧭 Reason: Breaking D1 peak → confirms an extended wave.
🔻 SCENARIO 2 – SHORT SELL (TECHNICAL SCALP)
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 4,210–4,220 → TP: 4,185 → SL: 4,230
🧭 Reason: RSI overbought + liquidity trap at the peak of FVG D1.
MAIN SELL:
Entry: 4,230–4,240 → TP: 4,175 → SL: 4,250
🧭 Reason: OB D1 + Fibo extension 1.272 – high probability of strong reaction.
4️⃣ OVERALL OUTLOOK
“Gold is in an exciting phase, but not yet overextended.
Holding 4,175 means continued rise – breaking 4,215 opens wave 4,240–4,265.” 🚀
“If there's a correction, it's just to gain momentum before the actual CPI session.”
Gold Gold is rising on growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates soon — weak US jobs data and economic softness are reinforcing this.
FXEmpire +4
• A rate cut or looser policy often favours gold (lower real yields → safer return for non-yielding Gold)
2. US dollar & yields
• A weaker USD and lower Treasury
Gold Trading Strategy for 13th November 2025🌟 GOLD TRADE SETUP 💰
(Intraday / Short-term View)
📈 BUY Setup:
🔹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle close if price closes above $4226
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4237
2️⃣ $4249
3️⃣ $4265
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $4210 (or as per your risk level)
📉 SELL Setup:
🔹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle close if price closes below $4155
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4125
2️⃣ $4100
3️⃣ $4082
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $4170 (or as per your risk level)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis and manage your risk properly before entering any trade.
✨ Tip:
Watch for strong volume confirmation and momentum breakout on the 1-hour chart before entry. Stay disciplined and avoid emotional trades! 💪
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
• H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline.
• H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels.
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave.
• H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X.
• H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed.
🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone.
If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups.
However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline.
📈 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201
• Stop Loss: 4215
• Take Profit 1: 4145
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
Gold Defends $4100 As Senate Works to Resolve Shutdown .Dollar Index consolidates Above 200 Day SMA 99.00
.Global stock Indices show resilience on optimism on US shutdown.
.Markets count on rate cut by Fed in early next year.
.Global economic concerns continue to boost Gold demand.
What's Going on in Gold?
Recent drop in Gold prices reaching $4097 has witnessed mild recovery which faces hurdle at $4145 as global stock indices show resilience in the backdrop of optimism on the US Senate working on a possible resolution to the longest government shutdown in the US history stretching to 42 days. The demand for the greenback shows some limited recovery as the dollar index consolidates above 200 day SMA 99.00
Fundamental Drivers:
US Senate votes to end the longest shutdown.
Dollar Index shows mild recovery above 99.00
Markets expect interest rate cut in early next year though Fed officials maintain neutrality.
Central Banks, especially China and Mid East, continue Gold purchases.
Safe haven demand continues in consistent manner.
Investors position for future inflation hedging.
Technical Drivers:
Price stability above psychological handle of $4100
Bulls defending 5 Day EMA $4090, the first line of defence.
4 Hour RSI reading at 62, still room for extension towards next leg higher before overbought conditions appear.
Immediate hurdle sits at $4145 above which $4155 is next challenge.
Immediate support sits at $4118-$4115 below which $4100 my be exposed.
What's Next High Probability Scenario:
Prevailing price stability above immediate support $4118-$4115 favours further upside on strong break above descending trend line resistance dynamically positioned at $4143-$4145 which next requires clear break above $4153-$4155 to advance towards next target $4193 which aligns with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of correction from $4381 record high to $3886 low
gold spot crucial update after made 4142$this is 4th hrs chart showing major rejection from 4145--49$ range now still looking same history at behalf this chart some major update below--
gold spot if sustain abv 4145--49$ than expect up side 4160--70$ or if close above 4160$ than will see 4280--4250$ near terms.
now see in chart almost double bottom 4097--4096$ if mkt sustain blw or mkt again take rejection above lvl than soon 4065--4030$ expect
Gold Bullish Continuation Setup from Ascending Channel Support✅ Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold)
1. Market Structure
Price is moving inside a clean ascending channel, showing a sustained uptrend.
The lower boundary (rejection line) is acting as strong support, where buyers have entered repeatedly.
The current price action is showing a pullback toward this support area, which is typical before a continuation move higher.
2. Current Price Action
Price has retraced back into the buy zone near the channel support.
Candlesticks show slowing bearish momentum, suggesting buyers may soon take control.
Your chart projection indicates a possible bullish bounce.
3. Trade Setup
✅ Buy Zone: Near the rejection line / lower channel
✅ SL (Stop-Loss): Below the support line — smart placement to protect against channel breakdown
✅ Target: Upper resistance of the channel (around 4230 – 4260 zone)
This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, based on trend continuation.
4. Bullish Expectation
As long as price stays above the rejection line, the uptrend remains valid.
A bounce from this zone is likely to push price toward the target box.
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/12/2025
🔍 Market Context
Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area.
Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction.
The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation.
📊 Technical Structure
Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone.
Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests.
Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle.
Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario for the day:
1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity.
2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD.
3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure.
When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited.
As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
🛡️ Risk Note
This is a technical analysis, not investment advice.
The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
XAUUSD H1 – Double Tap Liquidity & Reentry Setup🕊️ Market Context
Gold just delivered a beautiful liquidity sweep from the highs at 4148, after multiple CHoCH–BMS transitions confirmed structural bullish intent.
We are now seeing price forming equal lows, tapping the buy zone (4090–4085) — a clean H1 demand block aligned with the 0.618 retracement.
💎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure:
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, following multiple BMS breaks to the upside.
Current pullback is corrective — a typical liquidity sweep to rebalance inefficiency.
BUY ZONE: 4090 – 4085 (SL 4080)
→ H1 Demand (OB) + 0.618 Fib confluence.
→ Watching for M15 CHoCH confirmation before entering long.
Target: 4148
→ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above previous highs — likely magnet for the next push.
🪶 Trading Plan
I’ll wait patiently for a clean sweep + M15 confirmation around 4085–4090 to re-enter long.
As long as price respects 4080, my bias remains bullish, targeting the next BSL @ 4148.
No trade if price fails to confirm on lower timeframe — patience over impulse. 💛
💭 Karina’s Note
This setup perfectly reflects the essence of SMC — liquidity engineering before continuation.
It’s not about catching every move; it’s about aligning with the story the market is telling.
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
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