KIRLOSBROS – A Demand-Supply Sweet Spot? My Take!🔍 What Got My Attention
We’re seeing price approach a well-formed Rally-Base-Rally demand zone, and to me, it’s got the fingerprint of institutional activity written all over it. These zones don’t just appear randomly—this kind of structure often suggests that big players may have unfinished business here, footprint of pending orders.
📐 The Demand-Supply View
Price is entering a daily demand zone —a clean RBR structure .
Just yesterday, we saw a bullish reaction candle form right off that zone. For a demand-supply trader, that’s confirmation—plain and simple.
Stop-loss placement? : just below the demand zone. And the logical target? The next known supply zone on the chart.
What’s more, the weekly chart already confirmed strength. Price bounced from weekly demand zone and powered through a traditional daily resistance—clear signs of momentum shift.
Encouragingly, there's no higher-timeframe supply standing in the way. That clears the runway.
From a demand-supply lens, this is the kind of setup we wait for—strong zone, confirmation signal, no conflicting zones above. It’s not about chasing; it’s about reacting when price comes to us.
📈 What Traditional Technical Are Saying 📈
Now, if we set aside the supply-demand lens for a moment and look at it through a more traditional view, things still line up nicely.
stock was clearly in a downtrend earlier—but that changed when it hit the weekly demand zone or say support area and reversed with strength.
What followed was a period of consolidation. That’s normal—markets pause before deciding on direction.
Then, on June 25th, the trend shifted. Price broke out above both horizontal resistance and a sloping downtrend line— and it did so with volume.
This wasn’t a fake breakout either. Price held above the resistance.
The current pullback? Honestly, it's healthy. After a move up, a dip into support (especially when it lines up with demand) often builds the base for the next leg higher.
And guess what—price is taking support from 20 EMA, which just adds to the confluence.
So even if you’re not a die-hard supply-demand trader, the technicals are telling a similar story: breakout, volume, support holding, pullback into structure—it all points toward potential continuation.
🧠 Why This Setup Stands Out 🧠
What I find compelling here is the alignment across both schools of thought which is not necessary but whether you're supply demand trader or tracking breakouts, both giving positive signal.
It's the kind of scenario where you don’t need to overcomplicate things. You’ve got:
Structure that makes sense.
Clear reaction at a proven level.
No HTF supply zone to kill the momentum.
Now, does that mean it's guaranteed to rip higher? Of course not. But when technical logics all align—this is where probability starts leaning in your favor.
🚀 Fuel for Your Trading Mindset 🚀
"You don’t need to catch every move. You just need to position yourself where risk is small and the story makes sense. 🎯"
📌 Disclaimer 📌
This analysis is shared strictly for educational purposes . It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
Support and Resistance
XAU/USD Ascending Triangle Breakout Setup Pattern: Ascending Triangle
Bias: Bullish (Breakout Imminent)
Entry Zone: Around 3338 (Current Market Price)
Target Zone: 3401 and beyond
Invalidation: Below 3322
📌 Technical Breakdown:
Higher Lows building momentum from April till July ✅
Flat Resistance Zone around 3400 acting as a ceiling ⛔
Volume likely to expand on breakout 📈
Break above 3400 = explosive upside potential 💣
---
🧠 Smart Trader Strategy:
✅ Entry: Break and close above 3340–3350
🎯 TP1: 3400 (Major resistance)
🎯 TP2: 3450+ (Post-breakout rally)
🛑 SL: Below 3322 (Ascending trendline invalidation)
📅 Timing Tip:
Watch for US Session or major economic news like CPI/NFP/Fed minutes — high volatility may trigger breakout moves.
VOLTAS 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
VOLTAS Looking good for upside..
When it break level 1376 and sustain.. it will go upside...
BUY@ 1376
Target
1st 1394
2nd 1409
FNO
VOLTAS JUL FUT – LOT 9 (Qty-3375)
VOLTAS JUL 1360 CE – LOT 9 (Qty-3375)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome to join the ride ..
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Nifty - Expiry day analysis July 17Price is testing an important zone 25200. If unable to sustain above it, price will move towards 25000.
If market opens flat, buy above 25220 with the stop loss of 25180 for the targets 25260, 25300, 25360 and 25400.
Sell below 25120 with the stop loss of 25160 for the targets 25080,25040, 25000(psychological zone, we can expect volatile movement here), 24960 and 24900.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Pivot Low Formed, Follow-Up Buying Crucial – Nifty and BankniftyYesterday, i mentioned that sellers’ volume was 40 million higher than buyers, and for a new trend to emerge, today’s candle needed to absorb that supply.
And look what happened — today, buyers’ volume surpassed sellers’ by 82 million.
All the setups I traded today blasted exactly as expected:
NSE:SWARAJENG (Earnings Pivot) – +10%
NSE:SPORTKING – +5.92%
NSE:MOBIKWIK – +4.16%
For the short term, I am still holding NSE:CUPID , which has already given a 22% move in the last 3 sessions since my entry!
Now, coming to today’s market action:
NSE:NIFTY formed a Demand Candle today, and along with that, a Pivot Low has also been created.
The only missing piece is that the index hasn’t yet closed above 25200.
The message is clear — if we get follow-up buying tomorrow, the index could be ready for a fresh high.
For tomorrow:
Resistance: 25244 — once crossed, short covering can push it directly to 25350/25500.
Support: will be at 25180.
NSE:BANKNIFTY looks more positive, and this time, NSE:CNXPSUBANK could be the key driver.
For BankNifty:
- Support: 56965
- Resistance: 57260 — a close above this could trigger a move towards a new high.
Talking about sector rotation — in the short-term timeframe, a new sector has emerged: NSE:NIFTY_CONSR_DURBL
NSE:NIFTY_IPO stocks remain strong, and for intraday trades, NSE:CNXAUTO and NSE:NIFTY_EV stocks are at the top of the list. So if you’re planning tomorrow’s intraday trades, focus on these sectors.
That’s all for today.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
NEAR – High-Timeframe Double Bottom & Bullish DivergenceNEAR is showing strong signs of support, forming a high-timeframe double bottom with bullish divergence after a clean sweep of the $1.80 level. Price has now reclaimed the 20-day SMA, adding confidence to the setup.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $2.40 – $2.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $3.40
o 🥈 $4.15
o 🥉 $4.90
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $2.00
THETA Long Swing Setup – Bullish Divergence & Range Low ReclaimTHETA has formed a strong bullish divergence off a double bottom, following a deep liquidity sweep to $0.56. With price now reclaiming the 20-day SMA, signs point to a local bottom and potential range low deviation.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.70 – $0.75
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.95 – $1.00
o 🥈 $1.60 – $1.72
o 🥉 $2.13 – $2.25
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.65
SHRIRAM FINANCE Swing Trade ( 1:3 RR, 7% upside potential)1st Target at ATH with 1:3 RR and 7% upside.
2nd Target at psychological level of 800.
If Nifty holds current level of 25000 then Shriram Finance can make a new ATH.
Institutions have gradually bought the stock at every dip making higher lows continuously.
Recently sellers got trapped which can start a new up-move.
Follow me for more such simple trades.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 16th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25350 – 25400 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25550 – 25600 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25050 – 25000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24850 – 24800 range.
FLAIR: a probable longPros:
➡️Reduced borrowings and increased fixed assets
➡️Highest ever sales which may increase further and resultantly improve PAT
➡️PE ratio well below the industry PE
➡️Strong breakout from the supply zone and heading into a major resistance, if broken, can yield massive returns
Cons:
➡️Increased retail holding
MTNL's Comeback Story: Innovation and GrowthRevitalizing MTNL: A Bright Future Ahead
Target: ₹200
Time frame: 3 years
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited (MTNL), a Public Sector Undertaking (PSU), has faced significant challenges in recent years, leading to a decline in its business fortunes. However, despite being knocked out of the competitive telecom market, the company is poised for a resurgence.
Embracing New Frontiers
As the telecom landscape evolves, MTNL is gearing up to tap into emerging opportunities. The future holds immense promise, and the company is strategically repositioning itself to capitalize on newer forms of communication and technology.
5G: The Game-Changer
A key catalyst for MTNL's revival is the ongoing testing of 5G technology. With its potential to enable faster data speeds, lower latency, and greater connectivity, 5G is expected to revolutionize the telecom sector. MTNL's foray into 5G will enable it to offer cutting-edge services, bolstering its competitive edge.
Ambitious Targets
Three-Year Roadmap
Over the next three years, MTNL will concentrate on:
Enhancing its 5G capabilities to deliver high-speed, reliable connectivity
Developing innovative services and solutions to cater to emerging customer needs
Strengthening its network infrastructure to support growing demand
Fostering strategic partnerships to drive growth and expansion
With a clear vision and robust strategy in place, MTNL is poised to reclaim its position as a leading player in the Indian telecom sector. The future indeed looks bright for this PSU, as it embarks on a transformative journey to reclaim its glory.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 15th July 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13275 – 13300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13450 – 13475 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13050 – 13025 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12900 – 12875 range.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 15th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25275 – 25325 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25450 – 25500 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24900 – 24850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24675 – 24625 range.
BAJAJ FINSERV Swing Trade ( 1:3 RR )If Nifty holds current levels ie. 25000, then Bajaj Finserv will continue its sideways-uptrend.
Sellers have recently got trapped by the buyers in the buying zone which can fuel next up-move.
With 1:3 RR, trade setup is simple and looks good if overall market is not bearish.
Thanks and let me know in comments if you have any questions.
Follow for more such simple swing trade setups.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 15th July 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 57200 – 57300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57700 – 57800 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 56350 - 56250 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55850 - 55750 range.
LODHA:Triple Confluence Zone - Fib, Horizontal & Channel SupportHey Traders!
NSE:LODHA is showing a compelling bullish structure on the 4H chart — backed by clean price action, structure, and strong confluence.
Technical Breakdown:
✅ Ascending Channel: The stock has been consistently respecting its upward-sloping channel since March, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Fibonacci Retest: The recent retracement found strong support around the 0.5 and 0.618 zone (₹1,352), aligning with both the horizontal support and the lower channel line.
✅ Horizontal Support: The zone around ₹1,352–₹1,375 (a previous resistance) acted as a strong support during the pullback. Price bounced cleanly from it — confirming its importance.
✅ Confluence: The lower channel support, horizontal support, and Fibonacci level all align in the same area — boosting the reliability of this bounce.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: ₹1,435 (Around current levels)
Stop-loss: Below ₹1,328 (Closing Basis)
Target: ₹1,700 (upper channel boundary)
Reward-to-Risk: 1:2.5
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research and use proper risk management.
Thanks for reading!
If you liked the setup, drop a comment or a like!
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts.
Happy Trading!
— Anantesh
Nifty Holds Positive Trend, BankNifty Eyes New High - Key LevelsThe missing piece we talked about yesterday — a close above 25200 — is now complete.
Selling pressure has reduced, although we didn’t get the strong follow-up buying we expected.
But from a trading perspective, today was superb:
- NSE:SPORTKING , which we bought yesterday, gained another 7% today.
- NSE:EDELWEISS intraday setup delivered a solid 6% move.
- NSE:TATAPOWER ATM options shot up by 100%.
- As mentioned in yesterday’s commentary, NSE:CNXPSUBANK performed well — I’m holding NSE:BANKBARODA and had added #SBIN a few days back.
- NSE:SHYAMMETL closed strong today; I’ve taken it as a positional trade.
- I exited NSE:CUPID today and replaced it with $NSE:MOBIKWIK.
In total, I’m holding 4 open positions, and I’ll continue to hold them until they overextend.
Coming to the market:
Nifty formed a Supply Candle today as sellers’ volume was 33 million higher than buyers.
The positive takeaway is that selling pressure has eased, and the trend has moved back to the positive zone.
Considering these conditions, tomorrow is likely to remain sideways.
NSE:NIFTY levels for tomorrow:
- Resistance: 25250 — a close above this could trigger short covering up to 25500
- Support: 25155
BankNifty looks stronger than Nifty and seems ready for a new all-time high.
NSE:BANKNIFTY levels for tomorrow:
- Support: 57000
- Resistance: 57300 — a breakout above this can push it to fresh highs
Sector-wise, #PSUBANKS remained the strongest today.
That’s all for today.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
XAUUSD 1H – Watching for a Bounce Inside the ChannelGold is still moving nicely inside this big ascending channel. After hitting resistance, price is pulling back toward the lower support area and trendline.
👉 My Plan:
Waiting to see if price holds around $3,310–$3,320 zone.
If we get bullish signs (strong candle, rejection wick), I’ll look for longs back up toward $3,350–$3,370 and maybe higher.
✅ Key Levels:
Support: $3,310 area
Resistance: $3,345 – $3,370
Break below support could invalidate this idea.
Just being patient and letting price action confirm the next move. Let’s see how it plays out!
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 17th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25350 – 25400 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25550 – 25600 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25050 – 25000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24850 – 24800 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 17th July 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 57600 – 57700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 58100 – 58200 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 56700 - 56600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 56200 - 56100 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 17th July 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27150 - 27200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27375 - 27425 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26750 – 26700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26550 – 26500 range.