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GOLD PULLBACK BEFORE FINAL LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) 📅 Date: Nov 04, 2025 📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution 🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection MARKET CONTEXT Gold is currently trading around the 3970 zone after a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the M30 timeframe, confirming short-term bearish pressure. On the H2 chart, price remains in a descending channel, forming lower highs since 4128 → 4006, aligning with overall bearish sentiment. Recent CHoCH signals on M30 indicate that buyers tried to defend the 3980–3970 area twice but failed to sustain momentum. Liquidity was swept below minor lows, suggesting a potential continuation toward deeper liquidity pools near 3960–3955. KEY LEVELS SELL ZONE 1: 4025–4027 SELL ZONE 2: 4011–4013 BUY ZONE 1: 3980–3978 BUY ZONE 2: 3970–3968 TRADING IDEA Current bias: Bearish, expecting a pullback before continuation. If price retraces to 4011–4027, watch for rejection and BOS on M5/M15 to enter short. TP1: 3978, TP2: 3960 SL: above 4027 (≈6 points) Alternatively, if price sweeps liquidity below 3968 and shows strong CHoCH upward, consider scalp long back to 3980–3990, with SL below 3962 (≈6 points). CONFIRMATION M30: BOS down confirmed after CHoCH H2: Resistance zone rejection aligning with trendline + EMA confluence RSI showing mild bearish momentum, not yet oversold → room for downside continuation OUTLOOK As long as price remains below 4027, the bearish structure holds. Watch for liquidity grabs at support zone 3960–3970 before a potential short-term retracement. A clean break above 4030 would invalidate this plan and flip bias to neutral. 📌 Plan Summary 🎯 Sell the pullback at 4011–4027 🎯 TP: 3978 / 3960 🛑 SL: 4027 (6 points)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region. H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X. However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal. H4 timeframe: Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook. Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move. H1 timeframe: On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X. Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red). Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle. • If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y. → This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum. • Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan • Buy Stop: 4000 • Stop Loss: 3973 • Take Profit 1: 4050 ⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trading Strategy | November 3-4✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, after a period of continuous consolidation, gold is still moving near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, showing a weak sideways pattern in the short term. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) are slightly turning downward, while MA20 above continues to suppress price. This indicates insufficient bullish momentum and weak continuation on the upside. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the middle band (around 3998) remains a key support level. Price has tested this area multiple times without breaking below, but lacks effective upward breakthroughs, reflecting a low-volume consolidation structure. Both upside and downside space are limited, keeping the market in a narrow-range fluctuation. ✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold is facing repeated pressure below 4050, weakening once again. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) have turned downward, and the price is now trading below the short-term moving average cluster, indicating rising bearish sentiment in the short term. The Bollinger middle band (around 4007) has become a short-term pivot. Currently, price is operating below it, with a slightly bearish structure. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and price is moving near the lower band, suggesting concentrated selling pressure. If price fails to quickly reclaim the middle band, further downward retests of support are likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4030 / 4050 / 4080 🟢 Support Levels: 3998 / 3968 / 3933 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 📌 If gold rebounds into the 4025–4030 zone and shows obvious rejection, consider light short positions, targeting 4005–3998. 📌 If gold pulls back to 3965–3970 and holds, consider light long positions from lower levels, targeting 4020-4030. 🔥 Gold is currently in a short-term bearish, medium-term consolidation structure. Downside support remains strong, limiting bearish continuation, while dense resistance above makes bullish breakouts difficult. Volatility is shrinking, and capital is showing hesitation. This is a typical event-driven waiting phase, where neither side can form a strong trend until momentum is clearly released. It is recommended to trade within the range, buying low and selling high. Conservative traders should wait patiently for a directional breakout and then follow the trend for safer and more stable results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave. Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning. As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline. • Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone. • Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure • Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD • Stop Loss: 3,905 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 4,072  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak • Entry: 4,096 USD • Stop Loss: 4,108 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,072  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 3,985 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak. 