Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)✅ Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)
📅 Date: July 2–3, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Buy Zone (Entry): 65.00 – 64.90 USD/barrel
Stop Loss (SL): 64.55 USD (below rising trendline and lower Bollinger Band)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 66.50 USD
• TP2: 67.00 USD
📊 Technical Analysis Highlights:
Rising trendline from June 24 continues to hold, forming a solid support area around 64.9–65.0.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating potential volatility expansion. Price is consolidating near the mid-band (MA20), often a precursor to bullish breakout.
Volume shows signs of accumulation around the trendline, suggesting buying interest at key support.
Multiple rejections from 64.90 without breakdown reinforces this level as near-term support.
🧭 Strategy Notes:
Enter on price pullback to the 65.00–64.90 zone with confirmation (e.g. bullish pin bar, engulfing pattern, volume spike).
Suggested position management:
• Take 50% profit at 66.50
• Hold the remaining 50% toward 67.00 if momentum is strong.
If price breaks below 64.55 with strong volume, exit the trade to preserve capital.
Good luck Everybody! Fl me here and ytb ! Thanks
USOIL.F trade ideas
XTIUSD / CRUDE OIL / CL MONTHLY ANALYSIS 01-JUL-2025 @ 64.12LTP 64.12
66.01/63.55
Bullish only above 79.55
Resistance 79.55 holds till now.
As long as Crude stays below 79.55, we can see more down towards 55.77, 51.93-48.64 (ultimate target), extension 45.77
MAKE OR BREAK ZONE: 66.01/63.55
Above 66.01, we can see 69-71.
Break below 63.55, we can see 55.77 first.
Crude Oil Market Analysis: June 29, 2025 Monthly Chart~~ Crude Oil Market Analysis: June 29, 2025 ~~
As of June 29, 2025, the crude oil market reflects a complex interplay of supply, demand, geopolitical factors, and macroeconomic conditions. Below is a concise analysis based on the latest available data:
#Market Sentiment: Prices are under downward pressure due to rising global oil inventories and weaker-than-expected demand growth, despite recent volatility driven by geopolitical events.
Supply Dynamics
Global Supply: World oil supply rose by 330 kb/d in May to 105 mb/d, up 1.8 mb/d year-on-year, driven by both non-OPEC+ (e.g., U.S., Brazil, Canada) and OPEC+ producers as voluntary production cuts are gradually unwound. The IEA projects global supply to reach 104.9 mb/d in 2025 and 106 mb/d in 2026, with non-OPEC+ leading gains (1.4 mb/d in 2025, 840 kb/d in 2026).
OPEC+ Policy: OPEC+ has accelerated the unwinding of voluntary cuts, with a planned 411 kb/d increase for July 2025, though compliance issues persist (e.g., Kazakhstan, UAE, and Iraq overproducing). This contributes to a supply overhang, with global supply expected to exceed demand by 720-950 kb/d in 2025.
U.S. Production: U.S. crude oil production is forecast to average 13.4 mb/d in 2025, slightly declining to 13.3 mb/d by Q4 2026 due to fewer active drilling rigs and lower oil prices. The Permian Basin remains a key driver, contributing 46% of U.S. crude production.
#Demand Dynamics
Global Demand: Forecast to grow by 720 kb/d in 2025 to 103.8 mb/d, down from earlier estimates due to weaker deliveries in the U.S. and China during Q2 2025. Non-OECD countries, particularly China and India, drive growth (860 kb/d in 2025), while OECD demand is expected to decline by 120 kb/d.
#Geopolitical and Macro Factors
Geopolitical Tensions: Recent de-escalation signals between Iran and Israel have reduced fears of supply disruptions, leading to a 4% price drop on June 16, 2025. However, U.S. sanctions on Russia and Iran continue to pose risks, with Iranian exports potentially facing tighter enforcement.
Trade Policies: U.S. tariffs and trade tensions, particularly with China, have soured macro sentiment, impacting demand forecasts. A temporary U.S.-China tariff détente has eased some pressure, but uncertainty persists.
Economic Outlook: Faltering global growth and rising trade barriers are expected to keep commodity prices, including oil, at their lowest levels of the 2020s, potentially moderating inflation but challenging developing economies.
Technical Analysis
WTI is trading in a medium-term uptrend but recently tested support at $68.06-$68.66. Prices are approaching a target zone of $75.62-$76.14, though resistance at this level could trigger a pullback. Volatility remains high, with prices sensitive to geopolitical news and inventory data.
Brent has struggled to break above a key downtrend line, signaling caution among traders despite recent geopolitical escalations.
Trend - Sideways
Chart for your reference
- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Channel Rejection in Oil – Is $68 Next?💼 Strategic Action Plan:
🔴 Bearish Setup – Reversal from Channel Top:
Sell Zone: $73.00 – $75.50
Stop Loss: Above $76.50 (channel breakout invalidation)
Targets:
🎯 T1: $71.00
🎯 T2: $68.00
🎯 T3: $64.00 (mid-term swing target)
Momentum is weakening after a sharp run-up, making this a high-risk zone for fresh longs.
Ideal setups include:
Reversal candle + volume near $73.50 for shorts
Breakout retest above $76.50 with volume for bullish entry
Watch upcoming inventory data and geopolitical cues for volatility catalysts
WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
Crude updated levels,fall from exactly resistance area How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Crude oil update-4th June.Crude oil update
It has form a WXY as an irregular correction and now forming an Next impulse to the upside
which is forming from 59.80 lows to the upside 63.75 which looks like 5 wave and wave W corrected in 3 wave
and X wave have 3 wave pattern, which opens of other probabilities for larger correction.
Things to note that price gapped up after wave 1 and we dont have a Correct wave 2 correction, Wave Y correction expected towards downside as ABC 3 have simple zigzag pattern.
so if price breaks belows marked wave A, because it is a Irregular correction so it may break low of A or not it is not mandatory.
So we should look to buy around Fib support of 50-61.8% area with confirmation for next long.
Lets see how it plays out.
USOIL - to test $59.5 or lower?
TF: 240 minutes
The script has left a FVG (Fair Value GAP) at $59.3 and it is most likely to be tested first before making any move on the upside.
The supply between 62.7 and 63 is quite strong for now.
Trade with caution
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
WTI Crude Oil Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $65.80Chart Breakdown:
1. Trend Structure
📈 Uptrend Channel
Price is respecting a rising trendline.
Multiple touches (🟡 dots) confirm the trend is valid.
Higher highs and higher lows indicate bullish pressure.
2. Key Zones
🟦 Demand Zone: $62.19 – $62.36
Strong support area!
EMA 70 (📉 line) sits right in this zone – great confluence!
Likely bounce area.
🟥 Resistance Zone: (Broken!)
Price broke above the resistance – bullish signal!
Now acting as support (role reversal).
🎯 Target Point: $65.80
Located near key resistance area.
🎯 Take profit zone!
Trade Setup
🔹 Entry Point: $62.45
🔸 Stop Loss: $61.43 (below demand & EMA)
🎯 Target: $65.80
✅ Risk/Reward: ~3.3:1
Great reward potential compared to risk!
Indicators
📏 EMA 70: $62.19
Below price → supports bullish move.
Visual Summary:
🔵 Demand Zone
🔺 Entry Point
🟥 Stop Loss
🎯 Target Zone
🟡 Confirmed Trend Points
📈 Breakout Above Resistance
XTIUSD / CRUDE OIL / CL Analysis 21-May-2025: Bull or Bear?LTP 62.70
Supports: 55/54.55
Resistances: 64.89/71.21/79.55/83.93
As long as 64.89/71.21 resists, we can see more downside.
Targets on the downside: 55.77, 51.93, 48.64, 45.77, 41.21
On the upside, important resistances 79.55/83.93.
Break of these two levels, we can see big bull run towards 121/233 in the long run.
As of now, I expect down move towards 52-45 before big reversal.
Major trend view for USOILAre we looking at a similar but mirrored bar pattern from 2008 to 2014?
Similarities:-
1. Impulse and steep wave.
2. Consolidation in the format of a triangle.
On the breakout, we had another fall equivalent to 61.8% of the impulse wave. If we are witnessing the same pattern, then on the breakout of this triangle consolidation, we will have the USOIL prices at $135 in the coming years. It shall be by the end of 2028!
PS: This chart is just for analysis purposes. When we know the major trend, we can position our trades carefully.
Crude weekly levels buy on dip @support book profit resistance How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Crude profit booking on Buy trade given at 64$ sell below 61.90$How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Bullish Pullback Setup – Targeting $66.70Entry Point: Around $62.30 - $62.26
Stop Loss: Set below the entry zone at $61.65, with a potential lower buffer at $60.90
Target Zone (EA TARGET POINT): Between $66.62 and $67.00
A projected gain of 4.22 points (~6.77%)
📈 Price Action & Indicators:
The price had a strong bullish run recently and is now consolidating or pulling back slightly.
The red and blue moving averages (likely short-term and medium-term MAs) show a bullish crossover and trend.
There's a potential bullish setup if the price pulls back to the entry zone and finds support.
The blue curved arrow indicates a projected bounce from the $62.30 support region back up toward the $66.70 target.
🛠️ Strategy Implied:
Wait for pullback to the entry zone (~$62.30).
Enter long at or around that level.
Set Stop Loss at $61.65 to limit downside risk.
Take Profit at $66.70 for a solid risk-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risks:
If support at $62.30 fails, price may head toward $61.65 or lower.
Market volatility (especially with crude oil) can invalidate setups quickly.
Economic events (e.g., U.S. inventory reports, OPEC news) can disrupt technical patterns.
Crude wTI levels 2nd support or resistance important in pullbackHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
USOIL at support range $56.56 to $56USOIL is at a major support level at $56.56 to $56, and the price is breaking this level. It will target downside levels of 50.53, 41.15, 31.90, and 36.08, respectively.
Price bouncing from this point will retest $62.99 and $73.88 as respective targets.
Prices may fall mostly for downside targets here.