XAUUSDGold is approaching supply zone. If we see a rejection from top. It can fall down to the below liquidity as shown.
Trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy Reference for Next Week✅ Last Friday’s gold price movement once again validated the previous analysis. Gold faced strong resistance around 4047–4055 and found support at 3965–3970, remaining range-bound throughout the session and closing near 4003. If no significant news impacts the market at next week’s opening, the price is likely to continue consolidating within this range.
✅ On the weekly timeframe, gold has closed bearish for two consecutive weeks and is currently trading below the 5-week moving average. The 5-week MA has started to turn downward, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, from a broader perspective, the price remains within a long-term ascending channel. The key structural support lies around 3900; as long as this level holds, the long-term bullish outlook is still intact.
✅ On the daily timeframe, gold is trading below multiple moving averages, forming a clear bearish alignment. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages continue to press downward, limiting short-term rebounds. The Bollinger Bands are opening to the downside, with price trading between the mid and lower bands and approaching lower-band support, reflecting short-term weakness. October’s daily candle closed as a shooting star with a long upper wick, which is unfavorable to the bulls. Based on price structure and candlestick formation, the probability of further downside in November is relatively high.
The 4010–4020 zone has shifted from support to key resistance; if gold fails to break above this region on Monday, further downside pressure is expected. Conversely, a successful breakout would invalidate the 4030–4040 resistance zone and may trigger a short-term bullish extension.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4010–4023 / 4030–4040
🟢 Support Levels: 3965–3970 / 3915–3885
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to the 4010–4020 zone and shows rejection, consider short positions targeting 3965–3970.
🔰 If gold pulls back to the 3950-3955 zone and stabilizes, consider long positions targeting 3980-4000.
✅ Overall, gold remains bearish on short-term cycles while the long-term structure is still intact. Technical signals, moving averages, and fundamental sentiment all point toward further downside. Throughout November, the primary focus should be on selling the rallies. As long as the key long-term support remains unbroken, the broader bullish trend still has the potential to continue.
GOLD: US Fed is Not Giving Up! Big Selling Zone is Activated.Hello, Traders! It's a crucial time, yaar! Gold is at a major crossroads. The pressure from the US Fed is real, and it’s lining up perfectly with our key price levels. Let’s do a quick scan of the market.
I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Big Boss (The Fed) is Hawkish 📰
Main Reason for Bears: The US Fed officials are not interested in rate cuts for now. They are very much "hawkish" due to inflation concerns. This has crushed market optimism.
The Direct Impact: Higher US interest rates mean the Dollar is strong and mighty. For a non-yielding asset like Gold, this is a major negative signal.
Long-Term View (The Hope): Don't lose heart completely! Big institutions still see Gold climbing (like Morgan Stanley projecting $4,300/oz by 2026). So, current dips are good for long-term accumulation.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply-Demand Game 🎯
The H4 chart is showing a confirmed DOWNTREND. The recent small rally is just a necessary pullback to test the sellers' power before the next big drop.
1. Primary Strategy: GO SHORT (Following the Main Trend)
The Hot Selling Zone: $4,059 to $4,085. This is our Supply Area where the institutional players are likely waiting. This level is key.
Action Plan: Wait for Gold to enter $4,059 - $4,085. Look for a solid rejection (a strong reversal candle) to confirm your SHORT entry.
Final Target (TP): Our main target is the Strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952.
2. Counter-Trend Strategy: The Bounce Level
Crucial Buying Zone: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major support level.
Action Plan: If the price really drops here, you can watch for a quick long entry for a bounce, but maintain tight stop-loss.
🔑 Final Verdict
Best Bet: We must look for a SELL near the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. Everything is lining up for a continued downside move. Risk management is paramount, okay?
What's your plan for Gold? Will the market respect the $4,085 level? Tell me in the comments! 👇
#XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #IndianTrader #MarketAnalysis
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDCurrent Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term. NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! MCX:GOLD1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! MCX:SILVER1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:NQ1! MCX:GOLDM1! COMEX:GC1! MCX:SILVERM1! MCX:GOLDPETAL1!
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 02.11.25XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Weekly Buy Projection for 02.11.25.
Here’s a breakdown of what your chart indicates:
🧭 Technical Overview:
Pattern Forming: Symmetrical Triangle inside a larger Parallel Downtrend Channel.
Key Confirmation: “W” pattern confirmation with 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, indicating strong potential reversal.
Current Price Zone: Around 4002, consolidating near triangle resistance.
🔍 Key Levels:
Support S1: ~3960
Support S2: ~3920
Resistance R1: ~4040
Resistance R2: ~4080
Resistance R3: ~4160
📈 Projection Summary:
If Price Breaks Triangle Upward:
→ Strong bullish momentum expected toward R1–R3 zones.
→ “Huge buy expected” once breakout candle closes above the upper trendline with volume.
Invalidation:
→ If price breaks below 3960, the bullish setup weakens.
→ Below 3920, trend may retest the lower parallel channel zone.
💡 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Logic):
Buy Entry: Above 4040 confirmation breakout
Target 1: 4080
Target 2: 4160
Global Cues & GIFT Nifty TradingIntroduction
In today’s interconnected financial ecosystem, no market operates in isolation. Global economic events, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and market trends from the U.S., Europe, and Asia all influence trading sentiment in India. This interconnectedness is what we call “global cues.” Traders closely watch these cues to anticipate how the GIFT Nifty (formerly SGX Nifty) and the Indian stock markets might open or behave during the trading day.
GIFT Nifty serves as a key pre-market indicator for the Indian equity market, offering traders a glimpse into potential market direction even before the domestic markets open. Let’s explore how global cues interact with GIFT Nifty trading and shape the overall sentiment in India’s financial markets.
What Are Global Cues?
Global cues refer to signals or influences originating from international markets that impact domestic trading behavior. These cues include movements in:
Major Global Indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, and DAX.
Commodity Prices, such as crude oil, gold, and base metals.
Currency Movements, particularly USD/INR, EUR/USD, and other major pairs.
Bond Yields and global interest rates.
Macroeconomic Data, including inflation, GDP growth, and employment figures from key economies.
Geopolitical Events, such as wars, sanctions, trade agreements, or political instability.
These global indicators collectively affect investor confidence, risk appetite, and capital flows — which ultimately influence Indian markets and the GIFT Nifty.
Understanding GIFT Nifty
GIFT Nifty, officially known as GIFT Nifty 50 Futures, is traded on the NSE International Exchange (NSE IX), located in the GIFT City (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City) in India. It replaced the SGX Nifty (Singapore Exchange Nifty), which was previously traded in Singapore until 2023.
The transition to GIFT Nifty marked India’s effort to bring offshore Nifty trading back within its borders, giving Indian regulators more control and transparency over derivatives linked to Indian markets.
Key features of GIFT Nifty:
Traded almost 21 hours a day, bridging Asian, European, and U.S. time zones.
Denominated in U.S. dollars, attracting foreign institutional participation.
Tracks the performance of the Nifty 50 index, India’s leading stock market benchmark.
Serves as a pre-market indicator for the direction of the Indian equity market.
Because GIFT Nifty trades while Indian markets are closed, its price movement gives traders an idea of how the Indian stock market may open the next morning.
The Role of Global Cues in GIFT Nifty Movements
GIFT Nifty is highly sensitive to global cues due to its extended trading hours overlapping with international markets. Here’s how global factors typically influence its performance:
1. U.S. Market Performance
The U.S. markets, especially indices like Dow Jones, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, play a dominant role in setting global risk sentiment. A strong rally on Wall Street often leads to bullish sentiment in Asian markets and GIFT Nifty, whereas a sharp decline usually results in bearish trends.
For instance, if the NASDAQ closes higher due to strong tech earnings, GIFT Nifty futures may rise overnight, hinting at a positive start for Indian markets.
