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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations: 1. Trendline Break: - A potential break below the upward trendline indicates bearish momentum. 2. Supply Zone: - The price is trading within a highlighted supply zone. 3. Short Trade Setup: - A short position will be active after breakdown, with the following targets and stop-loss: - Stop-Loss: Above 157.440 - Target 1: 156.76 - Target 2: 156.493 - Target 3: 156.100 --- Trading Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation: - If the price sustains below 157.030, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate toward 156.100. 2. Invalidation of Bearish Setup: - A move above 157.6 would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a potential bullish reversal. --- Trading Plan: - Entry (Sell): Below 157.030, targeting 156.810, 156.500, and 156.090. - **Stop-Loss**: Above **157.436**. --- This trade setup is in line with bearish market structure, but closely monitor price action around support levels and trailing stop-loss adjustments as the trade progresses. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Short
by PhD_Swingtrader
USDJPY TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋 USD JPY Trading Signals 🗺️🗾 Update USD JPY SMC trading point analysis setup Short trend entry ☺️ USD JPY closed below 👇 up trand 😱 158.059 -156.033 support level back up trand tast rejected point below 👇 trend 📉 target 156.033 - 154.475 open now Good luck Small target we'll see.156.33 Analysis target we'll see 154.475 Mr SMC Trading point Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎯
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
Asian currencies hit bottom: Pressure from the FedUSD Rises on U.S. Economic Strength and Trump’s Tax Policies, Dragging Asian Currencies to a 20-Year Low Asian currencies fell to their lowest levels in 20 years as the USD maintained its strong position, fueled by the U.S.'s superior economic growth and President-elect Donald Trump's commitment to raising import taxes. The Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index dropped to 89.0409 on Monday, the lowest since data began in 2006. The USD rally has been supported by the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rate trajectories and expectations that Trump’s tax policies will exert inflationary pressures. “USD will continue to appreciate against Asian currencies, but the degree will vary across countries,” said Alvin T. Tan, Head of FX Strategy at the Royal Bank of Canada. He noted that if U.S. trade protectionism materializes, it could be a "game-changer." Asian central banks might respond by allowing their currencies to depreciate in a controlled manner. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is drawing global investors’ attention as one of the few major central banks maintaining a tight monetary policy amidst a trend of easing. With plans to hike interest rates at least once in 2025, BoJ’s move is expected to have positive effects on the banking sector. Notably, while BoJ intends to raise rates, the interest rate gap between Japan and major economies, especially the U.S., is expected to remain significant. This could put downward pressure on the yen, while simultaneously providing a competitive advantage to Japanese exporters. However, a potential risk lies in increased selling pressure on Japanese government bonds if BoJ opts for quantitative tightening. Trading Strategy The main trend for USDJPY remains strongly bullish in the long term, so it’s recommended to focus on buying at lower support levels to optimize profits and align with the dominant trend. Strategy Buy Zone: 157.200 Stop Loss (SL): 156.600 Take Profit (TP): 157.900 Sell Zone: 158.800 Stop Loss (SL): 159.300 Take Profit (TP): 158.000 Pay attention to full TP SL to protect your trading account
Long
by KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade
USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations: 1. Trendline Break: - The price broke the ascending trendline, indicating a potential shift in momentum. 2. Support Zone: - The price is hovering around a key support area (156.500–156.650). If this zone fails, we could see further downside movement. 3. Bearish Setup: - A bearish view can be taken with the stop-loss around 156.900 to 156.940 and the target near 154.03. - This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the setup plays out. --- Trading Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation: - If the price breaks below 156.500, it could confirm the bearish move towards 154.03. - Watch for bearish momentum and volume to support the move. 2. Rejection and Reversal: - If the support zone holds, the price might retest the resistance near 156.940 or higher, invalidating the bearish setup. --- Patience is key here; wait for clear confirmation of the breakout or rejection. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly. Happy Trading
Short
by PhD_Swingtrader
USD/JPY C&P CUP AND HANDLE The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. Here's a detailed breakdown: Cup: This part of the pattern looks like a rounded bottom, similar to the shape of a "U." It represents a period where the price declines and then gradually rises back to the level from which it initially fell. Handle: After the cup formation, the price typically moves sideways or slightly downward, forming a small consolidation phase that looks like a flag or a pennant. This is the handle of the pattern. Breakout: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out above the resistance level formed by the rim of the cup. This breakout suggests the continuation of the upward trend.
Long
by Faizgazi
LUCID TRAFFIC SIGNALThe "LUCID TRAFFIC SIGNAL" indicator is designed to provide a clear visual representation of market trends and potential price zones. By analyzing multiple timeframes, it highlights significant levels that can guide traders in identifying bullish, bearish, and neutral market conditions. The indicator uses color-coded lines to mark key price levels for different timeframes, helping traders make more informed decisions with ease. This tool is ideal for those who want a straightforward, visually appealing way to monitor market dynamics and align their strategies with prevailing trends. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, the "LUCID TRAFFIC SIGNAL" ensures you're equipped to navigate the markets confidently.
Long
by allurisrikar3333
USDJPY trading strategy in the last days of the yearJapan's Finance Minister: Appropriate Actions to Be Taken for Excessive Exchange Rate Volatility The Minister declined to comment on the likelihood of achieving the basic budget surplus target in the next fiscal year. Recently, he expressed concerns about strong and unilateral exchange rate fluctuations. Stability in exchange rates is crucial, reflecting the actual economic conditions. He highlighted particular concern over exchange rate fluctuations driven by speculative activities. Japan will take appropriate actions if exchange rates exhibit excessive or abnormal volatility. These remarks indicate a stronger verbal intervention. The USD/JPY rate has retraced to lower levels during trading sessions. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to maintain its policy rate at 0.25% during the meeting held on December 18–19. However, the possibility of a rate hike cannot be ruled out if the yen weakens significantly, with the USD/JPY currently hovering below 154. The meeting also announced a comprehensive review of the BoJ's past monetary policies, aiming to assess both the strengths and weaknesses of its ultra-loose monetary policy. Additionally, the BoJ may outline plans to gradually reduce its ETF holdings starting in 2026. Asian Market Update: USD/JPY Drops to 157.50 The USD/JPY pair touched 158.09 earlier today, marking its highest level since mid-July 2024. However, it has since dropped to 157.50 following Tokyo's December inflation data, which accelerated for the second consecutive month. At the same time, the Japanese government announced cuts in utility subsidies. In China, industrial profits continued to decline for the fourth consecutive month, with a 7.3% drop in November—less severe than the 10% drop in October. On a year-to-date basis through November, profits fell 4.7%, reflecting persistent challenges in the country's industrial sector. Trade Recommendations Buy: 157.300 - 157.100 Stop Loss (SL): 154.800 Sell: 159.100 - 159.300 Stop Loss (SL): 159.600 For now, USD/JPY is expected to complete a minor corrective downward structure before resuming its strong upward trend. Traders should take note of quick profit-taking on sell positions and look for buy opportunities near support levels. The USD (DXY) remains robust and is anticipated to continue its strong upward trajectory into next year.
Long
by KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade
USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations: Price Action: The price is testing a strong resistance zone around 153.070. This level has been retested multiple times, showing significant seller activity. Support Zones: 152.700–152.800: A strong demand zone where buyers have stepped in previously. 152.200–152.300: A lower demand zone providing a strong floor in case of further declines. Resistance Zone: The highlighted resistance zone at 153.070–153.150 has capped price movements several times. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks convincingly above 153.150, it may head towards higher levels around 153.740 or beyond. Look for a retest of the resistance zone to confirm the breakout. Rejection and Reversal: Trading Plan: Entry (Buy): Above 153.10 after a breakout confirmation. Stop loss and Target are given in the chart Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Long
by PhD_Swingtrader
**USDJPY Bullish Analysis** **USDJPY Bullish Analysis** 1. **Current Price Action:** - The USDJPY pair is trading at **153.579** and has shown a consistent upward movement. - A breakout above a key resistance level around **152.175** has been confirmed, turning previous resistance into support. 2. **Bullish Zone:** - The bullish trend suggests a price movement towards the next major resistance zone around **156.667** and **156.724**. - This area serves as the target zone for a bullish breakout continuation. 3. **Support Levels:** - Key supports are visible at **152.175** (near-term support) and **150.724** (stronger support). - Price corrections towards these levels could offer further buying opportunities. 4. **Trend Confirmation:** - Price is trading above the 50-day Moving Average (blue line), further confirming bullish sentiment. - If momentum continues, price could test the higher levels near **160.926 - 161.615**. 5. **Risk Management:** - If price falls back below **152.175**, the bullish outlook may weaken. - Traders should maintain a stop-loss below **152.000** to manage risks effectively. **Conclusion:** The USDJPY pair remains bullish as long as it holds above the support of **152.175**. The next target zones are **156.667** and beyond, with strong momentum pointing to potential upside continuation.
Long
by mywork072
1
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
USDJPY: Approaching Key Support at 150.000USDJPY is trading around 150.038, testing the critical support level at 150.000 after a sharp decline. The EMA 34 (152.215) and EMA 89 (150.899) act as strong resistance, limiting recovery momentum. If this support level is breached, the price may continue to drop toward the 148.000 zone, a significant previous low. Conversely, if the 150.000 level holds and the pair breaks above the EMA 34, USDJPY could target the 152.000 resistance level. News of the ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced safe-haven demand, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen, while the US Dollar remains strong due to high US Treasury yields. Traders should closely monitor these levels to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Long
by Vanna-Cris
Selling Pressure at Resistance, Downtrend Forecasting AheadThe 4-hour chart of USD/JPY shows a clear bearish pattern after the price failed to break above a key resistance level around 152.000. The slight bounce we saw recently may have been a weak attempt to retest this level, but with the lack of strong buying momentum, the price seems to be preparing for a deeper decline. The rebound and reaction at this resistance area is typical of a distribution market, where previous buyers may be looking to cut their losses, and new sellers are entering the market. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that the downtrend may continue. I appreciate the retest of the resistance level and see this as an opportunity to consider short positions. If the price breaks below the current support around 150,280, this could initiate a new bearish phase, towards the next support level around 149,000.
by Maria_aaa