XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning:
– Was this a big player manipulation?
– Or simply institutional profit taking?
Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper.
📍 Critical Levels
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in.
🟢 BUY Zones
3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone.
375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Idea
Entry: 387x
Targets: 3800 → 3780
SL: Above 3888
2️⃣ BUY Idea
Entry: 3780 – 375x
Targets: 3838 → 387x
SL: Below 3745
⚡ Trading Notes
High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark.
Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps.
Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further.
💬 Discussion
Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Risk Management Secrets for Trading XAU/USD!Hello Traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) is one of the most rewarding instruments, but also one of the most dangerous if you don’t manage risk properly.
Many traders lose not because their strategy is bad, but because they fail to protect their capital.
Here are some key risk management secrets every gold trader must know.
1. Position Sizing is Everything
Gold moves fast, a $5 move can wipe out accounts if the lot size is too big.
Always calculate position size based on risk per trade (ideally 1–2% of your account).
This way, even if you hit multiple stop losses, your account survives.
2. Wider Stops, Smaller Lots
Gold often spikes and hunts tight stop losses.
Use slightly wider stops, but reduce lot size to balance the risk.
This gives your trade room to breathe without increasing overall risk.
3. Never Trade News Without a Plan
During events like NFP, CPI, or Fed speeches, XAU/USD becomes extremely volatile.
If you’re not experienced, it’s better to stay out.
If you do trade, cut position size and expect slippage.
4. Daily Loss Limit
Decide in advance how much you can lose in one day (for example, 3% of account).
If that limit is hit, stop trading for the day.
This prevents emotional revenge trading, which is the biggest killer in gold trading.
5. Use Partial Profits
Gold reverses quickly, so book partial profits when the trade moves in your favor.
This locks in gains and reduces pressure.
Move stop loss to break-even once part profits are secured.
Rahul’s Tip:
Your job as a trader is not to catch every move, but to stay in the game .
Risk management may feel boring, but it’s the only reason why professional traders survive while retail traders blow up.
Conclusion:
In XAU/USD trading, strategy decides entries, but risk management decides survival.
By controlling lot size, stops, and emotions, you can make gold work for you instead of against you.
If this post helped you see risk management in a new light, like it, drop your thoughts in comments, and follow for more trading wisdom!
XAUUSUS | Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits ADP & ISM🔎 Context & News
US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold.
FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain.
Key Events Today (ET / UTC) :
• ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC
→ Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold.
📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session.
📈 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS.
EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact.
Resistance :
3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618).
3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test).
Support :
3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest).
3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone).
3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias).
🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876
• SL: 3,869
• TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920
Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841
• SL: 3,826
• TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907
Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822
• SL: 3,808
• TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897
⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR)
Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907
• SL: 3,912
• TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841
Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921
• SL: 3,925
• TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876
📝 Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations.
Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921.
⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1.
📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1:
Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing.
• H4:
Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways.
• H1:
Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Wave:
Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top.
Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed.
Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early.
• H4 Wave:
A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs.
With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher.
→ Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool.
• H1 Wave:
A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying.
As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness.
Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone.
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Plan
• Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887
• Stop Loss: 3895
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3830
📌 Notes:
• This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable.
• If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline.
• Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
Gold Spot Price Technical Analysis [28-09-2025]Gold Spot Price Technical Analysis - Based on the chart, the XAU/USD daily chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is generally considered a bullish signal. The price is currently near a breakout level around 3435.06, with a potential target near 3900.00 if the upward trend continues. The RSI (14) at 74.53 suggests the asset is in overbought territory, which could indicate a potential pullback or consolidation.
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Plan
📌 Macro Background
Gold prices continue to receive support from the decline in US interest rates and the weakening of the USD.
The DXY index decreased by 0.27% to 97.91, reducing the strength of the greenback.
The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.141%.
Real yield decreased to 1.761%, providing support for gold as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
These factors reinforce the upward trend, although in the short term, gold may still experience adjustments to attract more capital flow.
📈 Technical Structure
The H4 frame shows that gold is maintaining a strong upward momentum, however, the RSI has moved deeply into the overbought zone.
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 – Sell Scalping
Entry: 3,879 – 3,882
SL: 3,890
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,836 → 3,810
👉 Suitable for short-term orders when the price reacts at high resistance.
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,805 – 3,808
SL: 3,799
TP: 3,822 → 3,840 → 3,873 → 3,898
👉 Buy in line with the main trend when the price adjusts to the nearby support zone.
🟢 Scenario 3 – Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Support)
Entry: 3,745 – 3,742
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,765 → 3,780 → 3,798 → 3,820 → 3,850
👉 This is a value buy zone if the market adjusts strongly, suitable for short swings.
📊 Summary
The major trend of gold remains bullish, supported by the weakening USD and declining US yields.
In the short term, be aware of the potential for technical adjustments from the resistance 3,879 – 3,882.
Priority strategy: Buy on adjustments, Sell only for quick scalping.
📌 Note: Strict capital management, adhere to stop-loss to preserve profits when unexpected fluctuations from US news occur.
H1 bullish momentum intact | Buy 3,792–3,765, target 3,821🟡 XAU/USD – 29/09/2025 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Structure & Trend
H1 continues to print consecutive BoS → bullish trend sustained.
Price broke the long-term downtrend line and surged to new highs.
EMA 34 & EMA 89 both pointing up and below price → confirming short-to-mid-term bullish momentum.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Key Zones
Storm Breaker (Sell Zone / ATH test) : 3,818 – 3,821
Golden Harbor (FVG – Buy Zone) : 3,792 – 3,779
OB Harbor 1 : 3,772 – 3,765
OB Harbor 2 (deeper) : 3,731 – 3,724
Core Idea: 3,792 – 3,765 is the main support “cushion” for trend-follow Buys; 3,818 – 3,821 is the wave edge where profit-taking may occur.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – main priority)
Buy Zone 1 – FVG (3,792 – 3,779)
Entry: 3,792 – 3,779
SL: 3,765
TP: 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821+
Buy Zone 2 – OB1 (3,772 – 3,765)
Entry: 3,772 – 3,765
SL: 3,758 (below 3,765)
TP: 3,792 – 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821
Buy Zone 3 – OB2 deep (3,731 – 3,724)
Entry: 3,731 – 3,724
SL: 3,714
TP: 3,745 – 3,765 – 3,792 – 3,805
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – scalp only)
Sell Zone – Storm Breaker (3,818 – 3,821)
Entry: 3,818 – 3,821
SL: 3,828
TP: 3,805 – 3,796 – 3,792
Breakdown Short (conditional)
Only consider Short if H1 closes below 3,724
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,710 – 3,700 – 3,690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails remain filled after consecutive BoS . Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,792 → 3,765) is the anchor dock to board in trend’s direction. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,818 – 3,821) may trigger profit-taking waves – only go Quick Boarding 🚤 if clear signals appear. If the tide drags below 3,724, let the ship retreat to OB2 to gather strength before resuming the northbound voyage.”
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend
Hello Trader,
Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself.
On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week.
Basic Outlook
Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues.
This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty.
Technical Outlook
The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week.
If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860.
If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1.
MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal.
Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout.
Trading Scenario for Next Week
Buying Scenario (priority):
Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment).
SL: below 3640.
TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822.
Selling Scenario at Resistance:
Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance).
SL: above 3840.
TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720.
Conclusion
In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders.
Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations.
Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 28.09.25XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (27.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
Current Price Level: Around 3,759.85.
Technical Zones Marked:
Broke the Uptrend Line (earlier support turned resistance).
Bearish Engulfing Failed (bullish strength seen).
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3,740–3,750 zone, acting as a demand zone.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce from the FVG/demand area.
Then follow an upward zigzag movement toward the target zone around 3,860.
Trend Channel:
Multiple parallel blue channels drawn indicate a bullish structure.
Projection suggests continuation of the uptrend.
Target Price:
Marked close to 3,860, aligning with the upper channel line.