💬 Summary The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows. The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone. The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD . “Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.” ⏰ Time Frame: 1H 📅 Update: 03/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4045 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3980 – 4045, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 4035 – 4045. 📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔸 Sell Zone: 4035 – 4045 🎯 Targets: 4021 and 4012 🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4051.5 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum. 📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4051.5 💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 3, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone. At the current pace, it is expected that within 2–3 more D1 candles, momentum will reach the overbought area — increasing the risk of a potential reversal. However, in the short term, the bullish trend still dominates. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is reversing upward, and if a strong bullish candle breaks above the 4028 resistance level, it will confirm a bullish reversal, potentially leading to a 5-candle H4 uptrend within today’s session. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting a short-term pullback may occur before the next upside continuation aligned with the broader H4 trend. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Current data still supports the scenario that the market is forming Wave (4) in yellow. However, more time is needed for a clear confirmation. If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone without price creating a new high, that would give us additional confirmation of this wave count. In the short term, price may continue rising for another 2 days. H4 Timeframe: The scenario of Wave (4) in purple within Wave (3) in yellow remains valid and has not been invalidated. If price breaks above the 4379 high, it would confirm the formation of Wave (5) in purple, signaling the start of a strong bullish move. At present, price movement remains choppy and overlapping, showing no clear trend direction — hence, we need to monitor price action closely. With H4 momentum turning upward and resistance around 4028 forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, I expect a bullish move of 4–5 H4 candles today. A decisive breakout above 4028 would further reinforce this bullish scenario. H1 Timeframe: The current H1 structure may be forming either: • Wave X within the larger D1 structure, or • Wave (5) in purple within the H4 structure. In either case, we can expect a short-term upward move in line with H4 momentum. Currently, price is hovering around the 4017 resistance zone, while H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward — therefore, a short-term correction toward the 3953 liquidity zone is expected. This area will serve as a potential buy zone. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3954 – 3952 • Stop Loss: 3944 • Take Profit 1: 4050
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trading Strategy Reference for Next Week✅ Last Friday’s gold price movement once again validated the previous analysis. Gold faced strong resistance around 4047–4055 and found support at 3965–3970, remaining range-bound throughout the session and closing near 4003. If no significant news impacts the market at next week’s opening, the price is likely to continue consolidating within this range. ✅ On the weekly timeframe, gold has closed bearish for two consecutive weeks and is currently trading below the 5-week moving average. The 5-week MA has started to turn downward, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, from a broader perspective, the price remains within a long-term ascending channel. The key structural support lies around 3900; as long as this level holds, the long-term bullish outlook is still intact. ✅ On the daily timeframe, gold is trading below multiple moving averages, forming a clear bearish alignment. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages continue to press downward, limiting short-term rebounds. The Bollinger Bands are opening to the downside, with price trading between the mid and lower bands and approaching lower-band support, reflecting short-term weakness. October’s daily candle closed as a shooting star with a long upper wick, which is unfavorable to the bulls. Based on price structure and candlestick formation, the probability of further downside in November is relatively high. The 4010–4020 zone has shifted from support to key resistance; if gold fails to break above this region on Monday, further downside pressure is expected. Conversely, a successful breakout would invalidate the 4030–4040 resistance zone and may trigger a short-term bullish extension. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4010–4023 / 4030–4040 🟢 Support Levels: 3965–3970 / 3915–3885 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to the 4010–4020 zone and shows rejection, consider short positions targeting 3965–3970. 🔰 If gold pulls back to the 3950-3955 zone and stabilizes, consider long positions targeting 3980-4000. ✅ Overall, gold remains bearish on short-term cycles while the long-term structure is still intact. Technical signals, moving averages, and fundamental sentiment all point toward further downside. Throughout November, the primary focus should be on selling the rallies. As long as the key long-term support remains unbroken, the broader bullish trend still has the potential to continue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
GOLD: US Fed is Not Giving Up! Big Selling Zone is Activated.Hello, Traders! It's a crucial time, yaar! Gold is at a major crossroads. The pressure from the US Fed is real, and it’s lining up perfectly with our key price levels. Let’s do a quick scan of the market. I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Big Boss (The Fed) is Hawkish 📰 Main Reason for Bears: The US Fed officials are not interested in rate cuts for now. They are very much "hawkish" due to inflation concerns. This has crushed market optimism. The Direct Impact: Higher US interest rates mean the Dollar is strong and mighty. For a non-yielding asset like Gold, this is a major negative signal. Long-Term View (The Hope): Don't lose heart completely! Big institutions still see Gold climbing (like Morgan Stanley projecting $4,300/oz by 2026). So, current dips are good for long-term accumulation. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply-Demand Game 🎯 The H4 chart is showing a confirmed DOWNTREND. The recent small rally is just a necessary pullback to test the sellers' power before the next big drop. 1. Primary Strategy: GO SHORT (Following the Main Trend) The Hot Selling Zone: $4,059 to $4,085. This is our Supply Area where the institutional players are likely waiting. This level is key. Action Plan: Wait for Gold to enter $4,059 - $4,085. Look for a solid rejection (a strong reversal candle) to confirm your SHORT entry. Final Target (TP): Our main target is the Strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952. 2. Counter-Trend Strategy: The Bounce Level Crucial Buying Zone: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major support level. Action Plan: If the price really drops here, you can watch for a quick long entry for a bounce, but maintain tight stop-loss. 🔑 Final Verdict Best Bet: We must look for a SELL near the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. Everything is lining up for a continued downside move. Risk management is paramount, okay? What's your plan for Gold? Will the market respect the $4,085 level? Tell me in the comments! 👇 #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #IndianTrader #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDCurrent Price: $4,002 Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel. Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980). 🔹 Key Technical Levels Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980 → Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand. Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120 → Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout. Major Resistance (Target): $4,385 → Marked as the final bullish target on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect: A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120. Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target). ✅ Buy Confirmation: Break and close above $4,050 with volume. Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle. 🎯 Bullish Targets: TP1: $4,080 TP2: $4,200 TP3: $4,385 📉 Bearish Scenario If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950): Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range. That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation. 🚫 Sell Trigger: 3H close below $3,940. 🎯 Bearish Targets: TP1: $3,880 TP2: $3,820 📊 Conclusion Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout. The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls. Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term. NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! MCX:GOLD1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! MCX:SILVER1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:NQ1! MCX:GOLDM1! COMEX:GC1! MCX:SILVERM1! MCX:GOLDPETAL1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 02.11.25XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Weekly Buy Projection for 02.11.25. Here’s a breakdown of what your chart indicates: 🧭 Technical Overview: Pattern Forming: Symmetrical Triangle inside a larger Parallel Downtrend Channel. Key Confirmation: “W” pattern confirmation with 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, indicating strong potential reversal. Current Price Zone: Around 4002, consolidating near triangle resistance. 🔍 Key Levels: Support S1: ~3960 Support S2: ~3920 Resistance R1: ~4040 Resistance R2: ~4080 Resistance R3: ~4160 📈 Projection Summary: If Price Breaks Triangle Upward: → Strong bullish momentum expected toward R1–R3 zones. → “Huge buy expected” once breakout candle closes above the upper trendline with volume. Invalidation: → If price breaks below 3960, the bullish setup weakens. → Below 3920, trend may retest the lower parallel channel zone. 💡 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Logic): Buy Entry: Above 4040 confirmation breakout Target 1: 4080 Target 2: 4160
