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The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is clearly approaching a critical support zone, one that has previously triggered positive reactions in the market. This zone also aligns closely with the psychological level of $4,000, which tends to capture the market’s full attention. Given the current momentum, there’s a strong possibility that buyers will step in and push prices higher. A confirmation, such as a solid rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would significantly increase the likelihood of a rebound. If my analysis proves accurate, and buyers regain control, we could see the price rise to around $4,070. However, if the price breaks below this key support, it would negate the bullish outlook and could lead to further declines. Please note, this is not financial advice!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 20-21✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in a weak, downward-biased consolidation structure after yesterday’s failed rally. 1️⃣ Moving averages show a bearish setup MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to slope downward, indicating that short-term bearish momentum still dominates. MA20 (around 4082–4088) acts as strong resistance; price has repeatedly failed to break above it, showing weak rebound strength. 2️⃣ Bollinger Bands indicate weakness The Bollinger middle band (around 4069) continues to suppress the price; the latest candles remain below it — a classic weak consolidation pattern. The lower band (around 4014) remains the next downward target. 3️⃣ Rebound attempts fail Multiple attempts to break above 4088–4090 failed, creating a short-term top structure. The recent rebound also failed to break above the moving averages, showing continued lack of bullish momentum. ➡️ H4 Conclusion: The structure remains bearish. As long as price stays below 4090, the market bias remains to the downside. ✅The 1-hour chart confirms the same bearish structure: 1️⃣ Clear downward channel After topping at 4132, gold dropped sharply to 4038, then rebounded to 4068–4070 and faced renewed selling pressure. MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 are again aligned in a bearish formation. 2️⃣ Rebound momentum is weak The latest rebound only reached MA10–MA20 before turning down again, showing strong selling pressure. Key resistance remains at 4070–4085; breaking above this area is unlikely. 3️⃣ Key support at 4044–4038 This zone has shown short-term buying interest but lacks strength. A break below this region will open the path toward 4015–4008. ➡️ H1 Conclusion: Weak short-term structure with limited rebound strength. More downside tests toward 4044–4038 remain likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels 4070–4085 4100–4110 4132 🟢 Support Levels 4044–4038 4015–4008 3997 ✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions 🔰 Strategy 1: Sell the Rebound (Main Plan) If gold rebounds to 4070–4085 and faces rejection: ➡️ Enter light short positions SL: 4090 Targets: 4055 / 4044 / 4035 👉 This is the highest-probability strategy under current conditions. 🔰 Strategy 2: Strong Resistance Short (Aggressive) If gold reaches 4100–4110: ➡️ Use medium position shorts SL: 4120 Targets: 4065 / 4045 👉 Strong resistance zone; breakout probability is low. 🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout Short Below Support If gold breaks 4044–4038: ➡️ Follow the trend with breakout shorts Targets: 4015 / 4000 👉 Loss of this zone will open further downside. 📌 Summary Both H4 and H1 remain in a weak bearish structure. Rebounds lack momentum and are consistently pressured by moving averages. 4044–4038 is the key support; if broken, the downtrend will accelerate. Recommended approach today: Sell rebounds as the primary strategy Buy dips only at strong support levels (around 4038)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
XAUUSD – Battle Zones of the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session after a period of compressed volatility, where price tapped both buy-side and sell-side liquidity several times without forming a decisive trend. On the M30 chart, the intraday structure remains bearish, with price consistently rejecting premium levels and forming lower highs. Recent Catalysts: USD holds mild strength following a slightly hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve Market is awaiting mid-week economic releases → leading to a cautious sentiment Risk appetite remains neutral with no strong safe-haven flows Session Expectations: London Session: Likely to generate early liquidity sweeps towards premium zones New York Session: Higher probability of seeing genuine directional expansion Bias: Bearish intraday unless price reaches discount zones and forms a CHoCH Price is currently trading within mid-range levels, making the extreme liquidity zones the safest points for execution. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE) Market Structure M30 structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows Equilibrium zone: 4075–4085 Inducement layers accumulating above 4147 and 4070 Liquidity BSL: Above 4147 & 4070 SSL: Below 4033 and the deeper pocket at 3993 Market forming engineered liquidity wicks on both sides Imbalance Zones Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong scalp sell zone Minor imbalance: 4070–4071 Discount imbalances: 4033 and 3993 support buy setups 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Attractive Explanations) 4148–4147 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Ideal Scalp Sell A premium zone combining an unmitigated bearish order block and BSL inducement. This area often triggers breakout buyers before institutions reverse the move. 4071–4070 → Secondary Premium Liquidity – Fast Rejection Zone A small liquidity pool above equilibrium designed to sweep early highs before price turns bearish again. 4035–4033 → Discount Reaction Zone – Scalping Demand A micro order block aligned with a cluster of sell-side liquidity. Provides clean, low-drawdown intraday rebounds. 3995–3993 → Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Value Reversal Zone A major liquidity pocket aligned with higher-timeframe discounts. If price reaches here, a strong reversal is highly probable. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven, High Precision) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Scalp Entry: 4148–4147 Stop-loss: 4126 Targets: 4135 → 4120 → 4085 Logic: BSL sweep + FVG fill leading to strong bearish rejection. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4071–4070 Stop-loss: 4077 Targets: 4058 → 4043 → 4033 Logic: Sweep of mini BSL followed by downward displacement. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stop-loss: 4027 Targets: 4048 → 4070 Logic: SSL sweep with potential for a micro CHoCH → clean bounce setup. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stop-loss: 3987 Targets: 4010 → 4040 → 4070 Logic: Strong higher-timeframe discount zone → excellent reversal potential. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Avoid trading in mid-range areas — only execute at the extreme liquidity zones Expect fake movements during London open New York session likely provides the main trend direction Wait for M5/M15 confirmation signals (CHoCH + BOS) Avoid buying around premium levels to stay clear of liquidity traps 🏁 CONCLUSION XAUUSD continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium-zone sell opportunities at 4147 and 4070. Discount-zone levels at 4033 and 3993 remain high-probability areas for intraday bounces or deeper reversals. Trade only at liquidity extremes. Be patient. Let the market form the trap — and then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
XAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply Zones With Potential Sh1. Overall Context The market recently had a strong bearish leg after rejecting the upper resistance zone (labelled HIGH PROB POI). Price is currently retracing upward into a series of supply zones, indicating a potential area for continuation shorts. 2. Key Zones High Probability POI (Supply) This is the upper beige zone. Previously caused a strong sell-off → confirms strong institutional presence. If price pushes this high again, it may offer the most reliable reversal area. Extreme POI The central horizontal zone marked “EXTREME POI”. Current price is tapping into it. Market may react here if sellers decide to re-enter early. 3. Internal Structure A series of labeled SSS (Sell-Side Sweeps) indicate liquidity grabs beneath short-term lows. After sweeping these lows, price retraced upwards, likely moving toward premium territory to fill sell orders. The 80% level marked on the chart seems to be your optimal entry zone within the inefficiency/imbalance. 4. Entry Idea Your marked entry level 4080 sits inside the grey supply block. This aligns with: Prior breakdown zones Fresh supply Retracement to premium pricing Liquidity sweep structure This creates a high-probability short setup, assuming the trend continues downward. 5. Expectation If price respects the first supply zone (grey box), downside continuation should follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD: Gold in Downtrend, Waiting for Demand Surge⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/20/2025 🔍 Market Context After the technical rebound at the beginning of the week, gold returns to adjust within the descending channel pattern, indicating that short-term upward momentum is temporarily weakening. The current structure reflects a rebalancing state after the price was rejected at the 4,127 USD supply zone – coinciding with the 30-minute frame Supply Zone. However, the Demand Zone below still plays an important role in maintaining the medium-term upward structure. 📊 Technical Structure Supply Zone (4,127 USD): main resistance area, confluence with the nearest peak – where the price was strongly rejected during the Asian session. OB Bearish (4,106 USD): short-term supply area, highly likely to be retested after completing the adjustment phase. Demand Zone (4,013 USD): main support area in the descending channel, also the confluence point between the channel boundary and the lower liquidity zone. Liquidity Sweep: signal indicating that lower liquidity has been absorbed, opening up the possibility of forming a higher low. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price continues to fluctuate within the descending channel, retesting the 4,013 USD Demand Zone. 2️⃣ If a clear price reaction occurs, the market is likely to break the channel, opening up a technical rebound to OB Bearish 4,106 USD or Supply Zone 4,127 USD. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,013 USD area will temporarily invalidate the rebound structure, bringing the price back to a lower balance area around 3,990 USD. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a corrective pullback phase – where the market needs to regenerate liquidity before forming a new expansion wave. A reasonable scenario is sweep – retest – expansion: sweep lower liquidity, retest the supply area, then determine the main trend for the end of the week. Buyers still have a slight advantage as long as the Demand Zone is maintained. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a phase of market liquidity accumulation, fluctuations may be erratic.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20thGood morning everyone, Brian here with the gold outlook for November 20th. The ABC correction phase of gold is nearly complete, and the market is preparing to enter a new wave phase amidst a flurry of USD data today. Fundamental Analysis Today's focus remains on the US labor data: NFP (or revisions), Unemployment Rate, and Initial Jobless Claims. If the data shows a cooling labor market, expectations for the Fed to soon pivot to a rate-cutting cycle will rise, weakening real yields, putting pressure on the USD, and supporting gold prices. Conversely, "too good" data will strengthen the dollar, allowing for a short-term repricing move, potentially dragging gold down to lower liquidity zones before recovering. US session liquidity may be thin before the news release, making it prone to spikes due to algorithms and large flows simultaneously adjusting positions. Overall, the macro backdrop still favors "buying the dip" for gold, but you must accept strong volatility around news time. Technical Analysis On the chart, gold has completed an ABC corrective wave within a descending channel, part of a larger uptrend. The current descending channel only serves as a corrective leg after the previous upward wave; prices are trading above the "mean" area of the bullish structure, indicating the larger market structure remains bullish. Below is the liquidity zone / demand zone 4013–4015, coinciding with the previous low and the lower channel boundary – if there's another stop-hunt to this area, it is still considered an opportunity to join the upward move, as long as 4008 is not breached. Above, the 4086–4100 cluster is the decision zone: breaking and holding above here will confirm exiting the corrective channel, triggering an impulsive leg towards resistances 4132–4146 and further to 4187. In summary, the main bias remains bullish, prioritizing buy strategies at support zones or after breakout confirmation. Key Price Levels Resistance: 4086 – 4100 – 4110 – 4132 – 4146 Support: 4040 – 4030 – 4015 Trading Scenarios Buy Scenario 1 – Continuation Breakout Entry: 4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4100 – 4120 – 4140 Prioritize when price breaks up and retests 4086–4100 as a new support zone, confirming exit from the descending channel. Buy Scenario 2 – Deep Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4015–4013 SL: 4008 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4070 Watch for strong price reactions at the demand zone, with pin bars or engulfing candles signaling order flow returning to buyers. Sell Scenario – Sell Reaction at Strong Resistance Entry: 4144–4146 SL: 4151 TP: 4132 – 4120 – 4100 Short-term sell strategy, leveraging the high supply zone if price rises straight up without sufficient accumulation. The medium-term upside target if the bullish wave develops as expected remains the 4187 area. What do you think of this scenario? Remember to follow Brian for daily gold insights and comment your views below to join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation during the European session Overall, gold is in a corrective downtrend after the previous bullish move. On the H1 timeframe, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed. However, the support zone around 4,030 and the lower Fibonacci cluster are still potential areas where buying pressure may appear. Today’s European session will be crucial to confirm whether price continues to drop deeper or bounces back, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern developing on H4. Macro – Short Fundamental Outlook The minutes from the Fed’s October meeting revealed a strong internal division: One group opposed rate cuts and wanted to maintain current levels. The other group supported cutting rates and even suggested further reductions in December. This lack of consensus shows high uncertainty in monetary policy, encouraging defensive flows to continue favouring gold. In the long run, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens — a gold price peak is not a sign of prosperity but a warning signal. Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity) Price is trading below the short-term descending trendline, confirming that the bearish phase remains active. The 4,082–4,090 zone is an important liquidity zone — repeatedly tested and now acting as near-term resistance. The 4,029–4,031 cluster is a key support area: Overlaps with technical support + Fibonacci retracement. Beginning of the large FVG that extends down to 3,985 (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support). Above current price, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance. If price breaks and holds above this area, the bearish Dow structure will weaken significantly. Suggested Trading Scenarios BUY Scenario – Buying at Support / Fibonacci Logic: Price holds above the support–Fibonacci zone, showing bottom-fishing demand. Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031 SL: 4,022 TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120 Only consider buying if price shows strong reaction at 4,029–4,031 (long wick rejection or clear reversal candle on M15–H1). Cancel this BUY plan if H1 closes below 4,022. SELL Scenario – Following the current bearish structure (preferred if trendline remains intact) Logic: Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline and gets rejected. Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985 Only sell if price touches 4,098–4,100 with clear rejection (bearish pin bar/engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline strongly, stop all sell setups and reassess. Key Levels for Scalping 4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129 These levels can be used for quick intraday trades, but reduce position size and take profit fast. Important Notes If price closes firmly above the descending trendline and holds above 4,090–4,100, bias will gradually shift toward BUY setups, as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on H4. If the 4,029–4,022 support breaks decisively, gold is likely to drop toward the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985. What scenario are you leaning toward for gold today — a pullback for another sell, or holding the bottom for a rebound? Leave your view in the comments and follow LiamTrading for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
OVERVIEW MARKET CHART M30 11/201. Current Context Gold is trading around 4,071, sitting right above the 4,068–4,071 intraday support zone. Price recently tapped the descending trendline and got rejected, showing short-term selling pressure. However, the broader structure still remains in a wide sideways range, not a strong downtrend yet. Stronger demand zones sit lower at 4,041 and 4,009. ⸻ 2. Price Action at 4,071 Currently gold is: • Retesting 4,068–4,071 support • Showing lower wicks → light buying pressure • Still trading below M30/H1 downtrend line This suggests the probability of sideways movement – accumulation – or a small bullish retest is high. 📌 If 4,068 breaks → price may head to 4,056 and then 4,041 📌 If 4,071 holds → price may bounce toward 4,077–4,080, possibly 4,085 ⸻ 3. Conclusion (Real-Time) 👉 No BUY yet – wait for confirmation at 4,071 👉 No SELL yet – only sell if price closes below 4,068 👉 Low volatility – prioritize safety
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation. On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion. The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts: 📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech U.S. Unemployment Rate Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Initial Jobless Claims ➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume. The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation. The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal. Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control. Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps. 🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday) Buy 4046–4048 SL: 4039 TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125 ✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift. SELL (Scalping Only) Sell 4146–4148 SL: 4154 TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110 ✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch 4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation 4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward: 4146 → 4187 → 4210+ The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
New Traders’ Mistakes That They Should Avoid1. Trading Without a Proper Plan One of the biggest and most common mistakes is trading without a plan. Many beginners jump into the market based on tips, social media signals, or impulses. They take trades without having clear entry criteria, stop-loss levels, or profit targets. Trading without a strategy is like driving without direction—you may reach somewhere, but not where you intended. A good trading plan should include: Market selection (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto, etc.) Timeframe you want to trade Entry and exit conditions Risk management rules Position sizing Maximum daily or weekly loss limit A plan provides structure and minimizes emotional decisions. 2. Ignoring Risk Management Risk management is the backbone of successful trading, yet beginners often overlook it. Many new traders risk too much on a single trade or avoid using stop-loss orders because they are “sure” the price will move in their favor. Typical risk-management mistakes include: Risking more than 2% of account capital per trade Not placing a stop-loss Moving the stop-loss further away to avoid exiting Using high leverage without understanding it Effective risk management ensures that a few losing trades don’t destroy your entire account. Professionals understand that preservation of capital is more important than chasing big profits. 3. Overtrading and Revenge Trading New traders often feel pressured to be in the market constantly. Overtrading happens when traders take too many trades, even when there is no clear setup. This usually leads to emotional decisions and unnecessary losses. Another related mistake is revenge trading, where traders try to quickly recover losses by placing impulsive trades. This behavior results in even bigger losses. To avoid this, trade only when your setup appears. Quality beats quantity. 4. Letting Emotions Drive Decisions Trading is a psychological game. Fear, greed, hope, and frustration are powerful emotions that influence new traders. Examples include: Greed leading to holding positions too long Fear preventing you from entering a good setup Hope making you avoid closing a losing trade Frustration causing revenge trades Emotions cloud judgment and break discipline. Successful traders follow logic, not feelings. Practicing discipline and sticking to your plan is key to long-term success. 5. Using Too Much Leverage Leverage amplifies gains—but also losses. New traders are often attracted to high leverage because it allows larger positions with small capital. However, even small market movements can wipe out the account. For example, in forex or futures, 1:50 or 1:100 leverage can be extremely risky if not used properly. To avoid this mistake: Start with low leverage Use proper position sizing Understand margin requirements and liquidation risk Smart traders treat leverage like a sharp tool—useful, but dangerous if mishandled. 6. Not Keeping a Trading Journal Most beginners take trades and move on without analyzing what went right or wrong. Without a trading journal, you cannot identify patterns in your behavior or strategy. A trading journal should record: Date and time of entry Chart screenshot Entry/exit price Stop-loss and target Result of the trade Emotions and reasoning behind the trade This habit helps improve discipline and refine your system. 7. Following Tips, Noise, and Social Media Signals Many new traders rely on tips from friends, influencers, Telegram groups, or YouTube videos. The problem is that most of these sources do not explain the logic behind the trade or the risk involved. Acting on tips without understanding the market leads to blind trading and quick losses. Instead: Learn technical and fundamental analysis Understand the reason behind every trade Follow a tested strategy, not random opinions Smart traders trust data, not noise. 8. Unrealistic Expectations of Fast Wealth The biggest psychological trap for new traders is the belief that trading will make them rich quickly. This mindset pushes traders to take oversized risks, leading to frequent blow-ups. Successful trading requires: Years of learning Discipline and emotional control Proper risk management Realistic expectations Think long-term and focus on consistency rather than big, quick profits. 9. Not Understanding Market Conditions Markets don’t behave the same every day. Sometimes they trend strongly; other times they move sideways or show high volatility. New traders often use the same strategy in all market conditions, leading to losses. Understanding market phases helps you adapt your strategy. For example: Trending markets favor breakout or trend-following strategies Sideways markets favor range trading or mean reversion High volatility requires wider stop-loss and smaller positions Adapting to market conditions drastically improves performance. 10. Lack of Patience Patience is a superpower in trading. New traders often: Enter too early Exit too early Fail to wait for confirmation Want every trade to be profitable instantly Markets reward patience and punish impulsiveness. Waiting for the perfect setup improves win rates and reduces unnecessary losses. 11. Not Practicing on Demo/Backtesting Many beginners jump straight into live trading without testing their strategy. This is like flying a plane without training. Practicing on a demo account helps you understand: Market movements Platform functions Strategy performance Emotional reactions Backtesting on historical data helps validate your strategy’s reliability. 12. Ignoring News and Economic Events Major economic events—like interest rate decisions, CPI data, jobs reports—can cause sharp market movements. Beginners often get trapped when they trade unknowingly during high-impact events. Always check the economic calendar before entering a trade. Conclusion New traders often fail not because markets are impossible, but because they repeat common, avoidable mistakes. Success in trading comes from discipline, risk management, continuous learning, and emotional control. By avoiding the mistakes listed above and building a strong foundation, new traders can gradually develop the skills required to navigate the financial markets confidently.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE ...💛 XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE TO PRIORITISE BUY SETUPS 🎯 🌤 1. Overview – Today’s Market Picture Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 During the Asian session this morning, gold completed the right shoulder of a very clear Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the H3/H4 timeframe. Those who bought following the previous setup are now in a favourable position, and in my view, this is still a good time to hold Buy positions and prepare for additional entries once the market confirms the trend. On the macro side, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in December has dropped to around 30–33%, while the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged remains dominant. This means the USD is not weak enough to push gold sharply higher, but also not strong enough to suppress it—creating a volatile range-bound environment, which is ideal for technical-pattern trading. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders & Market Structure The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed quite cleanly: Left shoulder → Head → Right shoulder, all supported by the long-term ascending trendline. The demand zone around 4040–4050 is acting as a liquidity box supporting the entire structure. The neckline is currently around 4089–4090: Once price breaks above and closes above 4089, we can consider a confirmed bullish trend. After the breakout, gold may extend toward 4145 → 4200, which aligns with higher liquidity zones + upper FVGs. Zone 4130–4132: A major liquidity cluster—where many take-profit orders & short-term sell orders may appear. If this zone is broken decisively, price may accelerate quickly toward 4200. Zone 4040: This is both the bottom of the pattern and a key support. The bullish structure fails if gold closes below 4040 on H4, which would invalidate the Inverse H&S pattern. Overall, price is currently compressing right below the neckline, and just one strong breakout could trigger the next bullish wave. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan (For Study Purposes Only) 💖 Primary BUY Scenario – Following the Pattern 1️⃣ Buy on retracement to support Entry: 4060–4063 SL: 4055 TP: 4088 → 4108 → 4130 → 4143 → 4200 2️⃣ Buy the neckline breakout Condition: Price breaks the descending trendline & neckline, and closes above 4089. Entry: around 4089–4092 SL: 4080 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 Notes on SELL Setups Selling now is counter-trend against the pattern and not the priority. Consider only short-term sells if: Price reacts strongly at 4132–4145, and Clear bearish signals appear on M15–M30 (pin bar, bearish engulfing, rising sell volume). ⚠️ 4. Fundamental Factors to Watch High probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged → market may stay flat before data releases, then spike in volatility. Gold remains sensitive to data: employment, inflation, and speeches from Fed officials. 🌷 In summary The Inverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD supports the bullish scenario as long as price stays above 4040 💛 Strategy: Prioritise Buy setups: first at 4060–4063, then on the breakout above 4089. Watch the 4132–4145 zone closely—if broken, the move toward 4200 becomes highly probable. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
GOLD 4H | Bearish Retracement Into FVG • MSS → BOS 📌 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold) ⏱ Timeframe: 4H 📉 Bias: Bearish until premium FVG mitigation The market created a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) on the higher time frame. Followed by multiple BOS confirming bearish continuation. Price is currently trading below the major swing high → showing bearish orderflow. Gold is showing a perfect ICT SMC bearish retracement after BOS + MSS. Price is expected to continue lower as long as it stays below the FVG premium zone. This idea is based on pure SMC + ICT concepts (BOS, MSS, FVG, BB, Premium/Discount zones).👉 Sky Eagle Trader Get: ✔ Live XAUUSD analysis ✔ ICT + SMC concepts ✔ Entry, SL, TP updates ✔ Daily market outlook ✔ Professional charts & explanations
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkyEagleFXTrader
Cup and Handle Detected: A Bullish Outlook for XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a very clear Cup and Handle pattern. Price previously dropped toward the 4000 region, rounded out, and then climbed back toward 4080, completing the cup structure. At the moment, the market is making a mild pullback and shaping a tight and well controlled handle. If price can break this resistance with strong momentum, the next target I expect is around 4150. Until a confirmed breakout appears, patience remains essential. No breakout means no trade. This is a classic bullish formation, and market expectations are gradually strengthening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD: Likely continuation following pullbackXAUUSD has surged into a strong uptrend, and I predict that this momentum will continue, with a potential target around 4,150, as shown on my chart. The current price level may be a critical turning point. Here, the price could find support and continue to rise, or if it breaks below, we might see an extension of the downward trend. If I had to choose a direction, I would lean towards more upside, but the final decision should be based on price action to determine the next move. However, if the price breaks decisively below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating that the uptrend could pause or even reverse in the short term. These are just my personal views based on chart analysis, not financial advice. Always verify your setups and manage your risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 20th November 2025🟡 GOLD INTRADAY LEVELS – 30-Min Strategy 📈 BUY SETUP (Long Position) 🔸 Entry Condition: Buy above the High of the 30-min candle after price closes above $4122. 💰 Targets: 🎯 $4132 🎯 $4145 🎯 $4160 📌 Notes for Traders: Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $4122 to confirm the breakout. Ideal if volume increases as the breakout happens. Keep the trendline/market structure in view before executing. 📉 SELL SETUP (Short Position) 🔻 Entry Condition: Sell below the Low of the 30-min candle after price closes below $4056. 💰 Targets: 🎯 $4044 🎯 $4032 🎯 $4018 📌 Notes for Traders: Look for a strong bearish candle close below $4056. Breakdown is more reliable if accompanied by increasing selling pressure. Always confirm with momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, etc.) if possible. ⚙️ Risk Management (Highly Recommended) 🔒 Use Stop-Loss just below breakout candle for buys / above breakdown candle for sells. 📏 Risk–Reward ratio: Minimum 1:2. 💼 Avoid over-leveraging; trade only with allocated risk capital. ⚠️ Disclaimer This information is provided only for educational and informational purposes. It is not financial advice, and trading in gold or any financial instrument involves high market risk. Always consult your financial advisor and trade at your own discretion.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
1
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 19-20✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold experienced a strong rebound yesterday, releasing some short-term bullish momentum. However, the price encountered significant resistance near 4132 (previous high + upper Bollinger Band). The latest candle shows a large bearish candle with a long upper wick, which is a classic signal of bulls failing to break higher and profit-taking pressure intensifying. MA5 and MA10 have started to turn downward, indicating weakening short-term momentum. MA20 (around 4089) still provides partial support, but it has already been broken through quickly. The upper Bollinger Band (around 4130) remains a strong resistance level, with price quickly falling below the mid-band after the spike. The lower wick touched 4055, suggesting that short-term buying interest exists in this area. The short-term rebound structure has been damaged, and the 4-hour timeframe has entered a corrective phase turning weaker again. If gold breaks below 4058–4050, bearish momentum will strengthen further. ✅ On the 1-hour chart, gold formed a short-term high at 4132, followed by a sharp sell-off. Two consecutive large bearish candles broke below MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60, forming a classic one-sided reversal signal. The bullish structure is completely broken, and moving averages have shifted back into a bearish alignment. Key support lies at 4050–4049, a strong confluence support zone. Breaking below this area will open further downside potential. The current small rebound is weak and only a technical correction, showing that bears still dominate the short-term price action. The rebound only reached below MA20 (around 4085), showing that selling pressure above remains strong. Short-term structure is bearish, and any weak rebound is unlikely to break above 4085–4090. After the rebound, price is still likely to retest the 4050 area. 🔴 Resistance Levels：4085–4090 / 4100–4110 / 4125–4132 🟢 Support Levels：4058–4050 / 4030 / 3998 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Strategy 1: Short at 4085–4090 (Main Idea) If gold rebounds to 4085–4090 and shows resistance: Light short positions Stop-loss: 4098 Targets: 4060 / 4050 👉 Current trend is bearish; selling rebounds is the main logic. 🔰 Strategy 2: Short again at strong resistance (Aggressive Short) If gold rebounds to 4100–4110: Medium-sized short positions Stop-loss: 4118 Targets: 4065 / 4050 👉 This area is strong resistance; short-term breakout probability is low. 🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout shorts below 4050 (Trend-following) If price breaks 4050: Bearish momentum will accelerate Targets: 4030 / 4000 👉 4050 is the key level determining whether bears will continue the downward move. 📌 Summary 4H rebound was rejected; structure turning weaker 1H shows a sharp breakdown; bears dominate short-term price action 4085–4090 is the main zone for selling rebounds 4050 is the most important support today—breaking it will open deeper downside
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
GOLD / XAUUSD - Classic Example of Liquidity GRAB TF: 30 Minutes CMP: 4075 GOLD and Silver seem to have completed the corrective rise and ready to tumble down. In case of GOLD, price got rejected from the 50% fib level of the A leg and now resuming the C leg down. The channel, possible price action etc, all are marked in the chart published herein. In addition, the classic example of Liquidity GRAB concept is explained in the charts below. The alternate case is that, in this 4th wave (larger degree TF), GOLD could be forming a Triangle (3 subwaves within the abcde triangle wave) and then move higher. Either case, price should be testing the recent swing lows soon. It purely depends on how the buyers would react when the price reaches 3900 levels.. My Bias is on the Simple ZIG/ZAG ABC correction to move below 3700 USD Lets review the moves at each of the levels to come. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
TVC:GOLD
by Murthy_Santhosh
1
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11. However, a significant sign appeared when: Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side. If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear: FVG 4,150 USD Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally • Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point • FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur • Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone: Entry: 4,086 – 4,090 SL: 4,058 TP1: 4,132 TP2: 4,150 TP3: 4,202 → This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer) If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone: Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart) SL: 4,028 TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150 → This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals: Entry: 4,148–4,150 SL: 4,160 TP: 4,130 → 4,100 → Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity. As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market. “Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.” ⚜️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold NY Session Strategy 11/19: Will up to 4162Gold Daily Plan – SMC Outlook (Nov 20) Framework: CHoCH – BOS – FVG – POI – Premium/Discount Model 1. Market Context Gold continues to recover after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is now approaching the Premium zone of the current bullish swing and tapping into H1 supply. The market shows: Buyers still in short-term control Momentum weakening as price reaches resistance A corrective pullback into Discount is likely before any further expansion 2. Structural Overview (SMC Logic) 🔻 Overall Market Structure A key BOS formed around 4090–4100 → confirms short-term bullish structure Follow-up CHoCH signals continuation of the intraday uptrend Price is moving toward the upper FVG + Supply Zone (4160–4162) 🔸 Orderflow Notes Strong reaction at the 4140 area → clear presence of passive Sell Limit absorption Demand POI at 4091–4089 held exceptionally well → main bullish mitigation zone 3. Trading Zones (POI) ✅ BUY Zone (Discount Area) 4091 – 4089 Demand + previous CHoCH + fib 1.272 confluence Ideal low-risk long setup within Discount Suggested SL: 4087 BUY Scenario: Price retraces to POI → shows bullish reaction → long toward Premium. ❗️ SELL Zones (Premium Area) Aggressive Sell Zone: 4143 – 4145 SL: 4147 Optimal Sell Zone: 4160 – 4162 Major supply + imbalance + fib 2.618 extension Highest probability for reversal SL: 4165 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 Primary Scenario (High Probability) Price retraces into 4091–4089 Demand Look for CHoCH/BOS confirmation on lower timeframe Enter BUY → target 4143 → 4160 → Classic SMC model: Buy from Discount → Sell from Premium. 📌 Alternative Scenario If price rallies straight into 4143–4162 without retracement: ONLY enter SELL when a clear bearish CHoCH or strong rejection forms Target: 4100 → 4090 5. Intraday Bias → Bullish in Discount zones – Bearish in Premium zones. Trade based on orderflow → Do not chase price in the middle range. 6. Summary BUY: 4091–4089 (SL 4087) → TP: 4140 – 4160 SELL: • 4143–4145 (SL 4147) • 4160–4162 (SL 4165) Wait for confirmation at each POI; avoid mid-range entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader