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GOLD: The Bigger Picture is Finally Getting Clearer !Gold finally showed some clarity after weeks of structure, and now the bigger picture is lining up perfectly across the daily and multi-year weekly charts. The rejection from the 4250–4350 zone triggered the first meaningful retracement after a parabolic rally, and price is now hovering right above the 4030–4060 daily support the only level holding back a much deeper corrective cycle. This entire region is critical because it marks the last breakout base, the liquidity origin, and the midpoint of the 3600-4300 vertical leg. As long as this shelf holds, gold will continue to move in a compressed range, but once a clean daily close breaks below it, the market naturally opens up a fast move toward the 3500–3550 target zone. All confluences measured move, channel midline, point to this same cluster, making it a high-confidence retracement level inside a long-term bullish trend. On the upside, the structure is very clean. Only a sustained breakout above 4300–4350 invalidates the entire correction and flips the bias back to full-bull mode, where gold can easily run toward 4600–4800 as the next discovery leg. Anything below that zone still falls under the extended correction category, not a bullish continuation. This is why the invalidation level is drawn exactly where it is to protect from guessing the reversal too early. On the weekly chart, gold has slipped back inside the multi-year ascending channel after briefly wicking above it. That wick was nothing but a classic blow-off extension followed by a reversion to mean. Now price is sitting comfortably inside the same long-term structure . The upper red band remains the multi-year resistance, the green midline is the structural backbone of the trend, and the purple lower band is the deep cycle accumulation zone. As long as gold stays inside this channel, the macro remains strongly bullish and corrections within this structure are normal and healthy. The mid-channel region around 3500 also aligns perfectly with the expected daily correction, which adds even more confirmation that this retracement is simply part of the long-term trend and not a trend reversal. Commodity index on both daily and weekly frames is cooling off from extreme levels, which supports a deeper pullback rather than an immediate rally. No new bullish divergence has appeared yet, meaning momentum still favors a downside sweep before any major upside continuation. Combine that with the lack of fresh macro drivers and a stabilization in rate-cut expectations, this cooling phase was overdue. In simple below daily support, gold continues the correction toward 3500-3650 above 4350, the correction thesis dies and the bull trend resumes aggressively. Until then, this is a textbook retracement inside a long-term uptrend nothing broken, nothing unexpected, just a parabolic market taking a breath. Trade safe !
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained. The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone) Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction. Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance. Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone. The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger. Important liquidity zones: 4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone. 4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario. 4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers. Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111 📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority) Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone. Entry: 4100–4111 SL: 4090 TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187 Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom. Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom) Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate. Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break) SL: 4120 TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032 Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100. 🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise According to the latest data from CME Watch: 54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps 45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting. In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Conditions Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades. Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups. What scenario are you preparing for the new week? Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone. 🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment. 🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30). 🌐 Macro Context The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin. The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View) Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones. Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone. 🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point. If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280. The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement. If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not. If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term. These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely. Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
4
$Gold: Breakdown or Bounce?🔻 #Gold Breakdown or Bounce? 🔺 Price tested a critical level (upward sloping trendline - Breakdown Retest ) after a bearish engulfing and is now pulling back. Will the breakdown continue, or can bulls reclaim control? 👀 Trendline break 🚨 Breakdown retest ⚠️ Key levels to watch: 🚧 Resistance: $4099.40 - $4126.08 / $4185.91 - $4195.21 / $4355.80 - $4381.44 🛡 Support: $4024.53 / $3932.10 - $3930.62 / $3953.00 Below $3953 → opens downside toward $3500.20–$3432.84 📉 Between ATH & $3953 → market likely stays trendless/choppy ⚖️ TVC:GOLD #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #BearishEngulfing #CandleStickPatterns #BreakdownRetest #BearishReversal #PriceAction #ForexTrading 📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Stocks_Mario
Gold upmove will continue for next week hold buy trade monday 🔑 Key Highlights - Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000. - Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed. - Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200. - Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200. - Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6 🔑 Key Highlights - Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000. - Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed. - Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200. - Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200. - Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6 Key Highlights - Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support. - Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed. - Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020. - Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180. - Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price🔥 Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price Order Blocks are one of the most important concepts in modern trading — because they show where institutions place REAL positions, not where retail traders guess. 🏦📊 When you understand Order Blocks, you stop chasing random candles and start reading the footprints of smart money. Let’s simplify it. 👇✨ 📌 What Is an Order Block? 🧱💰 An Order Block (OB) is a price zone where big institutions (banks, hedge funds, market makers) place massive orders. These zones often appear before strong market moves — because that’s where smart money builds positions. Think of an Order Block as: 🔹 The origin of a powerful move 🔹 A zone where price reacts repeatedly 🔹 A region that creates imbalance and momentum 🔹 A point where institutional orders remain unfilled Once price returns to that zone, institutions fill the rest of their orders, causing another strong reaction. ⚡📈📉 📌 Why Do Order Blocks Matter? 🧠🔥 Because institutions control 80%+ of market volume — not retail. So when they accumulate or distribute positions: 📈 Trends are born 📉 Reversals appear 🌊 Momentum shifts 💥 Big candles print Order Blocks give you insight into: ✔️ Where big players enter ✔️ Where real support/resistance exists ✔️ Why price reverses at specific zones ✔️ Where high-probability trades form It’s the closest thing to tracking the “big money blueprint.” 📌 How Order Blocks Form 🛠️📊 Order Blocks are created during periods of: 🔸 Accumulation (smart money buys quietly) 🔸 Distribution (smart money sells quietly) Then price explodes away from that zone, showing that a major order cluster was executed. This explosive move creates: 🔥 Imbalance (FVG) 🔥 Break of structure (BOS) 🔥 A directional trend These are all signs of institutional activity. 📌 Types of Order Blocks 🟥🟩 🟥 Bearish Order Block (B-OB) The last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. It marks institutional selling. 🟩 Bullish Order Block (B-OB) The last bearish candle before a strong bullish move. It marks institutional buying. Both act as high-probability reaction zones. 📌 How Institutions Use Order Blocks 🎯🏦 Institutions don’t enter all at once — their orders are too large. So they: 1️⃣ Place part of their order 2️⃣ Push price away 3️⃣ Wait for retracement 4️⃣ Fill the rest at the same zone That zone = the Order Block. Price returning to an OB is not random — it’s smart money completing their business. 💼✨ 📌 How You Trade Order Blocks 🧘‍♂️📈 ✔️ Identify the strong move Big displacement = institutional interest. 🚀 ✔️ Mark the Order Block candle The last opposite candle before the move. 🔍 ✔️ Wait for price to return Smart money loves to rebalance orders. 🔁 ✔️ Enter with confirmation Candles + structure + reaction = high probability. 🎯 Order Blocks are not predictions — they are reaction zones with a smart-money edge. 📌 Why Order Blocks Work So Well 🌟 Because they are built on: 💧 Liquidity 🧠 Smart Money Behavior 📊 Market Structure ⚡ Supply & Demand 🔥 Institutional Order Flow This is why OBs outperform classic support/resistance. They show institutional reality, not retail imagination. ✨ Final Thoughts: The Power of Order Blocks 🚀 Once you learn Order Blocks, everything becomes clearer: ✔️ You know where big money enters ✔️ You know where to wait for price ✔️ You stop chasing bad trades ✔️ You trade WITH smart money ✔️ You catch cleaner, stronger moves Order Blocks are the foundation of modern price action — simple, powerful, and deeply effective. 🔥📈
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/2025 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction. ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles. We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum: • If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high. • If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline. (This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.) ________________________________________ H1 Wave Structure The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios: 3 Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 – Correction Completed If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory. ________________________________________ Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming. • Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought. • After that, price may decline again but not deeply: o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low). o Triangle: a shallower drop. • After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing. ________________________________________ Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence: • The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248. • When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3. • Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic. ________________________________________ 4. Overall Bias While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring, our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days. ________________________________________ 🎯 5. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213 SL: 4231 TP1: 4145 TP2: 4096 TP3: 4046
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop. 2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone. This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in. The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins. 3. Projected Bullish Recovery The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects: A bounce from the 4081–4103 support A move up through the channel A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel. 4. Trend Channel A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions. Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests: The down move might be ending Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal 5. Key Levels Highlighted Support zone: 4,081.888 4,103.142 Bullish target: 4,220.041 These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy. 🧭 Overall Interpretation This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for: A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone A bounce and consolidation A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook. • Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone. • Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones. Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase. • Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation. • Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,300 – 4,298 • Stop-Loss: 4,310 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,178 (previous BOS zone) → 4,144 (discount retest) → 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket) 📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,144 – 4,142 • Stop-Loss: 4,135 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,185 (minor structure high) → 4,210 (liquidity void fill) → 4,300 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction. • Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area). • Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation. • Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%. Summary Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes. • Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone) • Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone) Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds. 📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147. Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum. • A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones. • A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels. 🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1) • Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070). • Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB. • Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+). • Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab. • Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top. Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes. Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based) 🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138 Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block). Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250 🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252 Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction. Targets: 4180 → 4150 📌 Summary Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum. Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
Gold Faces Rejection at Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrAnalysis: The gold price (XAU/USD) is currently testing a strong resistance zone near $4,235–$4,240, where previous bullish momentum appears to be slowing down. Sellers are showing interest in this area, suggesting a potential bearish reversal or correction phase. A clear support zone lies around $4,140–$4,150, which serves as the target for the expected downward move. If price breaks below this support, further declines could extend toward the next demand zone. However, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance zone with strong volume, it could invalidate this bearish setup and open the path to new highs. Key Points: Resistance Zone: $4,235 – $4,240 Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,150 Short-term Bias: Bearish correction expected Target: Support zone near $4,145
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support Hook: XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support 4,151 USD Body: 📊 Market Structure After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD region, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment. The price has touched the Resistance Zone 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone 4,151 USD – which previously created an impulsive move. Below Support 4,151, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD. As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply area + where a downward reaction occurs • Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting upward reaction • Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of the upward structure • Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → next wave expansion area 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-following priority If the price adjusts correctly to discount areas: • Entry 1: 4,151 USD • Entry 2: 4,104 USD (best area – confluence OB) SL: below 4,090 USD TP1: 4,208 TP2: 4,237 TP3: 4,260 → Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend) If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 area and creates a clear rejection: Entry: 4,218 – 4,230 SL: 4,245 TP1: 4,180 TP2: 4,151 → Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current structure is very precise: Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continue upward wave. The 4,151 USD area is the focal point to observe. The 4,104 USD area is the best BUY area if the market wants to hunt deeper liquidity. As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, buyers still hold the entire advantage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalidation Condition H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Divergence Secrets What Are Options? An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) on or before a certain date (called expiry). There are two types of options: Call Option – gives the right to buy. Put Option – gives the right to sell. The person who buys an option pays a fee known as the premium. The seller (also called the option writer) receives this premium and has the obligation to carry out the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise it.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 1 Intraday Trading Master ClassWho Wins More—Option Buyers or Sellers? Option buyers have limited risk and unlimited reward, but their probability of success is lower because: Time decay works against them. They need strong directional movement within a short time. Option sellers (writers) have limited profit but higher probability of winning because: Time decay works in their favor. Markets stay range-bound more often than they trend strongly. Thus, professional traders often prefer option selling strategies like: Iron condor Straddle Strangle Credit spreads Covered calls Retail traders, on the other hand, prefer buying options due to lower capital requirements.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow) 🔍 Current Market Context Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level. Liquidity: The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction. The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level. Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone. 🎯 Proposed Trading Plan The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD). 1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD) This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long). Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124. This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120. This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs. The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone. Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240). 2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP) This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move. Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210. This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212. This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone. Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone). ⚠️ Key Considerations Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying). Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success. Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader