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Gold 1H – Will 4210 Reject Again or 4166 Ignite the Rally?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (09/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to soften under $4,200 as rising US Treasury yields pressure bullion, with markets positioning ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision. According to FXStreet, yields climbing intraday are capping gold’s upside, and sellers remain active below 4200 while participants wait for clarity on the Fed’s forward guidance. This environment builds a liquidity-sensitive landscape, where institutions may engineer sweeps on both sides before committing to direction. On H1, price oscillates cleanly between premium supply (4208–4210) and discount demand (4168–4166). A valid push requires MSS → BOS → displacement from either extreme. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after consecutive CHoCH shifts Key Idea: Expect liquidity grabs above 4210 or under 4166 before real movement Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 Rules: ✔ Price taps premium zone (4208–4210) ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH confirmed on M5–M15 ✔ Strong downside BOS + displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or refined supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4185 2. 4175 3. 4168 – 4166 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4167 to collect sell-side liquidity ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH forms from discount ✔ Clean BOS + impulsive displacement upward ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4184 2. 4200 3. 4210 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Rising yields may generate deceptive spikes—avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Do not chase price inside the compression range • Keep SLs at structural invalidation, not arbitrary points • Reduce exposure ahead of Fed-related volatility this week 📍 Summary Today’s setup revolves around two institutional scenarios: • A 4210 liquidity sweep triggers bearish structure → downside delivery toward 4166 or • A 4166 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS → upside expansion back toward 4210 Let structure confirm. Patience pays the trader—SMC reacts, never predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Trap Liquidity or 4170 Spark Expansion?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (08/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside politically-driven liquidity as Donald Trump signals that the current method of tariffing through the US Supreme Court is “more direct, less cumbersome, and much faster.” This introduces fresh uncertainty for USD flows, increasing short-term volatility across commodities. Expect engineered sweeps on both sides as institutions react to policy-sensitive sentiment shifts. On H1, price compresses between premium supply (4230–4232) and discount demand (4170–4168). A confirmed MSS + BOS + displacement is required before any directional leg becomes valid. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Liquidity-rich compression inside a minor bullish channel Key Idea: Sweeps first, real move later Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Bias shifts only via structural break + clean displacement. Expected Institutional Sequence: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4231–4232 → bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ BOS down + strong displacement candle ✔ Entry on bearish FVG fill / supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4200 2. 4185 3. 4170 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Rules: ✔ Sweep below 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH ✔ BOS up + displacement from discount ✔ Entry on FVG fill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4230 – 4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Headlines may induce fake sweeps; do not pre-commit without BOS + displacement • No averaging inside compression • SLs must sit at structural invalidation • Reduce risk during tariff-related spikes 📍 Summary Today’s playbook offers two institutional paths: • 4231 sweep → bearish MSS → BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS → BOS → retest → expansion back toward 4230+ Trade confirmations only. Let gold show its hand — patience is your edge. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
3
XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones Yesterday’s strong news release means today the market has no clear direction. In this situation, I don’t try to predict direction — I only focus on two key liquidity zones: Sell timing zone around 4.219 Buy OB zone around 4.197–4.194 The Asian session showed selling pressure, but the larger trend hasn't changed. So the plan is: short-term sells – buy at strong support, not all-in one direction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Timing SELL at 4.219 (for experienced traders only) Sell zone: around 4.219 Important: This is a timing entry, NOT a pending limit order. Allowed deviation: ~2 pips. If ideal timing is 4.219 but you see price already hit 4.221 → skip, don’t chase. TP reference: at least 15 pips, e.g. 4.204–4.203 or lower depending on entry. Idea: 4.219 is an upper liquidity zone where FOMO buy orders tend to cluster. If price sweeps above and weakens, I take a short-term sell following Asian session selling momentum. Targets are intraday only — no long holding. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY at OB 4.197–4.194 Buy zone: 4.197 – 4.194 Setup invalid if: price breaks below 4.191 and holds there TP: At least 15+ pips, e.g. 4.209–4.212 depending on entry. Why this zone? 4.197–4.194 is a clean bullish order block where strong buying previously pushed price up. If price retraces here and shows good reaction (wick rejection, rising buy volume), I treat it as a chance to rebuild long positions with good R:R. 1️⃣ Market fundamentals & sentiment After a strong rally, gold bulls are becoming more cautious. Main reason: uncertainty over the speed of Fed rate cuts next year. Everyone expects cuts — but no one knows how fast, how many, or when exactly. As a result, gold is no longer trending straight upward; it is now trading in a wider, jumpy range around the highs. So instead of trying to catch a long trend today, I focus on liquidity zones and price reactions. 2️⃣ Plan & discipline Do NOT enter trades around 4.20x. Only act at: Timing Sell 4.219 (±2 pips — if missed, skip) Buy OB 4.197–4.194 (invalid below 4.191) Risk per trade: 1–2% max, no holding when invalidated. If price breaks both zones and trends strongly (due to new data), I stay out and wait for clearer structure. 👉 Above 4.219 → only look for SELL timing 👉 Between 4.197–4.194 → look for BUY 👉 Below 4.191 → cancel buy setup and wait
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Emotions vs Logic – Behavioral Finance Explained Simply!Hello Traders! Every chart you see, every candle formation, and every market move is ultimately a reflection of human behavior. Markets rise when emotions rise… and they fall when emotions collapse. Understanding the battle between emotion and logic is one of the most important skills a trader can learn, because this battle is happening inside your mind every single day. 1. What Is Behavioral Finance? Behavioral finance studies how human emotions influence financial decisions. It explains why people buy high, sell low, panic too early, and hold losses for too long. It also explains why logic disappears the moment money is involved. In simple words: Behavioral finance tells you why traders do what they shouldn’t do. 2. Emotions That Impact Your Trades Fear: Makes you exit early or avoid good trades. Greed: Makes you overtrade and increase position sizes. Hope: Makes you hold losing trades longer than you should. Regret: Makes you chase missed entries and force bad setups. These emotions don’t just influence decisions, they completely override logic when not controlled. 3. Why Logic Fails in Real Time Trading You may know the strategy, but your instinct takes over the moment money is at risk. Your brain reacts to losses the same way it reacts to physical pain. Overconfidence after wins leads to careless decisions. Fear after losses leads to hesitation and self-doubt. The market is logical. Your mind is not, unless trained. 4. How Logic Actually Helps You Trade Better Logic keeps your risk fixed and predictable. Logic follows a plan even when emotions are screaming the opposite. Logic doesn’t chase candles or revenge-trade. Logic helps you treat trading as a process, not a lottery. Logic doesn’t eliminate emotions, it protects you from acting on them. 5. Simple Ways to Shift From Emotional to Logical Trading Use a predefined plan for entries, exits, and stop losses. Risk a fixed percentage every trade to avoid panic. Take fewer, high-quality trades instead of reacting to every move. Keep a journal to track emotional decisions and patterns. Consistency grows when emotional impulse decreases. Rahul’s Tip: You don’t need to remove emotions, you just need to stop letting them press the buttons. Once you learn to pause, breathe, and follow your plan, logic automatically becomes stronger than impulse. Conclusion: The market doesn’t reward intelligence, it rewards emotional control. Every trader knows what they should do, but only disciplined traders actually do it. Master your emotions first, and the charts will start making sense like never before. If this post helped you understand the emotional side of trading, like it, share your thoughts, and follow for more deep psychology insights!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
XAUUSD – Clean Rejection from LTF Demand With Potential Upside EGold tapped into a refined LTF demand pocket and instantly showed rejection, indicating buyers are stepping in exactly where they should. This aligns well with the ongoing HTF bullish bias and maintains the broader structure intact. The strong wick + immediate reclaim of the micro-range suggests absorption and willingness to push higher if structure follows through. Bullish Path: • Tap into LTF demand • Rejection + recovery inside the zone • Micro structure shift • Expansion toward the next HTF imbalance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by YCGH_Capital
2
XAU/USD: Gold Consolidates, Awaiting Pullback for Breakout📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold is moving within a converging triangle pattern – with the bottom being pushed higher by buying pressure, while the top is continuously blocked by the H1 descending trendline. After the previous strong decline, the market has consecutively created bullish ChoCH , indicating that capital flow is starting to return, but the pivotal supply remains at the OB Bearish 4.23x area – where the price is currently stuck. Currently, the price is testing the upper edge of the triangle + supply area, which is primarily used for distribution and liquidity sweep. → Not an optimal area for FOMO BUY. 💎 Key Levels – Important Areas • OB Bearish – 4.23x: confluence with descending trendline → high probability area for strong reaction or Liquidity Sweep. • FVG – 4.21x: H1 price gap, the market tends to return to fill before continuing. • OB Bullish – Buy Zone – 4.201: H1 demand + lower edge of current range → priority area to observe BUY according to trend. • Liquidity Buy – 4.170: lower liquidity area → price may sweep deep before bouncing strongly if the medium-term uptrend remains effective. • Upper Target – 4.25x: expanded target if gold successfully breaks the converging triangle. 🎯 Trading Plan – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Priority Scenario: Pullback to OB Bullish If the OB Bearish 4.23x area reacts (wick rejection, reversal pattern, weakening momentum), expect the price to retreat to: → FVG 4.21x → OB Bullish 4.201 At the 4.20x area, if a bullish ChoCH / engulfing / strong pin bar appears, this will be a reasonable BUY area according to the trend. Suggested TP: • TP1: FVG 4.21x • TP2: Retest OB Bearish 4.23x • TP3 expanded: 4.25x area if price breaks the triangle Invalidation: H1 closes below 4.195 → stay out and wait for reaction at Liquidity 4.170. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario: Deep Sweep to Liquidity Buy If OB Bullish 4.20x does not hold and the price breaks down strongly, do not catch the falling knife. → Wait for gold to reach Liquidity Buy 4.170 → Observe reaction: long wick, selling pressure depletes, new HL formation… Only BUY again when the signal is clear. If the 4.170 area is broken strongly by an H1 candle → temporary uptrend structure loses effectiveness, reduce volume or stay out until the market stabilizes. ⚠️ Risk Management This is a trading plan based on an idea – not an immediate entry signal. Do not BUY directly at the 4.23x resistance area. Be patient for a pullback to the discount area (4.20x – 4.17x) and always set clear risk. “Liquidity tells the truth — structure confirms the path.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: H1 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Strengthening as Bullish Structure FormsOANDA:XAUUSD is beginning to present a noticeably stronger bullish tone as the underlying price structure shifts upward. The most recent market interaction is particularly noteworthy as an early recovery phase has emerged, bearish momentum has weakened, and a series of low-volume candles highlights clear seller exhaustion. These characteristics often signal the early stages of a new bullish movement. From the current structure, my upside target remains the 4,330 region, a logical and well-aligned level within this developing trend. If price continues to build on this momentum, the next leg could become a clean and convincing extension of the broader bullish narrative we have been following on Gold. This setup stands out as highly compelling. The story is unfolding, yet it still requires patience and a confirmed signal to validate the upward potential. Although a deeper pullback cannot be completely ruled out due to the defined support zone below, I continue to favor bullish continuation as the forming structure clearly supports the upside scenario. Wishing you a strong and profitable trading session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
1
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 10, 2025 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum has already turned upward. Therefore, we expect an upward move on the daily timeframe lasting through the end of this week to complete the green wave C. H4: H4 momentum is currently turning down. If the current H4 candle closes confirming this downward signal, the market is likely to form a short-term H4 decline. H1: H1 momentum is still rising but is starting to contract and show signs of a bearish reversal. The most recent strong bearish candle with wide downside range indicates that the next downward swing may begin from the H1 timeframe. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: The D1 wave structure has not changed from the previous plan. Price is still progressing within the green wave C. When the green wave C completes, the purple wave X will also complete, followed by a decline forming wave Y. With D1 momentum turning upward, our expected targets for the purple wave C remain 4329 or 4336. H4: Yesterday, price touched the projected target area at 4167 and then bounced back to the POC zone, as anticipated. The current bearish reversal on H4 momentum is critical: • If price can remain above 4187 while H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and then reverses upward, we may see the formation of a 5-wave green structure, which would be an early signal that the corrective wave (4) has completed. • If price fails to hold above 4187 while H4 momentum continues downward, the green wave (4) may extend further. H1: Yesterday’s decline toward the 4168 target strengthens the expectation that wave (C) of the black flat structure (A)-(B)-(C) has completed, meaning green wave (4) may also be complete. Price then rallied toward the POC at 4215, which we expect to be wave 1. The current decline shows a 3-wave structure (A)-(B)-(C) in red, which we expect to be wave 2. The projected completion zones for wave 2 (the end of red wave (C)) are: • Equal to wave (A): 4197 • 1.618 × wave (A): 4187 From the H4 Volume Profile: • The two key levels discussed yesterday were POC 4215 and the liquidity boundary at 4187. • With H4 momentum now turning down and price reacting to POC from below, selling pressure remains dominant. • Level 4187 acts as the liquidity boundary—if buyers can defend this level, a breakout above 4215 becomes likely. • If 4187 does not hold while H4 momentum moves into oversold, the green wave (4) could still be ongoing. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan We will look to capture the end of wave 2. Since the two target zones (4197 and 4187) are close to each other, the best approach is to wait for price to reach these areas and observe the reaction before entering. If placing a limit order, I prefer the upper zone with a slightly wider stop. BUY ZONE: 4198 – 4196 SL: 4177 TP1: 4218 TP2: 4245 TP3: 4329
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
3
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 4252 – Smart Money StructurChart Analysis 1. Market Structure Price previously formed a strong swing high near 4252, marked with the red circle. After that, the market corrected downward and consolidated in a sideways range (highlighted box). Price has since broken out of that range and is now retesting the breakout zone. 2. Current Zone Price is hovering around 4198–4200, which appears to be: A support retest level A higher-low formation, indicating bullish intent 3. Bullish Expectation Your arrows and markup suggest: A small pullback Followed by a bullish move toward: First target: ~4219 Main target: 4252, the previous liquidity grab area This aligns with: Break of structure (BOS) Imbalance fill Smart money concepts (liquidity resting at prior highs) 4. Stop Loss SL marked near 4180 This sits below the retest zone and protected liquidity — a logical invalidation area. 5. Overall Bias Bullish, with expectation of: Retest → Higher-low → Move toward major liquidity at previous highs
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD: SEIZE THE BUYING OPPORTUNITY BEFORE THE FED STORM!1. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (FA) Cash flow is focusing on the FED this Wednesday. Rate cut: A 25 basis point cut is expected. This puts downward pressure on the USD, pushing Gold (a non-yielding asset) to rise. Safe haven: Ongoing Ukraine tensions further support the rise of precious metals. Risk: Strong employment data (JOLTS) could slow the USD's decline, but the main trend remains policy easing. 2. 📊 Technical Analysis (TA) On the 1H chart, Gold is completing a correction to the important Demand zone. Buy Zone (Order Block): 4,175.00 – 4,195.00. This is where Smart Money accumulates before major events. Target 1 (TP1): 4,228.214 – Fill the price gap (FVG). Target 2 (TP2): 4,259.407 – Potential supply zone (POI). Stop Loss (SL): Below 4,170.00 to protect the account if the scenario changes. Strategy: Wait for the price to drop to 4,176.247 and a reversal signal to appear on the M15 chart to trigger a Long order. Be cautious of Chairman Powell's statements! #XAUUSD #Gold #FED #FOMC #InterestRates #SmartMoneyConcept #OrderBlock #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG AT THE START OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis During periods of Quantitative Easing (QE), the Federal Reserve injects liquidity into the financial system by purchasing bonds. This expands the “liquidity reservoir” and generally supports asset prices, including gold. Conversely, under Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed gradually reduces its balance sheet, pulling cash out of the system and tightening financial conditions. Currently, with QT having ended, the Fed is essentially signaling that: The current liquidity level is the minimum they consider safe. They want to avoid a repeat of the liquidity shock seen in 2019. This reduces medium-term