Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Option Expiry and Settlement
Every option has an expiry date. In India:
Index options (like Nifty and Bank Nifty) are cash-settled.
Stock options are physically settled, meaning actual delivery of shares can occur if positions are held until expiry.
As the expiry date approaches, time decay (Theta) reduces the option’s value if the underlying doesn’t move in the trader’s favor.
Trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD): Potential bullish scenarioHey traders 👋
Wishing you a successful trade and a clear mindset today 💫
Gold (XAU/USD): Potential bullish scenario
After a deep correction, gold is showing signs of recovery above the 3980 area. A short-term accumulation zone is forming, which could serve as a base for further upward movement.
The first target is 4050 (TP1) — a breakout of this level may open the way toward 4140 (TP2), where a stronger resistance zone awaits.
However, a confirmed break below 3919 would invalidate this bullish scenario and signal renewed bearish pressure.
📈 TP1: 4050
📈 TP2: 4140
🛑 Invalidation: below 3919
Stay patient and disciplined — consistency always pays off.
Have a successful trade, traders 🌿
— Ivanna Trader
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
StevenTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for Gold in an Upward ChannelStevenTrading – XAUUSD
Strategy for Gold in an Upward Channel
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with today's gold insights – a deeper analysis of price behaviour as global capital flows are undergoing significant shifts.
The latest data shows that gold investment funds recorded a net outflow of -7.5 billion USD last week as investors took profits after a historic rise. Notably, the previous week saw an inflow of +8.5 billion USD, reflecting the extreme volatility of capital flows.
In the last 4 months, gold funds have still attracted a total of +59 billion USD, indicating that institutional money maintains a positive trend, despite short-term adjustments.
📰 Fundamental Analysis – Market Perspective
The main driver keeping gold strong is the rotation of capital between assets amid abundant global liquidity.
With persistent inflation and central banks maintaining a cautious stance, investors tend to take temporary profits but still keep a portion of gold in their portfolios.
Short-term selling pressure is thus merely a phase of re-accumulation, not a signal of trend reversal.
As long as global liquidity is not tightened, gold will maintain its upward momentum in the medium to long term.
📊 Technical Analysis – Trading Strategy in the Price Channel
On the chart, gold continues to move within an upward price channel, with no signs of breaking the structure.
Currently, the price fluctuates within the 396x – 404x range, indicating a temporary equilibrium state.
The market respects the upper and lower boundaries of the price channel, creating opportunities for short-term trades at the boundaries while awaiting clear breakout signals.
Main mindset: As long as the price holds the upward channel structure, prioritize Buying at the lower trendline and short Selling at resistance areas, waiting for confirmation signals to enter trades.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (Action Plan)
🔴 Sell Scenario – When the price fails at resistance:
If the price slightly breaks the resistance and then reverses, a sell setup will be activated.
Entry: Sell 3978 after confirming price rejection.
SL: 3985
TP: 3962 – 3946 – 3922
🟢 Buy Scenario – Buy when the price bounces from the trendline:
If the price adjusts to touch the upward trendline and bounces strongly, this is the area for trend-following entries.
Entry: Buy 3993 after confirming trendline reaction.
SL: 3985
TP: 4010 – 4048 – 4103
📌 Steven's Notes
The overall structure still leans towards an uptrend, but the market is in a liquidity hunting phase, suitable for short-term and flexible trading.
Maintain discipline, only enter trades in clearly confirmed areas, and always manage risk tightly.
This week's success comes from patience and precision in every entry.
XAUUSD – Intraday H1 Plan: Liquidity Sweep or Reversal Base?Date: November 4, 2025
Timeframe: H1
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold is consolidating between $3,976 and $4,006 after a volatile session yesterday.
Market sentiment remains mixed, as traders weigh the rebound in U.S. Treasury yields against ongoing geopolitical and inflation concerns.
Recent move: Gold rebounded from the $3,975 low after a minor liquidity sweep below last week’s range.
Sentiment: Neutral-to-bullish in the short term — safe-haven demand still provides a soft floor.
Sessions to watch:
London session: Expect retracement and liquidity grab below intraday lows.
New York session: Possible expansion to the upside if $4,000 zone holds as support.