2. Asian Market Trends
Since GIFT Nifty overlaps with Asian trading hours, performance in indices like Nikkei 225 (Japan), Hang Seng (Hong Kong), and Shanghai Composite (China) can significantly impact it. Weak Chinese data or yen fluctuations can trigger risk aversion across Asian equities, pulling down GIFT Nifty as well.
3. Crude Oil Prices
India is a major importer of crude oil. Rising oil prices increase India’s import bill, widen the current account deficit, and can fuel inflation—all negatives for the Indian economy. As a result, higher oil prices often pressure GIFT Nifty and the Indian rupee. Conversely, a sharp fall in oil prices tends to boost GIFT Nifty sentiment.
4. Currency Movements (USD/INR)
A weakening Indian rupee against the U.S. dollar usually signals foreign outflows and inflationary pressure, which dampen investor sentiment. GIFT Nifty tends to fall in such scenarios. On the other hand, a strengthening rupee supports positive sentiment and may lift GIFT Nifty.
5. U.S. Federal Reserve and Global Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions are closely tracked worldwide. Any hint of rate hikes or hawkish tone increases global risk aversion, leading to sell-offs in equities and a drop in GIFT Nifty. Conversely, dovish policies (rate cuts or liquidity support) boost risk-taking and lift markets globally.
6. Geopolitical Developments
Geopolitical events such as wars, trade conflicts, or sanctions can cause market volatility. For example, the Russia-Ukraine war initially led to a spike in oil prices and a global risk-off sentiment, dragging GIFT Nifty lower. Similarly, easing geopolitical tensions can trigger recovery rallies.
How Traders Use Global Cues in GIFT Nifty Trading
GIFT Nifty traders often analyze global cues to predict short-term price action and hedge positions in Indian equities. Some common strategies include:
Pre-Market Direction Prediction:
Traders track U.S. and European market closings to gauge where GIFT Nifty may open. This helps in planning trades for the Indian session.
Arbitrage Opportunities:
Since GIFT Nifty trades almost round-the-clock, traders exploit price differences between GIFT Nifty and NSE Nifty futures when domestic markets open.
Hedging FII Exposure:
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) use GIFT Nifty to hedge their positions in Indian equities based on global risk factors.
Event-Based Trading:
Key global events like U.S. CPI data, Federal Reserve meetings, or OPEC announcements can trigger quick GIFT Nifty reactions. Traders position themselves accordingly before these announcements.
Example: How Global Cues Drive GIFT Nifty
Imagine this scenario:
The Dow Jones surges by 2% overnight on strong U.S. GDP data.
Brent crude drops below $80/barrel, easing inflation fears.
Asian markets open positive.
Result: GIFT Nifty futures jump 100–150 points, signaling a bullish opening for Indian markets the next morning.
In contrast, if:
U.S. bond yields rise sharply,
Crude oil climbs to $95/barrel, and
China reports weak factory data,
GIFT Nifty might fall 150–200 points, reflecting bearish sentiment before the Indian market opens.
Impact of Global Cues on Domestic Market Opening
Because GIFT Nifty trades overnight, it directly influences pre-market sentiment in India. News anchors and analysts frequently refer to “GIFT Nifty indicates a positive/negative start for the Indian markets.”
For example:
If GIFT Nifty is trading 100 points higher, it indicates a likely gap-up opening for Nifty 50.
If it’s 150 points lower, a gap-down opening can be expected.
This helps traders, especially intraday and short-term players, plan their strategies before the NSE opens.
The Future of GIFT Nifty and Global Integration
GIFT Nifty has strengthened India’s position in the global financial ecosystem. With extended trading hours and growing foreign participation, it acts as a bridge between Indian and international investors. As more global funds use GIFT Nifty for exposure to Indian markets, liquidity and volume are expected to rise.
Additionally, the establishment of GIFT City as a global financial hub aligns with India’s vision of becoming a major player in international finance. Over time, more derivative products linked to Indian indices and sectors may be introduced in GIFT City, further deepening market integration.
Conclusion
Global cues and GIFT Nifty trading are tightly interlinked, forming a vital part of India’s financial market ecosystem. Global economic data, geopolitical developments, commodity prices, and central bank policies directly impact GIFT Nifty’s movement — which, in turn, serves as a real-time barometer for the next day’s market sentiment in India.
For traders, understanding these relationships is essential. Those who effectively analyze global cues can make informed trading decisions, manage risk better, and anticipate market direction with greater accuracy. In essence, GIFT Nifty is not just a derivative product — it is India’s window to the world of global finance.
Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis for Traders1. Introduction to Market Analysis
Market analysis helps traders evaluate the future price movements of assets like stocks, commodities, or currencies. The goal is to determine whether to buy, sell, or hold a security.
Fundamental Analysis focuses on intrinsic value — the “true worth” of a company or asset based on its financial and economic data.
Technical Analysis focuses on market behavior — analyzing charts, price movements, and patterns to predict future trends.
Both methods are valuable, and many professional traders use a blend of the two to confirm their strategies.
2. Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental Analysis is based on the belief that every asset has an intrinsic value determined by underlying financial and economic factors. If the market price is below this value, the asset is considered undervalued (a buy signal). If it’s above, it’s overvalued (a sell signal).
a. Purpose of Fundamental Analysis
The main goal is to determine whether a security is trading at a fair price. It answers the question: “Is this asset worth investing in for the long term?”
b. Key Components of Fundamental Analysis
Economic Analysis
Traders study macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, employment levels, and fiscal policies. For example, lower interest rates often encourage borrowing and investment, boosting corporate earnings and stock prices.
Industry Analysis
Each company operates within an industry that affects its performance. Analysts evaluate industry trends, competition, growth potential, and regulatory environment. For example, the renewable energy sector may have strong prospects due to global sustainability trends.
Company Analysis
This involves studying a company’s financial health, management efficiency, and competitive position. Key financial statements used include:
Income Statement – reveals profitability.
Balance Sheet – shows assets, liabilities, and equity.
Cash Flow Statement – measures cash generation and spending.
c. Key Ratios Used in Fundamental Analysis
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Compares a company’s current price to its earnings per share.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Measures profit allocated to each share.
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Compares market value to book value.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Indicates financial leverage and risk.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures profitability relative to shareholder equity.
By combining these indicators, traders estimate whether the stock’s current price reflects its actual performance and growth potential.
3. Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis focuses on studying price action and market psychology through charts and indicators. The key belief is that “price discounts everything” — meaning all fundamental factors are already reflected in the market price.
a. Purpose of Technical Analysis
TA helps traders identify trends, entry and exit points, and potential reversals. It answers the question: “When should I buy or sell?”
b. Core Principles of Technical Analysis
Price Discounts Everything:
All news, earnings, and expectations are already factored into the price.
Prices Move in Trends:
Markets tend to move in identifiable trends — upward (bullish), downward (bearish), or sideways (consolidation).
History Repeats Itself:
Market behavior is influenced by human psychology, and price patterns often repeat over time.
c. Tools and Techniques in Technical Analysis
Charts and Patterns
Line Charts: Simplest form, showing closing prices.
Bar Charts: Show open, high, low, and close (OHLC).
Candlestick Charts: Visual representation of price action using candles.
Common patterns include:
Head and Shoulders: Indicates a reversal trend.
Triangles: Signal continuation or breakout.
Double Top/Bottom: Suggest trend reversal.
Indicators and Oscillators
Moving Averages (MA): Smooth out price data to identify trends.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Detects momentum and trend reversals.
Bollinger Bands: Measure market volatility.
Volume Profile: Shows traded volumes at different price levels, identifying strong support and resistance zones.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support is where the price tends to stop falling; resistance is where it tends to stop rising. These levels guide traders in planning entries and exits.
4. Comparison Between Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Aspect Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis
Objective Determines intrinsic value Identifies price trends
Approach Based on financial & economic data Based on charts & indicators
Time Horizon Long-term Short-term to medium-term
Data Used Earnings, assets, economic growth Price, volume, patterns
Focus “Why” the price moves “When” the price moves
Best for Investors Traders
Drawback Slow to react to market moves Can ignore fundamentals
Both methods complement each other. For example, a trader might use fundamental analysis to choose a strong stock and technical analysis to time the entry and exit.
5. How Traders Combine Both Approaches
Many professional traders use a hybrid approach, combining the best of both worlds:
Step 1: Use Fundamental Analysis to select fundamentally strong stocks or currencies with good long-term prospects.
Step 2: Apply Technical Analysis to find the right time to enter or exit trades.
For example, if a company reports rising profits and strong guidance (fundamental strength), but the stock price is currently in a consolidation phase, a trader may wait for a breakout above resistance (technical signal) before buying.
6. Advantages and Limitations
a. Fundamental Analysis
Advantages:
Ideal for long-term investors.
Helps identify undervalued or overvalued assets.
Focuses on financial strength and future potential.
Limitations:
Not effective for short-term trading.
Market prices can remain irrational despite strong fundamentals.
Time-consuming data collection.
b. Technical Analysis
Advantages:
Useful for short-term trading decisions.
Provides clear entry and exit signals.
Reflects real-time market sentiment.
Limitations:
Can give false signals in volatile markets.
Ignores fundamental value.
Requires discipline and experience to interpret correctly.
7. Practical Example
Imagine two traders analyzing Infosys Ltd.
Trader A (Fundamental Analyst): Examines the company’s quarterly earnings, strong IT sector growth, and healthy balance sheet. He believes the stock is undervalued and buys it for the long term.
Trader B (Technical Analyst): Studies price charts, notes a bullish crossover in the MACD, and buys for a short-term rally.
Both traders are profitable but have different objectives and strategies. This shows how FA and TA can coexist effectively.
8. Conclusion
Fundamental and Technical Analysis are two powerful yet distinct methods for understanding market movements.
Fundamental Analysis helps you understand what to buy by identifying assets with strong financial potential.
Technical Analysis helps you decide when to buy or sell by tracking market behavior and sentiment.
In essence, fundamentals tell the story, and technicals tell the timing. Successful traders often combine both — using fundamentals to choose quality assets and technicals to manage entry, exit, and risk. In today’s fast-moving markets, mastering both approaches gives traders a strategic edge and helps them make well-informed, confident trading decisions.
Gold Next Move below or above Gold Next Move below or Above $4000-$4010 only
Gold dropped well with Fed resume the rates
Gold for next week -> 3 Nov 2025I'm expecting a drop into the demand zone and from there expecting a rally into the next supply zone which I marked above.
GOLD TRAPPED BETWEEN LIQUIDITY ZONES – WAITING FOR SMART MONEY M🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 31, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + BOS/CHOCH Confirmation
🎯 Hook:
Gold is currently ranging between two key liquidity zones after a bullish BOS. Will price hunt the weak high or sweep the buy-side liquidity before the next leg?
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
After a strong recovery from 3960 → 4040, price created a weak high with no significant displacement. The recent rejection from 4037–4039 suggests short-term supply pressure, but overall market structure remains bullish with multiple BOS confirmations.
Current structure shows a liquidity grab → retracement phase before continuation.
📈 TRADING PLAN
Scenario 1 – BUY setup (preferable)
Entry zone: 3996 – 3994
Confirmation: Bullish reaction / CHoCH on lower timeframe (M5–M15)
TP1: 4030
TP2: 4038 (liquidity above weak high)
SL: 3988 (≈ 6$ risk range)
Bias: Continuation bullish leg after mitigation
Alternative BUY zone (deep retracement):
Entry: 3960 – 3958
TP: 4030
SL: 3952
Use only if price sweeps lower liquidity.
Scenario 2 – SELL setup (counter-trade)
Entry zone: 4037 – 4039
Confirmation: M15 bearish CHoCH / rejection candle
TP1: 4010
TP2: 3995
SL: 4045 (≈ 6$ risk range)
Bias: Short-term sell before retest demand
🧩 SUMMARY
Market still shows bullish structure, so buy setups at demand zones are higher probability.
Sell setups should be quick scalps around the weak high, targeting intraday retracement.
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Short-Term Uptrend, Target $4,108🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to uphold a short-term uptrend structure after forming a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) around the 3,926 USD zone.
Buyers are in control as prices consistently create higher lows and react positively at the Order Block + Supporting Trendline zone.
As long as prices remain above the 3,940–3,926 USD area, the uptrend structure is preserved.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block Bullish: 3,926 USD → main support zone, confluence with rising trendline.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3,942 – 3,972 USD → potential liquidity absorption zone.
• Resistance Zone: 4,032 USD → short-term resistance, needs to be broken to confirm continued uptrend.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,108 USD → expansion target if the above resistance is breached.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise catching the retracement from support zone
• Entry: 3,942 – 3,926 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,910 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,972
– TP2: 4,032
– TP3: 4,064
– TP4: 4,108
✳️ “Buy the discount” – Prioritise orders in the confluence zone of OB + FVG to follow Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Short-term at resistance zone
• Entry: 4,032 – 4,048 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,060 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 4,010
– TP2: 3,972
– TP3: 3,942
✳️ “Sell the premium” – Activate only if clear price rejection signals appear at resistance.
💬 Summary
The current structure still leans towards bullish short-term with the 3,926 USD zone as the key invalidation zone .
As long as prices stay above the trendline, the immediate target is the 4,108 USD liquidity zone.
Optimal strategy: Buy on dip – Sell on reaction.
“Smart Money buys fear, sells greed — follow the footprints, not the noise.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 31/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
StevenTrading - XAUUSD: Buy Up Priority – Leverage New ...StevenTrading - XAUUSD: Buy Up Priority – Leverage New Bullish Structure and Await FED/Trade
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed Gold strategy!
Gold is currently restrained due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut in December and optimism in US-China trade.
However, the gold scenario is on a bullish structure and we prioritise buying up higher positions according to Fibonacci.
Macroeconomic factors such as the Fed meeting and high-level trade talks will drive XAU/USD actions.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & SENTIMENT
Pressure 🔴: Gold prices have undergone a deep correction after opening higher for the week.
The US dollar index hovers around $99.50$ due to uncertainty surrounding the Fed's policy outlook.
Technical Outlook: The current technical outlook highlights a loss of short-term bullish momentum.
However, the bullish structure remains intact (refer to image_1df12a.png).
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & BUY UP PLAN
Priority: Buy Up higher positions according to Fibonacci.
Strategic Sell Rhythm: The sell rhythm will watch at Fibonacci and previous support around $4059$.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN
We have a primary BUY scenario and a scalping SELL at resistance:
🟢 Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary)Logic: Watch for buying at liquidity and support zones.
Entry (BUY): $3960 - 3960$ (Support/Fibonacci Zone)
SL: $3954$
TP1/TP2: $3975$ | $3998 FWB:TP3 : $4020$
🔴 Scalping SELL Scenario (SELL Scalping)
Logic: Watch for selling at Fibonacci and previous support around $4059$.
Entry (SELL): $4058 - 4060$
SL: $4065$
TP1/TP2: $4033$ | $4018$TP3/TP4: $4000$ | $3978$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE Despite the short-term loss of momentum, the bullish structure is still prioritised.
Important: FED and trade uncertainties will create volatility.
Capital management discipline and adherence to SL are key. Do you agree with this buy-up strategy? Comment and follow!
XAUUSDGold shows bullish retracement. It will react from inducement zone. and will fall to the Demand and reverse to continue upside.
XAUUSDGold rejected from the support area broke the Trendline and formed a pattern head and shoulders shorting gold here.
Tp - 3959
XAUUSDGold has been showing bullish signs break of pattern and and Trendline keeping it simple and in higher time frame as well gold is showing bullish signs.
