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🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION Hello traders, The latest Federal Reserve rate decision shook global markets — pushing Gold (XAUUSD) and Bitcoin lower while the US Dollar strengthened sharply. The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year, bringing them down to 3.75%–4%, but the announcement to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) by 1st Dec 2025 was the real game changer. This is the moment to stay calm, read the market structure, and act according to your plan. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS – THE FED’S DOUBLE IMPACT Rate Cut (Normally Bullish for Gold): The second rate cut should, in theory, support Gold prices. However, much of this was already priced in before the announcement. QT Ending (USD Strength Booster): Ending QT signals that the Fed is trying to rebalance its monetary stance. This boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY), putting heavy selling pressure on both Gold and BTC. Market Reaction: Gold saw a sharp drop right after the announcement, then moved sideways in a wide range. During today’s Asian session, Gold fluctuated nearly $70 before retracing slightly. 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – WIDE RANGE, BUILDING BULLISH STRUCTURE Looking at the current XAUUSD market structure: Structure: Gold is currently consolidating in a wide range. However, a bullish structure seems to be forming with higher lows — a sustainable Dow-style uptrend pattern. Trading Plan: Stay flexible and trade both sides — 🔴 Sell (Short) near liquidity resistance zones. 🟢 Buy (Long) from deep liquidity supports. 🎯 TRADING ACTION PLAN 🔴 SELL CONTINUATION – Short from Resistance Entry Zone: 4005 Stop Loss: 4013 Targets: TP1: 3990 TP2: 3975 TP3: 3960 TP4: 3943 🟢 BUY RECOVERY – Long from Support Entry Zone: 3907–3909 Stop Loss: 3902 Targets: TP1: 3933 TP2: 3954 TP3: 3970 TP4: 3999 ⚖️ FINAL THOUGHTS The Fed’s decision has reshaped the short-term outlook. A $70 volatility range shows Gold’s high liquidity — but also high risk. 📌 LiamTrading’s Note: A strong bullish structure is building up on the lower timeframes. Patience is key — wait for the ideal Buy zone near 3907 to catch the next recovery leg. Always maintain strict risk and capital management, especially during post-FOMC volatility. Are you ready to ride this 70-dollar range? 👉 Tap LIKE 👍 and COMMENT your setup!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold): 📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25) Timeframe: 1 Hour Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection Market Structure: Bearish 📈 Key Levels: Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1) Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline) Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920 Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883 📉 Technical Confluences: 🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance 🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone 🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap 🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone 🧭 Trading Plan Idea: Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone. Place Sell Limit order in the zone. Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts. Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner). ⚠️ Risk Notes: Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection. Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone. Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
PCR Trading Strategies How Option Trading Works Let’s take an example. Suppose you believe Infosys stock will go up from ₹1,500 to ₹1,600 soon. You buy a call option with a strike price of ₹1,500 for a premium of ₹20. If the stock rises to ₹1,600, your option’s value also rises. You can sell it for a profit. If the stock stays below ₹1,500, the option expires worthless, and you lose only the ₹20 premium. Risks and Rewards Option trading can be highly rewarding but also risky. The risk for buyers is limited to the premium paid, but sellers (writers) of options can face unlimited losses if the market moves against them. Hence, it’s important to understand how options work before investing.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Gold Breaks Trendline: 4000 Back in FocusYesterday's trading session brought further downside pressure as gold pushed lower to test the 3880 zone, which is just above the monthly open. We have seen a decent recovery bounce from there, suggesting some buying interest is emerging at these lower levels. However, it's important to maintain perspective here while we're seeing short-term stabilization, the reversal signs on higher timeframes haven't materialized yet. We need to see more convincing price action and stronger closes on the larger timeframes before we can confidently call this as reversal to bullish case. Also today we have extremely narrow CPR positioned at 3954. When we see such tight CPR levels, it often signals either an impending trend reversal or the potential for a high volatility session ahead. The early Asian session has already given us something to work with price is attempting to reclaim this CPR zone, which is a constructive development. Adding to the bullish case, we've also seen a breakout from the descending trendline structure that had been capping rallies over the past few sessions. From a tactical perspective, the immediate support zone to monitor is 3900-3910.... If buyers can defend and sustain price action above this level, we could see gold make an attempt toward the first meaningful hurdle at 4000-4010. This target zone is particularly significant as it aligns with today's R1 pivot and the prior week's low, creating a confluence resistance area. A daily close above 4000-4010 would be an encouraging sign that momentum is genuinely shifting back in favor of the bulls and could open the door for further upside. As for my positioning, I'm maintaining my existing buy positions and continuing to manage them as the price action develops. The risk-reward from these levels still appears favorable given the technical setup unfolding.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
2
Part 10 Trade Like Institutions Types of Options There are two main types of options: Call Options and Put Options. A Call Option gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a predetermined price, known as the strike price, within a specific time frame. Investors buy calls when they expect the asset’s price to rise. A Put Option gives the holder the right to sell an asset at the strike price before expiration. Traders buy puts when they anticipate a price decline.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets: – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket. – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD) | Pullback Buy Zones 🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 29, 2025 Main timeframe: M15 – M30 Strategy: SMC + Trendline + Fibo confluence 🧩 MARKET CONTEXT Price created a BOS at 3983, indicating short-term bullish momentum within an ascending channel. The current structure supports pullback buys from demand / OB zones before targeting key resistance levels 4018 → 4085–4102 (Fibo reaction zone). 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 1️⃣ BUY #1 (Preferred – Retest Trendline / CP) Entry: 3961 SL: 3955 (6 pts) TP1: 3983 TP2: 4018 Structure-based retest at 50% trendline + CP zone 2️⃣ BUY #2 (OBS / OB Zone) Entry: 3934 – 3932 SL: 3928 (6 pts) TP1: 3983 TP2: 4018 TP3: 4085 – 4102 (extension target) 3️⃣ SELL (Counter-trend only) Entry: 3992 – 3994 SL: 4000 (6 pts) TP1: 3934 TP2: 3910 Use only if there is a clear rejection candle around the 3990s zone. 📈 BIAS Short-term bullish while above 3930–3910. Watch 3961 / 3932 zones for buy reactions. Shorts valid only if strong rejection occurs at 3990s.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move. 1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑 Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update. Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances. Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds. 2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉 Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag. Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears. Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area. 3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰 🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp) Buy Zone: $3,939.468 Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance. Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level. 🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup) Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5) → Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline. Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling) → Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel. 4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀 The FOMC decision will set the tone — Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Banking Sector Leadership & PSU Bank Rally – A Deep Dive1. Introduction The Indian stock market has witnessed several phases of leadership rotation over the years. At times, technology stocks dominate; at other times, energy or infrastructure sectors take the front seat. However, whenever the broader market gears up for a major uptrend or a new bull cycle begins, the Banking sector often takes the leadership role — and within that, Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) banks frequently emerge as key outperformers. The recent rally in PSU banks and the resurgence of the banking sector as a whole highlight not just cyclical market behavior but also deep structural changes in the Indian economy. To understand this movement, it’s important to analyze both why banking leads and what’s fueling the PSU bank rally in particular. 2. Why Banking Sector Often Leads the Market a. Core to Economic Growth Banks are the financial backbone of any economy. When economic activity expands — whether through manufacturing, infrastructure, or consumer spending — banks benefit directly. Credit growth picks up, deposit bases rise, and loan demand strengthens. Therefore, the health and momentum of the banking sector often act as a mirror of economic strength. b. Credit Cycle Expansion A strong economy usually corresponds to an expanding credit cycle. When businesses borrow more for expansion, and individuals take more loans for consumption (homes, vehicles, education), banks record higher net interest income (NII) and better profitability. During the early-to-mid phase of a bull market, credit growth typically accelerates sharply, turning the banking sector into a market leader. c. Interest Rate Cycle and Net Interest Margins The interest rate environment plays a crucial role. When rates stabilize after a hiking cycle, banks — especially those with a large low-cost deposit base — witness margin expansion. With loan yields rising faster than deposit costs, Net Interest Margin (NIM) improves. This scenario often unfolds in the mid-stages of economic recovery — precisely when the stock market’s optimism about growth is at its peak. d. Heavy Market Weightage In indices like the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty, banking and financial services account for around 35–40% of total weightage. Naturally, whenever large investors — both domestic and foreign — turn bullish on India, their first entry point is often the banking sector, leading to index-level leadership. 3. Banking Sector’s Structural Transformation The Indian banking landscape has undergone a major transformation over the last decade — both in private and public sectors. a. Clean-up of Balance Sheets Post the 2014–2018 NPA crisis, Indian banks, particularly PSUs, faced massive challenges due to bad loans, corporate defaults, and poor asset quality. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and RBI’s asset quality reviews forced banks to recognize, provision, and resolve bad assets. Today, most major banks — especially SBI, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, and Union Bank — have net NPA ratios below 1%–1.2%, compared to 5–6% a few years ago. This clean-up has set the stage for a sustainable recovery. b. Digitization & Efficiency Gains The digital transformation in banking — UPI, mobile apps, digital KYC, and paperless loans — has enhanced operational efficiency, reduced cost-to-income ratios, and improved customer acquisition. PSU banks, once lagging behind in technology, have now made significant progress through partnerships with fintechs and internal digital drives (like SBI’s YONO or BoB World). c. Government Recapitalization and Consolidation Between FY2017 and FY2021, the Indian government infused over ₹3 lakh crore into PSU banks, strengthening their capital buffers. Additionally, bank mergers created stronger entities — for example: Bank of Baroda absorbed Dena and Vijaya Bank, Canara Bank merged with Syndicate Bank, Union Bank merged with Andhra and Corporation Bank. This consolidation reduced fragmentation, created scale, and enhanced competitiveness. 4. The PSU Bank Rally – What’s Driving It? The PSU bank rally has been one of the most notable themes in the Indian stock market in recent years. After a decade of underperformance, these stocks have turned into multi-baggers, with several PSU banks delivering 200–500% returns in just 2–3 years. Let’s decode the reasons behind this rally: a. Massive Valuation Re-rating For a long time, PSU banks traded at deep discounts to book value — often between 0.3x to 0.6x — reflecting investor pessimism. With the clean-up of balance sheets, profitability return, and stable management, the market started to re-rate these banks. Currently, large PSU banks trade at 1.0–1.5x P/B, still lower than private peers (2.5x–4x), leaving room for further revaluation. b. Return of Profitability Post-2020, PSU banks started showing consistent quarterly profits, driven by lower provisioning costs and higher NII. Example: SBI’s FY2025 profits are expected to exceed ₹75,000 crore, Canara Bank, BoB, and Union Bank are recording ROEs above 15%, levels not seen in over a decade. These results changed investor sentiment from skepticism to confidence. c. Credit Growth Momentum PSU banks are witnessing robust credit growth of 12–14%, led by retail loans (housing, personal, auto), SME lending, and corporate capex revival. Their strong presence in rural and semi-urban areas gives them an edge in deposit mobilization, leading to stable funding costs. d. Capital Adequacy & Improved Asset Quality Thanks to recapitalization and internal profit generation, most PSU banks now have Capital Adequacy Ratios above 14%, giving them room to expand their balance sheets. Their Gross NPA ratios have fallen below 4%, compared to 10–12% in 2018. e. FII and DII Interest Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have both turned net buyers of PSU banks. The segment is considered a proxy for India’s growth story — benefiting from both cyclical and structural drivers. Moreover, PSU banks offer attractive dividend yields (3–5%) and stable earnings visibility, making them a favorite in the current interest rate environment. 5. Comparing PSU vs Private Banks Parameter PSU Banks Private Banks Valuation (P/B) 0.9–1.5x 2.5–4.0x ROE/ROA Improving (12–15%) High (16–18%) NIM 3–3.3% 3.5–4.5% Asset Quality Improved, but slightly lower Very strong Technology Adoption Rapidly catching up Already advanced Growth Drivers Retail, Infra, SME, Rural Credit Premium Retail, Digital, Corporate Investor Sentiment Recovering fast Already strong The valuation gap between PSU and private banks has started narrowing, but PSUs still remain value plays, whereas private banks are seen as quality growth plays. 6. Banking Sector as Market Leader in 2025 Cycle In the ongoing market cycle, banking is again showing signs of leadership emergence, driven by several factors: a. Capex Revival India’s private and public sector capex is gaining momentum — from roads and ports to data centers and manufacturing. Banks will play a financing role in this multi-trillion-rupee expansion phase. b. Liquidity & Deposit Growth Despite competition from small finance and fintech banks, traditional banks — especially PSUs — have maintained strong CASA (Current Account Savings Account) ratios, ensuring liquidity. This gives them pricing power in a tightening liquidity environment. c. Credit Quality Cycle at Its Best With low slippages and strong recoveries, India is in the best credit quality cycle in two decades. Credit costs (provisions as a % of assets) are at multi-year lows, directly boosting profitability. d. Government Support & Reforms The government continues to push for PSU bank modernization, privatization of smaller entities, and improvement in governance. The “bad bank” (NARCL) initiative has further helped clear legacy NPAs. e. Rising Financialization of Savings With rising income levels and formalization, more money is flowing into banking and financial systems — deposits, mutual funds, and loans — further deepening the sector’s dominance. 7. Technical & Market Structure Perspective From a market structure angle, the Bank Nifty index is often the leading indicator for Nifty’s trend direction. Historically: When Bank Nifty outperforms Nifty, it signals broad-based bullishness. When PSU banks outperform private banks, it often indicates a mid-stage bull market, where value stocks catch up with growth stocks. As of 2025, both Bank Nifty and Nifty PSU Bank Index are trading near record highs, showing strong volume support, healthy price structure, and institutional accumulation — confirming that leadership lies with the banking pack. 8. Risks & Challenges Despite strong fundamentals, certain risks remain: Interest Rate Volatility: A sharp rate hike cycle can squeeze margins. Global Slowdown: If export demand or global growth falters, corporate loan demand may soften. Competition from Fintechs: Fintechs may eat into certain profitable retail segments. Policy Risks: Privatization delays or regulatory tightening can temporarily hurt PSU valuations. However, these are manageable risks in the current macro setup, as most PSU and private banks maintain high provisioning buffers and stable management practices. 9. Outlook for 2025 and Beyond The outlook for the banking sector remains constructive and bullish. Analysts expect: Credit growth of 12–14% CAGR, NIMs to remain steady, ROEs to sustain above 14%, Asset quality to remain stable. PSU banks are expected to narrow the valuation gap with private banks as they continue to deliver consistent profits, higher dividends, and improved governance. In the medium term (2025–2027), the PSU Bank Index could potentially outperform broader indices, supported by: Credit growth in infrastructure, housing, and MSMEs, Rising investor confidence, India’s macroeconomic resilience. 10. Conclusion The Banking sector’s leadership in the market is not accidental — it is rooted in economic cycles, financial system dominance, and investor psychology. Every major bull market in India’s history has been led, directly or indirectly, by banks. The PSU Bank rally represents not just a price recovery but a structural turnaround story — from being crisis-hit entities plagued by NPAs and inefficiency to becoming profitable, tech-savvy, dividend-paying institutions aligned with India’s growth narrative. As India’s GDP moves toward the $5 trillion mark, and capex, consumption, and credit cycles expand together, banks — both private and public — will remain the torchbearers of the next leg of India’s equity bull market.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold at Key Support — Will XAUUSD Bounce From 3900 - 3895?Gold is testing a crucial demand zone at 3900–3895, where buyers have previously stepped in. If this level continues to hold, we could see a bullish intraday rebound play out. 📊 Trade Setup Buy Zone: 3900 – 3895 Stop Loss: 3878 Target 1: 3924 Target 2: 3936 💡 Technical Outlook Price action is hinting at renewed buying pressure around 3900, with candles showing wicks and slowing momentum on the downside. This could indicate that bulls are defending this key zone, setting up for a short-term bounce toward the 3920–3935 area. Watch for: A bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick near 3895 Increasing volume confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–H1) 🧭 Bias ✅ Expecting a bullish bounce from the 3900–3895 zone ❌ Invalidated if price closes below 3878 ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
2
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup! 🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish. Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally. Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30). 🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES 🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$). Strategy: BUY on confirmation here. TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance). TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance). SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone. Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range. Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support. The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Trading Strategy | October 28-29✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Gold remains within a clear downward channel. Since falling from the 4381 level, the price continues to trade below major moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20), meaning the bearish trend structure is still intact. Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to diverge downward, indicating that bearish momentum remains dominant. MA20 sits above 4050, acting as a strong mid-term resistance. If price fails to break above MA10 (around 3990), weak downward consolidation is likely to continue. Bollinger Bands: The lower band is expanding downward, and gold has remained near the band’s lower edge, signaling continuation of bearish pressure. The middle band near 4050 remains a key resistance — failure to reclaim it will keep price under downside pressure. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis After reaching the 3886 low, gold has seen a technical rebound, but price is currently hovering only between MA5 and MA10, showing that upward momentum is limited. Price is now testing the Bollinger Bands middle line (3960–3970) — a key short-term resistance zone. If gold breaks and holds above this level, the rebound may extend toward MA20 (3985–3990). If it fails to break above and pulls back, the rebound concludes and price may retest 3900 or even make a new low. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3960–3970 / 3985–3990 / 4050 🟢 Support Levels: 3930–3925 / 3885–3890 / 3800 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 3985–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3930-3925. 🔰 If gold drops to 3880–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3930-3950. ✅ Summary There is short-term rebound demand, but the upside remains limited. As long as price fails to break above 3990-4000, the bearish structure remains intact. If gold drops back below 3930, the downtrend is likely to resume with momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 28, 2025) 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: The momentum lines on D1 remain intertwined. When this happens, the trend often continues with candle counts that follow Fibonacci numbers (3, 5, 8…). Currently, there are around 3 candles, indicating a high probability of a reversal forming soon, possibly today. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential short-term upward or sideways move to push momentum into the overbought zone. If the market consolidates at this level, once momentum reaches the overbought region, another bearish leg on H4 could still occur. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently decreasing. Price is closing lower around the liquidity zone at 3994, showing signs of a liquidity sweep. We expect price to continue moving lower toward the next liquidity zone, in alignment with the short-term bearish structure on H1. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: The overall wave structure remains largely unchanged. Yesterday’s strong bearish candle fits within our prior analysis, confirming that the corrective wave is still in progress. However, since the D1 momentum lines have already stuck together for about three candles, a potential bullish reversal candle today could mark the completion of this correction. H4 Timeframe: The structure has broken the previous low, suggesting that this could be the final leg of wave Y (blue). Observing the completed 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 in blue), this corrective leg has now returned to the base of the previous wave 4, achieving both price and time symmetry. → A short-term bullish reversal is expected from the current area. H1 Timeframe: The prior correction formed a triangle pattern (abcde in red), which has now broken to the downside, developing into a 5-wave sequence (black). Wave 4 (black) appears completed, and price is likely within the final wave 5 down. 🎯 Target zones for completion of wave 5 (black): • Target 1️⃣: 3953 • Target 2️⃣: 3927 ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1: • Buy Zone: 3955 – 3952 • Stop Loss: 3932 • TP1: 4050 Scenario 2: • Buy Zone: 3939 – 3927 • Stop Loss: 3907 • TP1: 3994
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 28✅ From the daily chart of spot gold, the price is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level near 3897, combined with the 3900 psychological level, forming a strong short-term support zone where intense buying and selling pressure is expected. However, it is important to note that gold has already broken below the head-and-shoulders neckline, confirming a structural shift into a bearish trend. The measured move target lies near 3750, which overlaps with the 50% Fibonacci retracement around 3800, marking the potential target zone for the next phase of downside. Overall, daily-timeframe bearish momentum remains dominant, and downside risk has not yet been fully released. ✅ From the Asian session through the European session, the market has remained in a unidirectional bearish move, with no meaningful rebound, showing clear bearish pressure. Earlier in the European session, the price broke below the 1-hour consolidation rectangle, and the former key support at 3945 has now turned into resistance. Gold is currently trading around 3900, still within a downward trend channel. ✅ In such a one-way drop with no pullback, where the 1-hour timeframe shows no rebound opportunity, trading should shift to the 5-minute / 15-minute short-term timeframes, using the Bollinger Bands middle line to follow the downtrend. If the price breaks above the middle band on short timeframes, stop loss should be triggered immediately. The ultimate target remains 3800, and long positions should be avoided against this extreme momentum. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3930–3945 🟢 Support Levels: 3800–3805 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 3930–3945 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3850–3800. 🔰 If gold drops to 3800–3805 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3855–3880. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Gold Correction Done!!!Gold has retraced to the 0.65 Fibonacci level on the 4H timeframe, calculated from the previous swing low. This zone has historically acted as a strong inflection point deep enough to shake out weak hands, but often the launchpad for the next leg up. Zooming into the lower timeframes (30M–1H), we’re seeing bullish engulfing candles and hammer formations, signalling a potential reversal. Momentum is shifting. If support holds, this could be the start of a solid upside move. 🔍 Multi-Timeframe Snapshot: 🕓 4H Chart: Price parked at 0.65 Fib retracement. No breakdown below structure. Setup still valid unless support fails. 🕒 1H & 30M Chart: Bullish engulfing + hammer candles. Higher lows forming. Volume starting to lean bullish. 🕒 15M Chart: Microstructure shows swing low forming. Use this for dynamic trailing or TP reference. Entry Zone: Current Market price Stop Loss : 3890 Target : Mentioned on the chart or follow the swing low in 15M TF
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Vikrant_Mighty
XAUUSD SELL TRADE | WILL 4150 ACT AS A BARRIER?Yesterday, Gold experienced a significant sell-off after breaking below our previously identified positional sell level at 4185, triggering a sharp decline down to 4004. Currently, Gold is showing signs of a retracement. The 4150 level is now acting as a strong resistance. Trade Idea: Sell Gold near 4150 Stop Loss: 4157.6 Target Levels: 4121, 4111, and 4101 Note: Monitor price action around these levels closely and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this bearish outlook? 👍 Like if you’re ready to short! 💬 Comment your take or questions below — let’s build a powerful, informed trading community! Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
Steven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending ChannelSteven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending Channel, Clear SELL/BUY Opportunities Ahead of the FED 🎯 Welcome, everyone, Steven Trading is back with a detailed Gold (XAU/USD) strategy for the start of the week! Currently, Gold is trading steadily within a clearly established descending channel on smaller time frames. Our task is to stay close to the channel to look for Sell signals at resistance zones and Buy signals reacting at key support areas. 1. 📊 IN-DEPTH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Steven's TA) Based on M30/H1 analysis (refer to images): Main Trend: Gold is in a descending channel, closely following sell signals. Lower Highs and Lower Lows are continuously being formed. Important SELL Zone: The 38.2% Fibo level at $3973 is acting as a crucial resistance. This is a technical confluence zone to closely monitor for executing trend-following Sell orders. Ideal BUY Zone: A strong and potential support area to catch reaction waves is around $3890 - 3900. This area lies at the bottom of the descending channel, expected to create a bounce reaction. 2. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & CASH FLOW (Context) The market is in a tug-of-war ahead of the crucial Fed meeting: Short-term Support 🟢: Gold prices have paused in a two-day downtrend as safe-haven demand returns ahead of the Fed meeting. The US dollar (USD) hit a weekly low due to dovish Fed expectations, reducing concerns about US-China trade, which supports Gold prices. Long-term Support: The Bank of Korea (BOK) has planned to purchase gold – the first addition since 2013, providing long-term psychological support. Focus: All attention is on the Fed meeting, determining the medium-term trend of USD and XAU/USD. Gold is seeking to reclaim the 21-day SMA at $4061. 3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) We prioritise trading within the channel range: 🔴 SELL Scenario (Stay Close to the Channel) Entry Zone: $3973 - 3975 (Important 38.2% Fibo Zone) Stop Loss (SL): $3979 (Set a tight SL) Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3930 | TP3: $3910 | TP4: $3888 🟢 BUY Reaction Scenario (Channel Bottom) Entry Zone: $3895 - 3897 Stop Loss (SL): $3890 Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3922 | TP2: $3944 | TP3: $3975 | TP4: $3998 4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note) Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the small predetermined risk. Psychology: XAU/USD is testing the crucial 38.2% Fibo support level as the Fed meeting approaches. Volatility will be high, be patient for the right price zone. Risk Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account. Do you agree with this strategy? Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next insights from Steven!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Sell Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) dated 28.10.25Market Structure Price Action: The chart shows a sideways channel breakout followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle. This indicates a shift from consolidation to bearish momentum. 📈 Entry Setup Entry Zone: Around the retest area near 3,984 (highlighted in blue). Price is expected to pull back to this zone before continuing downward. The “ENTRY FOR SELLERS & RETEST ZONE” is marked clearly in the chart. 🛑 Stop Loss Stop Loss Level: ~ 4,008.551 Positioned above day resistance, giving enough buffer to avoid fake breakouts. 🟢 Target Target Price: ~ 3,950.397 This level aligns with monthly support, giving a clean RR (Risk-to-Reward) structure. ⚡ Additional Notes Day Resistance: 3,984.320 Monthly Support: 3,950.397 Breaked the sideways channel: This is the key trigger zone that shows bearish pressure building. If price rejects the retest zone strongly, it can accelerate toward the target quickly. 📊 Summary of the Trade Idea Setup Element Details Pair XAUUSD / Gold Direction Sell Entry Zone 3984 Stop Loss 4008.551 Target 3950.397 Structure Sideways Breakout → Retest → Sell Confirmation Candle Bearish Engulfing ✅ Trading Tip: Wait for clear rejection or bearish confirmation at the entry zone (e.g., wick rejection or engulfing candle) before executing the sell.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97