WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context
PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December.
Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today.
Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising.
✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP
📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry)
4130 – 4136
→ Open BUY.
→ Retest zone after breakout.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone)
4108 – 4113
→ Strong BUY zone.
→ If broken → deeper correction possible.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES)
Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...)
4100 – 4102
4092 – 4094
4088
4060 – 4066
→ For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips).
❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP)
📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips.
🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area)
4192 – 4195
→ Short SELL for quick reaction.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE 2
4200 – 4202
→ Psychological resistance → SELL scalp.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension)
4180 – 4187
→ Short-term SELL for a small pullback.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES
If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts:
Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092.
Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220.
⚠️ Risk Management
Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly.
This plan is for reference only, not financial advice.
Trade responsibly.
Have a good day, guys!
Trade ideas
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 25–26✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a post-rebound consolidation range. After quickly rebounding from the 4022 level, the price is currently running above the MA5 and MA10. Short-term bulls still have momentum, but the upside pressure remains strong. The price is fluctuating above the Bollinger middle band, and the bands are slightly narrowing, indicating the market is entering a range-bound consolidation phase.
✅ From the 1-hour structure, the market is in a bullish upward-shifting structure, with higher lows and higher highs. Although MA5 and MA10 show slight convergence, the price has moved back above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish momentum is still dominant.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156–4160 / 4170–4180
🟢 Support Levels: 4110–4120 / 4070–4080
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Focus on Shorting on Rebounds
📍 Sell lightly around 4156–4160
🎯 Targets: 4135 / 4120
⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4170
This zone is a strong H4 resistance area that has been tested multiple times without breaking, making it a priority area for short entries.
🔰 Buy on Pullbacks
📍 Consider long positions around 4126–4130
🎯 Targets: 4155 / 4160 /4170
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4115
The H1 moving-average system provides clear support. As long as 4115 holds, the bullish trend can continue.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation.
This matters for gold because:
• Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold.
• The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs.
• Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes.
In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block.
Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4170 – 4172
• Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs
• Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure
• Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4102 – 4100
• FVG imbalance + BOS origin
• Confluence with discount retracement levels
• Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4172 → 4180
• Sell-side: 4100 → 4092
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4170 – 4172
Stop-Loss: 4180
Take-Profit:
→ 4138 (imbalance fill)
→ 4115 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4102–4100 (discount zone retest)
📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4102 – 4100
Stop-Loss: 4092
Take-Profit:
→ 4135 (intraday reaction)
→ 4160 (premium edge)
→ 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep)
📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP.
• Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation.
• Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts.
• Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades.
📝 Summary
Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi.
With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction.
Key Levels Today
🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172
🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100
Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum,Watching for Breakout Above 4150📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around 4140. Market sentiment remains tilted toward buying due to expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, while the USD shows mild weakening during the session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 4150 – 4162
• Nearest support: 4125 – 4130
• EMA: Price is above the EMA-09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum:
– The 4150 zone is forming a strong resistance; H1 candles show upper wicks → short-term profit-taking pressure.
– If H1 closes above 4150 → gold may extend to 4175 – 4190.
– If it fails, price may retest 4130.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising if it breaks above 4150 with a confirmed candle.
Otherwise, if it cannot break 4150 in the next 2–3 H1 candles, the market could retrace to 4130 before rising again.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4128 – 4132
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4125
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis
Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Market Structure
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent.
Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone.
2. Entry Zone
The “ENTRY” mark aligns with:
A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move
A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS)
This suggests institutional selling activity.
3. Target One – 4,080.064
This level is a logical first target because:
It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity.
You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this.
4. Target Two – 4,040.652
A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area.
If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates.
This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone.
5. Context
The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
MARKET CONTEXT CHART H1 I 11/25Market Context (English Version)
Gold is still moving within a solid bullish structure, shown clearly through its sequence of higher-highs and higher-lows. Buying pressure remains dominant in the short term, but price is approaching the Supply Zone at 4,147 – 4,150, where profit-taking pressure may appear.
The Volume Profile reveals:
POC at 4,093 → This is the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong agreement from both buyers and sellers.
VAH Zone 4,120 – 4,125 acts as soft resistance; if this zone holds after a pullback, the bullish trend remains intact.
VAL Zone 4,043 – 4,020, combined with the lower Demand Zone, forms a strong defensive layer for buyers if price makes a deeper correction.
Currently, price is running closely along the ascending trendline, signaling that buyers are still applying pressure. However, as price approaches the Supply Zone, the market may temporarily stall and create a technical correction.
Notable signals:
H1 candles show upper wicks, indicating that sellers are starting to react around 4,145 – 4,147.
The Volume Profile is heavier toward the upper range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity grab back toward the POC before continuing upward.
Overall:
➡️ The primary trend is still bullish.
➡️ But the market is likely in need of a pullback to accumulate more strength.
➡️ Only if price breaks below 4,093 will a deeper correction begin.
➡️ A break below 4,015 would confirm a full structural shift from bullish to bearish.
🟦 Scenario 1: Price continues upward – Breaks the Supply Zone (bullish continuation)
Conditions:
Price maintains the ascending trendline.
4,120 (VAH zone) holds and price bounces strongly.
Development:
Price retraces toward 4,120 – 4,093 (VAH & POC).
Strong buying absorption appears → forms a higher low.
Price pushes back up to retest the 4,147 Supply Zone.
If buyers dominate → break above 4,147 and extend toward 4,160 – 4,175.
Meaning:
The bullish trend remains intact. Buyers are fully in control.
🟧 Scenario 2: Deep correction before continuing upward (pullback to VAL Zone)
Conditions:
Price breaks the ascending trendline.
Buyers fail to defend VAH/POC and price loses 4,120.
Development:
Price breaks below 4,093 (POC).
Drops further toward 4,043 – 4,020 (VAL zone).
This is a strong prior demand level.
Price reacts at VAL → forms a new low → resumes bullish momentum.
Meaning:
Healthy correction. Market pulls back to gather liquidity before the next bullish leg.
🟥 Scenario 3: Bearish reversal – Break of Demand Zone
Conditions:
Price breaks below 4,043 – 4,015 (Demand + VAL).
Strong selling absorption overwhelms buyers.
Development:
Price falls through the Demand Zone.
Retests it, turning it into new Supply.
A medium-term bearish trend forms.
Downside targets:
4,000
3,985
3,970
Meaning:
Market structure breaks. Bullish trend ends, and a new bearish phase begins.
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2)
1. Structure
Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation.
Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure.
2. Key Levels
BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand)
BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone)
Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension)
3. Expected Price Action
After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected.
A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg.
As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact.
🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement
BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122
SL: 4,107
TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195
BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100
SL: 4,082
TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195
If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible.
Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection
Selling is not preferred in the current structure.
Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1.
🧠 MMFLOW VIEW
Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside.
“In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, Lana here 💬
After spending several days compressed inside a triangle pattern, Gold has finally broken the descending trendline on H1, absorbed liquidity around the FVG zone, and continued to hold above the breakout area.
This shows that short-term bullish momentum is currently favored, with price targeting the higher Fibonacci extensions.
Today the market is waiting for major data releases: CPI, PPI, retail sales… These numbers can create strong volatility, especially when gold is in an “overcrowded trade” condition.
If US consumer data comes in strong, a deeper pullback may appear after a liquidity sweep.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
On H1, price has:
Broken the descending trendline of the accumulation triangle.
Retested the FVG + liquidity repurchase zone around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back upward.
The 4.133–4.135 area, previously resistance, has now turned into support — a suitable zone for a buy-on-dip strategy.
Technical Targets:
Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current bullish leg is around 4.16xx.
Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + major liquidity pool sits around 4.23xx–4.24xx, aligning with previous highs — a zone where sellers may show strong reaction.
Overall, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11, the short-term bullish structure remains valid.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario – Priority with Trend
Buy on breakout – current price zone
Entry: 4.130–4.133
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230
Buy on deeper retest
Entry: 4.100–4.103
SL: 4.095 (you may choose a tighter SL instead of 3.995 for better R:R)
TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198
💢 SELL Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction at Resistance
Sell: 4.167–4.169
SL: 4.175
TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990
This Sell setup is only for short-term scalping against the trend — priority is to close quickly at nearby TP levels.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today includes CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data — spreads may widen and price can spike both ways.
Gold is currently a crowded trade, so after strong rallies, deeper washout moves can occur to shake out weak positions.
Best strategy:
Prioritize Buy setups at confirmed support zones.
Reduce position size before major news; avoid holding heavy trades through data releases.
Treat Sell setups only as fast in–fast out scalps.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – With LanaM2
In summary, the breakout from the H1 triangle supports the scenario of Gold continuing upwards toward the Fibo 1.618–2.618 extension levels, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11 💛
Today, focus on finding clean Buy entries instead of chasing price, and be cautious during CPI & PPI releases.
If you found this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to get daily Gold insights on TradingView ✨
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages.
Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side.
Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone
• FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately
• OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone
• OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone
• Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority)
1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090
• Entry: 4,085 – 4,095
• SL: below 4,060
• TP1: 4,169
• TP2: 4,186
• TP3: 4,206 / 4,237
→ This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline.
2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG
If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle:
• BUY immediately when there is a signal
• Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237
3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044
• Entry: 4,044 – 4,047
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,095
• TP2: 4,169
• TP3: 4,206
→ This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened.
🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend)
Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears:
• 4,169 USD
• 4,186 USD
• 4,206 USD (OB Bearish)
• 4,237 USD (Supply)
Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing)
SL: above the zone 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128
→ These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities.
The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play.
“Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 25/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone and is showing early signs of reversal. This indicates the current bullish leg is weakening. Today or tomorrow, if a strong bearish D1 candle appears, it will likely confirm the reversal.
H4
H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone, with the lines sticking tightly together — a typical sign that a reversal could happen at any moment. Once we see a bearish H4 candle close, we can consider the current high as a potential top.
H1
H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. This means price may still show one more short-term bullish correction or move sideways before any meaningful decline.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1
Yesterday’s bullish daily candle did not change the D1 wave count. We are still in the Y wave (purple).
However, one critical point needs attention:
• D1 momentum is already overbought.
• When D1 momentum rolls over, what we want to see is:
o Price failing to break the current X-wave high, and
o A strong, sharp decline to complete wave Y.
If price does not decline sharply as expected, the market may shift into a more complex corrective structure — such as a triangle or a larger WXY formation. I will update the count if that scenario develops.
________________________________________
H4
Yesterday’s bullish move broke above the previous wave (2) high. This invalidates the 5-wave scenario and confirms that the structure is instead forming a 3-wave corrective pattern.
With H4 momentum turning down and D1 momentum already overbought, the current price region is highly likely to be the top of wave 2.
________________________________________
H1
A clear 3-wave ABC corrective pattern has completed.
Wave C (blue) now reaches the target area around 4158, making this a very attractive region to look for Sell entries.
However, keep in mind:
• H1 momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward.
• This suggests price may still push slightly higher or move sideways before H1 reaches the overbought zone.
The best Sell timing will be when H1 and H4 momentum align together in overbought zones.
________________________________________
3. Key Liquidity Zones
Two important liquidity areas lie ahead:
• 4143
• 4184
If price holds above 4143, the probability of reaching 4184 increases — especially with H1 momentum turning upward.
Because H1 momentum is about to rise, it is difficult to find a precise Sell entry at 4143–4158–4184 without waiting for a clear price reaction.
The safest approach is to wait for bearish confirmation signals at each zone.
For my personal plan:
• First attempt to catch the top with a small position at 4158.
• Second attempt at 4184 if price extends further.
________________________________________
4. Trade Plan
📌 Sell Zone 1
• 4156 – 4158
• SL: 4168
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
📌 Sell Zone 2
• 4184 – 4185
• SL: 4205
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure
Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout.
On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure.
On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection.
Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction.
Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up
• 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction
• 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure
• 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario)
If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle:
• Entry: 4,112 – 4,115
• SL: 4,095
• TP1: 4,128
• TP2: 4,145
• TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG)
→ This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break.
2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020
If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone:
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,017
• SL: 3,990
• TP1: 4,103
• TP2: 4,128
• TP3: 4,150
→ This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base.
❌ SELL? When is it valid?
Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend.
Selling is only valid if the price:
• Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD
→ At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive.
The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD.
Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market.
⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 24-25✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis (H4)
1️⃣ Market Structure: Weak rebound, strong resistance above
Gold is currently trading around 4095, standing above MA5, MA10, and MA20. This shows that the short-term rebound is still valid. However, the moving averages have not formed a bullish expansion, meaning the market is still in a corrective rebound after a decline, not a strong uptrend.
Price is approaching the key resistance at 4100–4103 (First Resistance). Above this level lies the Bollinger upper band near 4114, where selling pressure will increase significantly.
➡️ The upward space is limited; the rebound is entering its later stage.
2️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Above mid-band, approaching upper-band
Mid-band ≈ 4070
Price has broken above the mid-band → rebound confirmed
But upper-band at 4113–4115 → strong Resistance
➡️ Gold is in the later phase of the rebound, chasing long positions here has higher risk.
3️⃣ Key Levels
🔴Resistance: 4103 / 4113–4120
🟢Support: 4068 / 4050
As long as price stays above 4068–4070, the rebound structure remains intact.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis (H1)
1️⃣ Price rejected at 4101 resistance, momentum weakening
From the 1H chart:
Price touched 4101–4103 and immediately pulled back
Bollinger upper band near 4105
Bullish momentum is slowing down
This is a typical structure:
➡️ Short-term rebound → hit resistance → pullback
2️⃣ Moving averages remain bullish, but market entering high-level consolidation
MA5 and MA10 are still rising, but strong rejection at resistance indicates high-level consolidation, not strong continuation.
If price drops below MA10 (≈4085), short-term pullback may begin.
3️⃣ Key Levels
🔴Resistance: 4101–4105 / 4110-4115
🟢Support: 4080–4085 (minor support) / 4063 (pivot support)
✅ Trading Strategy
🔰 Primary Plan: Sell on Rebounds
📍 4110-4115 resistance zone
If price retests this zone but fails to break through, consider short entries.
Targets: 4085 / 4070
Stop loss: Above 4120
🔰 Secondary Plan: Buy on Pullbacks
📍 4068–4072 support zone
If price pulls back and stabilizes, small-lot long positions can be considered.
Targets: 4095 / 4100
Stop loss: Below 4058
🔹Gold is currently near strong resistance around 4100, short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and the market favors selling the rebound rather than chasing longs.
🔹After rebounding from 4050 to the 4100 region, gold has reached a heavy resistance zone (previous highs + Bollinger upper band). The probability of continued upward movement decreases.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
GOLD (XAUUSD): FINAL SQUEEZE! TRADE ZONES READY!Timeframe: 1H | Gold is tightly consolidated between 4,040 - 4,085 (Symmetrical Triangle).
1. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA) & ACTIONABLE ZONES
The market is coiled like a spring. We have identified specific zones for high-probability setups.
🔥 BUY ZONE (Reversal Play):
Entry: 4,044 - 4,046
Stop Loss (SL): 4,038
Strategy: This is our Strong Support confluence area. A golden opportunity for a bounce play.
⚠️ SELL Scalp (Intra-range):
Entry: 4,071 - 4,073
Stop Loss (SL): 4,077
Strategy: Near-term resistance. Quick profit booking expected here.
🚨 SELL ZONE (Strong Resistance):
Entry: 4,097 - 4,099
Stop Loss (SL): 4,107
Strategy: A major supply zone. Excellent spot to short if the initial Long move fizzles out.
⚡ MEGA BREAKOUT SCENARIO
LONG Breakout: Above 4,085 to TP: 4,110 to 4,130.
SHORT Breakout: Below 4,040 to TP: 4,020 to 4,000.
2. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The market is waiting for Major US Data (Jobs report, PCE Inflation) and Fed sentiment. This data will be the ultimate catalyst for the breakout
Weak Data: Supports Gold (Long) due to a weaker USD.
Strong Data: Pressurizes Gold (Short) due to a stronger USD.
💡 THE GOLDEN STRATEGY
Patience is key! Do not jump the gun inside the triangle. Set strict SLs for all trades. Act only on a confirmed technical breakout backed by the Fundamental news flow.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #IndianTraders #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #BreakoutTrade #GoldAnalysis #TradingSetup
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
MARKET CONTEXT – XAUUSD (1H)Gold is currently trading right below the intersection of the short-term descending trendline and the long-term ascending trendline, creating a compression zone. This is the type of structure that often leads to a strong breakout.
1. Volume Profile Structure
VAH zone (Value Area High) around 4080–4085, indicating a strong previous selling area where buying pressure weakens and profit-taking increases.
POC zone (4067–4072): The most traded area—where buyers and sellers are balanced. Price keeps getting rejected here, showing the market is not yet ready for a strong bullish push.
VAL zone (4051–4055): Price is moving right at VAL, showing the market is testing the lower boundary of value.
2. Market Structure
Price remains within a short-term downtrend channel and has not broken the descending trendline yet.
However, the recent lows continue to be defended around 4050–4047, showing buyers are still protecting this level.
If price breaks above the descending trendline and closes above the POC, the market may retrace toward:
4058
4067
4080
3. Key Levels
Major Support: 4047–4044 (previous low + lower VAL boundary)
Big Demand Zone: 4035–4028 → if tapped, it may generate a strong rebound.
Strong Resistance: 4065–4072 (POC), then 4080–4085 (VAH)
4. Current Signals
Price is sitting at the edge of VAL → a common area for small reversals.
No clear reversal structure yet, but buying pressure is still holding the lows firmly.
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders,
As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to.
The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term.
On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move.
How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first?
Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area.
The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity.
The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone.
📊 Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds.
Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure.
Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area.
Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):
• The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).
• When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):
• If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD.
💎 Key Zones
BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD
SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area.
The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area.
In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.






















