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9 SMS + Market Structure + HTF 🔥 A Simple Strategy That Works: 9 SMA + Market Structure: Over the last 18 years in the markets, I’ve noticed one common pattern among struggling traders—they jump from strategy to strategy, get caught up in countless indicators, and lose sight of the basics. The truth is, simplicity wins. And the most powerful tool you can master? 👉 Market Structure. ✅ Market Structure 101: Uptrend: Higher Highs (HH) + Higher Lows (HL) Downtrend: Lower Highs (LH) + Lower Lows (LL) Sideways: Ranging or consolidating zones Once you understand this, trading becomes more visual and logical. And to complement this understanding, I recommend one tool that works across all timeframes: 🔄 The 9 SMA Strategy (Simple Moving Average) This is not a magic trick—it’s a clean, effective way to stay in sync with the trend. When used with multiple timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily), it becomes a strong confirmation tool. Let’s take Tata Motors as an example: 📈 Monthly Chart: Trading above the 9 SMA Near psychological level ₹1000 Had a rally 3–4 months ago, now consolidating Not a confirmed breakdown yet – monthly is still holding structure 📊 Weekly Chart: Just crossing above 9 SMA Indicates strength building back up 📉 Daily Chart: Also crossing 9 SMA Shows possible trend continuation ✅ Double confirmation from Daily + Weekly ➡️ This signals potential swing or positional trade setup 🎯 Key Takeaways: Follow the Market Structure Understand HH-HL or LH-LL formations before jumping into trades. Use the 9 SMA on multiple timeframes Let smaller timeframes guide the early signs of trend shifts Avoid complexity Stick to one simple method and master it. Risk Management Never invest all at once. If you have ₹1,00,000, break it into 4 or 5 parts. This reduces emotional pressure and helps you stay objective. 📌 Final Thoughts: Swing and positional trading doesn’t have to be overwhelming. Keep your tools simple, your analysis structured, and your emotions in check. I have also curated a list of 50 highly liquid F&O stocks based on beta, volatility, volume, and liquidity. If you'd like access to that list, just drop a comment or message, and I’ll be happy to share it with you. Keep it simple. Stay consistent. The market rewards discipline, not complexity.
NSE:BAJFINANCE
by ITCconceptsMarketStructure
6
KOTAK BANK - targets 2200 plusKOTAK MAHINDRA BANK - price is 1865 Kotak mahindra bank ,the biggest and unique in its way of working now may act as a proxy to Bank Nifty for playing for upside gains. 1850 levels are very strong supports on monthly and weekly time frames. these would act as pivots for buying for 2050 and 2200 levels since Bank Nifty is trading at all time highs, also HDFC, ICICI, AXIS all big pvt banks are trading at all time highs. so buying should be initiated at 1850 for the targets of 2200. also this stock may safeguard the capital invested in times of declines in the NIFTY - BANK NIFTY and the markets in general. thanks
NSE:KOTAKBANKLong
by jai9195
GOOG: Don't Miss This Potential Reversal!GOOG Long Idea Chart Analysis: The chart shows Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) on a 4-hour timeframe. After a period of decline from its highs, GOOG appears to be finding support around the "Weekly Liquidity" level. There's also a recent bullish impulse from this area, breaking above some minor resistance. The chart identifies three potential "TP" (Take Profit) levels. Trading Idea: Entry: Look for a sustained move above the TP01 level ($172.92) or a clear retest and bounce from the current price area after confirming demand. Given the current price is $171.19, a move above TP01 would confirm further bullish momentum. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent lows and the "Weekly Liquidity" zone. The chart suggests a stop loss around $153.48 or $152.00, below the 0.5 and 1 Fibonacci levels from the recent bounce. Take Profit Targets: TP01: $172.92 (already near or touched) TP02: $187.74 TP03: $200.33 - $199.38 (a strong resistance zone) Rationale: Weekly Liquidity: The price has found support at a significant weekly liquidity level, suggesting potential for a reversal. Bullish Structure: The recent price action from the weekly liquidity area shows signs of a bullish structure, with higher lows and a break of minor resistance. Target Levels: The TP levels are strategically placed at previous resistance zones or significant price levels, offering clear profit targets. Risk Management: Risk-Reward: The potential risk-reward ratio for this trade appears favorable if targeting TP02 or TP03. Position Sizing: Always use appropriate position sizing to manage risk effectively. Monitor Price Action: Continuously monitor price action for any signs of weakness or reversal, especially around the TP levels. Disclaimer: This is a trading idea based on the provided chart and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and you could lose money. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by OptimaltradeX
