HINDA trade ideas
HINDALCO: Forming Wolfe Wave In the process of Wolfe Wave formation. 450-440 is a very good accumulation zone. The reason is the 100 DMA , which has acted as a very strong support earlier and the Fibonacci retracement (Gann Level & Golden ratio level). Wait for it to respect the pattern and confirm a reversal.
Then the targets will be update in update idea section.
CHART & ANALYSIS - ADARSH DEY
Hindalco taking support from trendline (Swing Trade)Hindalco is taking support from a trendline on daily timeframe, after a good fall it is probably taking a correction/retesting. As on the previous day it has formed a Doji candle. There is a good chance that the price could go up from here in a few days or weeks.
Simple Trade Setup | HINDALCO | 25-10-2021 [ INTRADAY]NSE:HINDALCO
Observations:
1) On daily time, we can see that it took support from 50DMA and closed above it.
460 to 470 is immediate support range. Breakdown of it, will continues down fall.
But if it sustain and take support from it then we can see reversal and an up move.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date 25-10-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
HINDALCO contra buyHindalco at short-term trendline support, also near 50 EMA which will act as a strong support point. Historically, in the past year, the stock has reversed most of the time from its 50 days EMA. Can go long here with SL below last swing low of 438, aiming for a target of new ATH of 600, giving a 1:4 R:R .
Hindalco-Neo wave count Current pattern: WXY double correction
Both correction have taken Bow-Tie diametric form(7 leg pattern,Expansion in first 3 leg and compression in last 3 leg).
Right now it seems like second correction is done and current fall can be wave X or wave 1(star of new impulse on the downside)
Shown horizontal dashed lines are retracement(23,38,50,62) levels of second correction.
Notice through out this up move price has taken support of lower channel which it seems like will be broken in current fall.If price goes below 475 and gives closing below it in next 2 day's it will give 2 stage confirmation of TL breach and faster retracement of previous swing meaning bigger move on the downside can come in near future.
Personally i feel metals are way to over stretched on the upside and it's time for them to move down.I have posted charts of Sail and have shared link of my analysis on tata steel on this platform and both charts are showing sign of weakness.
Hindalco being an aluminium and copper producing company has shown divergence from steel producing stock in metal sector up until now,but since last three days it has aligned itself with the broader markets and on the charts it seems like completion of double correction as well.
We can also see that price is following 18-days cycle and price has reversed around cycle low zone on 11-12 occasion.And the next cycle low period is coming on 27-10-21,hence bounce can be seen in price around that day and one should look to exit longs or build short position around that time.
Trade setup criteria
1)Prices needs to close below 475 in next 2 day's.
2)If 1st criteria is meet,then one should look to short the stock on bounce till 495-500(broken channel then act as Resistance).
3)If We should get a reversal candle in the form of shooting star,bearish pearcing,bearish engulfing around channel levels then one can initiate short trade on the next day when the low's of the reversal candle get's taken out.
stop-loss would be 530 on the upside and expected targets would be 475-425-389-360 on the downside.Time frame for this trade would be minimum 1 month.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
[POSITIONAL] HINDALCO LONG BET risk: Reward ratio is 1: 2
Rest as per Charts
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Note -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells “where” to act in “what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let’s say the candle doesn’t break the level which says “Buy/Sell if it breaks”, You should not buy/sell at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
“Positional” - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead.
“Intraday” -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
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Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the “Low/High of the Candle”.
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings
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[ POSITIONAL ] HINDPETRO Long Betr : R ratio is 1 : 2
Rest as per Charts
Note -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives.
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HINDALCO: CASE OF ENDING DIAGONALENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading strategy:
One should go short on current levels keeping SL of 510 & look for the target area of 440/420/400