BTC long term lengthening cycle projection

Long term analysis of BTC based on a lengthening of the cycles, with a peak of this cycle around end 2012, and a double peak figure like we had in 2013 but slower and less volatile.

If we rather follow a 4 year repetitive cycle, then the log channel will be invalidated soon and we should end up this cycle by the end of the year, with a BTC price around 250k - 300K.

But I still think we will have one more leg to form a blow off top and after that we should have a long correction of BTC to reset all indicators, before we can finish this cycle. BTC went to fast too strong, a bit like it was the case in March-July 2019. Also, several long term indicators are about to show that BTC will become overheated soon, especially if we have a strong surge in BTC price (MVRV Z score, Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), Mean dollar invested age, Pi cycle top, ...)

Blue line = Halving.
Green line = beginning of alt season (sustained drop in BTC dominance).
Red line = end of alt season 2017 (+2021?).