BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup and Handle Breakout in SUNFLAG
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Fundamental Analysis
Database TradingEvery trader and investor asks, “Where is the overall market (or a specific security price) headed?” Several methodologies, intensive calculations, and analytical tools are used to predict the next direction of the overall market or of a specific security. Options market data can provide meaningful insights on the price movements of the underlying security. We look at how specific data points pertaining to options market can be used to predict future direction.
Typically a trading dataset will provide information about trades that are made over the course of the day. This includes various different details about the trades, such as the bid, bid size and ask size. This information is known as quote data.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in VIDHIING
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
silver Divergence TradingTrend lines are among the most accurate buy and sell indicators, along with simple moving average, stochastic, moving average convergence divergence, and relative strength index being the top trading indicators that help traders analyze the market signals effectively.
The best divergence indicators mt4 are MACD, RSI, stochastic, OA. They are user-friendly and simple but provide quite accurate trading signals. You can learn more about stochastic oscillator trading forex in the article Stochastic Oscillator: guide for using indicator in Forex trading.
Invest in ZENTEC: Pioneering Next-Gen Defence Solutions◉ Abstract
Zen Technologies Ltd is set for strong growth in the Indian defense market. The market is expected to rise from USD 17.40 billion in 2024 to USD 23.05 billion by 2029. The company focuses on advanced training and counter-drone solutions, and is benefiting from government initiatives of promoting indigenous production under the “Make in India” project. Moreover, Indian Govt. plans to double defense spending by FY30.
A recent partnership with AVT Simulation will help Zen expand in the U.S. market. With a solid order book of ₹3,500 Crores and a revenue goal of ₹900 Crores for FY2025, Zen is investing heavily in research and development. Although its high PE ratio may suggest it’s overvalued, the company’s strong finances and growth plans indicate good potential for investors.
Read full analysis here:
◉ Introduction
The Indian Defence Market is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years. According to a recent report, the market size is estimated to be USD 17.40 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 23.05 billion by 2029.
◉ Growth Drivers
● Government Initiatives: The Indian government is heavily promoting indigenous production through initiatives like "Make in India," which aims to reduce dependency on imports and bolster local manufacturing capabilities.
● Increased Defence Spending: India's defence budget is expected to double between FY24 and FY30, with significant allocations for new weapons procurement and R&D. For FY 2023-2024, the budget for new weapons procurement is set at USD 19.64 billion, along with USD 2.79 billion for research and development.
● Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing border disputes with neighbouring countries such as China and Pakistan necessitate increased military spending and modernization efforts.
● Export Opportunities: Indian defence exports have surged significantly, rising from USD 200 million in FY17 to USD 2.6 billion in FY24, with expectations to reach USD 7 billion by FY30. The government's focus on enhancing export relationships with countries like Italy, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia further supports this growth.
This in-depth report shines the spotlight on Zen Technologies , a mid-cap defence company that has carved a niche for itself in the Indian defence landscape. With a keen focus on pioneering training solutions and cutting-edge counter-drone technologies, Zen Technologies has emerged as a significant player in the industry.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Zen Technologies NSE:ZENTEC
● Buy Range - 2000 - 2050
● 1st Target - 2500 - 2600
● Potential Return - 25% - 30%
● 2nd Target - 2800
● Potential Return - 40%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-14 months
◉ Company Overview
Zen Technologies Limited, incorporated in 1996, specializes in designing, developing, and manufacturing cutting-edge combat training solutions and Counter-drone solutions for defence and security forces. The company is committed to the indigenization of technologies that benefit the Indian armed forces, state police forces, and paramilitary forces, providing them with innovative training solutions to enhance their combat readiness.
With its headquarters in Hyderabad, India, Zen Technologies Limited has a significant global presence, with offices in India, UAE, and the USA. This widespread presence enables the company to effectively support its clients and partners worldwide.
◉ Market Capitalization - ₹18,858 Cr.
◉ Expansion into U.S. Market
➖ Zen Technologies recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with AVT Simulation to enhance its presence in the U.S. defence sector. This partnership aims to leverage AVT’s expertise in simulation technologies to introduce Zen's products to U.S. defence agencies.
◉ Revenue Projections for FY2025
➖ Despite a strong start to the fiscal year, with revenues reaching ₹500 Crores in the first half, Zen Technologies' management has set a cautious revenue target of ₹900 Crores for FY2025.
◉ Expansion Plans
➖ Zen Technologies aims to expand into the Navy and Air Force segments through organic growth and acquisitions.
➖ The company plans to acquire Indian and overseas businesses, with deal sizes between ₹100-₹300 Crores.
◉ Investment in R&D
➖ Zen Technologies is investing heavily in research and development (R&D) to drive innovation and stay ahead of the curve.
➖ The company is currently developing new products that are reportedly two generations more advanced than those showcased in 2021. This focus on R&D underscores Zen Technologies' dedication to delivering cutting-edge solutions that meet the evolving needs of its customers.
◉ Order Book Status
➖ A substantial order pipeline of ₹3,500 Crores is in place, with ₹1,200 Crores expected to be executed in the next financial year.
➖ Order inflow is forecasted to pick up significantly towards the end of Q3 and into Q4 of FY2025, positioning for continued growth and success.
◉ Margin Expectations
➖ Management targets 35% EBITDA margin and 25% PAT margin, despite current gross margin pressures due to product and geographical mix changes.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Year-on-year
➖ The company's FY24 performance was marked by impressive growth, with sales reaching ₹440 crore, representing a 100% year-over-year increase.
➖ EBITDA also surged significantly, rising to ₹181 crore from ₹73 crore in FY23.
➖ Notably, the company achieved a substantial EBITDA margin of 41%, highlighting its operational efficiency and profitability.
● Quarter-on-quarter
➖ The company's recent quarter sales stood at ₹242 crore, a decline from the previous quarter, but a substantial increase from ₹66 crore in the same quarter last year.
➖ EBITDA dropped to ₹80 crore from ₹111 crore in the previous quarter.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ The stock's current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 93.1 appears overstretched compared to its industry average PE of 51.6.
➖ Furthermore, relative to its 1-year median PE of 76.5, the stock seems overvalued, suggesting potential downside risks.
● PEG Ratio
➖ When we look at the PEG ratio of just 1.64, the stocks looks fairly valued relative to its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ The company's operating cash flow experienced a substantial decline in FY24, plummeting to ₹13 crore from a robust ₹116 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ With a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.04, the company enjoys a virtually debt-free status, underscoring its robust financial health and providing a solid foundation for future expansion.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ In the September quarter, promoters reduced their stake to 51.26% from 55.07% in the previous quarter.
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have significantly raised their holdings to 5.72%.
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also increased their stakes, now at 8.05%, up from 3.37% in June.
➖ Conversely, retail investors sold shares, decreasing their holdings to 34.5% from 37.94% in June 2024.
◉ Mutual Fund Exposure
➖ Institutional holdings in Zen Technologies skyrocketed by 550% to 42 lakh shares in October 2024, with 23 funds taking a significant stake, up from 6.4 lakh shares in July.
◉ Bulk Deal Alert
➖ On December 3, 2024, Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund acquired over 11 lakh shares of Zen Technologies through a bulk deal.
◉ Technical Standings
➖ The monthly chart clearly illustrates a strong upward trend in the stock, marked by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
➖ The daily chart also presents a bullish scenario, with the formation of an Ascending Triangle pattern.
➖ A fresh breakout from this pattern is likely to propel the stock to new highs.
◉ Conclusion
Following a comprehensive analysis of fundamental and technical indicators, we firmly believe that Zen Technologies is well-positioned for robust growth, underpinned by its innovative solutions and strong research and development capabilities.
The company's strategic expansion plans into key markets, particularly the United States, are expected to unlock vast opportunities, driving significant growth in revenue and profitability. This, in turn, is likely to have a positive impact on the company's top-line and bottom-line performance, as well as its share price.
Sheela foam - Turnaround candidate - Promoters buying. 970+
SHEELA FOAM MNGMT SAYS Demand Is Good, Wedding Season Has Seen Good Traction So Far
FY25 Revenue Growth Would Be Close To 10%, H2 Should See 13-15% Growth , Will Get To ₹1,000 Cr Annual Run-Rate For Kurlon By Q4
Market Share Of Consolidated Entity In The Organised Space At 30%. Margin For Kurlon Targetted At 12-13%
AS of 13 Decemenber - Promoter Rahul Gautam has been buying consecutively from open market consefor few weeks.
One can enter above 970 for targets of 1300/1600. SL of 850 with two possibilite of price movements as plotted on chart.
Disclaimer : Educational Post. Please do your own research.
If you like my work, do boost my post.
KPRMILL for 35% (approx..) GainKPRMILL is showing a rounding bottom breakout and retest with good amount of volume. A good fundamental company with 35 PE but I am again interested in its share holding pattern please check...
( www.screener.in )
All data is available in public domain..
CMP : 820
TG : 1050
SL : Below 21 EMA
Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis:
1: Idea : Breakout.
2: Support : Volume, Delivery & VWAP.
3: Technical : 9/21/55/200-EMA, RS>0, MACD, RSI & Super trend up.
4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance.
5: Timing : Entry Timing on daily chart.
Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk .
Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
ntpc green great opportunity fundamental analysis NSE:NTPCGREEN
conclusion:
NTPC Green is a stock with high growth potential
With increasing investments in the renewable energy sector
and government support, this company can perform quite cmp:144.13
well in the future. Current pe: 352
Price to sales:61.9
Roe:6.20
Roce:7.60
You can see that the company's various ratios indicate that it is significantly overvalued compared to its peers in the sector
We can see that the company's P/E ratio is very high and the price-to-sales ratio is 61.9, which is abnormal
We can assume that the company has high growth potential and is backed by a strong parent company. However, the current market valuation seems to be anticipating future earnings
"Additionally, we can see that the company's ROE and ROCE are quite low. This could be due to factors like heavy capital expenditure or a debt burden. However, the situation might improve in the future, and we could see the company's ROE and ROCE grow."
"Yes, the company has high growth potential, but a valuation of 1.23 lakh crore for a company with 4000 crore rupees in revenue doesn't seem justified. However, due to its high growth potential, NTPC Green has received such a high valuation."
Gold hit 2726, now waiting for a reboundThe price of gold was sold from the historical high of 2790 to 2537, and then rebounded to 2721 and sold again to 2605; after continuous consolidation, it broke through 2666 at the beginning of the week due to the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Yesterday, I published the idea that the market will continue to be bullish, buy at 2686, and the target is 2708-2721; it actually fell back to 2674 and then attacked. In the evening, due to the CPI annual rate boosting the expectation of interest rate cuts, it has reached 2721. I am honored that yesterday's analysis and the strategy given were 100% accurate.
Now let's analyze today's gold. The price hit 2726 before and then dropped to 2700 and turned into a shock. The current closing 4H chart is arranged more. Now my idea is to make an expectation of a drop and rebound; short-term support 2704-2700, strong support 2696; short-term resistance 2716-2720, strong resistance morning high 2726;
In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on a pullback;
Strategy 1: Buy near 2704, SL 2694, TP 2716-2726;
Strategy 2: Buy near 2696, SL 2686, TP 2716-2726;
Please set your stop loss and buying price reasonably.
IRCTC
This chart appears to be a candlestick chart for IRCTC (Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation) stock prices over a period from June to December 2024, with a descending trendline indicating a bearish trend overall. Here are some observations:
Bearish Trend: The descending trendline suggests that the stock has been in a general decline since June 2024. This indicates that the price of IRCTC shares has been decreasing over this period.
Support and Resistance: The trendline might act as a resistance level where the price struggles to break above. The price has touched this trendline multiple times, indicating it's a significant level for traders to watch.
Recent Bounce: Towards the end of the chart, there's a noticeable bounce in the stock price, suggesting some buying interest or a potential reversal. This could be due to various factors like positive news, earnings reports, or market sentiment.
Volume: If volume data were available, it would provide more context. Typically, a bounce with high volume could indicate stronger buying support.
Time Frame: The chart shows daily candlesticks, which means each candlestick represents one day of trading.
Current Price: The last price shown is 843.05 INR, with a slight upward movement at the end of December, indicating some recovery from the previous lows.
Future Outlook: If the price breaks above the descending trendline with significant volume, it could signal a potential trend reversal. Conversely, if it fails to break this resistance, the bearish trend might continue.
For a more detailed analysis or if you're looking for trading advice, consider:
Technical Indicators: Adding indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages could provide more insights into momentum and potential reversal points.
Fundamental Analysis: Looking at IRCTC's earnings, news, and market conditions could offer a broader perspective.
Market Sentiment: General market trends and sector performance could also influence IRCTC's stock movement.
If you're considering trading based on this chart, remember to set stop-loss orders and have a clear strategy for both entry and exit points.
Cable Ancilliary - Investment ideaThe Fundamental pick :
Investment Vision- 3-5 years
Looks good with potential level -750
CMP-285
-Management commentary: Expected revenue targets of Rs. 4,500 to Rs. 5,000 crores by FY30.
Key ratios:
EV/EBITA-10.5
Market cap/sales-1.29
ROCE
41.9 %
ROE
31.5 %
Disclaimer:View and idea is personal and only for Educational purpose. Consult your advisor before taking any action.
max profit minimum time opportunity (value investing)Entry Price: The entry price should be between ₹3700 and ₹3900.
Target Price: ₹5910 (35% upside potential)
Sell Signal
between -10 and -15
Hold Signa
ranges between -10 and 10
Strong Buy Signal
exceeds 10
sector - gold and jewelry
NSE:SKYGOLD
:Sky Gold Limited is engaged in the business of designing, manufacturing, and marketing gold jewellery
:The company has reputed clients like Malabar Gold, Joyalukkas, Senco , Khazana Jewellers, Khimji, Kalyan Jewellers, GRT, Istaara etc.
The company's previous financial reports indicate continuous and strong sales growth
The quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) average sales growth in the last four quarter is 30%, while the year-on-year (YoY) average sales growth over the past two years stands at 46%. Additionally, the company has consistently improved its profit margins on a YoY basis.
The company's EPS has also shown remarkable growth alongside its profit and sales. In the financial year 2022-23E PS grew by 9%, followed by an impressive 76% growth in 2023-24. In the current financial year, EPS growth has reached 96%
peer base valuation
The company's P/B ratio appears undervalued compared to top peers. However, many of its peers are outperforming it in terms of P/B ratio performance.
The company's P/E ratio is significantly higher than the industry average but considerably lower compared to the major players in the industry.
Its EPS growth in the previous quarter has been the highest among its peers.
The company's sales growth is also the highest in the industry,
its EV/EBITDA is much lower than that of market leaders.
Additionally, the company's ROE is better than many peers in the industry, although it still lags behind the industry leader's ROE.
:share holding changes
The company's promoters have been continuously reducing their stake since the September quarter of the previous year. Their holding, which was 73.55% in September 2023, has dropped significantly to 58.24% by October 2024, which is a concerning trend.
On the other hand, FIIs, which held 0% in September 2023, have steadily increased their stake over the last four quarters to 1.38%. Additionally, DIIs have acquired a 6.31% stake in the recent period, indicating strong trust from major investors, which is a positive sign for the company.
estimate for q3
Recently, several news portals have reported that 46 lakh weddings are expected to take place in India during November and December. Given that gold accessories are heavily purchased during Indian weddings, the upcoming quarter could be highly favorable for the gold sector.
This presents a significant opportunity for the company to expand its market. However, it is important to note that the company primarily focuses on lightweight jewelry, while heavier jewelry is typically preferred for weddings.
That said, the company's B2B business model, which involves selling jewelry to stores and online platforms that further sell to end consumers, provides growth in this high-demand period.
Gold rose strongly, and the callback was longGold rose sharply in the early trading yesterday. The highest support began to fall back to around 2704, and the lowest fell back to around 2675. We changed the long-term strategy, went long at 2686, covered the position at 2677, and then continued to go. The order was perfect and received a profit notice at 2697. After the profit was eliminated, we continued to arrange long orders at 2690-2693, and the long orders continued to be bullish at 2710-2715. Gold rose sharply as expected, and the gold bulls continued to win strongly. The current highest support level is 2720.
The gold moving average continued to rise, and the gold price continued to hit new highs. After the gold price broke through the high of 2703 yesterday, it turned from suppression to support, and continued to build long positions. Pay attention to the upper support of 2728-2730, and the lower support of 2728-2730. The transaction is mainly to take a step back and go long.
Gold operation strategy:
Buy 2686-2692, stop loss 2679, target price 2720-2728
EURUSD Next possible move SAXO:EURUSD
Title
"EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Sell Bias Persists | Dollar Dominance Resumes"
Market Context
"EUR/USD remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar regains strength amid hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. Lingering concerns over Eurozone economic growth further weigh on the pair, favoring a bearish bias."
Technical Analysis
*"Today’s sell entry is supported by the following bearish signals:
Trend Structure: The pair continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
EMA Dynamics: Price trades below the 20 and 50 EMAs, signaling sustained bearish momentum.
RSI: Falling toward 40, highlighting increased selling pressure.
MACD: Negative histogram bars are expanding, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.0480 (intraday), 1.0450 (next key level).
Resistance: 1.0520 (intraday), 1.0550 (critical barrier). A move above 1.0550 would negate the bearish bias."*
News Context
"Upcoming: U.S. ISM Services PMI data could provide fresh directional cues.
Previous: Friday’s strong NFP report boosted the dollar, keeping EUR/USD under pressure."
Call to Action
"Will EUR/USD continue its slide, or could support levels trigger a reversal? Share your thoughts and strategies below!"
Bitcoin Bullish Setup & Volatility Commentary - Bitcoin is trading at 101,702$
- Economic Calendar always helps you refine your bias and understand how the expansion is going to be 90% don't even put stress on this.
- Technically the whole Flash Crash got bought back and what does this depict think psychologically we are witnessing demand whenever BTC dips
- All eyes are on the weekly closing of Bitcoin. If we close above the recent ATH, or above $102,000, it's going to be easy for us to purge way higher.
- While on the downside we can soon see 77,000-84,000$ and that's going to rebalance the price and help to structure become more stronger and valid.
- Manage risk and trade carefully instead of looking for Bitcoin Spot accumulation Ethereum is offering a better Risk to Reward
Zomato Stock AnalysisZomato Stock Analysis
Current Price: As of December 10, 2024, Zomato's share price was ₹297.30.
Analyst Recommendations:
Nomura: Increased target price to ₹320; maintains 'Buy' rating.
CLSA: Raised target to ₹370; maintains 'Outperform' rating.
Morgan Stanley: Target price set at ₹355; maintains 'Overweight' rating.
Bernstein: Target price of ₹335; maintains 'Outperform' rating.
Performance Highlights:
Zomato's stock has gained approximately 154% over the past year.
The company reported a consolidated net profit of ₹253 crore in Q1FY25, a significant increase from ₹2 crore in the same quarter the previous year.
Considerations:
Market Position: Zomato has shown strong growth in both food delivery and quick commerce segments, outperforming competitors like Swiggy in certain metrics.
Valuation: The stock is trading near its 52-week high, indicating positive market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Analysts generally recommend buying Zomato's stock, citing strong financial performance and growth prospects. However, it's important to consider your personal investment goals and risk tolerance before making decisions.
NIFTY Prediction for Next YearHello Guys,
Do not Panic.
This is a NIFTY chart prediction for next year. Hope I am proven wrong.
BUT:
Fundamental investing:
This analysis is considering the wars, inflation, interest rates, dollar-rupee, lending, fmcg slow down. Multiple interlocked factors contributing to slow progress for the next year.
Technical investing:
Based on technical Patterns there is gap up that has not been filled at 20500 level. And as per history, we all know what happens to gap ups. Also I have analyzed multiple year rally-consolidation-fall-rally to come up with this.
Emotional investing:
I expect to see a lot of people panic, book losses and hold red stocks. This will reduce the investment emotion built over a couple of years.
What's the way around:
Individual stock investing in the top 200 companies. Find picks that you understand.
Alembic Ltd - Great InvestmentMonthly Chart (For Long term investments I use Monthly and Weekly Charts)
Beautiful Rounding Bottom spanning across 3 years
Previous All Time High and Neckline breakout @128 levels
Price went up to 160 and then beautifully retested @128
Now on bullish trajectory
Monthly RSI beautifully retested 60 levels and curved up indicating bullish bias
Fundamentals are on growth trajectory
Trade Execution
Accumulate at dips from CMP of 150
Target - Rounding Bottom Pattern Target of 200
Trailing Stop Loss Weekly SuperTrend 10,3 or 10,2
Stop Loss - Monthly Closing below 128
Gold breaks through 2686 strongly, the next target is 2708-2721At the beginning of the Golden Week, the price continued to be bullish on Tuesday after breaking through 2666 due to the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, with the target of 2686; in fact, it has strongly broken through 2686, and it continued to be bullish during the day, with the next target range being 2708-2721;
Opening at 2693, short-term support at 2690, strong support at 2686, short-term resistance at 2700, strong resistance at 2708, and a breakout of 2721.
If you want to take advantage of the trend, you can buy now at 2686, SL: 2680, TP: 2708-2721.
But I need to remind everyone that gold will fall during European and American trading. Please don't be greedy. Don't have dreams of gold rising.
Man Infra Limited: Buy OpportunityTechnical Analysis:
Man Infra Limited has presented a promising trendline breakout with high volume, signaling strong bullish momentum. The RSI is above 70, indicating robust buying pressure. This setup suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Trade Setup:
Stop Loss (SL): 196
Target: 243
Fundamental Catalyst:
The company has made remarkable progress, reporting total booking collections of approximately ₹14.75 billion ($176.56 million) as of September 24. This significant achievement reinforces the stock's positive outlook and adds confidence to the technical setup.
With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, Man Infra Limited offers a strong buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing momentum.
Stay disciplined with the stop-loss level to manage risk effectively.