Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows.
However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960)
• SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool)
• Psychological Resistance: 4070
• Intraday Pivot: 4035
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971
SL: 3960
TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066
SL: 4075
TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry.
Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation.
Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
Algorithmic AI Trading SystemIntroduction
Algorithmic AI trading systems are transforming the financial markets by combining the power of algorithms, artificial intelligence (AI), and big data to make trading more efficient, precise, and profitable. Traditional trading relied heavily on human intuition and manual execution, which was slower and prone to errors. In contrast, AI-powered trading systems leverage complex mathematical models, machine learning, and real-time data analysis to execute trades automatically, often outperforming human traders in speed and accuracy.
The integration of AI in algorithmic trading has become crucial for institutions, hedge funds, and retail traders seeking competitive advantages in highly volatile and liquid markets.
1. Understanding Algorithmic Trading
Algorithmic trading, often called algo-trading, uses predefined rules and mathematical models to execute trades automatically. These rules are designed based on market data such as price, volume, and timing. The main features include:
Speed: Algorithms can execute orders in milliseconds, capitalizing on short-lived market opportunities.
Accuracy: Reduces human errors in execution, ensuring trades occur exactly as planned.
Cost Efficiency: Automation lowers operational costs and reduces slippage in high-frequency trades.
Types of Algorithmic Trading Strategies
Trend-Following Algorithms: Identify and follow market trends to generate profits.
Mean Reversion Algorithms: Trade based on the assumption that prices will return to their historical average.
Statistical Arbitrage: Exploit price inefficiencies between correlated assets.
High-Frequency Trading (HFT): Leverages milliseconds-level execution speed for arbitrage or market making.
While these strategies are effective, AI enhances them by incorporating machine learning and predictive analytics to adapt to changing market conditions.
2. Role of Artificial Intelligence in Trading
Artificial intelligence brings adaptability, predictive power, and self-learning capabilities to algorithmic trading. AI in trading generally involves:
Machine Learning (ML): Algorithms learn from historical and real-time data to predict future price movements.
Natural Language Processing (NLP): Analyzes news, earnings reports, and social media sentiment to inform trades.
Deep Learning: Identifies complex non-linear patterns in market data that traditional models might miss.
AI Applications in Trading
Predictive Analytics: AI models forecast asset price movements and volatility based on historical data.
Sentiment Analysis: NLP models assess market sentiment from financial news, tweets, or analyst reports.
Risk Management: AI continuously monitors market exposure, portfolio risks, and liquidity constraints.
Trade Execution Optimization: Machine learning adjusts order execution to minimize slippage and transaction costs.
By combining AI with algorithms, trading systems move from rule-based automation to adaptive intelligence, enabling smarter and faster decision-making.
3. Architecture of an AI Trading System
A robust AI trading system typically consists of four key components:
Data Acquisition Layer:
Gathers structured (price, volume) and unstructured data (news, social media).
Sources include market feeds, APIs, historical databases, and alternative datasets like satellite imagery or economic indicators.
Data Processing & Feature Engineering:
Cleans, normalizes, and transforms raw data into meaningful inputs for AI models.
Feature engineering is critical to highlight relevant signals for price prediction.
AI Modeling Layer:
Machine learning models such as Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, or LSTM neural networks predict price movements or detect anomalies.
Reinforcement learning can be used to optimize trading strategies over time based on rewards and penalties.
Execution & Monitoring Layer:
Converts AI-generated signals into actionable trades using low-latency order execution engines.
Continuously monitors market conditions, system performance, and risk exposures.
4. Benefits of Algorithmic AI Trading
Speed and Efficiency: AI systems process vast datasets and execute trades far faster than humans.
24/7 Market Monitoring: AI can continuously monitor multiple markets without fatigue.
Data-Driven Decisions: Eliminates emotional bias from trading, relying on objective, statistical analysis.
Adaptive Strategies: Machine learning allows strategies to evolve with changing market dynamics.
Risk Minimization: Predictive models and real-time monitoring help prevent major losses.
5. Challenges and Risks
Despite its advantages, algorithmic AI trading comes with risks:
Overfitting: AI models trained on historical data may fail in live market conditions.
Market Impact: High-frequency trades may inadvertently affect market prices.
Data Quality Issues: Inaccurate or incomplete data can lead to wrong trading decisions.
Cybersecurity Risks: AI systems are vulnerable to hacking or manipulation.
Regulatory Compliance: Algorithmic and AI-driven trades are under strict regulatory scrutiny in many markets.
Traders must balance innovation with caution, ensuring robust risk management and compliance protocols.
6. Popular AI Trading Strategies
Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Optimization:
AI agents learn to maximize portfolio returns while minimizing risk using reward-based learning.
Sentiment-Based Trading:
NLP algorithms analyze news and social media sentiment to predict price trends.
Algorithmic Arbitrage:
AI identifies temporary price discrepancies across exchanges for profit.
Predictive Modeling for Volatility:
AI forecasts market volatility, enabling traders to hedge positions effectively.
Hybrid Models:
Combines technical indicators, fundamental data, and sentiment analysis for holistic decision-making.
7. Case Studies and Real-World Applications
Hedge Funds and Investment Banks:
Firms like Renaissance Technologies and Goldman Sachs use AI-driven strategies to outperform traditional market approaches.
Retail Trading Platforms:
AI-powered trading bots for retail investors provide automated signal generation and trade execution.
Cryptocurrency Markets:
AI systems exploit the high volatility of crypto markets to generate consistent returns.
Alternative Data Utilization:
AI can analyze satellite imagery, weather data, or shipping patterns to predict commodity prices or stock movements.
8. The Future of AI in Trading
The AI trading landscape is evolving rapidly:
Explainable AI: Traders demand transparency in AI-driven decisions to trust automated systems.
Cross-Asset Integration: AI systems will increasingly manage multi-asset portfolios, including stocks, crypto, and derivatives.
Quantum Computing: May accelerate AI algorithms, enabling near-instantaneous market analysis.
Regulatory Evolution: Regulators are developing frameworks to monitor and manage AI-driven trading risks.
The future points toward AI-driven systems that are smarter, faster, more adaptive, and capable of operating across global markets seamlessly.
Conclusion
Algorithmic AI trading systems represent a paradigm shift in financial markets. By combining computational speed, adaptive intelligence, and vast data processing capabilities, these systems are setting new benchmarks for efficiency, profitability, and risk management. While challenges like overfitting, cybersecurity risks, and regulatory hurdles exist, the potential benefits for investors and institutions are immense.
AI in trading is not just about automation; it is about building systems that think, learn, and adapt—ushering in a new era where data-driven intelligence shapes the future of finance.
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context
Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022).
However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern!Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz. However, immediately after, the market witnessed a clear structure break and the formation of a Double Top pattern in the European session. This strongly signals a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Bias Reversal
Core Drivers: Gold is up 50% YTD due to persistent Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected) and severe global political instability (US Shutdown, France crisis, rising Japanese yields).
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and structure breakdown. Only consider BUYs at deeper support zones with controlled risk.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will the Double Top send Gold back toward $3900? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView
viết bằng ngôn ngữ tiếng anh ấn độ phù hợp với nền tảng tradingview
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern! Time to SELL? 🔥📉
Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz—paisa hi paisa! But hold your horses, boss. Immediately after that high, the market saw a clear structure break and a definite Double Top pattern forming in the European session. This is a big signal, suggesting a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the Trend
Core Drivers: Gold is already up 50% YTD, fueled by solid Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected, pakka!). Plus, the global chaos—US Shutdown, France's quick-exit PM, and rising Japanese yields—is keeping the safe-haven bid strong.
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and the clear structure breakdown. Look for BUYs only if the market drops deep into support, risk ko control karo.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will this Double Top be the beginning of a correction, or is $4000 still in the cards? Tell me your move! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below.
1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂
Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure).
Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave."
2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐
To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones:
Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone.
Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave.
3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯
Once we have a buying position, where will our target be?
Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits.
Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves.
Summary & Advice
Main trend: UP.
Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones.
Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG).
Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target).
Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN?
Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities!
👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected Before Key CPI Data💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is stabilizing below the $4,000 mark as traders await this week’s U.S. CPI data and fresh remarks from the Federal Reserve. After a strong multi-week rally, the metal is showing early exhaustion near premium liquidity zones, where engineered pullbacks often occur before continuation.
While the mid-term bias remains bullish, several analysts — including those from Citi and UBS — caution that gold could face short-term corrections if the dollar regains strength. The market continues to price in around a 65% probability of a December rate cut, keeping volatility elevated and sentiment uncertain.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has slipped slightly below the ascending channel after consecutive BOS signals, indicating a potential short-term retracement before resuming the uptrend.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3932–3930 (Breakout & FVG zone) – an ideal discount area where buyers may re-enter the market.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4009–4007 (Premium liquidity) – a key region for short setups if price rejects strongly.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3932–3930 (main support 3923)
• SELL Zone: 4009–4007 (liquidity reaction area)
• Psychological Resistance: 4000
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3932–3930
SL: 3923
TP: 3945 – 3955 – 3965 – 3975 – 3980+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4009–4007
SL: 4016
TP: 3995 – 3980 – 3975 – 3965 – 3955
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000–4010 region acts as a high-liquidity magnet, where false breakouts and engineered sweeps may occur before reversals.
Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS or rejection candle) before entry.
Avoid overleveraging ahead of CPI — expect volatility spikes and rapid shifts in sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish but vulnerable to intraday retracements near 4009–4007. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates potential buy reactions from 3932–3930 and short-term rejections near 4009–4007. Holding above 3923 keeps the bullish outlook intact with upside targets toward 3970–3980.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time updates, live setups, and advanced SMC insights as gold reacts to CPI data this week!
XAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAINXAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous surge. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut, causing economic data to be delayed – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within the upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the suitable strategy at this stage is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance”, combined with POC (Point of Control) on Volume Profile to identify the price area with the highest liquidity.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend remains bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signals yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – priority sell reaction)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term sell when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying power is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections likely.
Be patient and wait for directional confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
Limited news this week due to the US political situation → market is prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zone (3,883–3,885).
Sell reaction at psychological resistance zone (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the fluctuation range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase winning rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs.
The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control.
🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix)
📍 Reaction Buy Zones
3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket.
386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone.
📍 Reaction Sell Zones
393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection.
4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ BUY Scenario
Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000.
Stop Loss: Below 3850.
2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000.
Targets: 3900 → 3884.
Stop Loss: Above 3952.
⚡ Key Insights
Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports.
3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall.
Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction.
💬 What’s your take, India?
Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
Gold 1H – Will CPI Repricing Push Gold Into FVG Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is reacting near 3,928 after a clean structure break and buildup toward the premium zone 3960–3958, where liquidity remains above recent highs. Market structure shows a bullish impulse leg forming, but engineered sweeps at premium supply are likely before continuation. The defined FVG buy zone around 3840–3842 marks discount territory for potential re-entry if price retraces deeper.
From the macro side, gold is consolidating as traders brace for this week’s U.S. CPI data and renewed Treasury yield volatility. The dollar’s firm tone and cautious risk sentiment following stronger U.S. job figures are keeping gold capped near short-term supply. Still, geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand continue to provide underlying support, reinforcing the buy-on-dip narrative toward year-end.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3960–3958 (SL 3967): Premium liquidity sweep zone targeting retracement toward 3940 → 3900.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3840–3842 (SL 3833): Discount demand and FVG mitigation aligned with higher-timeframe support. Upside targets 3860 → 3880 → 3900+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3960–3958
• Entry: 3960–3958
• Stop Loss: 3967
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3940
• TP2: 3920
• TP3: 3900
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3840–3842
• Entry: 3840–3842
• Stop Loss: 3833
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3860
• TP2: 3880
• TP3: 3900+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven within a mid-range structure. Expect engineered sweeps into 3960–3958 before deeper pullbacks into discount demand near 3840–3842. Tactical bias favors fading rallies at premium while preparing to join the continuation move from discount FVG support if CPI-related volatility clears the liquidity pools.
Gold Price Analysis — XAU/USD (Daily)Overview:
Gold has staged an impressive rally, climbing from the 3,200–3,300 area to the 3,870 region within a strong bullish structure. Price action shows higher highs and higher lows, signaling continued demand from buyers. 🚀
Technical Outlook:
• Trend: Both the medium- and long-term trends remain bullish, with price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
• Momentum: Strong upward momentum confirmed by MACD histogram expansion and RSI hovering near overbought territory (~70).
• Key Levels:
⚠️ Resistance: ~3,900 (psychological & structural level).
✅ Support: 3,400–3,600 zone.
Trading Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation:
• Enter on pullbacks to support (3,600–3,700).
• Targets: 3,950–4,000.
• Use trailing stop to secure profits.
2️⃣ Rejection at Resistance (~3,900):
• Look for bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing).
• Short-term correction toward 3,400–3,200.
• Stop-loss above 3,920 to manage risk.
3️⃣ Breakout Play:
• If price closes above 3,900 decisively with volume, expect continuation toward 4,100+.
• Ideal for breakout traders with risk managed via tight SL below breakout candle.
Risk Management:
⚠️ Do not risk more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Use trailing stops to lock in gains.
💡 Accept losing trades early; capital preservation is priority.
Conclusion:
🎯 Bias remains bullish while above 3,600. Traders should monitor the 3,900 level closely — a breakout could extend the rally, while rejection could trigger a corrective pullback.
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders!
Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!).
Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally
Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows.
Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold.
Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867
The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942
Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865
SL: $3857
TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915
BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827
SL: $3824
TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887
SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904
SL: $3912
TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864
SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944
SL: $3952
TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904
What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush
GOLD DAILY – MACRO VIEW FOR LONG-TERM GOLD
Hello everyone 👋
Today is the weekend, let's review the gold movements to gain insights for the upcoming trading week.
The weekly candle closed at 3,886.5 – a high level that most investors did not anticipate. The daily candle, almost fully bullish, has strongly reinforced the main bullish trend of gold in the medium and long term.
🔎 Technical View
Analyzing through Fibonacci extension, the next target for gold lies at the 4,000 mark, coinciding with the Fibo 1.618 level and a significant psychological resistance zone.
This is a confluence zone between technical and psychological factors, expected to have a strong reaction when the price approaches this area.
The current upward trend is almost unwavering, bolstered by macro factors – US political instability is causing uncertainty for the USD.
💡 Macro View
The US government shutdown is indefinite, economic data is delayed, causing market confusion.
The USD is weakening, while gold becomes a safe haven.
This scenario continues to reinforce the long-term upward trend of gold, especially as investors seek assets that preserve value.
⚖️ Long-term Scenarios and Strategies
1️⃣ Long-term Buy Scenario:
Entry: around 3,640 – 3,650
Reason: This is a strong support area on the Volume Profile chart, where large liquidity is concentrated.
When the price returns to this area, the pressure to take profits and release sell positions from trapped traders will create a strong price rebound effect.
This is the most potential buying zone in the medium term.
2️⃣ Short/Medium-term Reaction Sell Scenario:
Entry: around 4,000
Reason: This is a confluence resistance zone of technical (Fibo 1.618) and psychological (round number) factors.
Prioritize short-term reaction sells, capturing the pullback if gold hits the peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Note
Trading on larger time frames requires good capital and management skills, as the stop-loss range is higher compared to shorter frames.
Do not enter trades too early without confirmation signals from the price zone.
Always clearly define the time frame and profit expectations before entering a trade.
📈 Summary:
The long-term trend of gold remains upward, with a medium-term target towards $4,000.
Buying around 3,640 is an attractive price zone for accumulating long-term positions.
Sell reactions around 4,000 if there are clear reversal signals.
👉 If you want to follow daily updated scenarios, please follow me
Gold Outlook: Eyeing $4,000 – Fibo Expansion Zones in PlayGold continues to benefit from safe-haven demand as political risks in Washington and mixed U.S. data keep investors cautious. The metal is trading inside a clear bullish channel, with Fibonacci projections suggesting further upside before any major correction.
📊 Technical Deep Dive – H4 Structure
🔹 Fibonacci Confluence
The current rally respects 0.618 retracement at $3,820 and 0.786 retracement near $3,872, confirming algorithmic order flow.
Next expansion points are sitting at Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 ($3,995 – $4,003), a major liquidity target where reactions are likely.
🔹 Liquidity Pockets
$3,820 – $3,828: Historical demand block + Fibo 0.618, strong buy reaction zone.
$3,860 – $3,872: Active reaction layer, intraday support if retested.
$3,995 – $4,003: Key sell reaction zone, a liquidity grab area before possible retracement.
🔹 Candle & Flow
Breakout candles show strong momentum, pushing price toward untested liquidity.
However, multiple tests of $3,895 signal distribution pressure ahead of the $4,000 test.
🎯 Trade Playbook
🟢 Bullish Setup (Main Play)
Entry: $3,860 – $3,872
Targets: $3,895 → $3,995 → $4,003
Stop: Below $3,850
🔵 Deep Buy Setup (Aggressive)
Entry: $3,820 – $3,828
Targets: $3,872 → $3,895
Stop: Below $3,808
🔴 Countertrend Short (Scalp)
Entry: $3,995 – $4,003
Targets: $3,970 → $3,950
Stop: Above $4,010
⚡ Key Insights
Watch for a $4,000 liquidity sweep – could trigger either breakout continuation or sharp pullback.
If $3,860 support fails, deeper correction into $3,820 is expected before next rally.
H4 close above $3,895 strengthens bullish bias toward $4,003+.
📌 Question for traders: Will Gold break $4,000 and run, or is this a setup for a liquidity trap before correction? Share your view 👇
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain |MMFLOWTRADING📊 Market Context
Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain.
🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown.
📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment.
🛡 Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum.
⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850.
🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones).
🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones).
🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900.
📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan
✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884
SL: 3890
TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ???
✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936
SL: 3940
TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795
SL: 3790
TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754
SL: 3750
TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility.
🕵️♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs.
❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones.
✅ Summary
Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak.
🎯 Strategy:
BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754.
SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
Cross-Market Arbitrage Opportunities1. Understanding Cross-Market Arbitrage
Arbitrage is the simultaneous buying and selling of an asset to profit from price differences in different markets or forms. Cross-market arbitrage occurs when an asset, security, or derivative is traded across two or more markets (such as stock exchanges, commodity markets, or currency markets), and a trader exploits the temporary price mismatch.
1.1 Basic Concept
Imagine a stock listed on two exchanges—say, Exchange A and Exchange B. If the stock trades at $100 on Exchange A but $102 on Exchange B, a trader could theoretically buy at $100 on Exchange A and sell at $102 on Exchange B, locking in a risk-free profit of $2 per share (ignoring transaction costs). This opportunity exists because markets are not perfectly efficient at all times. Cross-market arbitrage seeks to exploit such temporary inefficiencies.
1.2 Importance in Financial Markets
Cross-market arbitrage contributes to:
Market efficiency: By exploiting price differences, arbitrageurs help align prices across markets.
Liquidity enhancement: Arbitrage strategies increase trading activity and liquidity.
Risk management: Investors use cross-market arbitrage in hedging strategies to manage exposure to price fluctuations.
2. Types of Cross-Market Arbitrage
Cross-market arbitrage can be categorized based on the types of assets, markets, and instruments involved. Below are the most common types:
2.1 Stock Arbitrage Across Exchanges
Stocks listed on multiple exchanges often exhibit price discrepancies due to differences in trading hours, liquidity, and investor behavior.
Example: An Indian company’s stock listed both on the NSE (National Stock Exchange) and BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange). If NSE trades at ₹1,000 and BSE at ₹1,005, arbitrageurs can buy on NSE and sell on BSE simultaneously.
2.2 Currency Arbitrage
Foreign exchange markets provide cross-market opportunities when the same currency pair trades at slightly different rates in different markets.
Triangular arbitrage is a common method, where traders exploit discrepancies among three currencies in different forex markets.
Example: USD/INR trades at 83.50 in New York and 83.60 in London. Buying USD in New York and selling in London can yield a profit.
2.3 Commodity Arbitrage
Commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products are often traded in multiple markets. Price differences can arise due to storage costs, transportation costs, and market demand.
Example: Gold trades at $1,900 per ounce on the London Bullion Market and $1,905 in Mumbai. Traders can buy in London and sell in Mumbai after accounting for transaction costs.
2.4 Derivative and Futures Arbitrage
Arbitrage opportunities exist between the spot market and the futures market or across derivative exchanges.
Cash-and-carry arbitrage is a common example where traders buy an underlying asset in the spot market and sell futures contracts if the futures price is overpriced relative to the spot price.
Reverse cash-and-carry occurs when futures are underpriced.
3. Mechanics of Cross-Market Arbitrage
To execute a cross-market arbitrage strategy, traders follow these steps:
3.1 Identify Price Discrepancies
The first step is to monitor multiple markets and identify assets trading at different prices. Sophisticated traders use algorithmic systems, real-time data feeds, and market scanners to detect these differences within milliseconds.
3.3 Simultaneous Execution
Cross-market arbitrage requires executing buy and sell orders almost simultaneously to avoid market risk (the risk of prices changing before both trades are completed). This is often achieved through:
High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms
Direct market access (DMA) platforms
Automated trading bots
3.4 Risk Management
Even “risk-free” arbitrage carries risks such as:
Execution risk
Liquidity risk
Regulatory restrictions
Currency or settlement risk in international markets
Professional arbitrageurs hedge these risks using derivatives or diversification strategies.
4. Popular Cross-Market Arbitrage Strategies
4.1 Dual-Listed Stock Arbitrage
Concept: Exploit price differences in a stock listed on two exchanges.
Example: Infosys Ltd., dual-listed in India and the US as ADRs (American Depository Receipts). Traders can arbitrage price differences between NSE/BSE and NYSE markets.
4.2 Index Arbitrage
Concept: Exploit differences between a stock index and its futures contract.
Mechanism: If the futures price is higher than the fair value implied by the index, traders buy the index components and sell futures simultaneously.
4.3 Cross-Currency Arbitrage
Triangular arbitrage involves three currencies. For instance, if USD/INR, USD/EUR, and EUR/INR exchange rates are misaligned, traders can make a profit by converting currencies sequentially.
4.4 Commodity Arbitrage
Traders exploit price discrepancies in commodities across global exchanges, often factoring in shipping, storage, and hedging costs.
Example: Oil traded in NYMEX versus Brent crude in ICE Europe.
4.5 Derivative Arbitrage
Exploiting differences between options, futures, and underlying assets.
Example: Convertible bond arbitrage, where traders hedge the bond portion and speculate on the stock portion to lock profits.
5. Advantages of Cross-Market Arbitrage
Risk-Adjusted Returns: Offers relatively low-risk profits when executed correctly.
Market Efficiency: Aligns prices across markets, reducing mispricing.
Liquidity Generation: Arbitrage trading increases market depth.
Diversification: Arbitrage can diversify an investor’s portfolio by introducing trades that are market-neutral.
Predictability: Unlike directional trades, arbitrage profits rely on price discrepancies rather than market trends.
6. Challenges and Risks
Despite being considered “low-risk,” cross-market arbitrage has challenges:
6.1 Execution Risk
Delays in order execution can erase profits. Markets move quickly, so any lag can turn an arbitrage opportunity into a loss.
6.2 Transaction Costs
Trading fees, broker commissions, and taxes can reduce or nullify arbitrage gains.
6.3 Liquidity Risk
Insufficient market liquidity can prevent traders from executing trades at desired prices.
6.4 Regulatory Risk
Different countries have distinct trading rules and capital controls, especially for cross-border arbitrage.
6.5 Currency Risk
For international arbitrage, fluctuations in exchange rates can impact profits.
6.6 Competition
High-frequency trading firms and institutional players dominate cross-market arbitrage, making it less accessible for retail traders.
7. Future Trends
AI-Powered Arbitrage: AI models will identify patterns and predict mispricings with greater accuracy.
Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies: Cross-exchange crypto arbitrage is gaining traction due to high volatility and fragmented exchanges.
Global Market Integration: Increased connectivity may reduce arbitrage opportunities but also create short-lived micro-opportunities.
Retail Access: As technology becomes more accessible, retail investors may participate in smaller-scale arbitrage.
8. Conclusion
Cross-market arbitrage is a sophisticated, yet fundamentally simple, trading strategy that capitalizes on temporary price discrepancies across markets. It requires speed, precision, and careful risk management. While large institutional players dominate this space, technology is gradually enabling wider participation.
Arbitrage benefits markets by enhancing efficiency, improving liquidity, and contributing to price discovery. However, it is not without risks. Transaction costs, execution delays, and regulatory hurdles are significant challenges. Understanding the mechanics, types, and tools of cross-market arbitrage is essential for traders seeking to profit in an increasingly competitive global market.
Ultimately, successful cross-market arbitrage combines market insight, technological proficiency, and disciplined execution, making it a cornerstone strategy for risk-conscious investors in the 21st century.
Gold Trading Plan | Limited Downside, Key Fibo Zones in Play🌍 Market Context
Gold is facing renewed selling pressure after yesterday’s bounce from the $3,820 area.
Risk-on sentiment and fresh USD buying are weighing on XAU/USD.
However, expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year and geopolitical tensions remain supportive, limiting deeper downside moves.
📊 Technical Analysis – Fibo Matrix Setup
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
386x – 388x (Fibo retracement 0.5 – 0.618 + 0.786 confluence)
→ Intraday SELL scalp zone with strong rejection probability.
3881 – 3892 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 downtrend extension)
→ Key SELL liquidity zone for deeper rejection.
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3820 – 3819 (short-term recovery base) → Initial intraday support.
3795 – 3793 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 recovery zone) → Major liquidity pocket, ideal for BUY setups if tested.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 386x – 388x (watch rejection candlesticks).
Target: 3820 → 3795.
Stop Loss: Above 3892.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3795 – 3793 with bullish confirmation.
Target: 3860 → 3880.
Stop Loss: Below 3785.
⚡ Key Notes
USD momentum is crucial – if dollar strength continues, Gold may retest 379x zones.
Fed’s rate cut outlook and geopolitical headlines remain the “floor” for Gold.
Stick to clear Fibo reaction zones for best risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Insight:
Do you expect Gold to hold 3820 before bouncing, or will we see a flush into 379x liquidity?
Drop your setups below 👇
XAUUSD – Prioritise Sell After Breaking Trendline
Hello Traders,
Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but currently, the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming the weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys.
Basic Context
The US Treasury has just repurchased an additional 2 billion USD in bonds, raising the total repurchase this week to 4.9 billion USD. This move indicates an effort to stabilise the bond market but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the US financial situation.
In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold's movement more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal.
Technical Perspective
Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change.
MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear strength.
The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell.
If the price falls deeply, the support zones around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell (main priority):
Entry: 3865 – 3868
SL: 3875
TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790
Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk):
Entry: 3803 – 3805
SL: 3795
TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850
Conclusion
Gold has broken the trendline, prioritising Sell in the short and medium term.
News from the US bond market further emphasises the risk of instability, making counter-trend Buy moves suitable only for short-term Scalping.
Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook
On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward.
At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact.
2. Important Levels
Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case.
OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks.
OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily.
Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected.
Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs.
3. Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865.
SL: Below 3,850.
TP1: 3,912.
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935.
Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810.
If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770.
4. Conclusion
Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.