Macro Bias: Mildly bullish if price maintains structure above $3,980–$3,985; potential liquidity sweep downside before reversal.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure:
H1 is forming a short-term accumulation range with liquidity resting below $3,976 (SSL) and above $4,006 (BSL).
A break and close above $4,005.5 may trigger a short-term BOS → potential push toward $4,015–$4,020.
Key SMC Confluences:
$4,200–4,230 Extended Resistance – higher untested supply if momentum returns.
Demand Zone: $3,978–$3,980 → aligned with FVG + previous sweep low.
Supply Zone: $4,004–$4,006 → previous OB + high liquidity.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Price Zone Type Explanation
4,006–4,004 🔴 Supply Previous high + BSL liquidity
3,996–3,994 🟡 Resistance Equilibrium rejection zone
3,986–3,984 🟢 Demand OB + CHoCH base support
3,980–3,978 🟢 Strong Demand SSL sweep + FVG confluence
3,976–3,974 ⚠️ Liquidity Sweep Deep liquidity / stop-hunt zone
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ BUY SCENARIO 1– Deep Sweep Recovery
Entry: 3,968–3,966
Stoploss: 3,960
TP1: 3,988
TP2: 3,996
TP3: 4,004
Logic: SSL sweep below the range + FVG mitigation → bullish reaction expected during London open.
🚫 SELL SCENARIO – Supply Rejection
Entry: 4,010–4,008
Stoploss: 4,016
TP1: 3,994
TP2: 3,986
TP3: 3,980
Logic: Price sweeps the previous BSL liquidity above $4,006 → look for bearish CHoCH + confirmation candle M5 before entry.
⚠️ SCALPING SELL – Aggressive Short
Entry: 4,008–4,009
Stoploss: 4,012
TP: 3,998 – 3,990 – Open
Logic: High-risk scalp at liquidity spike above day’s high; confirm rejection with volume drop.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Prioritize long setups near $3,980–3,984 zone during London open.
Look for liquidity sweep before entering — avoid premature entries.
During NY session, re-evaluate if gold re-tests the $4,004–$4,006 supply zone.
Avoid overtrading; use smaller position sizing due to narrow range ($30).
Always wait for H1 close confirmation before committing.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold remains range-bound within $3,976–$4,006, but the structure hints at a potential bullish bias if liquidity below $3,978 is swept first.
The preferred buy zones are $3,984–$3,986 and $3,978–$3,980, while sell reactions may occur near $4,004–$4,006.
Expect whipsaw volatility between London and NY overlap; trade only with clear SMC confirmations and proper risk control.
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
XAUUSD TRADE SETUP @3996.480
stop at AR low 3985.600
tp 4046.615
Last trading day of the week, so caution makes sense. There are a few potential news catalysts that could create some volatility. My bias here is long, and I’m scaling into the position gradually as confluences develop.
Add this pair to your watchlist and monitor price action. Only take the trade if it aligns with your own analysis and directional bias. This isn’t a chase setup — patience matters here.
Gold Squeeze: Range Breakout Can Trigger $4,100+ MoveLooking at the current gold price action on the H1 chart, we're seeing a technical setup that's been developing over the past several sessions. The market has clearly established a well-defined range between approximately $3,900 and $4,040, with price respecting both the upper and lower boundaries quite consistently.
price is holding above this ascending support while simultaneously testing the middle-to-upper zone of the range suggests building bullish momentum.
We've seen multiple attempts to push lower get absorbed by buyers, creating a series of higher lows that demonstrate underlying strength. The grey horizontal zone around $4,020-$4,040 represents the key resistance level where sellers have previously shown up, but notice how price action is becoming increasingly compressed near this level a classic sign that a breakout may be imminent.
From a probability standpoint, the combination of higher lows, sustained buying interest, and the current positioning near range highs favors an upside breakout. If gold manages to close convincingly above $4,040, we could see an accelerated move toward the $4,100+ zone fairly quickly, as there's limited technical resistance overhead once this range ceiling is breached.
However, it's worth noting that range-bound markets can be deceptive, and false breakouts are always a possibility. The key will be watching for a decisive move with strong volume and follow-through. Until we get that confirmation, remaining patient with existing positions while maintaining appropriate risk management makes sense.
The market appears coiled and ready to make its next significant move all signs point to higher prices, but as always, let the price action confirm the breakout before adding to positions.
