APLD (Applied Digital):EARNINGS TRADE SETUP (2025-07-30)

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๐Ÿšจ **EARNINGS TRADE SETUP: APLD (Applied Digital)**
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Earnings: **July 31 (AMC)**
๐Ÿ’ฅ Confidence: **65% Moderate Bullish**
๐Ÿ”ฅ Recent Run: **+94% past 3 months**
๐Ÿง  AI Infrastructure Hype + High IV = Opportunity

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### ๐Ÿ“Š FUNDAMENTALS SNAPSHOT

๐ŸŸข **Revenue Growth**: +22.1% YoY
๐Ÿ”ด **Profit Margin**: -110.4%
๐Ÿ”ด **Operating Margin**: -34.7%
โš ๏ธ Historical EPS Beat Rate: **12% only**
๐Ÿ“ˆ Analyst Target: **\$14.61** (+42.8% upside)

๐Ÿ”Ž **Verdict**: High growth, deep losses โ€” speculative with upside

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### ๐Ÿง  OPTIONS FLOW

๐Ÿ’ฃ **High IV Crush Risk**
๐ŸŸฅ **Put Wall**: \$10.00 (6,700 contracts)
๐ŸŸฉ **Speculative Calls**: \$10.50 & \$11.00 loaded
โš–๏ธ Mixed Sentiment โ†’ Tilted Bullish

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### ๐Ÿ“‰ TECHNICAL CHECK

๐Ÿ’น Price: **\$10.12**
๐Ÿ“‰ Below 20D MA (\$10.31)
๐Ÿ“Œ Support: **\$10.00**
๐Ÿ“Œ Resistance: **\$10.50**
โš ๏ธ RSI Cooling โ†’ Watch for breakout or rejection

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### ๐Ÿ’ฅ TRADE IDEA

**๐ŸŽฏ Call Option โ€” Strike \$10.50 โ€” Exp 08/01**
๐Ÿ’ต Entry: \$0.57
๐Ÿš€ Profit Target: \$2.28 (200โ€“400% ROI zone)
๐Ÿ›‘ Stop Loss: \$0.285
๐Ÿ“ˆ Size: 1 contract (2% of portfolio)
๐Ÿ•“ Exit: 1โ€“2 hours post earnings to avoid IV crush

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### ๐Ÿง  TRADE LOGIC

Risky setup โ€” but technicals + AI narrative + speculative flow = **earnings lotto ticket with strategy.**

๐Ÿ’ฌ *"Speculation with structure beats blind YOLO."*

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๐Ÿ“Œ Tag a trader who likes calculated risk ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ“‰ Donโ€™t forget to scale OUT, not just IN.

\#APLD #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #TradingView #AIStocks #YOLOWithStops #IVCrushProof #CallOptions #SwingTrade #BullishSetup

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