XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025
📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution
🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection
🟡 MARKET CONTEXT:
Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place.
The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation.
🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997)
BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness.
Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas:
• 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket
• 3957–3955 → main intraday demand
• 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone
🎯 TRADING PLAN:
SELL Setup
• Entry: 3995 – 3997
• Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3970 / 3968
• Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation
BUY Setup
• Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive)
• Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3988 / 3995
• Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS
📊 BIAS:
Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend.
Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
Trade ideas
Gold Holding Above 4100$ Market Prepares for Next Wave ExpansionGold continues to sustain momentum above 4,100$, maintaining its bullish market structure as traders price in expectations of a Fed rate cut in December.
While the US Dollar shows brief recovery, the underlying flow still supports safe-haven demand — especially as global risk sentiment remains fragile and the US government moves closer to reopening.
📊 Technical Overview (H1 – MMFLOW Structure)
Price is currently consolidating within the 4,108$–4,113$ liquidity pocket, where prior breakout demand aligns with short-term Fibonacci retracement (0.382–0.5).
This zone continues to attract buy-side liquidity, suggesting accumulation rather than exhaustion.
As long as 4,085$ remains protected, the bias stays bullish toward 4,172$ – 4,203$ (Fibo 1.272–1.618). However, failure to break above 4,172$ may trigger a short-term reaction sell before the next impulsive leg resumes.
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Setup
🌸 BUY Scenario (Liquidity Retest)
Buy Zone: 4,086 – 4,084
Stop Loss: 4,080
Targets: 4,090 → 4,095 → 4,100 → 4,110 → 4,120 → 4,130 → 4,150+
🔥 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Reaction Zone)
Sell Zone: 4,172 – 4,174
Stop Loss: 4,180
Targets: 4,165 → 4,160 → 4,150 → 4,140 → 4,130 → 4,120
🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Price is language — liquidity is intent. The market is not random; it’s engineered to test conviction before expansion.”
Bias remains bullish above 4,085$ – any dip into the liquidity base could offer the last accumulation before the next breakout.
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS 🎯
🌤Overview
Good morning traders 💬
Gold is experiencing a slight adjustment after encountering resistance at the VAH zone on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend.
The price observation zone for today's adjustment is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH zone 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers.
Although there might be a short-term adjustment, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritise waiting to Buy at the support zone, rather than entering a trade against the trend.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term upward structure, with no reversal signals yet.
🟣 The 4075–4078 zone coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short trades.
🔹 VAH around 4020 is strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price adjusts deeply.
💫 The 4200–4203 zone remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 Buy scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4075–4078 | SL: 4070
TP: 4095 – 4105
💖 Buy zone (main priority)
Entry: 4018–4021 | SL: 4011
TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095
💢 Sell zone (short reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4210
TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140
💢 Sell scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4122–4124 | SL: 4130
TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040
⚠️ Important Note
The 4048 zone is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here.
Prioritise Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction.
🌷Be patient and wait for the price to adjust to the support zone to buy according to Smart Money flow.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
Gold likely to come downAs obvious from my previous chart.
the correction is major 4 th wave correction.
After 5 wave up move forming 3 rd wave major
gold had undergone correction to form A wave
and this pull back is B wave and C wave correction
has started.it should violate low of wave A and come down more.
please go through the chart and my previous posts to understand
clearly.
like this post if it helps you..follow me to get updates
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Updated: 11/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130–4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooling off after a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS).
The current price is situated between a short-term resistance zone and a technical support (Order Block) – clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion.
📊 Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price surpasses this, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD.
Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying interest when the price adjusts.
OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, coinciding with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — where buyers might defend the main trend.
Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reconfirmed.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area.
2️⃣ As buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD.
3️⃣ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting to a deeper rebalancing state.
🧠 Analyst’s View
This is a natural “cooldown” phase after a strong rally — the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move.
As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish.
Observing reactions at the OB will help determine if the upward momentum will continue to dominate in the US session.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is adjusting within a larger trend — avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ)
Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)!
Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December.
Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)!
Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold).
💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction!
📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai!
Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!)
Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position.
Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236.
Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044.
🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho!
Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area.
Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
Gold Holds Firm Above $4,140, Aiming for a $4,200 Breakout🔍 Market Context
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, trading around a 3-week high at $4,146 as buyers maintain full control of the trend.
Despite a slight recovery in the USD due to cautious sentiment in the Asian market, gold's upward drive remains intact — supported by expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in December.
Weak U.S. economic data and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment have further reinforced this expectation, reducing real yields and increasing safe-haven demand for gold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4 timeframe)
The market structure remains clearly bullish, with the ascending channel pattern being maintained.
The price has broken through the previous resistance area at $4,086 and is currently consolidating around $4,140, indicating potential preparation for the next upward move.
Important Levels:
• Support: $4,086 – $4,039 → potential retest area for buyers
• Short-term Resistance: $4,146
• Breakout Target: $4,203
• Extended Target: $4,382 (all-time high – ATH)
As long as the price holds above $4,080, the bullish trend is favored.
Only a clear close below this area might trigger a short-term correction before continuing higher.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Momentum always follows liquidity. When the price reclaims the main structure, Smart Money stops observing – they start building the next upward wave.”
Gold comex fresh buy given at 4000$ near 4150-80 target Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 4,080 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 62, PCR 0.94 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover $12.9B, VWAP 4102 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 14.3%, RV 13.2% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 66 = bullish confirmation.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025) Momentum
W1 timeframe:
Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend.
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
W1 timeframe:
The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5).
D1 timeframe:
The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple.
