Gold Trading Strategy for 07th October 2025💰 GOLD TRADING PLAN – (XAU/USD)
📈 BUY Setup:
🔸 Condition: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3993
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4005
2️⃣ $4016
3️⃣ $4027
🛑 Stop Loss: Place below the candle low
📉 SELL Setup:
🔸 Condition: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3927
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $3915
2️⃣ $3904
3️⃣ $3890
🛑 Stop Loss: Place above the candle high
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading in gold and other financial instruments involves substantial risk, and you should trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Trade ideas
GOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish LegGOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish Leg
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, showing consistent higher highs and steady momentum after each correction. The market has been consolidating above the $3,800 zone, where buyers continue to absorb liquidity and prevent deeper declines. This zone acts as a solid base for potential upward expansion. Current market behavior indicates controlled accumulation, suggesting that institutional buyers are maintaining dominance. If gold holds above $3,840–$3,820, the next bullish leg may target the $3,960–$4,000 region. A short-term retracement could occur, but overall momentum favors continuation. The price structure and volume behavior both support further upside, reflecting strong buyer control and stable sentiment in the market.
Gold Ready for Next Leg Up?Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a key breakout level at 3897.77. I’m watching for a bullish breakout followed by a pullback entry on a retest of that level.
If support holds, I’ll look to go long toward the next resistance/target at 3950.
A clean breakout-retest setup with solid R:R potential.
Entry: After breakout & retest of 3897.77
Target: 3950
Stop Loss: Below retest low / structure
#GOLD
#XAUUSD
#Breakout
#TechnicalAnalysis
#TradingStrategy
#LongSetup
#ChartAnalysis
#PriceAction
#SupportResistance
#Bullish
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction ZonesAnalysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows.
Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance.
Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement.
The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected.
A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone).
That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions.
✅ Suitable Target (Bullish):
Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high)
Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980
⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback):
$3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context
Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil.
US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold.
Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal.
Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”.
👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline.
BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum.
BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally.
SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps.
Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618).
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883
SELL Zone: 3949–3950
Resistance: 3950, 3994
Support: 3900, 3880
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902
SL: 3898
TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883
SL: 3878
TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950
SL: 3955
TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation.
Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones.
Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements.
✅ Summary
Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs.
The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control.
🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix)
📍 Reaction Buy Zones
3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket.
386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone.
📍 Reaction Sell Zones
393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection.
4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ BUY Scenario
Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000.
Stop Loss: Below 3850.
2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000.
Targets: 3900 → 3884.
Stop Loss: Above 3952.
⚡ Key Insights
Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports.
3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall.
Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction.
💬 What’s your take, India?
Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa!
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO
Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold.
Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong.
FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3954, $3963
Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908
SL: $3904
TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893
SL: $3885
TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966
SL: $3974
TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916
Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT Hello traders here is my first idea about gold kindly share your opinion on this idea in comment section thank you
Key Points
Current price 3925
Target area 3990/4000
Support area 3910/3890
for more updates on gold stay with us and dont forget to follow us and share our idea with your friends and family who intrested in learning trading
thanks for your support and love
Gold 1H – Liquidity Plays Between 3794 and 3918Gold on the 1H timeframe is fluctuating within a defined range after multiple ChoCH signals, with liquidity concentrated at both premium supply and discount demand. Current price action suggests engineered sweeps remain likely: upside liquidity sits near 3918–3916, while downside support aligns with 3794–3796. This dual structure sets up both tactical sell and buy plays depending on liquidity grabs.
From the macro perspective, gold traders are balancing caution ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases with the backdrop of a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. These drivers reinforce intraday volatility, where engineered liquidity hunts at extremes provide clearer opportunities.
⸻
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3918–3916 (SL 3925): Premium supply sweep zone. Downside targets at 3896 → 3872 → 3853.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3794–3796 (SL 3788): Discount demand aligned with structural lows. Upside targets at 3819 → 3853 → 3872+.
⸻
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Grab at 3918–3916
• Entry: 3918–3916
• Stop Loss: 3925
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3896
• TP2: 3872
• TP3: 3853
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand at 3794–3796
• Entry: 3794–3796
• Stop Loss: 3788
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3819
• TP2: 3853
• TP3: 3872+
⸻
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven and range-bound, with engineered sweeps expected at both premium highs and discount lows. Flexibility is crucial: fade rallies into the 3918 supply zone, while preparing to scale into longs if liquidity clears into the 3794 demand base.
Gold 1H – Will CPI Repricing Push Gold Into FVG Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is reacting near 3,928 after a clean structure break and buildup toward the premium zone 3960–3958, where liquidity remains above recent highs. Market structure shows a bullish impulse leg forming, but engineered sweeps at premium supply are likely before continuation. The defined FVG buy zone around 3840–3842 marks discount territory for potential re-entry if price retraces deeper.
From the macro side, gold is consolidating as traders brace for this week’s U.S. CPI data and renewed Treasury yield volatility. The dollar’s firm tone and cautious risk sentiment following stronger U.S. job figures are keeping gold capped near short-term supply. Still, geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand continue to provide underlying support, reinforcing the buy-on-dip narrative toward year-end.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3960–3958 (SL 3967): Premium liquidity sweep zone targeting retracement toward 3940 → 3900.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3840–3842 (SL 3833): Discount demand and FVG mitigation aligned with higher-timeframe support. Upside targets 3860 → 3880 → 3900+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3960–3958
• Entry: 3960–3958
• Stop Loss: 3967
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3940
• TP2: 3920
• TP3: 3900
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3840–3842
• Entry: 3840–3842
• Stop Loss: 3833
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3860
• TP2: 3880
• TP3: 3900+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven within a mid-range structure. Expect engineered sweeps into 3960–3958 before deeper pullbacks into discount demand near 3840–3842. Tactical bias favors fading rallies at premium while preparing to join the continuation move from discount FVG support if CPI-related volatility clears the liquidity pools.
Gold Price Analysis — XAU/USD (Daily)Overview:
Gold has staged an impressive rally, climbing from the 3,200–3,300 area to the 3,870 region within a strong bullish structure. Price action shows higher highs and higher lows, signaling continued demand from buyers. 🚀
Technical Outlook:
• Trend: Both the medium- and long-term trends remain bullish, with price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
• Momentum: Strong upward momentum confirmed by MACD histogram expansion and RSI hovering near overbought territory (~70).
• Key Levels:
⚠️ Resistance: ~3,900 (psychological & structural level).
✅ Support: 3,400–3,600 zone.
Trading Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation:
• Enter on pullbacks to support (3,600–3,700).
• Targets: 3,950–4,000.
• Use trailing stop to secure profits.
2️⃣ Rejection at Resistance (~3,900):
• Look for bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing).
• Short-term correction toward 3,400–3,200.
• Stop-loss above 3,920 to manage risk.
3️⃣ Breakout Play:
• If price closes above 3,900 decisively with volume, expect continuation toward 4,100+.
• Ideal for breakout traders with risk managed via tight SL below breakout candle.
Risk Management:
⚠️ Do not risk more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Use trailing stops to lock in gains.
💡 Accept losing trades early; capital preservation is priority.
Conclusion:
🎯 Bias remains bullish while above 3,600. Traders should monitor the 3,900 level closely — a breakout could extend the rally, while rejection could trigger a corrective pullback.
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders!
Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!).
Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally
Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows.
Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold.
Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867
The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942
Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865
SL: $3857
TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915
BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827
SL: $3824
TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887
SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904
SL: $3912
TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864
SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944
SL: $3952
TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904
What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025)
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone.
• Today is a critical day:
o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days.
o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further.
➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable.
➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
• On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5.
• Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet.
➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes.
H4 Timeframe
• After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5.
• Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are:
o 🎯 Target 1: 3923
o 🎯 Target 2: 3986
H1 Timeframe
• The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5.
• The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup.
• If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986.
➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
📍 Setup:
• Sell Now: 3925 – 3926
• Stop Loss: 3936
• Take Profit: 3899
📌 Safer Option:
Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade.
⚠️ Note:
This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
#Gold Long term view#Gold Long term view(5years):
Gold price is creating new all time highs.
We may see another 10-15% upside move in the coming months.
Existing positions can hold and book some profits near the top and carry the rest.
No fresh long positions are recommended at the current levels as price is nearing the top.
We may see a declining phase in gold in the upcoming 5yrs as we have seen in the past from 2010-2015.
Note: Kindly note that the above view is purely based on past data.
Since many global factors effect the gold price, plan your investments wisely.
Gold Trading Strategy for 06th October 2025🌟 GOLD Intraday Trading Plan 🌟
💰 Buy Setup
📈 Buy Above: the high of 15-min candle — only if price closes above $3906
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3915
🎯 2nd Target: $3925
🎯 3rd Target: $3935
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $3900 (or as per your risk level)
💰 Sell Setup
📉 Sell Below: the low of 1-hour candle — only if price closes below $3870
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3860
🎯 2nd Target: $3848
🎯 3rd Target: $3836
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $3878 (or as per your risk level)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. 📜
Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 📊
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. 💡
Use proper risk management and trade at your own discretion. 💼
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart.
Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows:
🔹 Overall Structure
The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold).
Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025
Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines).
Current price zone: around $3,886.45.
🔹 Key Levels
Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846
Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878
Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910
Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970
🔹 Pattern & Projections
Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support.
Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest.
Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH
The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious.
But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend.
🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis
Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit.
This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones.
📊 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats).
The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line.
Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited.
Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy setup (trend-following):
Entry: 3830
Stoploss: 3815
Take Profit: 3980
Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target):
Entry: around 3980
Stoploss: 3988
TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy)
🔍 Conclusion
Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”.
Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices.
I will continue to share more details in daily updates here.
Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
GOLD DAILY – MACRO VIEW FOR LONG-TERM GOLD
Hello everyone 👋
Today is the weekend, let's review the gold movements to gain insights for the upcoming trading week.
The weekly candle closed at 3,886.5 – a high level that most investors did not anticipate. The daily candle, almost fully bullish, has strongly reinforced the main bullish trend of gold in the medium and long term.
🔎 Technical View
Analyzing through Fibonacci extension, the next target for gold lies at the 4,000 mark, coinciding with the Fibo 1.618 level and a significant psychological resistance zone.
This is a confluence zone between technical and psychological factors, expected to have a strong reaction when the price approaches this area.
The current upward trend is almost unwavering, bolstered by macro factors – US political instability is causing uncertainty for the USD.
💡 Macro View
The US government shutdown is indefinite, economic data is delayed, causing market confusion.
The USD is weakening, while gold becomes a safe haven.
This scenario continues to reinforce the long-term upward trend of gold, especially as investors seek assets that preserve value.
⚖️ Long-term Scenarios and Strategies
1️⃣ Long-term Buy Scenario:
Entry: around 3,640 – 3,650
Reason: This is a strong support area on the Volume Profile chart, where large liquidity is concentrated.
When the price returns to this area, the pressure to take profits and release sell positions from trapped traders will create a strong price rebound effect.
This is the most potential buying zone in the medium term.
2️⃣ Short/Medium-term Reaction Sell Scenario:
Entry: around 4,000
Reason: This is a confluence resistance zone of technical (Fibo 1.618) and psychological (round number) factors.
Prioritize short-term reaction sells, capturing the pullback if gold hits the peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Note
Trading on larger time frames requires good capital and management skills, as the stop-loss range is higher compared to shorter frames.
Do not enter trades too early without confirmation signals from the price zone.
Always clearly define the time frame and profit expectations before entering a trade.
📈 Summary:
The long-term trend of gold remains upward, with a medium-term target towards $4,000.
Buying around 3,640 is an attractive price zone for accumulating long-term positions.
Sell reactions around 4,000 if there are clear reversal signals.
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XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025
1. Macro & News Context
Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown.
Key event to watch today:
ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】
Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative.
USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold.
2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart)
The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe:
Support levels:
Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841
Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low)
Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block)
Resistance levels:
Immediate: ₹3,865
Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block)
Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone)
Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold.
3. Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias)
Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841
Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792)
Targets:
₹3,865 (first take-profit)
₹3,880–3,890 (major supply)
Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940
Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend.
Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance
Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB)
Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout.
Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone).
Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827
Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones.
Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support
Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841
Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB)
Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones.
4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data
If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility.
Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold.
Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions.
5. Risk Management
Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity.
Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation.
Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups.
🔑 Key Takeaway
Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.






