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY... LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Outlook $5,000 USD and Priority BUY Strategy at POC $3973
Hello traders community,
Gold is positioned between an extremely optimistic long-term outlook (forecast $5,000 USD in the next 12-18 months by Bank of America) and short-term technical adjustments.
Although Gold has broken the upward trendline, a sustainable downward trend has not been confirmed.
BUY positions are still prioritised!
🔥 LONG-TERM CONTEXT & INFLATION
Long-Term Push: Gold prices adjusted for inflation have DOUBLED in the past 4 years.
Highlight: Gold reinforces its role as an anti-inflation asset as real prices soar to all-time highs.
📊 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Strategy: Buy at POC Zone to leverage liquidity advantage.
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Primary) - Buy at High Value Zone
Logic: The $3973 - 3975$ zone is right above the Buy POC (highest value zone).
Entry (BUY): $3973 - 3975$
SL: $3968$
TP1: $3988$ | TP2: $4000
Buy Up Target 2: Buy when price retests the trendline around $4002$.
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Scalping) - Preemptive strike at resistance zone
Entry (SELL): $4032 - 4034$
SL: $4040$
TP1: $4022$ | TP2: $4015
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)With the $5,000 USD forecast and inflation factors, the risk of SELL is increasing.
Focus on BUY at POC $3973$ and absolute SL.
Trade responsibly and with discipline!
XAUUSD | Gold 4H Breakout Setup | Wait for Retest Before Long Gold is currently trading near the 4H resistance zone after a short-term recovery move. The price is approaching a key supply area where a breakout or rejection can decide the next direction. I am planning a long entry only after a proper retest to avoid chasing the move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 4045 – 4075
• Strong Support: 3955 – 3980 (200 EMA zone)
• Major Upside Target after breakout: 4210 – 4230
Trade Plan:
1. Let price approach the resistance zone
2. Wait for breakout and then retest near 4045 – 4075
3. Look for bullish rejection candle to confirm entry
4. If retest holds, next leg up toward 4210 is possible
Why Wait for Retest?
Retest reduces false breakout risk and improves risk to reward. Market is still recovering from a previous strong sell-off, so patience gives a more controlled entry.
Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Style: Swing / Position
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, just my personal price structure view.
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context
Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data.
The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady.
At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg.
This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement.
The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift:
Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low.
Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase.
Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area)
• 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block)
• ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution.
🎯 MMFLOW Scenario
If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits.
A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact.
The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
Gold Trading Strategy | November 6-7✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold experienced a significant pullback after touching 4019 and is currently in a consolidation phase following a short-term rebound failure. The candlesticks have fallen back below the short-term moving averages, while the MACD continues to weaken.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 have flattened and are slightly turning downward → indicating weakening bullish momentum. MA20 continues to suppress the price, showing clear overhead pressure. Price has returned below the short-term MA cluster, reflecting weakening mid-term upside momentum and fading rebound strength.
🔸 Bollinger Bands Structure:
The middle band (3978–3980) has become a key short-term support. The upper band is narrowing downward, suggesting reduced volatility and short-term consolidation. Candlesticks failed to hold above the middle band, indicating insufficient rebound strength and a corrective sideways structure.
✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline, but the strength remains limited and failed to stand above MA20, leaving the price in a weak rebound pattern.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 are flattening and intertwining, while MA20 applies downward pressure. The moving average convergence signals a consolidation phase.
🔸 Bollinger Bands:
The middle band (3994) serves as short-term resistance, while the lower band (3967) continues to rise, indicating supportive pressure at the bottom. After the bearish momentum was released, a minor technical rebound is reasonable, but the upside remains limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3994–3996 / 4003–4005 / 4015
🟢 Support Levels: 3978–3980 / 3966–3968 / 3942
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Rebound Short Setup
If gold rebounds to:
3994–3996 or 4003–4005 and faces rejection → consider light short positions
🎯 Targets: 3980 / 3970
⛔ Stop Loss: above 4008
🔰 Pullback Long Setup
If gold pulls back to:
3978–3980 and stabilizes → consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 3994–3996
⛔ Stop Loss: below 3968
✅ Overall Outlook:
Gold is currently showing a weak corrective rebound and remains overall bearish. Short-term rebound strength is limited. Unless price can stabilize above 4010–4015, further downside support tests are likely.
