Market insights
US OIlafter highs of 78 in June 2025 we had steep fall in prices towards April 2025 lows 55 lots of consolidation have been seen in zone 62-55 from oct 25 to dec 25 . For the first time yesterday close has closed above downtrend line of last 7 month that also with bullish reversal candela . so now 55 -56 zone becomes important support as far as weekly and monthly closes concerns .if holds this level probability of strong positive momentum towards 65-70 levels in next 3-4 month cannot be ruled out . Bulls momentum view fails if weekly or monthly close start below 55-56 support zone .
Crude Oil — Still Corrective, Not LeadingCrude remains contained within a broad, long-term consolidation on the yearly timeframe.
Despite volatility, there is no confirmed impulsive resolution at cycle degree. The structure continues to reflect a corrective / range-bound macro phase.
This suggests inflation pressure remains contained , not accelerating structurally.
Invalidation: Only a sustained, impulsive breakout from the long-term range would alter the yearly view.
📌 Structure over headlines.
#CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #EnergyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroContext #LongTermView
Technical Indicators Mastery: Reading Markets with Confidence1. Understanding the Role of Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are mathematical calculations derived from price, volume, or open interest data. Their primary purpose is to help traders identify trends, reversals, strength, weakness, and potential entry or exit points. Indicators simplify raw price data, making market structure easier to interpret. However, indicators do not predict the future; they interpret probability based on historical data.
A key aspect of mastery is understanding that indicators are tools, not signals by themselves. Price action remains the foundation, while indicators act as confirmation.
2. Classification of Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are broadly divided into four major categories:
Trend Indicators: Help identify the direction and strength of a trend
Momentum Indicators: Measure the speed of price movement
Volatility Indicators: Assess how much price fluctuates
Volume Indicators: Analyze participation and conviction in price moves
True mastery comes from combining indicators from different categories rather than relying on one type alone.
3. Trend Indicators: Identifying Market Direction
Trend indicators are essential for answering one basic question: Is the market trending or ranging?
Moving Averages (SMA & EMA): These smooth price data to identify direction. Short-term averages react quickly, while long-term averages define the broader trend. Crossovers, slope, and price position relative to averages provide trend clarity.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Combines trend and momentum, showing trend strength and potential reversals through crossovers and divergence.
Average Directional Index (ADX): Measures trend strength, not direction. A strong ADX indicates a powerful trend, while a low ADX suggests consolidation.
Mastery involves avoiding trend indicators in sideways markets, where they often produce false signals.
4. Momentum Indicators: Measuring Strength and Speed
Momentum indicators help determine whether price moves are accelerating or losing strength.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures overbought and oversold conditions. Beyond the classic 70/30 levels, RSI is powerful for identifying divergence and trend continuation zones.
Stochastic Oscillator: Compares closing price to a price range, useful in range-bound markets.
Rate of Change (ROC): Highlights acceleration or deceleration in price movement.
Expert traders use momentum indicators not just for reversals, but to stay in strong trends longer.
5. Volatility Indicators: Understanding Market Expansion
Volatility indicators help traders anticipate breakouts and risk levels.
Bollinger Bands: Expand during high volatility and contract during low volatility. Band squeezes often precede strong breakouts.
Average True Range (ATR): Measures market volatility and is widely used for setting stop-loss levels rather than entry signals.
Keltner Channels: Similar to Bollinger Bands but based on ATR, offering smoother volatility analysis.
Volatility mastery allows traders to adapt position sizing and avoid trading during unfavorable conditions.
6. Volume Indicators: Confirming Market Participation
Volume reflects conviction behind price movement.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Tracks accumulation and distribution.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): Commonly used by institutions to assess fair value.
Volume Oscillators: Identify expansion or contraction in participation.
A price move without volume confirmation is often weak and prone to failure. Mastery lies in spotting volume-price mismatches.
7. Indicator Confluence: The Core of Mastery
Technical Indicators Mastery is not about isolated signals; it is about confluence. High-probability setups occur when multiple factors align, such as:
Trend direction + momentum confirmation
Support/resistance + RSI divergence
Breakout + volume expansion
Using too many indicators creates confusion, while using complementary indicators increases clarity.
8. Timeframe Alignment and Context
Indicators behave differently across timeframes. A signal on a 5-minute chart may conflict with a daily trend. Skilled traders align:
Higher timeframe trend
Intermediate timeframe setup
Lower timeframe entry
Contextual mastery prevents overtrading and emotional decision-making.
9. Common Mistakes in Using Technical Indicators
Many traders fail due to:
Indicator overload
Blindly following default settings
Ignoring price structure
Trading every signal instead of high-quality setups
Mastery requires customization, backtesting, and discipline.
10. Risk Management and Indicator-Based Trading
Indicators should always be integrated with risk management. ATR-based stops, trend-based exits, and momentum-based partial profit booking are examples of professional applications. Even the best indicator setup fails without proper risk control.
11. Psychological Discipline and Consistency
Technical Indicators Mastery also involves mindset. Indicators reduce emotional bias, but only if rules are followed consistently. Confidence comes from repetition, journaling, and reviewing past trades.
12. Continuous Learning and Adaptation
Markets evolve. An indicator that works well in trending markets may fail in choppy conditions. Master traders continuously refine their approach, adapting indicators to market structure rather than forcing trades.
Conclusion
Technical Indicators Mastery is the art and science of transforming raw market data into actionable insight. It requires understanding indicator logic, applying them in the right market context, combining them intelligently, and supporting them with sound risk management and discipline. When mastered, technical indicators become powerful allies, helping traders navigate uncertainty with structure, clarity, and confidence—turning market noise into meaningful opportunity.
US OIL Intraday AnalysisOverview: WTI has rebounded sharply from the lower channel support near 55.00, forming a short-term base and printing higher lows. Price is now reclaiming the mid-Bollinger band around 57.00, indicating improving bullish momentum. A sustained move above 57.50 can open upside toward 58.10–58.50 resistance, while failure here may lead to consolidation above 56.00.
Biasness: Escalating tensions in the Middle East seem to be causing oil prices to rise at the beginning of the week. At the time of press, the Barrel of West Texas Intermediate was up more than 1% on the day at $57.15.
Key Levels: R1: 57.50 R2: 58.10 S1: 56.80 S2: 56.00
Data Releases: Investors awaited key PCE Price Index. A fall in the US inflation reading will weaken dollar and support US Oil prices to rise higher.
Technical Analysis: Momentum is stabilizing with RSI recovering towards neutral levels, and prices taking support of middle BB, suggesting rising upside potential
Alternative Scenario: Failure to hold above 56.80 could expose the market back toward lower (56.00-55.65) support zones.
While writing the report, the pair is trending at 57.00
Part 6 Learn Institutional TadingTypes of Options
There are two primary types of options:
Call Option
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on expiry. Traders buy call options when they expect the market to move upward.
Example:
If NIFTY is trading at 20,000 and you buy a 20,100 call option, you profit if NIFTY moves above 20,100 plus the premium paid.
Put Option
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Traders buy put options when they expect the market to move downward.
Example:
If NIFTY is at 20,000 and you buy a 19,900 put option, you profit if the index falls below 19,900 minus the premium.
WTI CRUDE: Wave C in Motion – Next Stop $50?XTIUSD (US Oil Spot) Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Key Observations
1. Wave Structure
The market is deep within a massive A-B-C Correction following the Grand Super Cycle peak.
We are currently in Wave C (the final downward leg). This wave is active and is dragging prices toward the long-term trendline support.
The failure to break above the recent highs confirmed the start of this bearish sequence.
2. Key Resistance Zones
$68.55 (Red Line): This is the "Lid." As long as the price stays below this level, the Bears are in total control.
$62.30: Immediate resistance. Any bounce to this level is likely a selling opportunity.
3. Key Support Zones
$50.00 - $52.00 (Blue Trendline): This is the "Alt Bottom" target. The rising trendline intersects here, making it a high-probability reversal zone.
$44.55 (Orange Line): The ultimate structural floor.
4. RSI and Momentum
RSI (Weekly): Trading below 40. This confirms weak momentum with no signs of bullish divergence yet. The path of least resistance remains down.
5. My Final View (Straightforward & Simple) The trend is Bearish.
Action: Avoid aggressive Longs. The "knife" is still falling.
Strategy: Sell on rises near $60-$62.
Target: We expect a slow grind down to test the $50.00 psychological mark before a meaningful bottom is formed.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
#CrudeOil
#WTI
#XTIUSD
#OilMarket
#EnergyMarkets
#Commodities
#CommodityAnalysis
#MarketStructure
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction
#TradingView
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesPopular Option Trading Strategies
Some commonly used strategies:
1. Covered Call
Hold stock + sell a call option for income.
2. Protective Put
Buy a put to hedge stock holdings.
3. Straddle
Buy ATM Call + ATM Put → profits during big movements.
4. Strangle
Buy OTM Call + OTM Put → cheaper than straddle.
5. Iron Condor
Sell OTM Call + Put and hedge with further OTM options.
Used in sideways markets.
6. Spread Strategies (Bull Call Spread, Bear Put Spread)
Buy one option and sell another to reduce cost and risk.
PCR Trading Strategies Tips to Increase Your Profitability
✓ Trade with trend
Avoid buying OTM options randomly. Wait for momentum.
✓ Use volume profile & market structure
This helps identify breakout zones, reversal points, and premium traps.
✓ Avoid trading against volatility
Buy in low IV, sell in high IV.
✓ Don’t hold losing positions
Options decay fast → exit quickly if the market goes against you.
✓ Use hedged strategies
Spread strategies reduce risk and stabilize profits.
Crude is ready for CRAZY upsideCurrently Crude is at 58/59
Crude is making Diametric pattern on a weekly timeframe, Where we can see crude has made 2 complex pattern which is (ABCDE-XYZ-ABCDE)
This is the last wave of Diametric pattern, so if Crude gives breakout around 72 which is very liekly
we can see 91/92 levels in coming months to come
Dont miss Crude at current price...
Crude is ready for upside !!
Thank You !!
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Key Terminology in Option Trading
To understand option trading, you must be familiar with a few important terms:
Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (e.g., NIFTY, Bank NIFTY, Reliance Industries) on which the option is based.
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the underlying can be bought or sold.
Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for owning the option contract.
Expiry Date: The last day on which the option can be exercised. In India, index options usually expire weekly or monthly.
Lot Size: The minimum quantity of the underlying asset that can be traded per option contract.
In the Money (ITM): When exercising the option gives a profit.
At the Money (ATM): When the strike price equals the current market price.
Out of the Money (OTM): When exercising the option gives no profit.
WTI Crude Oil 4H Analysis | Potential Long SetupAfter a prolonged downtrend inside a descending channel, Crude Oil has broken out and is now consolidating near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
🔹 Buying Zone 1: 59.30 – 58.80
🔹 Buying Zone 2: 57.40 – 56.70
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 55.90
🔹 Target (TGT): 66.40
Technical Outlook:
The price is retesting the breakout region of the previous falling channel.
0.5 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracements align with potential demand zones.
As long as price holds above 55.90, the bullish structure remains valid.
A breakout above 60.50 may trigger momentum towards 65.80–66.40 levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and follow your trading plan.
Regards
Bull Man
WTI Crude Oil Analysis
WTI is consolidating near $60.00 after recovering from $58.80, forming a short-term ascending structure. However, price is now testing resistance from a descending trendline, with upside capped around $60.20–$60.50. Momentum is mildly bullish but showing mixed signals.
📌 Outlook • Upside: A sustained break above $60.50 could push price toward $61.30. A close above this zone would confirm bullish continuation.
• Downside: Support sits near $59.60. A break below targets $58.98–$58.80. A close under $58.80 signals renewed bearish pressure.
📈 Trend Neutral-to-mildly bullish above support, but capped by descending trendline resistance. Reaction at $60.50–$61.30 is crucial.
🎯 Strategy • Buy dips at $59.60–$58.98, stop below $58.80, targets $60.50 & $61.30.
• Consider short setups if price rejects $60.50–$61.00.
🔑 Key Levels • R2: $61.30
• R1: $60.50
• S1: $59.60
• S2: $58.98
Part 2 Support and Reistance Key Terminology in Option Trading
Before diving deeper, it’s important to understand the essential terms used in option trading:
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying asset.
Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller for the contract.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires. After this date, the option becomes worthless if not exercised.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM when the underlying price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM when the underlying price is below the strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call option is OTM when the underlying price is below the strike price; a put option is OTM when the underlying price is above the strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the underlying asset price equals the strike price.
Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (stock, index, currency, or commodity) on which the option is based.
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSIS I am back!!!
Go "LONG" if it breaks 60.20 with 60.5w as the first target. Next if it breaks that along with the trendline then aim for 60.83 and f it moves beyond that and sustains then a good of 61.24 might be seen and lastly breaking that as well shall lead to 61.41.
Go "SHORT" if it breaks 59.89 then 59.58 might be the first target and breaking that as well shall further lead to 59.30 and if it breaks in 15min chart and sustains below properly then we might see a big move leading to 58.55 but this might take time to reach as well.
Note: Always check candles patterns as well for proper confirmation. Happy Trading.
Today support & resistance for USOIL Here's a trading plan based on the provided USOILSPOT data:
**Trading Strategy**
* **Buy Entry:** Around 60.136 (as indicated in the "BUY" zone).
* **Sell Entry:** Around 60.096 (as indicated in the "SELL" zone).
* **Stop-Loss Placement:**
* For Buy Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly below the recent low (e.g., 60.080).
* For Sell Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly above the recent high (e.g., 60.140).
* **Target Price (Take Profit):**
* For Buy Trades: Consider a target around potential resistance levels (you'll need to analyze the chart for this).
* For Sell Trades: Consider a target around potential support levels (again, chart analysis is key).
**Important Considerations:**
* **Risk Management:** Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Adjust stop-loss and target levels based on your risk tolerance and the specific market conditions.
* **Chart Analysis:** This is a basic suggestion. Thoroughly analyze the USOILSPOT chart using different timeframes, technical indicators (moving averages, RSI, etc.), and patterns to confirm entries and exits.
* **News and Events:** Be aware of any relevant news, economic releases, or geopolitical events that could impact the price of oil.
* **Position Sizing:** Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
* **Disclaimer:** Trading involves risk. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor if needed.
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSIS Hello guyz hope uall r doing well. I am on a travelling spree so I apologize for not providing consistent updates.
Just trade along with the given levels provided. Do not be over greedy. Exit your trade each time it touches a level and book your profits. Don't loose your capital.
I shall provide more sharp and accurate updates when I will be home.






