• Wave W (purple) has been completed.
• Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected.
Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth.
A notable possibility:
• Wave W is complete.
• Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black).
• Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e).
This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897.
H4 timeframe:
Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart.
Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area.
Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y.
The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple).
At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone.
It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
GOLD LIKELY TO RETRACE INTO DEMAND BEFORE EXTENDING HIGHER📅 November 10, 2025 | XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan 💰
🧭 Market Structure Overview
Gold continues to trade within a bullish structure, confirmed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 30M timeframe.
The market recently printed a Weak High at 4070, indicating that liquidity remains above and buyers are still in control.
After a strong impulsive leg to the upside, price is expected to retrace into the nearest demand zones before resuming the bullish leg. The unmitigated order blocks around 4001–3999 and 3969–3967 present high-probability re-entry areas.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Structure: Bullish
Liquidity: Equal highs at 4070 likely to be swept before deeper retracement.
Zones of Interest:
Demand #1 → 4001–3999
Demand #2 → 3969–3967
Fair Value Gap: Between 4005–3990 offers potential rebalancing area.
🎯 Trading Plan (LONG Bias)
Entry Zone 1: 4001 – 3999
Entry Zone 2: 3969 – 3967
Take Profit (TP): 4078
Stop Loss (SL): 3994 (6$ risk)
Bias: ✅ LONG
🧩 Rationale
The recent bullish impulse following the CHoCH confirms a structural shift to the upside.
With liquidity resting above the Weak High, we anticipate a short-term retracement to fill imbalance and tap into discount demand zones.
From these zones, bullish continuation towards 4078 remains the most probable scenario — unless price breaks below 3965, which would invalidate the setup.
📌 Summary
Price remains bullish with strong momentum.
Wait for retracement into the identified demand zones for a high-probability long continuation setup.
Gold Neowave Forecast (10-11-2025)Hello everyone
Sorry for absence as I go in research mode with Neowave and found something interestin, anyway lets talk about gold.
# Gold is started walking again in daily charts and its going or atleast try for the time being to break its all time again.
# I also added a blue box on the chart which is an time box, mean price must cross high within this time limits.
## Stoploss will be 3964 if breaks dont sell just exit.
Rest we will talk in the video along with BTC and Tesla.
Thank You.
GOLD LONG SSWING TRADEGOLD ANALYSIS 1 HOUR TF
What to Expect This Week
Early in the week
1. Gold may open slightly lower or stay near $4,000.
2. There’s a good chance it’ll dip a bit first — around $3,970–$3,960 — before going up again.
3. After that small drop, we could see a bounce back toward $4,050–$4,080.
4. If price stays strong above $4,050, it can even head toward $4,150–$4,200 later in the week.
5. If it breaks below $3,950, then the next support is near $3,900–$3,880 — that’s where buyers may step in again.
Gold weekly Outlook 10/11/2025 - 14/11/2025Wassup Lads!
So Gold, this looks very interesting, gold right now is in a very trappy orderflow, it's supported by a bullish weekly fair value gap on the downside and is facing resistance by a daily bearish fair value gap, if you drop down further to the 4h time frame, no keylevels are respected totally, indicating side ways movement.
So there's three possibilities -
1. We take out buyside and go to the sellside
2. We inverse the daily bearish fair value gap, then retest and continue higher
3. We take out the lows and create a bullish daily fair value gap
Honestly speaking, any of these 3 is possible. So it's a good idea tp stay away from gold for now unless you have an intra day A+ setup at play.
Gold looks interesting let's wait and watch.
Keep in mind to -
1. Stay disciplined
2. Manage your risk
3. Do your own research
Let's win this week
Part 2 Understanding the Structure of a CandlestickKey Terminologies
To understand options deeply, it’s essential to know the following terms:
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying.
Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller.
Expiry Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM if the underlying price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM if the price is below the strike.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): The opposite of ITM; when exercising the option would not be profitable.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the underlying price is equal (or close) to the strike price.
Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in the money.
Time Value: The portion of the option’s premium that reflects the time left until expiry and market volatility.
How will the golden new week be from 10-14/11?📉 H4 Analysis (Trendline, Support & Resistance)
Structure:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel.
Trendline:
Upper red trendline: Acting as dynamic resistance.
Lower red trendline: Current support, from where the price has bounced several times.
🧭 Fibonacci Levels:
0.5 = 4,130
0.618 = 4,188
→ This zone (4,180 – 4,200) is the key resistance zone.
💎 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,180 – 4,200
(Fibo 0.618 + Previous Swing High)
Support: 3,890 – 3,920
(Previous Base + Bottom of Channel)
⚔️ Possible Scenarios:
If the price stays above 4,000 → Bullish move may continue, target 4,180–4,200.
If the price falls below 3,970 → Bearish breakdown, target 3,890 support zone.
📊 In Summary:
🔺 Resistance: 4,180 – 4,200
🔻 Support: 3,920 – 3,890
⚡ Trend: Mildly bullish, but strong resistance exists at 4,200.
SELL GOLD: 4195 – 4200
Stoploss: 4210
Take profit: 100-300-500pips
BUY GOLD: 3885 – 3890
Stoploss: 3970
Take profit: 100-300-500pips
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame.
The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points.
However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline.
From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely.
💹 2. Technical Analysis
📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one.
🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction.
🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area.
💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region.
Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region.
Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛
Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context
Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported.
This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor.
From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive.
As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg.
📊 Technical Structure (H4)
The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area)
• 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone)
• ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower.
The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection.
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term.
Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”






















