BankNifty Analysis If you read the postmortem report yesterday, you might have seen how the W pattern formed yesterday and BankNifty respecting the ascending trend line turned out. BankNifty had a different start today vs Nifty because we opened 0.95% gap-up and then rallied another 0.8% to hit the all time highs. 4mts chart - click here The 2nd rally was...
Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from yesterday: “We have the Nifty expiry tomorrow and as it stands the OTM premiums are pretty low indicating the option sellers are not expecting a big more tomorrow. In case we pick a direction tomorrow, the short sellers (PE or CE) will have to run for cover and that could spike the option premiums. I am going with a neutral...
BankNifty Today’s Analysis The opening candle in Banknifty had a swing range of 189pts ~ 0.4%. That candle looked dangerous and I really thought we would have a deep RED day today. Quite interestingly, BN made a W pattern right at the top band of the ascending channel (see the 63mts chart link also). 4mts chart link - click here Once BN got caught in that...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “But from a real price action perspective, I have changed my ultra short-term stance to neutral now. To gain back the bullish momentum, Nifty has to close above 21037. To go bearish, Nifty has to fall below 20691.” 4mts chart link - click here Nifty does a classic U-turn today, around the 20770 levels. For a moment I...
BankNifty Analysis BankNifty had a better price action today than Nifty. In the sense that the down move was more stable and compelling. Since yesterday we said we would love to go neutral below 47000 - we are changing the status now. 4mts chart link - click here Even though the day’s low was only 47004, I would prefer to go with the status change because of 2...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow also I prefer to maintain the bullish stance. If we are unable to build momentum and Nifty is falling to the 20900 levels then I may have to change the stance to neutral by the end of the day.” 4mts chart link - click here Even though we had a gap up opening, the same did not sustain and the round of selling...
BankNifty Analysis Banknifty disappointed a bit today. After a shaky start just like Nifty, we hit a new ATH by 10.23 - 47588. From there we cooled off a little bit and then closed flat. From the last post-mortem we hoped that it would be a day of out performance today and sadly the price action today did not live up to that expectation. 4mts chart link - click...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 63mts TF, The uptrend stays intact. BankNifty has resolved the directional doubt on the upside which may impart more strength to Nifty next week. How high can we go — I am not sure. I wish to continue with my bullish stance till proven wrong.” 4mts chart link - click here The opening candle was quite shaky, we had a...
BankNifty Analysis Banks had a totally different chart pattern than Nifty50 today. I would say the pattern by BankNifty was more mature and stable compared with Nifty. At no point in time, a breakdown was visible in BN today - yes, we dropped 0.67% ~ 316pts in between, but it was not as scary as N50. 4mts chart link - click here RBI Governor maintained...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Tomorrow’s RBI’s meeting @ 10.00 AM is going to be a decider — no level of technical analysis can predict when there is a news flow expected. I wish to maintain my long stance as of now although it’s itching to go neutral.” 4mts chart link - click here Nifty had a gap-up opening and because of that, it defended the ground....
BankNifty Analysis The opening candle was very similar to the Nifty’s. The low set in the opening minutes ended up as the low of the day. In a way, it shows the bulls are still in control. The pattern was quite similar to yesterday. Weak open and then range-bound trade. 4mts chart link - click here Banks will be on their toes tomorrow huffing and puffing to...
Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from yesterday: “As an analyst, it is very difficult to predict when the trend will end, but we need to keep looking. For tomorrow, I prefer to continue with the long bias unless we give up the 20853 in the morning session.” 4mts chart link - click here The opening candle was explosive, in line opening with a strong fall. See the...
BankNifty Today Analysis BankNifty also had a gap up open, but the first-hour price action did not seem normal. Not just because we went underwater and traded negative for the rest of the day, but the lack of will by the banks to move up. We all know the RBI MPC started the meeting today and we will have the summary on Friday @ 10.00 AM. 5mts chart link - click...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I prefer to hold on to my long stance with 20690 as a reversal level. If the uptrend is intact — we hope to see the laggards also catch up with the winners shortly.” 5mts chart link - click here. It might look like we had a lot of action today seeing the final gains at 82pts ~ 0.4%. The truth is - these gains...
BankNifty Analysis Just like we discussed yesterday, BankNifty outshined Nifty today. But surprisingly FinNifty did not correlate with Banknifty. That is unusual as the major components are the same. A detailed look into these stocks BAJFINANCE, BAJAJFINSV will give you the reason. 5mts chart link - click here HDFCBANK had a higher pre-open indicative price,...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Nifty has made an island today and is in uncharted territory. If the momentum persists, we can see unusual outperformances. If there is negative news or weakening global macros — we can see a fall too. Since we have broken out from an ATH, the chances of momentum continuation are higher. I would continue to hold on to my long...
BankNifty Analysis The real reason for the outperformance on Nifty50 = BankNifty today. In the last newsletter, we discussed how relevant BankNifty’s next move would turn out to be. Would you believe we took out the ATH today and the new value is 46484.45? 5mts chart link - click here BankNifty went on to take out the 45399 resistance in the gap-up open...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “I would like to see this as a breakout with a new higher high in the cards. For this to happen, BankNifty has to reclaim its ATH” 5mts chart link - click here For those long on Friday, it would have been a dream come true. 347pts gap-up open followed by a steady and healthy rally. We ended up gaining 418pts ~ 2.07% today....