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Global Cues & GIFT Nifty TradingIntroduction In today’s interconnected financial ecosystem, no market operates in isolation. Global economic events, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and market trends from the U.S., Europe, and Asia all influence trading sentiment in India. This interconnectedness is what we call “global cues.” Traders closely watch these cues to anticipate how the GIFT Nifty (formerly SGX Nifty) and the Indian stock markets might open or behave during the trading day. GIFT Nifty serves as a key pre-market indicator for the Indian equity market, offering traders a glimpse into potential market direction even before the domestic markets open. Let’s explore how global cues interact with GIFT Nifty trading and shape the overall sentiment in India’s financial markets. What Are Global Cues? Global cues refer to signals or influences originating from international markets that impact domestic trading behavior. These cues include movements in: Major Global Indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, and DAX. Commodity Prices, such as crude oil, gold, and base metals. Currency Movements, particularly USD/INR, EUR/USD, and other major pairs. Bond Yields and global interest rates. Macroeconomic Data, including inflation, GDP growth, and employment figures from key economies. Geopolitical Events, such as wars, sanctions, trade agreements, or political instability. These global indicators collectively affect investor confidence, risk appetite, and capital flows — which ultimately influence Indian markets and the GIFT Nifty. Understanding GIFT Nifty GIFT Nifty, officially known as GIFT Nifty 50 Futures, is traded on the NSE International Exchange (NSE IX), located in the GIFT City (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City) in India. It replaced the SGX Nifty (Singapore Exchange Nifty), which was previously traded in Singapore until 2023. The transition to GIFT Nifty marked India’s effort to bring offshore Nifty trading back within its borders, giving Indian regulators more control and transparency over derivatives linked to Indian markets. Key features of GIFT Nifty: Traded almost 21 hours a day, bridging Asian, European, and U.S. time zones. Denominated in U.S. dollars, attracting foreign institutional participation. Tracks the performance of the Nifty 50 index, India’s leading stock market benchmark. Serves as a pre-market indicator for the direction of the Indian equity market. Because GIFT Nifty trades while Indian markets are closed, its price movement gives traders an idea of how the Indian stock market may open the next morning. The Role of Global Cues in GIFT Nifty Movements GIFT Nifty is highly sensitive to global cues due to its extended trading hours overlapping with international markets. Here’s how global factors typically influence its performance: 1. U.S. Market Performance The U.S. markets, especially indices like Dow Jones, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, play a dominant role in setting global risk sentiment. A strong rally on Wall Street often leads to bullish sentiment in Asian markets and GIFT Nifty, whereas a sharp decline usually results in bearish trends. For instance, if the NASDAQ closes higher due to strong tech earnings, GIFT Nifty futures may rise overnight, hinting at a positive start for Indian markets. 2. Asian Market Trends Since GIFT Nifty overlaps with Asian trading hours, performance in indices like Nikkei 225 (Japan), Hang Seng (Hong Kong), and Shanghai Composite (China) can significantly impact it. Weak Chinese data or yen fluctuations can trigger risk aversion across Asian equities, pulling down GIFT Nifty as well. 3. Crude Oil Prices India is a major importer of crude oil. Rising oil prices increase India’s import bill, widen the current account deficit, and can fuel inflation—all negatives for the Indian economy. As a result, higher oil prices often pressure GIFT Nifty and the Indian rupee. Conversely, a sharp fall in oil prices tends to boost GIFT Nifty sentiment. 4. Currency Movements (USD/INR) A weakening Indian rupee against the U.S. dollar usually signals foreign outflows and inflationary pressure, which dampen investor sentiment. GIFT Nifty tends to fall in such scenarios. On the other hand, a strengthening rupee supports positive sentiment and may lift GIFT Nifty. 5. U.S. Federal Reserve and Global Interest Rates The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions are closely tracked worldwide. Any hint of rate hikes or hawkish tone increases global risk aversion, leading to sell-offs in equities and a drop in GIFT Nifty. Conversely, dovish policies (rate cuts or liquidity support) boost risk-taking and lift markets globally. 6. Geopolitical Developments Geopolitical events such as wars, trade conflicts, or sanctions can cause market volatility. For example, the Russia-Ukraine war initially led to a spike in oil prices and a global risk-off sentiment, dragging GIFT Nifty lower. Similarly, easing geopolitical tensions can trigger recovery rallies. How Traders Use Global Cues in GIFT Nifty Trading GIFT Nifty traders often analyze global cues to predict short-term price action and hedge positions in Indian equities. Some common strategies include: Pre-Market Direction Prediction: Traders track U.S. and European market closings to gauge where GIFT Nifty may open. This helps in planning trades for the Indian session. Arbitrage Opportunities: Since GIFT Nifty trades almost round-the-clock, traders exploit price differences between GIFT Nifty and NSE Nifty futures when domestic markets open. Hedging FII Exposure: Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) use GIFT Nifty to hedge their positions in Indian equities based on global risk factors. Event-Based Trading: Key global events like U.S. CPI data, Federal Reserve meetings, or OPEC announcements can trigger quick GIFT Nifty reactions. Traders position themselves accordingly before these announcements. Example: How Global Cues Drive GIFT Nifty Imagine this scenario: The Dow Jones surges by 2% overnight on strong U.S. GDP data. Brent crude drops below $80/barrel, easing inflation fears. Asian markets open positive. Result: GIFT Nifty futures jump 100–150 points, signaling a bullish opening for Indian markets the next morning. In contrast, if: U.S. bond yields rise sharply, Crude oil climbs to $95/barrel, and China reports weak factory data, GIFT Nifty might fall 150–200 points, reflecting bearish sentiment before the Indian market opens. Impact of Global Cues on Domestic Market Opening Because GIFT Nifty trades overnight, it directly influences pre-market sentiment in India. News anchors and analysts frequently refer to “GIFT Nifty indicates a positive/negative start for the Indian markets.” For example: If GIFT Nifty is trading 100 points higher, it indicates a likely gap-up opening for Nifty 50. If it’s 150 points lower, a gap-down opening can be expected. This helps traders, especially intraday and short-term players, plan their strategies before the NSE opens. The Future of GIFT Nifty and Global Integration GIFT Nifty has strengthened India’s position in the global financial ecosystem. With extended trading hours and growing foreign participation, it acts as a bridge between Indian and international investors. As more global funds use GIFT Nifty for exposure to Indian markets, liquidity and volume are expected to rise. Additionally, the establishment of GIFT City as a global financial hub aligns with India’s vision of becoming a major player in international finance. Over time, more derivative products linked to Indian indices and sectors may be introduced in GIFT City, further deepening market integration. Conclusion Global cues and GIFT Nifty trading are tightly interlinked, forming a vital part of India’s financial market ecosystem. Global economic data, geopolitical developments, commodity prices, and central bank policies directly impact GIFT Nifty’s movement — which, in turn, serves as a real-time barometer for the next day’s market sentiment in India. For traders, understanding these relationships is essential. Those who effectively analyze global cues can make informed trading decisions, manage risk better, and anticipate market direction with greater accuracy. In essence, GIFT Nifty is not just a derivative product — it is India’s window to the world of global finance.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis for Traders1. Introduction to Market Analysis Market analysis helps traders evaluate the future price movements of assets like stocks, commodities, or currencies. The goal is to determine whether to buy, sell, or hold a security. Fundamental Analysis focuses on intrinsic value — the “true worth” of a company or asset based on its financial and economic data. Technical Analysis focuses on market behavior — analyzing charts, price movements, and patterns to predict future trends. Both methods are valuable, and many professional traders use a blend of the two to confirm their strategies. 2. Understanding Fundamental Analysis Fundamental Analysis is based on the belief that every asset has an intrinsic value determined by underlying financial and economic factors. If the market price is below this value, the asset is considered undervalued (a buy signal). If it’s above, it’s overvalued (a sell signal). a. Purpose of Fundamental Analysis The main goal is to determine whether a security is trading at a fair price. It answers the question: “Is this asset worth investing in for the long term?” b. Key Components of Fundamental Analysis Economic Analysis Traders study macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, employment levels, and fiscal policies. For example, lower interest rates often encourage borrowing and investment, boosting corporate earnings and stock prices. Industry Analysis Each company operates within an industry that affects its performance. Analysts evaluate industry trends, competition, growth potential, and regulatory environment. For example, the renewable energy sector may have strong prospects due to global sustainability trends. Company Analysis This involves studying a company’s financial health, management efficiency, and competitive position. Key financial statements used include: Income Statement – reveals profitability. Balance Sheet – shows assets, liabilities, and equity. Cash Flow Statement – measures cash generation and spending. c. Key Ratios Used in Fundamental Analysis Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Compares a company’s current price to its earnings per share. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Measures profit allocated to each share. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Compares market value to book value. Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Indicates financial leverage and risk. Return on Equity (ROE): Measures profitability relative to shareholder equity. By combining these indicators, traders estimate whether the stock’s current price reflects its actual performance and growth potential. 3. Understanding Technical Analysis Technical Analysis focuses on studying price action and market psychology through charts and indicators. The key belief is that “price discounts everything” — meaning all fundamental factors are already reflected in the market price. a. Purpose of Technical Analysis TA helps traders identify trends, entry and exit points, and potential reversals. It answers the question: “When should I buy or sell?” b. Core Principles of Technical Analysis Price Discounts Everything: All news, earnings, and expectations are already factored into the price. Prices Move in Trends: Markets tend to move in identifiable trends — upward (bullish), downward (bearish), or sideways (consolidation). History Repeats Itself: Market behavior is influenced by human psychology, and price patterns often repeat over time. c. Tools and Techniques in Technical Analysis Charts and Patterns Line Charts: Simplest form, showing closing prices. Bar Charts: Show open, high, low, and close (OHLC). Candlestick Charts: Visual representation of price action using candles. Common patterns include: Head and Shoulders: Indicates a reversal trend. Triangles: Signal continuation or breakout. Double Top/Bottom: Suggest trend reversal. Indicators and Oscillators Moving Averages (MA): Smooth out price data to identify trends. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures overbought or oversold conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Detects momentum and trend reversals. Bollinger Bands: Measure market volatility. Volume Profile: Shows traded volumes at different price levels, identifying strong support and resistance zones. Support and Resistance Levels Support is where the price tends to stop falling; resistance is where it tends to stop rising. These levels guide traders in planning entries and exits. 4. Comparison Between Fundamental and Technical Analysis Aspect Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis Objective Determines intrinsic value Identifies price trends Approach Based on financial & economic data Based on charts & indicators Time Horizon Long-term Short-term to medium-term Data Used Earnings, assets, economic growth Price, volume, patterns Focus “Why” the price moves “When” the price moves Best for Investors Traders Drawback Slow to react to market moves Can ignore fundamentals Both methods complement each other. For example, a trader might use fundamental analysis to choose a strong stock and technical analysis to time the entry and exit. 5. How Traders Combine Both Approaches Many professional traders use a hybrid approach, combining the best of both worlds: Step 1: Use Fundamental Analysis to select fundamentally strong stocks or currencies with good long-term prospects. Step 2: Apply Technical Analysis to find the right time to enter or exit trades. For example, if a company reports rising profits and strong guidance (fundamental strength), but the stock price is currently in a consolidation phase, a trader may wait for a breakout above resistance (technical signal) before buying. 6. Advantages and Limitations a. Fundamental Analysis Advantages: Ideal for long-term investors. Helps identify undervalued or overvalued assets. Focuses on financial strength and future potential. Limitations: Not effective for short-term trading. Market prices can remain irrational despite strong fundamentals. Time-consuming data collection. b. Technical Analysis Advantages: Useful for short-term trading decisions. Provides clear entry and exit signals. Reflects real-time market sentiment. Limitations: Can give false signals in volatile markets. Ignores fundamental value. Requires discipline and experience to interpret correctly. 7. Practical Example Imagine two traders analyzing Infosys Ltd. Trader A (Fundamental Analyst): Examines the company’s quarterly earnings, strong IT sector growth, and healthy balance sheet. He believes the stock is undervalued and buys it for the long term. Trader B (Technical Analyst): Studies price charts, notes a bullish crossover in the MACD, and buys for a short-term rally. Both traders are profitable but have different objectives and strategies. This shows how FA and TA can coexist effectively. 8. Conclusion Fundamental and Technical Analysis are two powerful yet distinct methods for understanding market movements. Fundamental Analysis helps you understand what to buy by identifying assets with strong financial potential. Technical Analysis helps you decide when to buy or sell by tracking market behavior and sentiment. In essence, fundamentals tell the story, and technicals tell the timing. Successful traders often combine both — using fundamentals to choose quality assets and technicals to manage entry, exit, and risk. In today’s fast-moving markets, mastering both approaches gives traders a strategic edge and helps them make well-informed, confident trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
GOLD TRAPPED BETWEEN LIQUIDITY ZONES – WAITING FOR SMART MONEY M🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 31, 2025 Main timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + BOS/CHOCH Confirmation 🎯 Hook: Gold is currently ranging between two key liquidity zones after a bullish BOS. Will price hunt the weak high or sweep the buy-side liquidity before the next leg? 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT After a strong recovery from 3960 → 4040, price created a weak high with no significant displacement. The recent rejection from 4037–4039 suggests short-term supply pressure, but overall market structure remains bullish with multiple BOS confirmations. Current structure shows a liquidity grab → retracement phase before continuation. 📈 TRADING PLAN Scenario 1 – BUY setup (preferable) Entry zone: 3996 – 3994 Confirmation: Bullish reaction / CHoCH on lower timeframe (M5–M15) TP1: 4030 TP2: 4038 (liquidity above weak high) SL: 3988 (≈ 6$ risk range) Bias: Continuation bullish leg after mitigation Alternative BUY zone (deep retracement): Entry: 3960 – 3958 TP: 4030 SL: 3952 Use only if price sweeps lower liquidity. Scenario 2 – SELL setup (counter-trade) Entry zone: 4037 – 4039 Confirmation: M15 bearish CHoCH / rejection candle TP1: 4010 TP2: 3995 SL: 4045 (≈ 6$ risk range) Bias: Short-term sell before retest demand 🧩 SUMMARY Market still shows bullish structure, so buy setups at demand zones are higher probability. Sell setups should be quick scalps around the weak high, targeting intraday retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel