Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 28✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Political Risk: Trump’s attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Cook has raised concerns about the Fed’s independence.
🔹 U.S. Dollar Performance: The U.S. Dollar Index closed slightly lower on Wednesday, now trading around 98.19. The relative weakness of the dollar is providing some support for gold prices.
🔹 Economic Data: Multiple U.S. economic data releases are scheduled for today, which may bring volatility to the market.
🔹 Trade Relations: The EU plans to propose a tariff reduction on U.S. goods to ease trade tensions. The easing of geopolitical risks may slightly weaken gold’s safe-haven demand.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 On the daily chart, gold has rebounded from recent lows with consecutive bullish candles. It is currently trading between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands, near the 3395–3400 zone.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, gold has repeatedly tested the 3395–3400 resistance area but remains in high-level consolidation. Prices are trading above the MA20 and MA60, with a bullish crossover providing support. Gold is consolidating above the Bollinger mid-band, with the upper band capping gains near 3405. The trend remains biased to the upside, but the 3400–3405 zone is a critical resistance that needs confirmation.
🔸 On the 1-hour chart, gold found support around 3375 and rebounded, reaching as high as 3399 before pulling back. This shows short-term bullish momentum is weakening, with signs of pressure at higher levels. Key focus is on the 3380–3375 support zone — a break below this level could trigger a further drop toward 3360.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3400–3405 / 3409–3415 / 3425
🟢 Support Levels: 3383–3380 / 3373–3370 / 3360
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3395-3399 area. Target: 3375-3365;If support breaks, the move may extend to 3355.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3355-3360 area. Target: 3370-3380;If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3390.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Maintaining Support, Gold Aims for New Highs!Based on the latest data and chart for XAUUSD, it can be seen that gold is in an uptrend after holding strong above the key support level at 3,373.70. The chart indicates that if gold maintains above this support zone, the next target will be 3,413.00, with the potential to continue rising higher if the current support area is not broken.
Technical Analysis: XAUUSD is currently trading near the support zone at 3,373.70 and resistance at 3,413.00. If the price remains above 3,373.70, the uptrend will continue with the target at 3,413.00. The nearest support levels are 3,373.70 and 3,362.00.
Fundamental Signals: Weaker economic data from the U.S., especially the higher-than-expected PCE index and lower-than-expected jobless claims, have increased expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates. This has put pressure on the USD and supported gold’s recovery.
XAU/USD – Big Move Loading? Liquidity Grab Before the Next RallyGold has been holding strong at higher levels, consolidating near resistance without showing a real liquidity sweep yet. With key US data coming in (Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims), the market could be setting up for a sharp correction first – before the next bullish leg in September, especially as USD weakens and Fed rate cuts get closer.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3400 → A breakout can quickly push Gold to 342x – 343x, retesting old ATH.
Support: 3370 → A breakdown can send price into the 335x BUY Zone for a clean long setup.
📌 MMFLOW Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE
3356 – 3354
SL: 3349
TP: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
❌ SELL ZONE
3424 – 3426
SL: 3430
TP: 3420 → 3395 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370
🎯 MMFLOW View
End of month often comes with liquidity flushes before the market decides its next big move. Watch for a potential drop into 335x as a golden buying opportunity before Gold makes a run at new highs.
👉 Trade with discipline. Stick to Key Levels. No FOMO.
🔥 What do you think traders?
Will Gold break 3400 first or flush to 335x for the perfect buy?
👇 Drop your views in the comments – let’s analyze together!
Gold (XAU/USD) Targets $3,397 – $3,406 Amid Bullish MomentumAnalysis:
The 4H chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows strong bullish momentum after a corrective phase. Price has broken above consolidation and is currently trading around $3,382, with upside targets at $3,397 and $3,406 (highlighted resistance zone).
The supply zone on the higher timeframe remains intact below $3,280, acting as a long-term support.
Immediate support levels lie at $3,371, $3,356, and $3,348. A break below these could shift momentum bearish.
Current bullish structure suggests that as long as price holds above $3,371, buyers may drive the price higher toward the resistance levels.
