CHAMBLFERT trade ideas
Chambal Showing Strength?
Current Price: ₹544.70
Setup Type: Fresh breakout post volume-led reversal. Not a random move — this is a tradeable structure.
1. Structural Reversal:
After a sharp sell-off last week, stock forms a base around ₹526–530. That’s your first signal. Today’s price action shows clear rejection of lower levels, with strong buying into the previous supply zone of ₹540–542. The weak hands are out — now it’s a cleaner trade.
2. Volume Tells the Truth:
Breakout candle isn’t just cosmetic — it’s backed by conviction volume, not algo spikes. This isn’t a retail chase. You don’t get this kind of volume just from optimism — it’s someone serious positioning.
3. Risk-Reward Tilted in Favor:
Your downside is ₹539–540. Keep that as a line in the sand. Upside has legs till ₹560–563 cleanly. So you’re risking ₹5 for ₹15+.
4. Macro Fit:
Urea/fertiliser subsidy announcements are around the corner. Input prices globally are softening. This isn’t a bet on a “theme,” but there’s a tailwind if it wants to run.
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Actionable Levels:
• Buy: ₹544–546
• Stop-Loss: ₹539 (strict)
• Target 1: ₹553
• Target 2: ₹560–563
• Stretch: ₹570 (only if market tailwinds support)
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This is not a portfolio stock. This is a position trade, backed by structure and psychology. It’s where risk-reward makes sense, not where narratives are sold.
CHAMBLFERT - Time to test higher levels?TF: Daily
The script seems to be making a strong base at around the 200 DEMA and now trying to come up.
Price has taken support at the trendline rising from June 2024 lows.
Price is at the confluence zone (resistance turned support) of 540-570
A decisive breakout above 570 could take this script higher.
With a stop of daily close below 540, this looks like a good LRHR set up.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
CHAMBLFERT (Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Ltd)- Outlook Stock could see rapid price changes in either direction .
Bullish Scenario:
* If the price holds above ₹606, an initial upward move toward ₹661 and then ₹717 is possible.
* A safer long-term entry point would be if the stock sustains above ₹717 for a week.
* Initial targets range from ₹845 to ₹900.
* Should it maintain this upward trend for 1-2 weeks, further targets of ₹1139 to ₹1194, and potentially even ₹1433 to ₹1488, could be in play.
Bearish Scenario :
* If the stock falls and stays below ₹514, it could drop to ₹459.
* For long-term investors, ₹459 should be considered a strict stop-loss, as a move below this level suggests a more significant downtrend.
Note : Always factor in a small buffer around these price levels.
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Fertile Ground for Gains Chambal Fertilisers (CHAMBLFERT) – ₹551.50
Rationale:
Bounce from Key Support Zone
Chambal is showing signs of a strong base forming at ₹548–₹550, with multiple rejections from this zone and fresh buying support visible. This makes it a low-risk, high-reward setup.
Good Risk-Reward Ratio
A tight stop loss just below the support range gives a favourable R:R profile. If this support holds, a quick bounce toward ₹560 and beyond is highly probable.
Stable Volumes & Price Action
Volume bars are gradually increasing on small green candles, indicating accumulation and the potential for an upward move once momentum kicks in.
Chambal Fertilizers: Exhibits Short-Term WeaknessChambal Fertilizers has recently displayed signs of short-term weakness on its daily chart. The price action indicates a struggle to maintain a position above the 200-day EMA, a widely recognized long-term trend indicator. Despite multiple attempts to close above this crucial level, the stock has been unable to sustain any significant upward momentum, suggesting a prevailing bearish sentiment among market participants.
From a momentum perspective, both the RSI and MACD indicators are currently positioned in what is typically considered the oversold territory. This could imply that the stock has experienced a period of significant selling pressure.
Should the current trend persist, the stock may potentially retest the ₹485 level, which could act as a significant support zone. Conversely, a potential shift in market dynamics could occur if the stock manages to close and sustain above its 200-day EMA for a minimum of two consecutive trading sessions. In such a scenario, traders might consider a revised risk management strategy, with potential stop-loss levels in the range of ₹569 to ₹573 , based on recent price action and potential resistance.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this stock analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always seek the advice of a qualified financial advisor or conduct your own thorough research before making any investment decisions.
CHAMBLFERT at the confluence zone - FVG left at 660Chambal has been falling non-stop for the past couple of weeks and is now approaching the Confluence zone. Previous Supply turned demand zone.
Demand lies in between 550-580 (although I believe 575 would hold strong).
FVG left at 660-680 zone, and most probably the price would retest that first before falling further (if at all the trend to resume downwards)
The pin bars made on Wednesday and Friday (21st and 23rd may), suggests that the selling pressure is slowing down.
We cant rule out a flush on the downside to hunt liquidity first.
I will wait for 660-680 levels to review and decide on directional trade on this counter.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Chambal Fertilizers – High RR Trade Setup FormingChambal Fertilizers price has dropped sharply and is now reacting from a strong demand zone between ₹570–₹579, which earlier acted as a base for a major rally. This area has been respected in the past and shows signs of absorption.
Today’s candle shows a pause in selling, hinting at a possible reversal.
Entry is taken near ₹594 with tight risk below ₹570 (marked invalidation zone).
If demand steps in upside targets are minor resistance around 630,
TGT 1: ₹633 – major supply zone
TGT 2: ₹706 – full mean reversion if strength sustains
This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio with a clearly defined stop-loss and structure.
Keeping it simple zone is valid, price is reacting, R/R is strong. All eyes on follow-through.
Chambal Fertilizers – Strong Business, Low Risk
Chambal is one of the biggest private fertilizer companies in India. It supplies urea and other Agri Products to farmers across the country.
Here’s why it stands strong:
Stable revenue: ₹28,000 Cr+ in FY24
Good profit: Net profit of ₹1,300 Cr+
Low debt: Debt-to-equity around 0.6, very manageable
Healthy cash flow: Business generates steady cash, even in tough markets
Govt support: Gets regular subsidies from the Indian government
Essential sector: Demand stays strong because farmers always need fertilizers
Chambal may not be a flashy stock, but it's reliable. Good fundamentals + technical setup = smart long-term opportunity.
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Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a buy/sell recommendation.
Chambl fert -long for 30 % @ATH fundamentally strong , excellent durability , decent valuation
stock was exceptionally strong despite the recent blood bath in street
Stock is at All Time High ATH
price was condolidating for nearly 10 months with a beautiful base breakout
shorter EMAs are fanning out over longer EMAs
target for 30 % time frame - 3 months
Sl marked in charts
CHAMBLFERT : Rounding Bottom Breakout with ConsolidationChambal Fertilizers is showing a Rounding bottom Breakout with consolidation...
Consolidation Breakout above 555
All data is available in public domain..
CMP : 570
TG : 681
SL : 8% below breakout
Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis:
1: Idea : Breakout.
2: Support : Volume, Delivery .
3: Technical : 21/55/200-EMA, Super trend up, RS>0 RSI.
4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance.
5: Timing : Entry Timing on Daily chart.
Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk .
Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
Chamble Swing trade **📢 Chambal Fertilizers (CHAMBLFERT) – Outperforming NIFTY! 🚀**
🔹 **Stock is breaking out with strong momentum and outperforming the NIFTY index.**
🔹 **Current Price:** ₹625.50 (+4.77%)
🔹 **Next resistance levels:**
- **Gann 1/2 level** 📈
- **Fibonacci extension targets**
📊 These levels will act as targets for swing traders. A decisive breakout above these zones can push prices even higher!
📌 Keep an eye on the trend, and manage risk accordingly! 📊🔥
#SwingTrade #CHAMBLFERT #StockMarket #GannAnalysis #Fibonacci #NIFTY
Chambal Fertilizer : Breaking of a consolidation zoneChambal Fertilizers : Consolidating from June 2024 till a few days back between a range of 440 - 550
Finally it broke out of the zone and made a new ATH of 588
Currently pulling back in a strong demand zone between 525 - 545
If stops and tries to reacts (in lower time frame), then it will be an excellent opportunity to buy, as stock will make new ATHs in the coming month
Risk reward seems excellent with a proper sl below 515
Multi time frame compulsion is a must
DYOR before entering & be cautious as the trade is against the major indices broader market trend
buy in chambal fertilizerStrengths: The company benefits from stable demand for fertilisers, government subsidies, and a strong distribution network. It is well-positioned in India's agriculture-driven economy.
Risks: The stock is sensitive to changes in government policies, fluctuations in raw material costs (like natural gas), and global urea prices. Environmental regulations could also impact operations.
Valuation: Check if the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its peers and historical averages. Analyze key metrics like P/E ratio, debt levels, and dividend yield.
Market Trends: Monitor government initiatives supporting agriculture and urea production, as well as global fertiliser market trends.
Diversification: Ensure your portfolio is diversified and aligns with your long-term strategy.
#CHAMBLFERT – VCP Pattern Forming! Keep It on Your Radar! 📊 Script: CHAMBLFERT
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP in DTF
📈 Wait BO with Volume in DTF
📈 Wait for consolidation
📈 MACD needs to give a Bounce
📈 Price consolidated for 258 days
📈 One can go for Swing Trade
⚠️ Over All Market condition is bad, Practice paper trading
🟢 If you have any questions regarding the setup, please feel free to leave your inquiries in the comments, and I will respond promptly.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 596 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 562
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 20%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 10%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅#Boost, #Like & #Follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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