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Gold Day Trading Outlook: Resistance Holding! Gold is showing signs of weakness as the resistance around 3860–3865 continues to hold strong, keeping the intraday sentiment tilted to the bearish side. As long as price stays below this band, the market is vulnerable to further downside pressure with immediate support seen near 3827 and an extended target towards 3798. Any minor pullbacks into the 3855–3860 region may attract sellers, maintaining the short-term bearish structure. However, a decisive hourly close above 3865 would invalidate this bearish view and shift the bias back to the upside, opening the door for a possible retest of 3880–3900. Until then, day trading leans bearish with sellers holding the upper hand. Trade safe !
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th October 2025🎯 GOLD INTRADAY SETUP 🟢 BUY Setup: 💰 Buy Above: $4062 (1-hour candle close above this level) 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4072 2️⃣ $4082 3️⃣ $4092 🔴 SELL Setup: 💰 Sell Below: $4019 (1-hour candle close below this level) 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4009 2️⃣ $3998 3️⃣ $3985 ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy or sell recommendation. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Trading Strategy for 06th October 2025🌟 GOLD Intraday Trading Plan 🌟 💰 Buy Setup 📈 Buy Above: the high of 15-min candle — only if price closes above $3906 🎯 Targets: 🎯 1st Target: $3915 🎯 2nd Target: $3925 🎯 3rd Target: $3935 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $3900 (or as per your risk level) 💰 Sell Setup 📉 Sell Below: the low of 1-hour candle — only if price closes below $3870 🎯 Targets: 🎯 1st Target: $3860 🎯 2nd Target: $3848 🎯 3rd Target: $3836 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $3878 (or as per your risk level) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. 📜 Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 📊 Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. 💡 Use proper risk management and trade at your own discretion. 💼
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
XAUUSD – New York Session Outlook (End of Week Setup) Gold is currently testing the highs for the third time, but a fresh ATH this week seems increasingly unlikely. The ideal sell zone has already been tapped, leaving limited upside momentum in the short term. Following today’s economic data, trading volume has remained muted, suggesting the market is waiting for clearer waves before committing further positions. Yesterday’s sharp drop already flushed out many short-term traders, which may keep activity lighter into the weekly close. ⚖️ Trading Plan – New York Session For today’s US session, preference is given to short positions ahead of the weekly candle close: Sell Entry: Around current levels (3,88x) or ideally at 3,890 Stop Loss: Strictly above the ATH Take Profit: Targeting a deeper correction towards the 3,83x area into weekly close 📊 Market View Momentum has clearly slowed, with repeated rejections around the highs. Short-term volume remains thin, so expect choppy price action before any decisive move. Patience will be key – look for small price reactions to refine entries. 📌 Conclusion: End-of-week price action looks tilted towards a corrective pullback rather than a breakout. For the New York session, selling rallies remains the higher-probability play. Good luck with your trades, and trade safe! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart. Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows: 🔹 Overall Structure The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold). Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025 Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines). Current price zone: around $3,886.45. 🔹 Key Levels Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846 Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878 Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910 Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970 🔹 Pattern & Projections Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support. Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest. Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Trading Strategy for 03rd October 2025Gold Intraday Trade Setup 📊 Trade Setup ✅ Buy Opportunity Condition: Enter long above the High of 15-minute candle, if it closes above $3878 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3889 🎯 Target 2: $3899 🎯 Target 3: $3905 ❌ Sell Opportunity Condition: Enter short below the Low of 15-minute candle, if it closes below $3834 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3821 🎯 Target 2: $3813 🎯 Target 3: $3800 💰 Trade Execution Notes ⏱️ Timeframe: 15-minute chart 📌 Levels are trigger-based (not market orders). 🧾 Keep strict stop-loss at opposite side of trigger. ⚖️ Use proper position sizing and risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This trade setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy/sell securities. Trading gold, commodities, and derivatives involves high risk of financial loss. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
BUY GOLD UNTIL WAVE 5 END - BIG SHORT IN NEXT 2 DAYS 📊 Trading Plan based on SMC + Elliott Wave 1. Market Context SMC (Smart Money Concept): Price is consolidating around a strong liquidity zone. Evidence of a stop hunt / long squeeze before a potential reversal. The 3820 – 3822 area acts as a Demand Zone, where Smart Money is likely accumulating buy orders. Elliott Wave: Current structure suggests we are in Wave IV (corrective phase). A confirmed breakout above 3895 (previous ATH) would validate the start of Wave V, with Fibonacci targets around 3915 – 3920 (1.272 – 1.618 FE). 2. Trading Logic 🔺 Buy Setup (SMC-based) Entry Zone: 3820 – 3822 (Demand Zone). This zone is expected to hold as institutional liquidity support. Ideal area to position for the anticipated Wave V rally. 🔺 Breakout Buy (Elliott confirmation) Trigger: Clean breakout above 3895 (ATH) with confirmation. Target: Expansion towards 3915 – 3920 (Fibo extensions). This confirms Wave V continuation. 🔹 Short-term Sell (Scalping idea) Entry Zone: 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone + liquidity cluster). Short-term reaction expected → possible retracement towards 3885 – 3870. Note: This is counter-trend, only for scalping opportunities. 3. Trade Scenarios (SMC + Elliott Wave combined) Price taps Demand Zone (3820 – 3822) → Long position targeting Wave V. Breakout above ATH 3895 → Confirmation of Wave V → Continue long towards 3915+. At 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone) → Expect short-term reaction → Intraday short setup. 4. Risk Management Stop Loss for Buys: below 3816 (Demand invalidation). Stop Loss for Shorts: above 3920 (Supply invalidation). Main bias = long (Wave V continuation). Short trades = counter-trend only (scalping pullbacks). 👉 In summary: SMC view: Trade around liquidity pools (Demand/Supply Zones). Elliott view: Structure suggests Wave IV is ending, Wave V expansion is next → bias remains bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 08th October 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – INTRADAY TRADE SETUP 💰 📊 Strategy: Trade based on 5-Min Candle Breakout 🟢 BUY Setup 💵 Buy Above: High of 5-min candle closing above $4004 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4013 2️⃣ $4022 3️⃣ $4035 4️⃣ $4050 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place below the low of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. 🔴 SELL Setup 💵 Sell Below: Low of 5-min candle closing below $3966 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $3953 2️⃣ $3941 3️⃣ $3922 4️⃣ $3903 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place above the high of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. ⚖️ Disclaimer: 📢 This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold, Forex, or any commodity involves high risk. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
XAU/USD | 15M | Smart Money Short SetupAfter a strong impulsive rally, price swept liquidity above the recent swing high and instantly rejected from a premium zone. A clear shift of structure confirms bearish intent, with supply perfectly aligning with imbalance fill. 🔹 Key Notes: – Liquidity grab above previous high ✅ – Premium zone rejection ✅ – Market structure shift to bearish ✅ – Clean imbalance + Supply confluence ✅ Now expecting continuation to downside targeting the next demand and inefficiency below 4020 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
SELL XAU USDThis setup on XAUUSD is based on a bullish reversal pattern. After multiple rejections near support, a long entry was taken with a defined stop loss below the recent swing low. The target is set at a 3.3 Risk-to-Reward ratio, aligning with momentum and price structure. Entry: After bullish confirmation candle Stop Loss: Below the rejection zone Take Profit: At projected resistance zone (3.3R) Reasoning: Price showed strong rejection wicks, increasing buy pressure, and higher volume support. This trade idea focuses on risk management first — accepting a small controlled loss while targeting a larger potential gain.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
Gold Makes History, Climbs to $4050 Despite Dollar Resilience.Strong Bullish Rally Takes Gold to Historic High $4050 .Dollar Index shows resilience, rises to 98.98 .Gold shows mild retracement consolidating above $4032 .Markets await FOMC meeting minutes. Fundamental Drivers: With no news of agreement in Congress for solution in US Government shutdown, political and fiscal uncertainties take centre stage. Political turbulence in France adds to global concerns already affecting investor sentiments. Continuous Gold buying by global central banks as well as ETF inflows creating strong structural demand and triggering FOMO driven rally. Markets abuzz with talks of massive bubble building up in leading stocks and Indices. Growing expectations of another rate cut by Federal Reserve in this month and also in December. Safe haven demand causing Gold rush in run to safety boosting prices to record rally. Technical Drivers: $4050 acts as minor hurdle which bulls need to clear turning in to support for advance towards next leg higher $4068 followed by $4083 while major upside target sits at 2.618% Fibonacci extension aligned with $4114 Break below immediate support $4032 exposes next support $4015 followed by retracement to $4005-$3995 where buyers are very likely to re engage for renewed bullish rally. If $3995 fails as support, decline is likely to extend to $3983 below which next downside retracement may reach $3935 What's Most Likely Scenario? Prevailing momentum is precisely bullish and immediate price action indicates strong bullish bias while oscillators are highly stretched and any positive news of agreement on US Government shutdown will witness quick price correction as these heights are prone to profit booking at the drop of a hat. High probability that Gold retracement approaches or mitigates $4015-$4005 or even $3995-$3983 support and breakout zone and attracts buyers again to resume main bullish rally retesting $4050 and extending advance towards $4068-$4083 followed by critical resistance $4114 On the flip side, sharp and strong break below $3983 may also indicate sellers intervention pushing prices to lower boundary $3935
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915 The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak. Today's perspective: Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend. The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders. Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point. Trading scenario Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915 Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago. 1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$ 2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$ 3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$ 4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$ 5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$ Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by martiantrader9
GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet. Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View) Support Zone (BUY Setup): 4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone. Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg. Reaction Buy Zone: 402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively. Resistance Zone (ATH): 4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x. SELL Reaction Zone: 4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090. 🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy) ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation). TP1: 4060 TP2: 4084 SL: Below 3996 ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp): Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms). Target: 4040 → 4020 SL: Above 4096 🔑 Francis Outlook Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal. As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact. 👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech. A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets. 🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TRENDXAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising price channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, which is a crucial confirmation range to assess whether the uptrend will continue or start adjusting. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD slightly increases and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing significant investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices are still moving within a clearly ascending channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear. Important Resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important Support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical correction. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 Main SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on breaking 4005 confirmation: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below the 4005 zone. 🟢 Short-term BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Swing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental Perspective Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains a focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, rising 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, closely monitor price action at the 4043 – 4005 range to determine the next direction. Prioritise selling at resistance – buying at support, leveraging fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (new trend confirmation)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 7, 2025)📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: Yesterday’s D1 candle closed and confirmed that the upward move is still continuing. However, momentum has started to turn in the overbought zone, indicating that the upside move may not last long — this is a typical overextension signal, often seen at the top of a wave. H4 Timeframe: Momentum on H4 is reversing in the overbought zone, meaning the short-term uptrend can still continue today, but traders should be cautious as this is a sensitive area for potential reversals. H1 Timeframe: Momentum on H1 is turning upward, suggesting there could be one more short-term bullish push before exhaustion. ➡️ Conclusion: Over the past few days, price has diverged from momentum across multiple timeframes — a classic sign of a potential top formation. 👉 Be extremely cautious with long-term positions. ________________________________________ 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Analysis Commercials: Currently 18% Long / 82% Short — this means hedgers are heavily shorting to protect against downside risk. This behavior is typically seen at major tops. Institutional Traders: Holding 83% Long / 17% Short, showing extreme bullish sentiment among large funds. Such sentiment often appears near market peaks. Retail Traders: 69% Long / 31% Short, indicating that retail traders are FOMO-buying, which reflects a classic crowd behavior at the top. 🧭 Summary: The current COT data strongly warns of a potential top formation in the market. Notes: • Commercials: Hedgers trading against the main trend to reduce business risk. • Institutionals: Large speculative funds trading with the main trend. • Retail Traders: Small investors, usually following market emotion. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Price remains within wave 5 (yellow). Momentum is in the overbought zone, so a correction could occur anytime. → For now, use the wave structure and price channel to observe potential topping reactions. H4 Timeframe: Wave 5 (purple) is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 target around 3986. Combined with D1 momentum still slightly rising within the overbought zone, price may continue higher for 1–2 more days before turning down. According to additional H1 measurement, the second target lies at 4006. H1 Timeframe: The 5-wave (black) structure has been relabeled based on the latest data. Calculated projection shows Wave 5 = 0.618 of Waves 1–3, targeting 4006. → The potential target zone is 3985 – 4006. Currently, momentum divergence against price is developing — this typically happens in the final wave of a trend. Combined with COT’s top warning, the market is now slow and choppy, consistent with a distribution and topping phase. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trading Plan • Maintain strict discipline at this stage. • Reduce position size and avoid holding long-term trades. • Wait for clear top confirmation before planning the next swing setup. ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Wave 5 is likely completing. Both momentum and COT warn of a potential top — stay patient, observe reactions, and avoid large positions until a confirmed reversal appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Outlook Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand. US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”. ⚖️ Scenario & Strategy Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation) Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEADGOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEAD 🔍 Technical Overview Current Price: Around $4,036 – $4,040 Trendline: A key uptrend line (blue) has been broken, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Resistance Zone: Between $4,058 – $4,062, marked by red arrows 🚫 Support Zone: Near $3,930 – $3,940, highlighted by the purple box 🟪 📊 Market Structure The market recently made a lower high formation after failing to break above $4,062, indicating bearish divergence. Multiple rejection candles at the resistance zone confirm selling pressure 💣. The blue projection lines suggest a potential bearish retracement back toward the support zone around $3,930. 🧭 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes 🔺 Resistance 4,058 – 4,062 Double top zone, strong sellers present ⚖️ Mid-Level 4,000 Psychological round number, interim support 🟣 Support 3,930 – 3,940 Major buying interest, possible reversal zone 📉 Expected Price Action 🔻 Scenario 1 (Primary): Price may retest $4,050 – $4,060 resistance area, form another rejection, and drop toward $3,940 support. Potential short entry near $4,050 – $4,060 Target $3,940 Stop loss above $4,070 🔄 Scenario 2 (Alternative): If the price holds above $4,060, a breakout could trigger a bullish continuation toward $4,100+. 🧠 Trader’s Insight ⚠️ Bearish bias remains valid while below $4,060. 🕒 Watch for price reaction around the trendline retest and confirmation candles (bearish engulfing or pin bars). 📈 Smart traders might wait for confirmation below $4,000 before adding short positions. 💬 Summary ➡️ Bias: Bearish below $4,060 ➡️ Target: $3,940 ➡️ Invalidation: Break and close above $4,070 📍 “Trendlines break fast, but support zones hold stronger — trade smart, not fast.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ali-Traders-Pro