A rejection from $3,406 may lead to a pullback toward the mid-support zone before another attempt higher.
GOLD 15 Chart Buy Stop🛎 Trade Suggestion
✅ XAUUSD 15M Chart BUY STOP
(watch for bullish engulfing or rejection wick on 5M/15M.)
Entry: 3396.50
Targets: 3399 / 3402 / 3405
Stop: 3389.50 (Risk 1-2%)
Reasoning: Break above premium PD array + bullish MSS + upside liquidity above 3400
⚠️ Risk Disclosure applies
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08
Market Context (SMC View):
Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity.
Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool).
Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325.
A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move.
📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries
✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406
SL: 3410
TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360
✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358
SL: 3345
TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395
✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380
SL: 3370
TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405
SMC Scenarios for 27/08
Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance:
If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals.
Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone):
If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long.
If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities.
SMC Notes:
Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406.
Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – August 28, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still in a bearish reversal zone (overbought). Price is stalling but has not yet given a clear reversal confirmation → showing that bullish strength is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also turning bearish → from now until the US session, price is likely to continue sideways or decline further.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish → suggesting a short-term corrective rally or sideways movement.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: At the moment, there are two possible wave counts (as mentioned in yesterday’s plan). Both scenarios point to the same outcome: after completing the correction, price will move higher.
o Key note: The final corrective structure is a triangle. Once this triangle completes, it typically signals a strong upward breakout, confirming the end of the corrective phase.
• H4 timeframe: Price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, leaving two possibilities:
1. Leading diagonal for wave 4 (abcde) → once completed, price could drop sharply towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
2. Ending triangle for wave d → a strong wave e decline is expected before the next rally begins. In this case, the signal to watch is price testing the lower boundary of the triangle.
• H1 timeframe: A leading diagonal is forming, while RSI shows bearish divergence at the top. This supports the sell scenario. However, since H1 momentum is currently bullish, we expect one more push higher into resistance at 3403, which will provide a potential short opportunity.
o Note: Today’s US Jobless Claims data could trigger a stop-hunt move upward before a strong sell-off. Ahead of the news, price may continue ranging between 3385 – 3387.
Trading Plan
• Since price has not dropped significantly yet, it is likely still within wave 5 of the triangle. The upper resistance at 3403 is an ideal sell zone.
• A safer option: wait for price to break below the triangle’s lower boundary and close beneath it → then look for a breakout sell setup.
• Target: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3345.
Trade Setup
• Sell Zone: 3403 – 3405
• Stop Loss: 3413
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3374
Gold Holds Trendline All Eyes on 3400 & GDP DataGold continues to move higher , on H4 we can see that price respecting the rising trendline support that has been guiding the move since last week’s breakout. Yesterday, bulls made an attempt to push through the 3400 level, but failed to sustain above it, confirming this zone as the immediate resistance for now. On the downside, supports remain unchanged first at the previous week high (3378), followed by the weekly pivot (3353).
For today, the key focus will be on the GDP data release, which could trigger volatility and provide the needed catalyst for gold to either break above 3400–3410 resistance or slide back towards its support zones. Until then, price action suggests a slow but steady bullish bias, with sellers only likely to gain momentum if the trendline breaks decisively.
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish short-term outlook for gold. The entry price is 3388, the stop-loss is 3384, and the exit price is 3396. The trade looks to capture an 8-point gain while risking only 4 points, offering a solid 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
Buying at 3388 indicates the trader anticipates upward momentum, possibly supported by dollar weakness, declining bond yields, or increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The entry zone may also represent a minor support level where buyers are expected to step in, pushing prices higher.
The exit price at 3396 is positioned just below a potential resistance area, allowing profits to be booked before any selling pressure develops. Meanwhile, the tight stop-loss at 3384 ensures losses are limited if the market turns against the trade.
This setup is well-suited for intraday strategies, emphasizing disciplined execution and risk management while targeting consistent, short-term gains.
