viswaram

viswaram

Reliance and Infy were the major contributors to Nifty's GREEN show today. This happened at a time when the Banks were taking a huge beating. Finally, it came out good for the bulls as the 22519 resistance is now broken safely. The next target is the ATH and then I am not quite sure how much more we can go from there. Lok Sabha election results are coming up in 2...

viswaram

Banknifty had a more flattish tone today compared to Nifty. The hesitance to get past the 48115 resistance was clearly visible. Even though Nifty closed the day flat, BN gave up some points ~ 151, -0.31%. We wish to start the 22nd with a bullish view but switch back to neutral if the 48115 resistance is not getting taken out. Since 22nd is the expiry day, the...

viswaram

Stance is still bullish, but the steam is just not there. Thought we would close above 22519 and pave the way for further bullishness. The first 4 candles were in green today, infact the 12.24 candle closed almost above the 22519 resistance level, but we were unable to hold the ground. For 22nd, we continue to be bullish, but a bit watchful. If we are not...

viswaram

On 16th, we bounced from 47465 and that really helped BN to reach upto 48115 on 17th. But it was unable to get past those levels. Om 18th, BN got past 48115 resistance showing further bullish intent. Our next target would be 48661 and to go neutral we need to break 47465.

viswaram

There are a few changes to my daily postmortem report. After I started the MFD business, not getting enough time to write a detailed technical report daily. Thought I would send the reports every day on Thursdays after the Nifty's expiry. The detailed analysis and the 4mts, 16mts, 63mts chart will be explained on my personal blog as well. Here on Tradingview, I...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis — Stance Bullish ⬆️ The stance on BN also revised to bullish not because we took out the resistance, but due to the 707pts ~ 1.5% intraday rally that came right from the support level. Usually, powerful moves like this will have extended legs that could start appearing in days to follow. We only need to know whether the move came out from a...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%." We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ BN ended the day with cuts of -172pts ~ -0.36%. We went neutral after the price action on 13th May. After that, we had one up day (14th) and a down day (15th) — the result, we are back in the neutral territory. BN did not even go to the 48115 levels which came as a surprise. Ideally, on 16th there may be an attempt to...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long." The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ The definition of a neutral stance was much more suited for BN rather than N50 today. See the short-range in which BN operated today and notice the slow grind. Even then the volatility was very high, take a look at the HDFC Bank price moves today. How does the elephant move like that? BankNifty may not go bullish even if...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow." Nifty started the day inline and then started climbing almost steadily. There were no visible drops, pullbacks, or attempts by the Bears...

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BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Just when we thought the 47465 was getting broken for good, we got a pullback. We fell 527pts ~ 1.11% by 10.39 and then the pull back was a whopping 858pts ~ 1.83%. The final close was almost the midpoint of 48115 and 47465 which prompted me to change the stance to neutral for tomorrow. The bulk of the heavy lifting came from...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "On the 63mts TF, the bearishness continues. The next target of 21913 is still in our watchlist and if we fall below that - the real action begins." The day took me by surprise, not with the inline opening and a 248pts ~ 1.12% downward fall, but the reversal of 310pts ~ 1.42%. The downside was in the cards,...

viswaram

BankNifty had a better kind of retracement than Nifty, but it was not able to break away from the 47465 today. More importantly, it was not even able to break down either. That signifies the importance of 47465 as a critical SR level. The behavior from open to 10.07 was quite exactly as we wrote about yesterday. This market is held by weak Bears and they run for...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On the higher timeframe, N50 has made a massive double top, see the black dotted line. If it materializes, it could even be a real shocker to the bulls out there. Just like we discussed this week, if 21913 is getting taken out, the inverse H&S pattern will get negated." Nifty was unable to take out the...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ The bearish call on the BN was spot on, but we ended the day less bearish than N50, for me that is not good enough. Most importantly, BN did not breach the support of 47465, this was very crucial for the momentum to build. I am not exactly sure if we will start negatively tomorrow or not, a huge gapup or gapdown may work in...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On a closing basis, N50 finished the day above 22295 at 22302. Ideally, I should change the stance from bearish to neutral, but let me give the benefit of the doubt to the Bears for one more day." If you look at the horizontal lines, it may appear like I drew them today after the Nifty's move. Thankfully...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BN was unable to defend the 48115 support resistance today and it was an advantage Bears. The overall price action was neutral and that might be related to the expiry trades. There were a couple of instances where BN moved 100+ pts in minutes - this really had an impact on the algo trades, but happy that major damage was not...