XAUUSD BUYGold is in a consolidation before pushing up. these are internal structure level for small trade.
if it comes down to Nearby small demand we can see a small buy orders pushing price to supply.
Trade ideas
Gold Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Channel Targeting 3930📉 Analysis:
The chart shows a clear shift from an uptrend into a bearish correctional channel:
1. Uptrend Broken
Price previously followed a clean uptrend channel, making BOS (Break of Structure) swings upward.
A ChoCH (Change of Character) occurred, confirming momentum weakening.
2. Strong Resistance Zone
Price entered the 4018–4030 resistance level, marked as a weak high.
This zone acted as a reaction area, causing multiple rejections.
3. Bearish Channel Formation
After hitting resistance, price began forming lower highs and lower lows inside a falling channel.
The rejection line confirms sellers defending the zone.
4. Expected Bearish Leg
The projected path shows consolidation inside the channel followed by a sharp downward impulsive move.
Clean liquidity below supports the bearish scenario.
5. Targets
Major target: 3930
(Highlighted as the trader's target and matches channel support + demand zone.)
📌 Summary
Gold is rejecting the 4020–4030 resistance and forming a bearish channel. A continuation downward toward 3930 remains likely unless price breaks above the resistance with strong momentum.
XAUUSD LOOKING FOR LTF LONGS I'm breakeven out in the last one , I’ll still be actively watching for a lower-timeframe bullish shift during this session.
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
GOLD IS SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER BULLISH RUN — BUY THE DIP BEFORE November 7, 2025 — GOLD Daily Trading Plan 💰
🎯 Bias: LONG Setup (Buy the Dip)
Gold continues to show bullish market structure after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations on both intraday and H1 charts.
Price has reacted from the previous demand area 3969–3977, leaving a clean FVG below, suggesting unfilled imbalance and potential liquidity resting underneath.
At the moment, XAUUSD is hovering near 4007, approaching a minor supply zone at 4018–4020. I expect price to potentially sweep liquidity above 4018, then retrace back toward 3975–3969 to form a higher low before continuing its bullish leg.
Key confluences supporting the long bias:
✅ Multiple BOS and CHoCH shifts confirm bullish intent.
✅ FVG + Volume Gap below aligns with a discount zone for entries.
✅ Structural higher low formation still intact as long as price holds above 3965.
📌 Trade Plan:
🟩 Buy Zone: 3977 – 3969
⛔ Stop Loss: 3963 (max 6 points)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 4005
🎯 Take Profit 2: 4018
If price decisively breaks above 4020, expect continuation toward 4035–4040, but intraday traders should secure profits around the 4018 zone.
In case of a deeper retracement, watch for liquidity grabs near 3965–3950 FVG before another bullish push.
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held.
Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims.
Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations.
• A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones.
• Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend.
Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1.
• Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts.
• Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation.
• Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4040
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone)
🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction)
• Entry: 3932 – 3934
• Stop-Loss: 3925
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020
(Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries.
• Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone.
• Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range.
• Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower.
The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups.
Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
XAUUSD TRADE SETUP @3996.480
stop at AR low 3985.600
tp 4046.615
Last trading day of the week, so caution makes sense. There are a few potential news catalysts that could create some volatility. My bias here is long, and I’m scaling into the position gradually as confluences develop.
Add this pair to your watchlist and monitor price action. Only take the trade if it aligns with your own analysis and directional bias. This isn’t a chase setup — patience matters here.
Gold Again Bullish side Buy Gold 4018 above cross
Then buy gold
Target 4039,4060,4075,4110
Sell Gold 4006
Target 3995,3988,3965,3930,3900,3880
Wait for correction
Gold Trading Strategy for 07th November 2025💰 GOLD TRADING PLAN (INTRADAY SETUP)
🟢 BUY SETUP (LONG TRADE)
📈 Entry Condition:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above ₹4010.
Once the candle closes, buy only if the price stays above ₹4010.
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: ₹4019
🥈 Target 2: ₹4029
🥉 Target 3: ₹4039
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
Keep a stop loss below ₹4000 or below the previous candle’s low, whichever is safer.
💡 Tips for Beginners:
Always wait for the candle to close before entering — don’t enter mid-candle.
Use a limit order or stop order for precision.
If the price hits the first target, move your stop loss to cost price to protect your capital.
🔴 SELL SETUP (SHORT TRADE)
📉 Entry Condition:
Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below ₹3961.
Once it closes below, enter a sell position only if the price stays below ₹3961.
🎯 Targets:
🥇 Target 1: ₹3950
🥈 Target 2: ₹3935
🥉 Target 3: ₹3920
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
Place a stop loss above ₹3972 or the previous candle’s high, whichever is higher.
💡 Tips for Beginners:
Confirm the trend direction using a moving average or RSI indicator before entering.
Never chase the trade — wait patiently for candle confirmation.
Manage risk properly: never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📜 This information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Trading in gold or any financial market involves high risk. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a certified financial advisor before making real trades. The market can move unexpectedly — use stop loss and proper position sizing to protect your capital.
Gold Trading Strategy | November 6-7✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold experienced a significant pullback after touching 4019 and is currently in a consolidation phase following a short-term rebound failure. The candlesticks have fallen back below the short-term moving averages, while the MACD continues to weaken.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 have flattened and are slightly turning downward → indicating weakening bullish momentum. MA20 continues to suppress the price, showing clear overhead pressure. Price has returned below the short-term MA cluster, reflecting weakening mid-term upside momentum and fading rebound strength.
🔸 Bollinger Bands Structure:
The middle band (3978–3980) has become a key short-term support. The upper band is narrowing downward, suggesting reduced volatility and short-term consolidation. Candlesticks failed to hold above the middle band, indicating insufficient rebound strength and a corrective sideways structure.
✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline, but the strength remains limited and failed to stand above MA20, leaving the price in a weak rebound pattern.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 are flattening and intertwining, while MA20 applies downward pressure. The moving average convergence signals a consolidation phase.
🔸 Bollinger Bands:
The middle band (3994) serves as short-term resistance, while the lower band (3967) continues to rise, indicating supportive pressure at the bottom. After the bearish momentum was released, a minor technical rebound is reasonable, but the upside remains limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3994–3996 / 4003–4005 / 4015
🟢 Support Levels: 3978–3980 / 3966–3968 / 3942
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Rebound Short Setup
If gold rebounds to:
3994–3996 or 4003–4005 and faces rejection → consider light short positions
🎯 Targets: 3980 / 3970
⛔ Stop Loss: above 4008
🔰 Pullback Long Setup
If gold pulls back to:
3978–3980 and stabilizes → consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 3994–3996
⛔ Stop Loss: below 3968
✅ Overall Outlook:
Gold is currently showing a weak corrective rebound and remains overall bearish. Short-term rebound strength is limited. Unless price can stabilize above 4010–4015, further downside support tests are likely.
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move**
Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone.
The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken.
If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend.
However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond.
**Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish
**Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100
* Support: $3,886 – $3,614
**Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
XAUUSD SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSIS I am back!!
Go "LONG" if it breaks the trendline with 4023.97 as the first target and if it breaks that as well then aim for 4035 adn further breaking that might lead to 4045.
Go " SHORT" if it breaks 4005.20 with 3986.56 as the first target and breaking that trendline might lead to 3967.92 and if it breaks and sustains that as well then we might expect a move till 3949.10
Note: As long as it stays above 3977 you can expect the momentum to be Bullish. If only it breaks the 3977 mark then it might lead till the apbe mentioned Bearish targets.
Also kindly follow candle patterns as well and then go for confirmation.
Happy Trading.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4000 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3990 – 3960, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 3990 – 4000.
📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔸 Sell Zone: 4000 – 4003
🎯 Targets: 3990, 3980 and 3970
🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4012 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum.
📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4012
💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAUUSD | Gold 4H Breakout Setup | Wait for Retest Before Long Gold is currently trading near the 4H resistance zone after a short-term recovery move. The price is approaching a key supply area where a breakout or rejection can decide the next direction. I am planning a long entry only after a proper retest to avoid chasing the move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 4045 – 4075
• Strong Support: 3955 – 3980 (200 EMA zone)
• Major Upside Target after breakout: 4210 – 4230
Trade Plan:
1. Let price approach the resistance zone
2. Wait for breakout and then retest near 4045 – 4075
3. Look for bullish rejection candle to confirm entry
4. If retest holds, next leg up toward 4210 is possible
Why Wait for Retest?
Retest reduces false breakout risk and improves risk to reward. Market is still recovering from a previous strong sell-off, so patience gives a more controlled entry.
Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Style: Swing / Position
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, just my personal price structure view.
LiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrendLiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrend
Gold has officially broken the downward trendline, confirming the transition phase to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying power, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macro – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase gold purchases significantly in September, totalling 39 tonnes, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil – for the first time this year – added 15 tonnes of gold to its national reserves.
Since the beginning of the year, the net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tonnes, clearly reflecting the trend of moving away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for the medium and long-term uptrend of gold.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the downward trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive zone; if surpassed and held, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is giving clear signals of establishing a medium-term uptrend, supported by buying flows from central banks. Traders should prioritise buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
Gold Breaks Above $4000, Bulls Take Control for $4100.Dollar Index Meets Resistance at 100.35 near 50 Week EMA
.ADP and ISM Non-Manufacturing data improved sentiments.
.Fed signals dovish tilt in monetary policy shift.
.Mid east tensions and global concerns on economic growth support safe haven demand.
.Gold gains strong momentum on breakout above $4000 psychological zone.
What's Going on in Gold?
After historical one sided bullish rally in Gold the technical indicators were extremely overbought with Monthly RSI reading above 92 screaming for a healthy price correction long overdue and the metal price has witnessed almost $500 correction since then, from $4380 down to $3886 which is very close, just $40 away from 50% Fibonacci retracement zone of $3846
The recent few weeks have witnessed dramatic volatility surge and several unseen records like a $300 intraday drop from the record high and wild swings like a giant roller-coaster.
The recent downward spike that dragged Gold prices to $3929 has attracted buyers once again leading to strong breakout above the psychological mark of $4000 reaching $4017 which is lower boundary of immediate resistance bracket $4017-$4028
What's Likely Scenario Ahead for Bulls?
This $4017-$4028 zone is significant as solid demand accumulation above this zone will extend rebound towards next resistance cluster of $4060-$4085 above which $4100 sits as next critical resistance.
If macro factors align together in favour of safe haven demand for Gold with consolidated break above $4100, the probability for bullish rebound extending further would increase with potential upside reaching $4130 followed by $4190 in near term.
Will the Bullish Rally Pause at $4200?
The probability of current rebound extending or pausing is purely subject to price reaction to key price levels aligned with Fibonacci retracements.
As of now considering the strong breakout above $4000 psychological mark and current consolidation above $4010, a strong push above $4018-$4020 will extend move to $4028-$4035-$4045 while next effective resistance areas are $4060 and $4085 with major hurdle $4100 which may act as supply zone.
If the rally has to pause, price action needs to be monitored at $4060 and $4085-$4100 for signs of rejection and momentum exhaustion.
If price resistance shows rejection on the critical areas, a sell off may be witnessed towards $4000-$3975
Short Term Outlook:
The breakout and price consolidation above $4000 is supportive for a short term bullish rebound which initially targets $4030-$4045-$4060 followed by $4085-$4100
Any pullback towards $3975-$3965 is likely to attract buyers on dips.
GOLD RANGE PLAY — CLEAN SUPPLY & DEMAND REACTIONS AHEAD🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Nov 3, 2025
Main Timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Trendline Structure + Supply/Demand Zones
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues to consolidate inside a symmetrical triangle, forming clear supply and demand zones within a tightening range.
Current structure shows a bearish bias below 4039 but still holding a bullish base above 3970–3980.
Both buyers and sellers have clear liquidity zones to play from — ideal for short-term reactions and fade setups.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
🔹 BUY SCENARIO 1 (Main Setup)
BUY 3980 – 3978
→ SL: 3973 (6 pips)
→ TP1: 4010 | TP2: 4038
Structure support + local BOS. Wait for bullish rejection or engulfing confirmation.
R:R ≈ 5–9 depending on TP target.
🔹 BUY SCENARIO 2 (Aggressive Entry)
BUY 3970 – 3968
→ SL: 3963
→ TP1: 4000 | TP2: 4038
Deep retest into lower trendline + demand imbalance zone.
Only valid if market respects structure and holds above 3960.
🔸 SELL SCENARIO 1
SELL 4027 – 4029
→ SL: 4034
→ TP1: 4000 | TP2: 3970
Short from supply zone with bearish CHoCH confirmation on lower timeframe.
Rejection at this level can target liquidity below 3980.
🔸 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Higher Supply)
SELL 4037 – 4039
→ SL: 4044
→ TP1: 4010 | TP2: 3970
This is the weak high area — potential sweep zone before reversal.
Look for liquidity grab + bearish candle confirmation before entry.
🧩 STRUCTURE RECAP
Bias: Range-bound → Bearish within triangle
BOS / CHoCH: Confirmed on M30 around 4029 zone
Weak High: 4039
Strong Support: 3970–3980
Major Resistance: 4045–4128
⚙️ TRADE MANAGEMENT
Risk per setup ≤ 1–2%
Move SL → BE after TP1
Avoid entries during high-impact news
Wait for confirmation (no blind limits)
🧠 SUMMARY
Gold is ranging within a compressed structure, where shorts from supply and buys from demand both align with liquidity targets.
The cleanest play remains:
→ Buy near 3978 / Sell near 4038, trade between zones until a breakout occurs.
If price breaks and holds above 4045, expect bullish continuation to 4128.
If breaks below 3960, bearish expansion likely resumes toward 3920.
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context
Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates.
The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market.
While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data.
Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket.
This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation)
• 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence)
• ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool.
🎯 MMFLOW View
Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent.
If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable.
However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure
On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones.
The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region.
However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers.
Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions.
If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD .
Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone.
• Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout:
If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,995
• SL: 3,965
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,052
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance:
If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,990
• SL: 4,000
• TP1: 3,965
• TP2: 3,950
• TP3: 3,944
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone.
If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD.
If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD.
“Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 06/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