XAU/USD – Bulls Eye $3,400 as Technicals and Ichimoku Support HoHello friends, on the H1 chart, gold has rebounded sharply from the $3,360 support and is now testing the $3,380–$3,385 resistance zone. The FVG areas at $3,375 and $3,380 are creating short-term barriers, but a clean break above them could reinforce the uptrend.
The Ichimoku cloud remains supportive, with Senkou Span A staying above Span B, confirming that buyers still hold control. Trading volumes also remain healthy, indicating strong buying interest. As long as the price stays above $3,360–$3,375, this zone should act as a solid base for further gains.
From the news side, traders await the US PCE index, a key inflation gauge. A stronger-than-expected reading could weigh on the dollar and boost gold further. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to fuel safe-haven demand.
If gold breaks $3,385, the next target is $3,400, and possibly higher levels. On the flip side, any pullbacks to $3,375–$3,360 would likely be healthy corrections to strengthen the bullish structure.
Do you believe gold is ready to break $3,385 and head toward $3,400?
XAUUSD Price Action Analysis Current Market Overview
Price is trading at 3,371.67 🟢, showing bullish momentum after bouncing from the highlighted support zone (purple box).
The support zone (3,358 – 3,348) is currently holding strongly, converting old resistance into support 🔄.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone (3,358 – 3,348) 🛡️ → Price respected this area, confirming it as a demand zone.
Immediate Support: 3,358.65 🟪
Secondary Supports: 3,348.60 📉 | 3,325.99 📉 | 3,311.63 📉
📈 Bullish Scenario
If buyers maintain momentum above 3,358, price may attempt a move toward 3,380+ 🚀.
Break above 3,380 could signal continuation to new highs 📊✨.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A strong break back below 3,358 could re-test 3,348 → 3,325 → 3,311 ⬇️.
Failure to hold support may trigger deeper correction.
✅ Professional Takeaway
Market sentiment is bullish as long as price stays above 3,358 support zone 🟩.
Traders may look for buy opportunities on dips near support with targets toward 3,380 – 3,390 🎯.
Watch price reaction closely at the purple zone for confirmation before entering.
Part 2 Support ans ResistanceAdvantages of Options
High leverage (small money → big exposure).
Flexibility (profit in up, down, or sideways markets).
Risk defined for buyers (can lose only premium).
Useful for hedging portfolios.
Risks of Options
Time decay: Value decreases as expiry approaches.
High leverage can cause big losses (especially for sellers).
Complexity: Needs knowledge of Greeks, volatility, etc.
Emotions: Options move fast → fear & greed affect traders.
Options Greeks (Advanced but Important)
The “Greeks” help measure how option prices move with market factors:
Delta → Change in option price vs stock price.
Gamma → Rate of change of Delta.
Theta → Time decay (how much premium falls daily).
Vega → Impact of volatility on premium.
Rho → Impact of interest rates.
👉 Example: If an option has Theta = -10, it means the premium will lose ₹10 per day (if all else same).
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025: Gold prices remain in the rising price channel, trading opportunities for investors.
Basic news: CB Consumer Confidence Report (August) is 97.4, higher than the forecast of 96.4 but lower than last month's 98.7. News that President Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook still has a strong impact on the US Dollar, creating upward momentum for gold.
Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to fluctuate in the rising price channel, however, after approaching the 3395 area, gold prices are currently adjusting. MA lines, liquidity zones combined with Fib frames and price channels are still supporting the upward momentum for gold prices. We continue to wait for transactions in these support areas. There is a high possibility that spot gold prices will approach the 3410 - 3420 area and continue to be held.
Important price zones today: 3358 - 3363 and 3347 - 3352.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3358 - 3360
SL 3355
TP 3363 - 3373 - 3393 - 3410.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3347 - 3349
SL 3344
TP 3352 - 3362 - 3382 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3418 - 3420
SL 3423
TP 3415 - 3405 - 3395 - 3380 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
August 27 Gold AnalysisAugust 27 Gold Analysis
US President Trump announced he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook, accusing him of misconduct in obtaining mortgages. This unprecedented action, if challenged in court, will test the limits of the president's power over an independent monetary policy institution.
01 Political Uncertainty Supports Gold Prices
Trump's direct intervention in the Federal Reserve has created market uncertainty and stimulated safe-haven demand. Historically, such presidential action against Fed officials is rare, and this incident could trigger legal challenges and concerns about institutional stability.
The Federal Reserve's status as an independent institution has been questioned, and investors have sought safe-haven assets. Gold, a traditional safe haven, has found support amid this political uncertainty.
02 Rate Cut Expectations Provide Upward Support
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted last week that a rate cut is possible at the September meeting, noting rising risks in the job market. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, the market currently prices an over 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September.
03 Economic Data and Market Focus
Data on Tuesday showed that US durable goods orders fell 2.8% in July, compared to expectations for a 4% drop and following a 9.4% drop in June. While the data beat expectations, it still showed a continued slowdown in manufacturing activity.
Investors are currently awaiting the revised US second-quarter GDP figures to be released on Thursday and the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday. These data will provide further clues about the health of the US economy and may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
In particular, the PCE data, as the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will have a significant impact on market expectations. Any signs of weakening inflation could reinforce expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting gold prices.
04 Technical Bullish Pattern Maintained
From a technical analysis perspective, gold quickly fell to a low of $3,351 before a strong rally.
The daily candlestick chart closed strongly above the high, maintaining a strong bullish upward trend.
Gold broke through another new high today. Although it has retreated slightly from its two-week high, the gold bulls remain the primary trend. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands and moving averages are both bullish, indicating that the technical bulls have the upper hand.
Key support below is the 3370-3373 area. Intraday pullbacks to this level remain bullish. The short-term bullish stronghold is located near 3360. If the daily chart stabilizes above this level, a buying trend will continue.
05 Trading Strategy
Gold's medium- to long-term outlook remains positive, supported by political uncertainty and expectations of rate cuts. Any pullback to support levels is likely to attract more buyers.
Key resistance remains at the psychologically important $3400 level. A break above this level could open up opportunities for an upward move towards $3440.
Trading strategy: Buy on dips with strict stop-loss orders. Market volatility may intensify, so closely monitor the development of the dispute between Trump and the Federal Reserve, as well as upcoming important economic data releases.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you a smooth trade!
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Gold Eyes 3400! 🚀Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum as the USD weakens, and buyers are stepping in with strong FOMO-driven demand. However, a short-term correction (1–2 days) is still possible before the next big leg higher.
The smart play? ⚡ Wait for clean pullbacks into strong liquidity zones — buy low, hold, and ride the trend.
📊 Short-Term View (M15–H1)
Break below 337x could push Gold quickly down to 335x–334x to fill liquidity gaps.
Bigger picture remains bullish with a potential run to 3400 and beyond.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: 3363 – 3356 – 3349 – 3335
Resistance: 3385 – 3391 – 3402 – 3425
🎯 Trading Plan
✅ Buy Setups
Scalp Buy: 3356 – 3354
SL: 3350
Targets: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
Swing Buy Zone: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
Targets: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3380 → 3400+
❌ Sell Setups
Scalp Sell: 3385 – 3387
SL: 3390
Targets: 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3365 → 3350
High-Risk Sell Zone: 3401 – 3403
SL: 3407
Targets: 3396 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370
📌 Takeaway
Gold is still bullish overall, but short-term dips are healthy and provide the best entry points. Stay patient, wait for price action to confirm at key support, and let the market pay you.
XAU/USD H4 – Short-Term Cool-Off, Gap Fill in FocusHello everyone,
After the Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted potential rate cuts but stressed a cautious approach due to rising employment risks. This stance boosted September rate cut expectations in the interest rate derivatives market. Early this week, the USD rebounded slightly and gold paused around 3,355–3,360 as profit-taking followed last week’s spike – a typical “good news priced in, then back to balance” reaction.
This week, U.S. economic data such as New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, preliminary GDP, Personal Income/Spending, and especially Core PCE will act as key catalysts, potentially amplifying short-term gold volatility.
Last week’s rally was absorbed near the 3,372–3,378 supply/FVG zone (long wicks, lower closes), while a bullish FVG 3,355–3,345 formed below – often attracting price back to equilibrium before the next directional move. With price still below the cloud edge and candles weakening after the spike, the short-term bias is bearish. I favor a retracement toward 3,355 → 3,345, possibly extending to 3,340–3,338 to fully fill the gap.
What’s your take on this scenario? Share your thoughts below.
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker
1. News Wave 🌍
Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.”
Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.”
US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran .
👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows .
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely .
On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction.
Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Resistance (Kháng cự):
3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊)
Support (Hỗ trợ):
3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️)
3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone)
3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️)
3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx
🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding
Entry: 3353 – 3355
SL: 3345
TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx
🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support)
Entry: 3330 – 3332
SL: 3325
TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
Buy IdeaThe market structure is showing bullish momentum with price holding above key support levels. Current trend favors buyers as demand remains strong, supported by technical signals indicating higher lows and potential continuation toward the next resistance zone.
Bias: Buy
Focus: Strength from support → Targeting higher levels
Risk: A break below support may invalidate the setup
⚖️ Note: Always use proper Stop Loss & Risk Management to protect capital.
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Scenario
Hello traders,
Gold is moving into the final stage of its flag pattern. Medium-term traders are now waiting for a clear breakout confirmation, as that will set the direction for the next medium- to long-term opportunities. Once price confirms the break, the strategy is to enter immediately in the direction of the move.
Meanwhile, short-term and day traders continue to trade within the flag, looking for scalping opportunities.
From my perspective, the probability of gold breaking to the upside and continuing the main bullish trend is fairly high after such a long consolidation. To optimise entries, buying near the lower boundary of the trendline makes sense, with stop-losses placed immediately if the pattern breaks down. The key area to watch is Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354, which acts as both dynamic and static support, as well as a strong Fibonacci level. This zone offers a reliable long-term buy opportunity.
Another potential early buy entry sits around 3372, where the previous candle showed strong bullish momentum. Positions here can be taken with tighter stops placed just below the nearest support.
This bullish scenario would only fail if price breaks below the lower trendline and closes firmly underneath it, which would confirm a reversal.
Wishing you success with this setup. If you share the same outlook, leave your thoughts in the comments so we can exchange ideas.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 27/08/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing reversal signals, as mentioned in yesterday’s plan. Currently, D1 is in the overbought zone, suggesting that bullish momentum has weakened and the market needs at least one corrective move to regain strength.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bearish. We need to wait for the current candle to close for confirmation, but there is a high probability that today’s main trend will be bearish.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn up. If price rises into the overbought zone, then reverses bearish without breaking above 3394, there is a strong chance of a long-term decline – creating a sell opportunity.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: With current reversal signals, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Triangle abcde – as shown in previous plans.
2. Combination correction (WXY) – where wave W is a zigzag, wave X is a double zigzag, and wave Y is a triangle (as on the chart). In this case, price may decline back toward 3311.
👉 Both scenarios are valid, with no clear dominance, so continued observation is required.
• H4 timeframe: A diagonal ending triangle is forming, combined with H4 momentum turning bearish. Although we need confirmation from the current H4 close, it is clear that bullish momentum is weakening → we should look for sell opportunities in line with H4 momentum.
• H1 timeframe: According to yesterday’s plan, we expected wave 3. However, several factors suggest otherwise:
o Price corrected deeply toward 3350.
o The rebound lacked strong momentum.
o An ending diagonal triangle appeared (not typical in wave 3, as it reflects very weak buying pressure).
o RSI shows bearish divergence, further confirming weakening bullish momentum.
Altogether, these point to a likely strong and sharp decline once the pattern completes.
📌 Ideal target zone: 3387 – 3390. If the current drop is wave A or wave 1, then the rebound of wave B or wave 2 should unfold within this zone.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3387 – 3390
• Stop Loss: 3397
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3371
o TP2: 3350
o TP3: 3330