🔑 Summary of Projection:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,740–3,760 (Fair Value Gap zone)
Target Zone: 3,860
Risk Area: If price breaks below 3,720, projection may fail.
👉 Do you want me to prepare a trading plan (entry, SL, TP, and risk %) based on this projection for you?
Gold Price Analysis: Liquidity Redistribution in PlayThe current correction phase is unfolding as part of the broader cycle, where price is retracing into areas of liquidity to rebalance market flow. This is not necessarily weakness, but a redistribution process that allows the market to set up for its next decisive move.
Following the recent rally, price entered a period of consolidation before breaking higher again, showing that buyers remain active. The ongoing return toward previously untested zones reflects how institutional flow realigns, creating space for renewed expansion.
If bullish intent continues, gold could extend toward higher levels after short pauses, with volatility remaining a key factor. The structure highlights that retracements are being used as preparation for continuation rather than reversal.
Gold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price ActionGold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price Action
Gold’s recent movement reflects shifting dynamics between liquidity capture and market rebalancing. The push above 3,800 was less about sustained trend extension and more about triggering stops and gathering liquidity before rotating lower. This type of move often indicates that large participants are managing positioning rather than chasing new highs.
The current correction phase is part of that process. Price is being driven back into zones where imbalances remain, allowing institutional flow to realign. Instead of showing weakness, this return highlights how markets redistribute liquidity to prepare for the next decisive move.
From a flow perspective, gold remains in an accumulation phase. Consolidation pockets reveal ongoing positioning, while the corrective dip reflects controlled market engineering rather than disorder. If this cycle continues, the next stage could see energy released in the form of a renewed expansion leg once sufficient liquidity has been absorbed.
In essence, gold is navigating a liquidity-driven cycle: sweep → redistribute → prepare → expand. The underlying order flow still favors upward continuation once the current rebalancing phase completes.
Gold holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910We are holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910
Levels on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels
You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone.
You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance.
On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation.
Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:
• TP1 at ~ 3,759.74
• TP2 at ~ 3,779.03
• TP3 at ~ 3,799.67
What Your Setup Implies (and Risks)
Bullish Bias on Breakout
You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation.
If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets.
Stop / Risk Control
Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated.
Target Levels Logic
TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance.
TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength.
Additional Considerations & Technical Tips
Confirm the Breakout
Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout.
Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility.
Watch for Retest
Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk.
Manage Risk Aggressively
The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains.
Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors
Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk.
For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold.
Divergences & Momentum Indicators
Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious.
Timeframe Alignment
Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan
✨ Buy Setup
🔹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-min candle (close above $3773)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3783
2nd Target → $3793
3rd Target → $3805
✨ Sell Setup
🔹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle (close below $3758)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3747
2nd Target → $3735
3rd Target → $3722
⚠️ Risk Management Tips (Novice-Friendly)
Always set a stop-loss (just below/above entry candle).
Trade with small position size if you’re a beginner.
Don’t risk more than 1–2% of your capital per trade.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading in commodities, stocks, or forex involves significant risk of loss. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
💡 Tip for Traders: Stick to your plan. Don’t chase trades outside these levels.
Discipline = Profitability.
Gold Trading Strategy for next Monday✅ On Friday, gold rose sharply. We had already advised members to go long around the 3748–3752 area, and the price later climbed to as high as 3783. However, during the second half of the U.S. session, gold pulled back without breaking a new high, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The key question now is whether gold still has the strength to refresh its all-time highs or if this was just a temporary spike. Next week will be a critical observation period.
✅ 4-Hour Chart: Gold has broken out of the recent consolidation range, extending its rally toward the historical high near 3791. The 21-period SMA around 3750 provides strong support. If the price holds below 3750, the short-term structure will turn bearish, possibly falling back into the previous range with downside targets at 3720 and 3700. Conversely, a clear breakout above the 3780–3791 resistance zone could unleash new bullish momentum and open the door to further highs.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: Gold is currently trading in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages gradually turning upward. However, if the rebound momentum fades, a potential double-top could form around 3780–3783, leading to short-term pressure. Overall, unless major news triggers a move, gold will likely remain range-bound early next week. Watch 3780 as resistance and 3720 as support.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3780–3785 / 3791–3795
🟢 Support Levels: 3745–3755 / 3730–3720
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold holds above the 3745–3755 support zone, consider light long positions with targets at 3780–3785.
🔰 If gold breaks below 3745–3755, a 4-hour double-top will likely be confirmed. In this case, consider light short positions targeting 3730–3720.
🔰 If gold faces resistance at 3780–3785, short entries can be considered with targets back down to 3745–3730.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
I sell according to the game masterwith my idea to prioritize selling down
Because the crowd's expectations are always bullish, to catch the bullish buyers, it needs to go down a corresponding distance.
Previously the price went against plan with the bears expecting it to go to the lower fvg zone.
all of the above makes me feel that price needs to go down and reach svg zone to theoretically not affect the knowledge that has been communicated to everyone.
Gold awaits PCE | EMA squeeze, big waves ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 26/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
Trump : Announced a 100% tariff on branded drugs if not produced in the US → escalating trade tensions.
PCE tonight : The FED’s most important inflation gauge, key to shaping October rate cut expectations (current probability 91.09%).
The market is in “hold breath” mode, awaiting the PCE spark to decide the next direction.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold is squeezed between two winds – short-term EMA pressure and major expectations from PCE.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) remains below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish pressure persists, but narrowing gap signals big volatility ahead.
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,738 – 3,730
3,718
3,687
3,651
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,755 – 3,773
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
⚡ Sell (scalp at resistance)
Entry: 3,773 – 3,776
SL: 3,783
TP: 3,755 – 3,745 – 3,734
✅ Buy (trend-follow priority)
Buy Zone 1 (Scalping)
Entry: 3,72x – 3,718
SL: 3,710
TP: 3,750 – 3,769 – 3,776
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB)
Entry: 3,685 – 3,683
SL: 3,675
TP: 3,690 – 3,695 – 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,7xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails are being squeezed between EMA 34 & 89. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,683) remains the safe dock for sailors to await the big wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,773 – 3,776) is raising fierce waves, only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight’s PCE will be the decisive wind – either pushing the ship beyond 3,78x or forcing it back to retest 3,72x.”
📢 If you find Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think? Will Gold break through 3,78x or retest 3,72x first?
XAUUSD – Need confirmation before placing orders
Hello everyone,
Last week, gold experienced a strong surge, but after hitting the resistance at 378x, a noticeable selling pressure emerged, causing the price to drop and the weekly candle to close in a corrective direction. This indicates a market sentiment of hesitation, especially for those trading on margin, who are more susceptible to fear-driven decisions.
Technical Analysis
Currently, the price is returning to test the trendline around 3752. This is a crucial area where a reactive Buy can be considered, with a safe stop loss placed below 3743. However, this is merely a trade based on crowd psychology, so careful observation of price action is necessary.
In the event the price breaks the upward channel, we will wait for a pullback around 3760 to enter a Sell order. Should this scenario unfold, the downtrend will become clearer, with the target potentially reaching the 366x–367x region.
Additionally, pay special attention to the support area of 3717–3723. This is a significant price zone, and if breached, gold is likely to enter a medium-term downtrend. In this context, a reactive Buy at 3715 could also be a reasonable scalping option for those who prefer short-term trading.
Trading Scenarios
Buy around 3752, SL 3743.
Sell upon breaking the trendline and pulling back to 3760, expecting a decline to 366x–367x.
Buy scalping at 3715, SL 3709, short TP towards 3723–3735.
📌 As the new week begins, be patient and observe the price reactions at key areas to obtain clear confirmation signals before placing orders.
Hopefully, this scenario will be helpful for everyone's trading process. I will continue to share more so that everyone can keep a better track of the market.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this stock , let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the position will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Introduction to Cryptocurrency & Digital Assets1. Understanding the Concept of Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrency is a type of digital or virtual currency that relies on cryptography for security. Unlike traditional currencies issued by governments and central banks, cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks based on blockchain technology. The key characteristics of cryptocurrencies include:
Decentralization: There is no single authority controlling the currency. Transactions and the creation of new units are managed collectively by the network.
Digital Nature: Cryptocurrencies exist only in digital form; there are no physical coins or notes.
Cryptographic Security: Transactions are secured through advanced cryptography, ensuring privacy, integrity, and immutability.
Global Accessibility: Anyone with internet access can use cryptocurrencies, making them borderless and inclusive.
The first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), was introduced in 2009 by an anonymous entity named Satoshi Nakamoto. Since then, thousands of cryptocurrencies have emerged, each with unique features and purposes.
2. Blockchain: The Backbone of Cryptocurrency
To understand cryptocurrencies, one must understand blockchain technology. A blockchain is a distributed ledger that records all transactions across a network of computers. Its key features include:
Immutability: Once data is added to the blockchain, it cannot be altered or deleted.
Transparency: All transactions are visible to participants in the network.
Decentralization: Data is not stored in a single location; it is shared across multiple nodes, preventing single points of failure.
Consensus Mechanisms: Cryptocurrencies rely on consensus algorithms like Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS) to validate transactions.
Blockchain is not limited to cryptocurrencies—it has applications in finance, supply chain, healthcare, and more.
3. Types of Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies can be categorized into several types:
3.1 Bitcoin and Its Variants
Bitcoin (BTC): The first and most well-known cryptocurrency, primarily used as a store of value.
Bitcoin Forks: Variants like Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Bitcoin SV (BSV) emerged due to differing opinions on scalability and transaction speed.
3.2 Altcoins
Cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin are called altcoins.
Examples include Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), Ripple (XRP), and Cardano (ADA).
Altcoins often introduce unique features like smart contracts, privacy enhancements, or faster transaction times.
3.3 Stablecoins
Stablecoins are pegged to traditional currencies or assets to reduce volatility.
Examples: Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), Binance USD (BUSD).
They are widely used for trading, payments, and as a hedge against market volatility.
3.4 Tokens
Tokens are digital assets issued on existing blockchain platforms like Ethereum.
Utility tokens provide access to a platform or service.
Security tokens represent ownership in an asset or company, often regulated by securities laws.
Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are unique digital collectibles, representing art, gaming items, or real-world assets.
4. How Cryptocurrencies Work
Cryptocurrency operations involve several components:
4.1 Wallets
Digital wallets store public and private keys, allowing users to send and receive cryptocurrencies securely.
Hot wallets are connected to the internet (e.g., mobile apps), while cold wallets are offline, offering higher security.
4.2 Mining and Staking
Mining: Process of validating transactions in PoW blockchains like Bitcoin. Miners solve complex mathematical problems to secure the network and earn rewards.
Staking: In PoS systems, users lock their cryptocurrency to validate transactions and earn rewards.
4.3 Transactions
Every transaction is recorded on the blockchain as a block.
Transactions require network validation to prevent double-spending.
Once validated, the transaction becomes permanent and traceable.
5. Benefits of Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies offer several advantages:
Decentralization: Reduces reliance on banks and governments.
Transparency: Public ledgers prevent fraud and corruption.
Security: Cryptography ensures secure transactions.
Global Accessibility: Cross-border payments are fast and inexpensive.
Financial Inclusion: Unbanked populations can access financial services.
Programmable Money: Smart contracts enable automatic execution of agreements.
6. Challenges and Risks
Despite their potential, cryptocurrencies face challenges:
Volatility: Prices can fluctuate wildly, making them risky investments.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments have varying approaches, from embracing to banning cryptocurrencies.
Security Threats: Exchanges and wallets are vulnerable to hacks.
Lack of Consumer Protection: Transactions are irreversible, exposing users to potential losses.
Scalability Issues: Some blockchains struggle to handle high transaction volumes efficiently.
7. Digital Assets Beyond Cryptocurrency
Digital assets encompass a wider range of digital value, not limited to currencies:
7.1 Security Tokens
Represent ownership of real-world assets like stocks, bonds, or real estate.
Can be traded on digital exchanges with blockchain efficiency.
7.2 NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens)
Unique tokens representing digital art, music, gaming items, or intellectual property.
Ownership is recorded on the blockchain, enabling provenance and authenticity verification.
7.3 Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)
Government-issued digital currencies.
Designed to combine the benefits of digital payments with regulatory oversight.
Examples: China’s Digital Yuan, the Bahamas’ Sand Dollar.
8. Cryptocurrency Exchanges and Trading
Cryptocurrency exchanges facilitate the buying, selling, and trading of digital assets. Types of exchanges:
Centralized Exchanges (CEX): Managed by companies; examples include Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken.
Decentralized Exchanges (DEX): Peer-to-peer trading without intermediaries; examples include Uniswap and SushiSwap.
Over-the-Counter (OTC) Desks: For large-volume trades, reducing market impact.
Trading involves strategies such as day trading, swing trading, and long-term holding (HODLing). Cryptocurrency markets operate 24/7 globally, making them highly liquid but also susceptible to sudden volatility.
9. Regulatory Landscape
Governments and regulators worldwide are defining frameworks for cryptocurrency:
Regulatory Approaches:
Some countries fully embrace cryptocurrency, providing clear guidelines (e.g., Switzerland, Singapore).
Others impose strict regulations or outright bans (e.g., China, Algeria).
Taxation: Profits from cryptocurrency trading are increasingly subject to capital gains tax.
Compliance: Exchanges may require KYC (Know Your Customer) and AML (Anti-Money Laundering) verification.
10. Use Cases and Applications
Cryptocurrencies and digital assets are more than investments—they have practical applications:
10.1 Payments
Instant, cross-border transfers with lower fees than traditional banking.
10.2 Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
Financial services like lending, borrowing, and trading without intermediaries.
10.3 Tokenization of Assets
Real estate, art, and other physical assets can be represented digitally, enabling fractional ownership.
10.4 Supply Chain and Provenance
Blockchain ensures traceability of goods from production to consumer.
10.5 Gaming and Metaverse
In-game assets and virtual real estate are increasingly tokenized as NFTs.
11. Investing in Cryptocurrencies
Investing in digital assets requires careful analysis:
Fundamental Analysis: Assessing technology, team, market potential, and adoption.
Technical Analysis: Using price charts, trends, and indicators to predict market movements.
Risk Management: Diversification, stop-loss orders, and investing only what you can afford to lose.
Cryptocurrency investment can be highly profitable but equally risky due to extreme market volatility.
12. The Future of Cryptocurrencies and Digital Assets
The future of cryptocurrencies and digital assets is promising yet uncertain:
Mainstream Adoption: Increased acceptance by businesses, governments, and consumers.
Integration with Traditional Finance: Banks and financial institutions exploring blockchain solutions.
Technological Innovation: Layer 2 solutions, interoperability, and scalability improvements.
Regulatory Clarity: Balanced regulations could stabilize markets and foster innovation.
Digital Economy: Cryptocurrencies may play a critical role in digital trade, decentralized finance, and the metaverse.
13. Conclusion
Cryptocurrencies and digital assets represent a revolutionary shift in how value is created, stored, and transferred. They combine the benefits of decentralization, security, and global accessibility while presenting challenges like volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and security risks.
Understanding blockchain technology, types of cryptocurrencies, and their applications is essential for investors, businesses, and policymakers. As adoption grows, digital assets are likely to become an integral part of the global financial ecosystem, reshaping money, finance, and commerce.
Cryptocurrencies are no longer just a technological experiment—they are a new paradigm in the world of money and finance. By navigating their risks and leveraging their potential, individuals and institutions can participate in the next frontier of the digital economy.
Gold upmove will continue until 3715 not break buy on dipGold comex updated levels, until 3715 not break buy in dip uptrend will continue, upside target 3855-3860 then 3930-3940
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels