Every Major Fall Has Eventually Been Followed by Recovery
Long-term record : The Nifty 50 has shown remarkable resilience despite periodic sharp corrections and bear markets.
Negative years in the period : Using Nifty 50 Total Return (TR) data, the major full-year declines since 2001 were 2001 (-15.1%), 2008 (-51.3%), 2011 (-23.8%) and 2015 (-3.0%).
2026 is different : The 2026 decline is still year-to-date, not a completed calendar-year return; by the end of September, the Nifty was down roughly 13% for the year, according to market reports.
Trend Analysis
Volatility Contraction: Check Ranges and BoundariesVolatility contraction occurs when candles narrow and successive swings cover less distance. It is sometimes described as "stored energy": price is compressing into a smaller area that may later give way to a wider move. The metaphor does not establish when expansion will happen or which direction it will take.
1. Observe the change in scale.
On this four-hour Bitcoin / Indian Rupee chart, the large advance is followed by overlapping swings. Near the right edge, several candle bodies are small
Weekly analysis - NiftyHi Friends,
Here is my detailed multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nifty, highlighting the prevailing market structure, key levels, and potential price action for the upcoming sessions.
Monthly Structure
The previous monthly candle closed with a strong bearish body, reflecting sustained selling pressure and reinforcing the prevailing downside momentum. The broader monthly structure remains decisively bearish, with 21,745 emerging as a potential downside liquidity target.
Unless price esta
XAUUSD โ 4016 Sweep or Trendline Break? XAUUSD โ 4016 Sweep or Trendline Break?
Gold is ending the week in a very important decision area.
After the strong selloff earlier this week, price reacted from the discount demand zone and tried to build a short-term recovery around 4,100 - 4,140. But the bigger structure is still not bullish yet.
The reason is simple: gold is still trading under the descending trendline.
Every recovery this week has been slow, heavy, and capped below the internal repricing zone. Buyers are defending the lower
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis [05 Oct - 09 Oct, 2026]Probable Price Structure and Scenario Analysis for Nifty 50 NSE:NIFTY Index. It is a weekly analysis (05th Oct to 09th Oct, 2026).
๐ข Bullish Scenario
A weak bullish scenario would emerge if the price starts to trade above 22500. The probable weak bullish targets above 22500 would be - 22625 and 22750. There will be resistance at 22750. Next, if the price sustains above 22750, then probable mild bullish targets would be - 22875 and 23000. Level 23000 will be a strong resistance. Lastly, if
AUDJPY |downtrend Channel BreakoutAUDJPY | Channel Breakout, Wait for CHoCH Confirmation
AUDJPY is showing a potential bullish reversal setup on the 30-minute timeframe. After trading inside a descending channel, price has broken above the upper trendline and is now approaching a key CHoCH (Change of Character) level that could confirm a shift in market structure.
Trade Setup ๐ Entry: 109.80 - 109.90
๐ฏ Target: 111.80
๐ Stop Loss: 109.30
Key Points: โ
Descending channel breakout signals weakening bearish momentum
โ
Price form
NIFTY : Where is heading on Monday | Trade Plan 05-Oct-2026DAY BEFORE WEEKLY EXPIRY
Previous Close: 22,445.60
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Market Structure: Bearish / Corrective
Intraday Bias: Neutral to Bearish below 22,514
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
KEY LEVELS
๐ด 22,883โ22,970 โ Profit Booking Zone
๐ด 22,680 โ Last Intraday Resistance
๐ 22,514 โ Opening Resistance
โซ 22,445.60 โ Previous Close
๐ข 22,266โ22,333 โ Opening Support Zone
๐ด 21,872 โ Last Intraday Support
๐ด 21,520 โ Major Extended Support
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
TE
A Profitable Trade Is Not Always a Good Trade๐ Learning to Enjoy Good Execution Instead of Only Profitable Outcomes
Most traders naturally think:
Profit = Good Trade
Loss = Bad Trade
But trading is not that simple. A well-executed trade can lose.
And a poorly executed trade can still make money. That is why one important mindset shift is:
**Judge the process first. Judge profitability over a larger sample.**
---------------------------------
๐ Good Process + Losing Outcome
Suppose you:
โ
Followed your setup
โ
Waited for confir
XAUUSD Monday Outlook: 4,112 Support Holds the KeyXAUUSD | 15M
Gold closed the week around 4,140, after a sharp rejection from the 4,190โ4,200 resistance zone.
For Monday, Iโm watching two scenarios:
๐ข Bullish scenario:
If price respects 4,112 support and regains 4,190โ4,200 with strong momentum, the next important resistance areas are 4,234 and potentially 4,272.
๐ด Bearish scenario:
If 4,112 breaks decisively and price fails to reclaim it, attention shifts toward the 4,080 major support zone. A strong breakdown below that area would strengt
Weekly analysis- GoldHi Friends. here is weekly analysis of gold.
Monthly View
The previous month closed with a strong bearish candle, establishing a clear downside bias. During the first week of the current month, price has remained near the lower end of the previous monthโs range, with bearish pressure still evident.
The 4,110 level remains a critical monthly support. A sustained breakdown and acceptance below this level could open the downside toward the 3,950 zone.
Weekly View
The weekly structure continues to
Four Rejections Later, Coforge Is Knocking AgainCoforge is building one of those structures where the longer resistance survives the more important the eventual breakout becomes. The 1980-2020 zone has rejected price repeatedly since Dec 2024 with fresh attempts in Jul 2025, Dec 2025 and again Aug 2026. But every rejection has failed to destroy the larger uptrend. The rising support that started around Jun 2022 has continued to attract buyers with major reversals around Mar 2023, May 2024 and most recently Mar 2026. That last reversal from ne
Silver (XAGUSD) Weekly Analysis [05 Oct - 09 Oct, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis of Silver (XAGUSD) FOREXCOM:XAGUSD for the week (05th Oct - 09th Oct, 2026).
โบ Present Scenario
Silver (XAGUSD) is in a bearish setup. There is no evidence of a bullish setup yet. The level 60 is weak support. If level 60 is broken, then bearishness might deepen. For a bullish scenario to emerge, the price must trade above 61.875. Lastly, a high-impact event - FOMC Meeting Minutes is on 07th Oct (Wednesday).
๐ข Bullish Scenario
There is no bullish scenario.
Crude Oil (WTI) Weekly Analysis [05 Oct - 09 Oct, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis of US Crude Oil (WTI) TVC:USOIL for the week (05th Oct - 09th Oct, 2026).
โบ Present Scenario
US Oil is in an indecisive to bearish setup. There is an observable head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern in the higher timeframe (but not confirmed yet). 88.75 is the observable neckline of the probable H&S pattern. Bullishness will only emerge if the price trades above 92.5.
๐ข Bullish Scenario
There is no bullish scenario. If the price sustains above 92.5, then weak
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Analysis [05 Oct - 09 Oct, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) FOREXCOM:XAUUSD for the week (05th Oct - 09th Oct, 2026).
โบ Present Scenario
The bearish phase is intact. There is no sign of bullishness. Level 4125 is weak support. A breakdown might deepen the sell-off. Be bullish only if the price breaks out above 4187.5. Lastly, a high-impact event - FOMC Meeting Minutes is on 07th Oct (Wednesday).
๐ข Bullish Scenario
There is no bullish scenario. However, if the price trades above 4187.5, then weak
GKSL: MFTC โUprising Curveโ Signals a BIG Move?GKSL: MFTC โUprising Curveโ Signals a BIG Move?
Gujarat Kidney & Super Speciality Ltd. (GKSL) is showing a strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, according to the MFTC Uprising Curve concept.
The stock has formed a clear upward-curving structure, with price consistently respecting the rising curve while creating higher highs and higher lows.
๐ MFTC Uprising Curve
One of the key MFTC observations is that when this Uprising Curve develops and price continues to respect the curve, it can
Nifty Bank Weekly Analysis [05 Oct - 09 Oct, 2026]Probable Price Structure and Scenario Analysis for the Nifty Bank NSE:BANKNIFTY Index. It is a weekly analysis (05th Oct to 09th Oct, 2026).
๐ข Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks out above 55000, then be bullish. The probable weak bullish targets above 55000 would be - 55312.5 and 55625. Next, if the price breaks out above 55625, then mild bullish targets would be - 55937.5 and 56250. Lastly, if the price sustains above 56250, then strong bullish targets would be - 56562.5 and 56875.
๐ด
Nifty Weekly Outlook: Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain?Everyone is worried about the market fall, but here is my simple view on Nifty (Weekly Chart):โข Current Price: Nifty is around 22,420.
โข Expected Drop: We might see a further dip into the strong support zone of 20,400 - 21,600.
โข Reversal & Target: After taking support from this zone, a strong reversal is expected toward the 26,400 target.
Short-term pain, but long-term gain! What are your thoughts?
(Disclaimer: Educational post only, not financial advice.)
Can the correction be used to buy?Bitcoin CMP $84640
Elliott- wave 1 has its own five waves and hence it is an impulse wave. The vth wave is over facing resistance at 87420.We also have the slowest MA at the same zone. Making the zone a strong reversal point.
Fib- the 2nd wave correction is likely to come down to 72100 , where two faster MA support is cutting the fib zone at 72100.
Conclusion - if u missed the first wave, nothing to worry about, use this dip to enter. Also the resumption of uptrend in crypto is an indicati
Nifty Intraday Outlook for 05-10-2026๐ NIFTY 15-Min: Opening Range Breakout Attempt Underway
NIFTY has recovered strongly from the recent lows and is now attempting to sustain above the opening-range resistance near 22,570.
Price has already tested the 22,600 area, but the current candle is still developing.
That makes confirmation above 22,600 important before chasing the recovery.
---
๐ Important Levels
Resistance:
โข 22,600
Upside Targets:
โข 22,610
โข 22,670
โข 22,720
Support:
โข 22,570
โข 22,510
Downside Targets:
โข 22,470
WHERE WILL GOLD GO TOMORROW?Gold has reached a decision point. Will buyers defend the liquidity zone, or will sellers push price toward the next major demand area?
Gold is heading into the next session with price still trapped between key support and resistance zones.
After the sharp sell-off, price is currently holding around the SSL / Liquidity Reaction Zone, making this area critical for the next move.
๐ข Bullish scenario
If buyers defend the 4,110โ4,125 SSL / Liquidity Reaction Zone, price could attempt a recovery towar
This Three-Year Ceiling Is Starting To Lose Its ControlThe stock is reaching a very interesting stage after spending almost three years below a major falling resistance. The decline started after the stock peaked around 7300 in 2022 and since then every major recovery has struggled near this descending trendline. But the recent structure is changing. Price has reclaimed the long-term average around 4700 and is now holding comfortably above it. More importantly the latest pullbacks are becoming shallower while buyers continue absorbing supply around
XAUUSD 1H ICT Analysis Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep Bullish ReverslXAUUSD 1H โ ICT/SMC Analysis
Bias: ๐ข Bullish after a liquidity sweep โ but confirmation is needed.
Market Structure: Price made a strong bearish displacement from 4218โ4220 into 4125โ4130, creating a short-term bearish structure.
Liquidity: The key sell-side liquidity sits below 4123, with deeper liquidity around 4110โ4103.
Support / Demand: 4123โ4110 is the major demand/support zone. This is the most important reaction area on the chart.
FVG / Imbalance: The sharp bearish move created imbalan