tightening pressure on gold. However, in the short term, gold is still undergoing a technical correction, which is why Lana prefers to trade based on Elliott Wave structure rather than reacting to news. Technical Analysis – Elliott Wave on M30 On the M30 timeframe, gold is in a corrective C wave, which may be the final leg of the current structure. The prior 5-wave bullish move showed signs of a truncated fifth wave, failing to create a strong new high – an indication that buying momentum has weakened. Early this week, price swept Buy-side liquidity but could not hold upward momentum, reflecting weak bullish sentiment. Below current price, the 4128–4135 zone is a key area — both a support region and the potential completion zone of wave C if the decline extends. With this structure in mind, Lana’s plan for the week is to prioritize Sell setups, following the C-wave, instead of attempting early bottom-picking. Key Price Zones Sell-on-pullback zone: 4215 – 4218 (Primary entry zone) Downside liquidity & target zones: 4192 – 4175 – 4164: Intermediate liquidity points on the way down 4135 – 4130: Expected completion area for wave C (aligning with the 4128–4135 support zone) Trading Scenarios ⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell following the Elliott Wave C leg Sell Entry: 4215 – 4218 Maximum SL: 4220 TP: Minimum +20 pips from entry Extended target: 4135 – 4130 if the market completes the full corrective structure This week, Lana will not prioritize early Buy entries, and will only consider buying again if price approaches the 4128–4135 zone with clearer reversal signals. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates on the larger gold wave structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD on Sell Mode ! Says Technical Pattern. This trade idea is a classic bearish breakout from a rising/symmetrical triangle, using the triangle’s height to project the short target and take‑profit zone. What the triangle shows - Price has been in an uptrend, then starts compressing between a rising support line and a relatively flat/slowly descending resistance line, forming a large triangle on your higher timeframe XAUUSD chart. - As the swings get smaller and approach the triangle apex, a breakout is expected; in your annotation, the bias is downside (“Sell is very much possible”) because the structure is a maturing consolidation after a strong prior leg up and is stalling near resistance. Sell entry logic - The aggressive entry is to sell once price decisively breaks and closes below the rising lower trendline of the triangle, ideally with increased volume or strong bearish candles to confirm that buyers have lost control. - A conservative approach waits for a break below the trendline, then a retest of that broken support (now resistance) and rejection, entering short on that retest with a tight invalidation above the retest high or back inside the triangle. Stop loss placement - The protective stop is typically set above the most recent swing high inside the triangle or just above the upper triangle boundary, so that if price re‑enters and closes back into the pattern, the bearish thesis is invalidated. - Because this is a higher‑timeframe pattern, the stop distance can be large; position sizing must therefore be reduced so that the percentage of account risk per trade stays within your predefined limits. Target and take profit levels - The “length of triangle = profit levels” label reflects the standard measured‑move technique: measure the vertical height of the triangle at its base (distance between initial high and low that formed the boundaries) and project that distance downwards from the breakout point. - Your yellow horizontal line and the “Take profit levels” annotation mark this projected objective; partial profits can be taken at intermediate supports, with the final target near the full measured move, and a trailing stop used if momentum is strong. How to frame the full trade - Direction: Short XAUUSD when the lower triangle boundary breaks and confirms, as your chart suggests. - Execution plan: - Entry: Break and close below triangle support (or retest failure). - Stop: Above recent swing high/upper boundary. - TP: Project triangle height from breakout to set main target, manage risk‑reward so that the trade offers at least a 1:2 or better payoff in line with your strategy rules.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSDANALYST
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels 🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels 🚫 NO-TRADE zone 🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels 🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels 📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic) ✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart) The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE. ❌ Why no trade here? Price is compressing sideways. No fresh demand or supply. Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building. Best area to wait for breakout above or below. 🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) ✔ Buy Trigger Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms: Supply removed Trend continuation Buyers taking control 🛑 Buy Stop-Loss Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level: SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone) Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout. 🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350 TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone) TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues 📌 Why Buy? Break above previous high Clean imbalance above (room to move) Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS) Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265 🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE. ✔ Sell Trigger Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand) This confirms: Demand removed Trend shift to bearish Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range 🛑 Sell Stop-Loss SL above failed demand zone: SL = 4,150 – 4,170 🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels Use the marked blue lines: TP1 → 3,991 TP2 → 3,952 TP3 → 3,901 TP4 → 3,762 (extended target) 📌 Why Sell? Break of key structure level (4,096) Below range → trend continuation short Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances) Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation 🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation) ✔ Buy Logic Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone Break above 4,265 = buyers win Price targets previous supply zones ✔ Sell Logic If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses Market enters markdown phase Lower supports become liquidity targets
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skalpfi
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead...✨ XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead of the Fed Meeting From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a “waiting for direction” phase. Price is trapped between the 4,221–4,239 resistance band and the strong 4,166 support area. On the 45-minute timeframe, the structure is forming a sideways top after the recent upward move. With the Fed set to announce its interest rate decision soon, I avoid predicting blindly and prefer to let these key zones guide my trading decisions. 🎯 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance 4,221 – 4,225: Fibo 0.236–0.382 cluster + heavy volume zone 4,239: Extended resistance high — if broken, price may target the 4.25x region Strong Support 4,166: The “Strong Support” zone on the chart, currently defining the bottom of the range Below 4.166, the 4.12x region aligns with the Fibo 1.618 extension — a zone where liquidity could be swept if the market sells off sharply 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Preferred if price holds above 4,200) Conditions: Price stays firmly above 4,200 Clear breakout of 4,221–4,225 A 45m candle closes above this zone If these occur, it signals buyers are regaining control. Suggested approach: Buy on a break & retest of 4,221–4,225 SL: below 4,210 TP: 4,245 → 4,258 → 4,270 As long as gold remains above 4,200, I keep a bullish bias and consider dips into the 4.20x region as opportunities to buy. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-Term Sell From Upper Range Resistance If price fails to break 4,221–4,239 and forms: Wick rejections Small-body candles → I treat this as exhaustion at resistance. Trade idea: Sell: 4,221–4,225 (up to 4,239 if there is a spike) SL: above 4,239 TP: 4,190 → 4,176 → 4,166 If selling pressure is strong: extended target 4,130 This setup is suited for scalping or short swings, and goes against the medium-term bullish bias — so position sizing must be controlled carefully. 1️⃣ Fundamental Context: Everything Depends on the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the market’s wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed decision. Traders don’t want to commit heavily before such major news, so gold tends to move within a range. Once the Fed releases its rate decision and guidance, gold’s volatility can expand dramatically — possibly sweeping both resistance and support. Because of that, I do not recommend placing large-position trades right before the announcement. Instead, focus on observing price reactions at 4,221 and 4,166 to determine whether the next leg will be upward or downward. 2️⃣ My Trading Plan Above 4,221 with stable price action: Prefer buying the breakout, targeting the 4.25x zone. Failure to break 4,221, weak candles: Consider shorting toward 4.19x – 4.166. If price drops directly below 4.166: I stay out temporarily and wait for the market to form a new balanced region before planning the next trade. Risk per trade: 1–2% maximum, no widening stop-loss during high-impact news. If you find this analysis useful, follow the TradingView channel and comment whether you expect a breakout above 4,221 or a reversal from resistance — we’ll update again after the Fed announcement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX