The price of gold shows a breakout trend, and the fall in CPI data may lead to a further rise in real interest rates, and gold is expected to be under pressure.
AUDJPY (this order is mainly based on the daily structure) With the VIX under low volatility and the long-term inversion spread between the long and short ends, AUDJPY has appeared a potential technical top, and made a unit test. Don't think about the follow-up for the time being, just survive. Under the premise that the current continuity structure remains...
1) The price trend showed a clear trend of buying expectations and selling facts yesterday. After Pelosi landed around 10:40, the price of gold dropped significantly. At the same time, assets such as US bonds also followed the same trend. . 2) In the fall trend of yesterday, the second risk price of gold at the hourly level was revised. In principle, the...
There have been short-term abnormal fluctuations in interest rate spreads recently For the euro, two sets of interest rate differentials inside and outside are still used to observe changes in the exchange rate. The euro exchange rate has always been under obvious pressure. In principle, it is because of energy security issues. Europe's attitude towards Russia...
1. The crude oil price difference is in a continuous decline, and it needs to be paid attention to. 2. The center of gravity is gradually shifting. In principle, yesterday's drop in crude oil prices failed to drive a sharp drop in commodities. Markets begin to shift and change from trading economic expectations. 3. If there is no major military conflict after...
1. The second risk price moved up to 1764, the daily line and the hour line did not form a resonance, and in principle no strategy was generated. Observation is required. 2. The first risk price and the structure point of the daily line form a resonance, and in principle, a long trading strategy is still established. However, due to the upward movement of the...
1. The core contradiction is still short-term inflation expectations 2. Do not rule out a shift in the Fed's center of gravity 3. The main logic is short and unchanged 4. Short-term longs In terms of price trend, gold has rebounded significantly after the interest rate decision, and the structure has completed the five-wave structure. The current stage is in a...
Europe has begun to shrink the internal interest rate spread, pay attention to the changes in the euro, and seek opportunities to long the euro.
The daily trend of gold continues the structure, and the short-term trend is dominated by the bulls on the right.
Short-term gold prices are in a clear range-bound oscillation (at the box). Crude oil prices started to fall as the market rumoured that Saudi Arabia would make up for the shortage of crude oil due to sanctions against Russia. 1. Inflation will certainly ease after crude oil prices start to fall (commodities have fallen to varying degrees in the last two days) 2....
The short-term price trend of gold is not stable. In principle, there is a short-term short-term trend in gold. Backtest short order
The price trend of gold has stabilized in the short term. In principle, the price has begun to show structural damage to the right center point, and the short-term daily trend has also been destroyed.
1.Gold prices rebounded significantly last week, and gold continues to move upwards in the new week, but in principle, gold has not been able to completely break the falling structure. 2.Taking the center point as a boundary, the left and right sides of gold start to be in a clear divergence phase. (According to the principle that the right side takes precedence...
The two errors were based on counter-trend orders. In principle, the first wrong order is acceptable. After the data appeared, the price trend did not show a unilateral trend, and a possible reversal signal came out. In principle, this deal is not too big of a problem. (may be wrong from a contrarian point of view) Thinking: Do you need to wait for the signal to...
Gold continued its downward trend, and the price trend was relatively smooth. 1.In the one-hour chart, there is a five-fold fractal structure. If the hourly chart is used as a transaction, it is easy to be corrected back and forth to stop losses in the short term. 2.Now the daily-level structure begins to move down, and the daily-level structure point and the...
Save the two most recent times when gold diverged from real interest rates
The time zone that recorded two significant divergences between the price of gold and the real interest rate
Commodities are on the verge of breaking out. As the Federal Reserve starts to accelerate interest rate hikes, the expectations of the entire market have changed to a certain extent. At this stage, inflation expectations have turned around to a certain extent. However, no clear variables have occurred. It is more because the interest rate level in the United...