Buy @ 4000
Tp - 4054
Extended Tp 4086
XAU/USD — Rejection Expected from Resistance Zone for Bearish CoCurrent Price: $4,005
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,040
Gold is approaching a strong resistance area that previously triggered a pullback.
Trend Structure:
The market is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary.
Key Observation:
A false breakout or rejection at the resistance could initiate a downward correction.
Bearish Signal Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell): $4,015 – $4,035 (look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing near resistance)
Target 1: $3,960
Target 2 (Main Target): $3,913
Stop Loss: $4,045 above resistance zone EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:RC1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1!
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish confirmation candle on 15M or 30M timeframe.
Break below $3,980 will strengthen bearish momentum toward target.
Signal Summary (📉 Sell Setup):
Direction Entry TP1 TP2 SL ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:W1! EUREX:FGBM1! EUREX:FGBS1! EUREX:FGBS1! ICEEUR:GWM1! EUREX:FXXP1! EUREX:DOWF1! ICEEUR:XZ1!
🔻 SELL 4,015 – 4,035 3,960 3,913 4,045
XAUUSDA good Buy setup was waiting for the Trendline break , previous demand zone was there a correction was required that was my login that brought my bias for long please follow if you like my idea
#Gold | From Double Top Breakdown to Potential W Reversal#XAUUSD | 4H Chart
Formed an M pattern (Double Top) , broke down, and completed its target ✅
Now taking support at the demand zone, showing early signs of a W-pattern formation (potential bullish reversal).
Support: 3944.43 / 3915.52 / 3892.95-3897.13
Immediate Resistance: 4030.34-4033.87
Key Resistance Levels:
4056.70-4065.52 / 4133.00-4154.79 / 4185.91-4205.12 (previous M-pattern breakdown zone)
Expectation:
If #XAUUSD surpasses 4034 on 4 HCB , price may retest the M-pattern breakdown zone (4185-4205) .
#Gold #XAUUSD #Wpattern #Mpattern #ChartPattern #PriceAction #Commodities
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
Gold today booked 80 points on sell and 30 points on buyGold yesterday sold at 4010 booked 3940 , and bought at 3960 booked at 4000
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold Spot Ready For Big Move in Coming Days - 30 October 2025Gold prices may see a major breakout soon. Traders eye upcoming data and Fed signals for the next big move in the gold spot market.
GOLD READY FOR A BULLISH REBIRTH | Pullback Buy Setup Inside🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 30, 2025
Main timeframe: H1 – M30
Strategy: SMC + EMA Confluence + Trendline Reversal
🧩 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold has just completed a liquidity sweep below 3920 and is forming a bullish corrective structure along the rising trendline.
The short-term structure shows CHoCH → BOS confirmation around 3950–3970, signaling a potential reversal phase.
Price is currently testing the EMA zone (H1) and approaching the key supply at 4026–4028, where short-term profit-taking might appear.
Overall, market sentiment remains bullish toward 4020–4030, but a short retracement could occur before the next leg up.
🎯 TRADE PLAN
BUY SETUP #1
Entry: 3950 – 3948
SL: 3943
TP: 4018 → 4026
(R:R ≈ 1:3)
If price fails to hold above 3948, wait for a deeper liquidity grab:
BUY SETUP #2
Entry: 3921 – 3919
SL: 3913
TP: 3980 → 4020
(Liquidity sweep + trendline confluence)
SELL SETUP (Counter-trade)
Entry: 4026 – 4028 (rejection zone)
SL: 4033
TP: 3970 – 3950
(Only valid if bearish BOS appears on M15)
🔍 TECHNICAL INSIGHT
Structure flipped bullish after CHoCH & BOS on M30
Trendline support remains intact
EMA 34 crossing upward on H1 – confirming short-term momentum
Main liquidity pools sit around 3919 (below) and 4028 (above)
Expect pullback → bullish continuation as long as price stays above 3948