Gold Trading Strategy | November 5–6✅ On the 4-hour timeframe, gold has gradually entered a weak consolidation and corrective phase after the previous decline. The current candlesticks are fluctuating near the Bollinger middle band (around 3984).
🔸 The MA5 and MA10 are flattening and slightly pointing downwards, indicating limited short-term bullish momentum. MA20 is suppressing the price, reflecting clear upside pressure. The moving averages remain in a bearish alignment, suggesting strong overhead resistance. This implies that the medium-term structure is still weak, and the current rebound is corrective in nature.
🔸 The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, with the middle band (3984) acting as a key resistance zone, while the upper band (4037) provides significant pressure. Lower highs in the candlestick structure indicate a weak rebound with pullback confirmations.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, gold is forming a continuous staircase-style rebound, showing obvious short-term bullish rhythm.
🔸 The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are aligned in a bullish formation, with the candlesticks consistently trading above the MA5, and the MA20 providing solid support from below. This reflects short-term strength. If the price breaks above the 3990–3995 resistance zone, it may open further upside potential.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3988–3990 / 3995–4000 / 4030
🟢 Support levels: 3975–3978 / 3963–3965 / 3930
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Rebound Short Setup
If gold rebounds to 3990–3995 and faces rejection,
→ Consider light short positions,
🎯 Targets: 3978 / 3975
⛔ SL above 4002
🔰 Pullback Long Setup
If gold pulls back toward 3975–3978 and stabilizes,
→ Consider light-lot long positions,
🎯 Targets:3988–3990
⛔ SL below 3968
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
LiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrendLiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrend
Gold has officially broken the downward trendline, confirming the transition phase to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying power, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macro – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase gold purchases significantly in September, totalling 39 tonnes, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil – for the first time this year – added 15 tonnes of gold to its national reserves.
Since the beginning of the year, the net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tonnes, clearly reflecting the trend of moving away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for the medium and long-term uptrend of gold.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the downward trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive zone; if surpassed and held, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is giving clear signals of establishing a medium-term uptrend, supported by buying flows from central banks. Traders should prioritise buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
Gold Faces Strong Rejection at Supply Zone – Bearish ContinuatioThe chart shows Gold testing a strong supply zone around 4000–4025. Price attempted to push higher but failed, forming a clear rejection wick followed by consolidation.
Key observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 4000–4025 area has repeatedly rejected price, showing strong seller presence.
Structure: Market is forming lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Break & Retest: Price pulled back to the broken structure level and is now reacting bearishly.
Projected Move: The arrow suggests a potential drop toward the 3900–3910 demand zone.
Momentum: Candlestick rhythm supports a bearish continuation scenario as long as price stays below 4000.
✅ Bearish Bias
If the rejection holds:
Downside target: 3900–3910
Invalidate bearish idea: A 4H close above 4025
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
Gold Pauses Below $4,000 as Markets Digest Hawkish Fed Tone🔍 Market Context
Gold struggles to find direction in early Asia, hovering just below the $4,000 psychological level after the Fed’s hawkish remarks dampened bullish momentum.
Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that another rate cut this year is “not a given”, keeping yields supported and safe-haven demand balanced.
Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, signalling cooling momentum but not enough to alter the Fed’s cautious stance.
With odds of a December rate cut near 70%, gold remains trapped between policy uncertainty and soft macro sentiment.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Price is consolidating within a tight structure between 3,963$ and 4,024$, showing compression before a potential expansion move.
The 3,984$–3,963$ zone acts as short-term liquidity support, aligning with the rising intraday trendline.
Key Levels
• 💎 Liquidity Support: 3,963$ – 3,984$
• 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 4,024$
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ (liquidity sweep + expansion zone)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,923$, bias shifts to neutral
A clean breakout above 4,024$ could trigger a move toward 4,046$, while failure to hold above 3,963$ may invite another liquidity grab before buyers re-enter.
🎯 MMFLOW View
Smart money remains patient.
As long as 3,963$ holds, dips are seen as accumulation rather than weakness.
But conviction only returns when liquidity confirms above 4,024$ — that’s where momentum aligns with intent.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity doesn’t chase price — it creates the path for it.”






















