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Bullish BOS Breakout, Watching Reaction at OB & Sell-Side Liquid◆ Market Context (H2) Price has just broken a bullish BOS and closed above the previous equilibrium zone, confirming buyers are in control. After the strong impulse, the market has entered a rebalancing phase, where a short-term pullback often appears before continuation or a liquidity sweep to the upside. ◆ SMC & Price Action • Bullish structure confirmed by consecutive BOS following the prior CHoCH. • The 4,274 OB is the nearest demand zone where buyers previously reacted. • Above lies sell-side liquidity at 4,355, with a further extension toward 4,408 — a potential distribution or short-term reversal zone. • Price is currently in premium, so patience is preferred over FOMO entries. ◆ Key Levels • Resistance / Liquidity: 4,355 → 4,408 • Support OB: 4,274 • Deeper OB: 4,217 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary) • Wait for a pullback into OB 4,274 • Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction appears • Targets: ▪ 4,319 ▪ 4,355 (Liquidity Sell) ▪ Extension: 4,408 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above 4,319 with bullish closes • Monitor reactions at 4,355 for partial profit-taking • Avoid chasing price in premium zones ➤ Scenario C – Deeper Pullback • If OB 4,274 is clearly broken • Price may retrace to OB 4,217 for re-accumulation • Only consider BUY after a fresh bullish CHoCH ◆ Summary • Primary trend: Bullish (BOS confirmed) • Priority: Buy pullbacks, avoid FOMO • Key decision zone: OB 4,274 • Upside liquidity targets: 4,355 → 4,408
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD Bullish Confirmation Buy the PullbackGold has delivered a clear bullish structure break and is currently holding firmly inside an ascending trend channel. The recent impulsive move confirms strong participation from smart money, while the current price action reflects a healthy pullback–continuation phase, not a reversal. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations and a lower-rate outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY setups. 📊 Market Structure & MMF Flow (H1) • Bullish structure is confirmed with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. • Price is retracing toward demand zones to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. • No bearish structure break has appeared so far. 💎 Key Levels – MMF Style • Primary Buy Zone: 4,268 • Deep Buy Zone: 4,238 – 4,219 • Upside Targets: TP1 4,305 → TP2 4,324 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario – Trend BUY Alternative Scenario – Continuation above 4,305 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias Bullish above 4,238 Invalidation below 4,219
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD BIAS BULLISH as long as we stay above 4279 4268 zone Previous High Taken – Now Acting as Support That red zone you marked? Price tapped it 3 times, failed to break down, and finally broke above → instant SR flip. That’s bullish pressure showing its teeth. Clean Liquidity Grab Below Range Price took liquidity under the blue range, launched, and never looked back. Smart money behavior 101. Market Structure = BULLISH Higher-highs Higher-lows Clear displacement candle Imbalance/FVG on the way up And now consolidation just above the breakout zone = bullish continuation vibes.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook - 12/12/2025XAU/USD is trading around $4,278 with a Strong Buy trend across all major timeframes, confirming a solid bullish structure. As long as price holds above the 4,257 pivot, the uptrend remains intact, supported by the price trading above all moving averages. The bullish targets for the day are 4,283 → 4,311 → 4,340, with ideal buying opportunities on dips between 4,260–4,270 or a breakout entry above 4,285. Stop-loss for dip buying is 4,247, and for breakout buying is 4,270. A bearish scenario becomes valid only if price falls below 4,257, opening downside targets toward 4,230 and 4,175, but this remains a low-probability setup. Price: $4,278 | Trend: Strong Buy All timeframes (30M–Monthly) show bullish momentum Price trading above all MAs = uptrend confirmed Bullish Scenario Bullish above 4,257 Targets: 4,283 → 4,311 → 4,340 Buy dips: 4,260–4,270 Breakout buy: Above 4,285 Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) Bearish only below 4,257 Targets: 4,230 → 4,175 Day Strategy Dip Buy SL: 4,247 Breakout Buy SL: 4,270 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Commodities, and Crypto involves risk. Always do your own research and trade at your own responsibility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Trend intact, waiting for pullback to re-buy at the right zones Strategy Summary Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries were already captured, with price advancing around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend. 1) Trading Plan (H1) ✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258 SL: 4250 Meaning: A shallow pullback zone. If price holds the bullish structure and reacts higher here, trend-following buys are preferred. ✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235 SL: 4238 Meaning: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this area and shows strong confirmation, this becomes a higher-quality buy zone. Projected Targets (based on chart): Near resistance: 4285 Extended target: 4304 – 4307 2) Fundamental / News to Watch The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report Q3/2025). Voting FOMC members & Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speak on the 2026 economic outlook. The US threatens expanded seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp spikes. 3) Technical & Behavioural View Market structure remains bullish. After a strong impulse, a pullback is healthy before continuation. Plan remains clear: buy only at predefined zones, no FOMO. If price breaks below zones and closes H1 candles under SL levels, staying flat and waiting for a new structure is preferred.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the FibonacciXAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the Fibonacci discount zone, with 4285 as the key decision level Idea Summary Main trend: Bullish continuation, but a pullback into Fibonacci levels is possible before the next leg up Timeframe: M30 Strategy: No chasing price; Lana waits for price to reach clear buy zones Key level: 4285 is a strong resistance and a decisive level for next direction Market Context The Fed is placing strong expectations on rising labour productivity to ease the tension between growth, inflation, and the labour market. As a result, rate cut expectations for next year remain cautious. For gold, this environment often creates large price swings, making a zone-based trading plan essential. Key Levels Lana Is Watching 4285: Strong resistance, major reaction zone 4265: Short-term target 4245–4248: Fibonacci-based buy zone combined with price imbalance 4210–4213: Liquidity buy zone if a deeper correction occurs Trading Scenarios Primary scenario – Buy on pullback into discount zone Buy: 4245–4248 | SL: 4240 | TP: 4265 → 4285 → 4300 Secondary scenario – Buy at liquidity zone Buy: 4210–4213 | SL: 4205 | TP: 4230 → 4255 → 4285 Each scenario is only one of many possible market outcomes. Lana prioritises capital protection, uses clear stop losses, and is comfortable skipping trades if price does not reach the planned zones. Conclusion 4285 is the level to watch closely. Strong reactions are likely near this zone. A clean break and hold above 4285 could open the path toward 4300. This is Lana’s personal view.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD H1 Volume Profile and Key Price AreasXAUUSD H1 – Volume Profile and Key Price Areas Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with the primary strategy focused on buying pullbacks PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Buy-the-dip approach aligned with the dominant trend using Volume Profile levels Expected buy zone: around 4253 based on VAH Short-term range to monitor: 4263 – 4285 Price expectation: rebound from VAH toward the upper range before further expansion Position management: If price holds above the 4263 area and shows clear bullish reaction, maintaining long exposure remains favorable. If price is strongly rejected near 4285, risk should be reduced as this zone represents an important short-term resistance. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SETUP Short-term countertrend opportunity at an extended resistance level Sell zone for the alternative scenario: around 4310 at the Fibonacci extension This setup is only considered if clear rejection signals appear at the level KEY REASONS The bullish structure on the H1 timeframe remains intact Volume Profile highlights the VAH near 4253 as a high-probability reaction zone The 4310 area represents an extended resistance suitable for profit-taking or short-term pullback reactions MACRO CONTEXT The Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle and maintains a dovish stance, putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and concerns about US economic slowdown further reinforce safe-haven demand. Markets are now focused on the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report, where weaker data could drive further upside, while stronger data may trigger a short-term correction. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price while gold trades within the 4263 – 4285 range. The bullish scenario becomes invalid if price breaks clearly below the support area beneath the VAH. Expect increased volatility around major economic data releases and manage exposure accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Climbs to 4286 on higher jobless claims, 4398 Next?Dollar has suffered a blow after the Fed's 25 BPS rate cut. Higher than consensus jobless claims further added strength to gold prices which already formed strong base above 4200 and strong breakout above 4230 paved the way to extension towards next leg higher 4286 As long as Gold maintains stability above local demand zone 4158 the metal is likely to extend bullish advance towards 4310 followed by 4340 while major resistance zone is positioned at 4398 If intraday selling pressure breaks below 4258, next retracement may find buyers around breakout zone 4230
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD 12 12 2025 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum has already entered the overbought zone, indicating that the strength of the current upward cycle is weakening. If D1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal, it may signal the completion of this entire upward phase. H4: H4 momentum has converged tightly, which also reflects a loss of bullish strength. We need to wait for a bearish candle to confirm a momentum reversal on this timeframe. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting a short-term upward swing may appear first on the H1 timeframe. 2. Wave Structure D1: With D1 momentum now in the overbought zone and price approaching our projected targets, the green wave C is likely nearing completion. Once wave C finishes, the purple wave X will also complete. When D1 momentum confirms a reversal, that level will likely become the wave X top, followed by a decline into the purple wave Y. H4: Price broke above yesterday’s high, which increases the probability that wave 4 has already completed. After wave 4 completes, the market continues higher into wave 5 (green). The projected target for wave 5 is around 4334. H1: The corrective structure appears to have formed a triangle (abcde) for the green wave 4. In the current advance, price is developing a 5-wave sequence in red, and we are currently in red wave 3. Inside red wave 3, a smaller 5-wave black structure is unfolding, and the market is now correcting within black wave 4. Red wave 3 target: around 4311 Black wave 4 shows characteristics of a flat correction, with a target near 4260 However, H4 momentum is tightly compressed — something I do not prefer, because this condition often carries the risk of a momentum reversal. If H4 confirms a bearish momentum turn, the market could produce a decline lasting roughly 4–5 H4 candles, pushing price deeper. For now, the upward momentum from H1 is still supportive. 3. Trading Plan I select the 4260 area as the preferred buy zone to trade upward into black wave 5, targeting 4311. One important note: if green wave 4 is indeed a triangle as labeled, then green wave 5 can accelerate very quickly. After that, a reversal is likely, because triangles typically appear right before the end of a larger trend. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4261 – 4259 SL: 4248 TP1: 4292 TP2: 4311
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Market Accumulating Liquidity, Two Clear Scenarios for TodayGold continues to move within a bullish structure, but short-term order flow shows distribution inside the OBS Sell Zone 4,236. Price is currently trapped in the middle of the range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity sweep before choosing its next direction. Fundamentally, expectations of a dovish Fed still support gold on deeper pullbacks — but intraday, the two MMF flow setups are extremely clear. 📊 Technical Outlook (MMF Flow – H1) 🔸 OBS SELL ZONE: 4,236 • Strong reaction on first touch → supply confirmed • Downtrend line converges here → high probability of liquidity traps 🔸 OBS BUY ZONE: 4,197 • First key demand zone below • Aligned with channel support → likely bullish reaction 🔸 Sell-side Liquidity: 4,181 • If price sweeps this area → ideal reversal point 🔸 Premium SELL Reaction Zone: 4,284 • If gold expands upward → priority area for distribution / short-term correction 🎯 Two Main MMF Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL reaction → BUY trend continuation • Price retests 4,236 • Bearish reaction → pushes price toward 4,197 – 4,181 • Reversal signal appears • Targets: 4,236 → 4,284 ➡️ This is the cleanest play following today’s liquidity flow. Scenario 2 – Direct bullish expansion • Price breaks and closes above 4,236 • Retests this zone • Expands toward 4,284 ➡️ Requires strong bullish momentum — no confirmation, no trade. 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias • Bullish as long as price holds above 4,197 • Neutral → Bearish only if price closes below 4,181 (failed liquidity sweep) The market is preparing for a breakout — let liquidity do its job before choosing direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Breaks Key Resistance Bulls Take ControlGold has finally punched through the critical $4,240-4,250 resistance zone, now trading comfortably above this level. The breakout comes after a period of consolidation, which typically signals strong underlying momentum. This is a textbook technical setup where previous resistance should now flip to support. Key Levels to Watch: The path forward looks clear toward the psychological $4,300 level, followed by the all-time high at $4,380. As long as price holds above the $4,240 area, the bias remains bullish. A breakdown and close below this zone would be needed to invalidate the bullish structure and signal a potential reversal. Outlook: The technical picture favors continuation to the upside. Bulls are in control here, and any pullbacks toward the $4,240-4,250 zone could offer buying opportunities for those looking to join the trend.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
ChumTrades XAUUSD intraday outlookXAUUSD – Intraday Plan (M15) Market Context Price is currently ranging in a very tight consolidation. Momentum is weak → market favors intraday range trading rather than chasing breakouts. Short-term structure remains intact; focus on price reaction at key levels. Daily Strategy Main approach: trade the range, trade the reaction. Buy at predefined support / Fibonacci zones, sell at clear resistance. If a breakout occurs, wait for a retest before following the move. Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Key Buy Zones 4246 – 4244 (Fibo 0.5) 4236 – 4233 (Fibo 0.618) 4210 – 4208 (deep support reaction) ❌ Bullish structure invalidation: M15 close below 4200 Key Sell Zones 4300 – 4305 (psychological resistance) 4310 (Fibonacci extension – reaction sell) Special Notes (Friday) No major economic news today, but it is Friday – end of week. Price action may become choppy and unpredictable, especially during the US session (a pattern seen in recent weeks). Risk management is key: Focus on short-term trades Take profits early Avoid holding positions over the weekend Good luck Bro !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
New Name, New Year, New WarNew Name, New Year, New War: Venezuelan invasion coming soon? The Trump administration has made its intentions toward Nicolás Maduro clear. Removing the Venezuelan president is a stated goal, but the path the administration is willing to take remains uncertain. A former U.S. ambassador to Venezuela has described the deployment of American ground troops as a “last option”, but anything is possible with Trump and his newly named Department of War. Washington has already seized a tanker carrying Venezuelan crude and is preparing to intercept additional shipments. Also, the U.S. has carried out more than twenty strikes on vessels it claims were involved in drug-smuggling operations. Each step raises the risk of a broader confrontation. Metal markets might rally on escalation. Silver remains in a strong vertical trend. The move above 63 pushed price into fresh record territory before a modest pullback. Gold has broken through the recent range and printed a new swing high near $4,285 before pulling back. Any significant development in Venezuela, such as a new seizure or a military operation, could trigger a higher open in metals when markets resume.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
Bullish Structure Locked In — Gold Eyes 4,405Hello everyone, this is Luiss_Miguel! At the moment, XAUUSD is a textbook example of a market moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with price consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the structure. Recently, we observed a clear breakout above a key resistance zone, followed by a high-quality retest. This area aligns perfectly with the Golden Pocket of the previous bullish leg, making it a highly significant level to watch. If this zone continues to hold as support, it would provide a strong structural confirmation of the bullish trend, increasing the likelihood of price extending toward 4,405, which represents the upper boundary of the channel. As long as price remains above this supportive region, the bullish scenario remains intact. However, if price dips below it, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, potentially opening the door to a deeper corrective move. Always remember to apply strict risk management to protect your capital. Wishing you all the best — and trade wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 11, 2025 1. Momentum D1: D1 momentum continues to rise, suggesting that the upward move is likely to extend until momentum reaches the overbought zone and begins to turn downward. H4: H4 momentum is currently rising, but the strong bearish H4 candle is causing momentum to contract. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close to confirm the next momentum signal. H1: H1 momentum is declining, indicating the possibility of continued short-term downside movement. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: The D1 wave structure remains unchanged. Price continues to unfold within the green wave C. Previous analyses can be referenced for detailed D1 structural scenarios. H4: Price tested the VAH zone at 4245 and rejected downward toward the POC (green line). It is currently holding at this support area. Although price has broken above the POC—a positive early signal for a potential bullish continuation—price has not yet escaped the VAH zone, meaning the strength of a new uptrend is still unconfirmed. A key condition is that price must break above 4245 to reinforce the bullish scenario. H1: Price has corrected below 4221—the assumed wave 1 high from yesterday—thereby invalidating the 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive count for a new uptrend. As a result, the more appropriate structure is a contracting triangle abcde. In a triangle, each leg consists of corrective three-wave structures. Therefore, the current decline could develop into a zigzag, flat, or smaller triangle. We need further price action to distinguish these patterns. For now, I am temporarily monitoring the zigzag scenario as the working model. ________________________________________ 3. Key Price Levels & Expected Targets On the H4 chart, price is approaching the POC. If price breaks above the POC and then retests it, this zone will act as strong support and may generate a bullish reaction. This is the reason I am temporarily using the zigzag structure as the primary observation model. The projected completion zone for wave e of the triangle is located near the lower boundary of the pattern. When aligned with Fibonacci confluence and liquidity zones, two key target areas emerge: • 4200 • 4187 At this stage, the market is only forming wave A of the decline. We will wait for the wave B retracement. Once wave B develops, the market will provide clearer data to pinpoint the exact target region for wave C. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan For now, we wait for the wave B pullback. Once the corrective bounce completes, I will define the precise target zones and provide an updated trade plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
“Support Bounce → Bullish Continuation Toward 4,245🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Rejection from Support & Breakout Potential 🚀📈 🔍 Key Technical Analysis Price respected the Support Level (4,185 – 4,190) and bounced strongly ✔️ Price is currently following an ascending Support Line → bullish structure intact 📈 Previous liquidity sweep (POI Points) shows buyers absorbing sell pressure 💰 Multiple breakouts indicate strong bullish momentum returning 🔥 Current consolidation suggests accumulation before next move up 🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers) Target Type Price Range Sticker TP1 → Breakout Target 4,235 – 4,245 🎯 TP2 → Upper Expansion Zone 4,255 – 4,265 🚀💸 📌 TP1 = High-probability target 📌 TP2 = If bullish momentum continues strongly 📌 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Structure) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,195 – 4,205 🟢 Take Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,240 🎯 ➤ TP2: 4,260 🚀 🧭 Market Outlook Factor Bias Trend Bullish above support ✔️ Liquidity Upside liquidity open 💧 Momentum Strengthening 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold (XAU/USD) – Full Technical AnalysisGold continues to trade under pressure, extending its intraday losses as price hovers near the $4,215–$4,205 zone, reacting to a modest rebound in the US Dollar. The charts show repeated failure to hold above $4,220, indicating short-term weakness. On the left (1H chart), price is struggling below the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, confirming bearish intraday sentiment. Volume spikes during the sell-off suggest stronger seller activity near $4,230 resistance. On the right (lower timeframe), Gold briefly dipped toward $4,200 support, but bounced as RSI entered oversold territory—showing temporary buyer interest. However, the structure remains weak: lower highs are forming, a sign of sellers dominating short-term momentum. For bulls, $4,202–$4,198 is the key support zone—holding above this keeps price in a consolidation phase. A breakdown below $4,198 may open doors toward $4,185. Upside recovery remains limited unless price reclaims $4,225, where both EMA clusters and supply pressure converge. Dovish Fed expectations continue to provide a floor for Gold, but intraday sentiment favors range-bound to mildly bearish action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by carlos_fx2
1
XAU/USD : Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,24x → 4,26x 1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because: • Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196. • This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse. • The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188. → This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones. 2. Key Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196 • Bullish OB • Trendline support • Priority BUY area 🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218 • Multiple rejections • Breakout → next bullish leg 🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239 • 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence • Possible mild sell reaction 🔹 Liquidity & Targets: • 4,259 → Fibo 1.272 • 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity 3. Trading Plan 🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x Conditions: • Price taps 4,188 – 4,196 • Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH Targets: TP1: 4,217 TP2: 4,238 TP3: 4,259 TP4: 4,278 Invalidation: • H1 close below 4,185 → stay out. 🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217: • Wait for retest of 4,217 • BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278 Market Outlook Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1