SIEMENS Trade Setup – Clean Entry & TargetsSIEMENS has just confirmed a bullish structure shift with a strong breakout above the CHoCH level, signaling a fresh impulse wave backed by institutional momentum. 📊 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Confirmed CHoCH on the daily timeframe ✅ Strong breakout candle with volume ✅ Clean mitigation and demand zone around ₹2929–₹2880 (aligned with FVG & 0.5 retracement) ✅ Risk-managed long setup with 2 major targets 🎯 Target 01: ₹3,734 🎯 Target 02: ₹4,217 💡 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: ₹2929–₹2880 Stop Loss: ₹2780 Target 01: ₹3,734 Target 02: ₹4,217 🧠 Smart Money Logic: This setup reflects classic price action + smart money concepts with BOS, FVG fill, and liquidity engineering. Watch for confirmation candles near the entry zone before positioning. Wyckoff Method + Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ❗ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:SIEMENSLong
by OptimaltradeX
BTC Break or Broke Zone. Watch out How Price Reacts on the ZoneBYBIT:BTCUSD.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT LONG Entry: 96950-96700 >> Look For STOP LOSS: 96450: Retracement toward this area and observe how the candle reacts at this zone. If price shows pullback and wait for the candle to close in 15M TF. If price didnt Bounce from the Entry Price area,Then its a confirmed Fake OUT . If Confirmed, SHORT : 96600 TP1:95800 TP2:95300 TP3:94700 Disclaimer: DYOR; This Technical Analysis should be used only for educational Purpose only. Donot Take this as an Investment Advice. "The Universe is Under No Obligation to Make Sense to You"
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by BlackMaamba
Trading Plan for AXIS BANK (NSE) Timeframe: 4H Current Price: ₹1,015.60 Bias: Bullish Entry Strategy: Ideal Buy Zone: Between ₹970 - ₹996 (buyside liquidity area) Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle confirmation in this zone before entering. Target Levels: Primary Target: ₹1,120 Final Target: ₹1,192 (Sell-side liquidity) Stop Loss: Below ₹910 (Strong support and invalidation level) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 3:1 (Good R:R setup) Additional Notes: Price has broken out from a recent structure and is heading towards liquidity. A potential retracement to the buy zone could offer a better entry. Be cautious of market conditions and broader indices movement.
NSE:AXISBANKLong
by OptimaltradeX
Phases of the market - The "AMD" Effect In trading, the terms accumulation, manipulation, and distribution represent distinct phases of market behavior, driven by the strategies of large institutional players such as banks, hedge funds, or market makers. These phases reflect how these entities operate to achieve their objectives while influencing market psychology and price movements. At the core of these phases lies the concept of supply and demand. However, recognizing where these phases occur within the market is crucial for traders. Let’s break them down for better understanding: Let us breakdown these terms to understand them in a better way : 1. Accumulation Phase : This is when big players, like banks or hedge funds, start buying a lot of shares of a stock or asset without causing the price to rise too much. They do it quietly so that others don’t notice what they’re up to. The price tends to remain flat and trades within a narrow range since fewer trades are happening. A lot of traders tend to loose the plot here since they are unable to understand if this accumulation is occurring in the wholesale area or the retail area and this is the KEY!!! If prices are accumulating in the wholesale area it is more likely the prices are going to push to the upside than downside. This phase is generally ignored by most retail traders and investors as they consider this as a dull market environment. This is highlighted in a yellow rectangle on the chart. 2. Manipulation Phase : This is a phase where big players intentionally create sharp price swings to confuse or scare smaller traders (retail traders). The goal is to trick people into making the wrong moves, like selling too early or buying at the wrong time. Usually the big players create sudden spikes to the upside or downside. These spikes in general trend to hit majority of the stop losses of the retail traders causing them to loose money more frequently. Many smaller traders lose money here because they react emotionally or fall for fake signals, not realizing they’re being played by smarter, bigger players. This is highlighted in a blue rectangle on the chart 3. Distribution Phase: This is the stage where the big players move the market significantly to the upside or to the downside depending upon the prices being in the wholesale or the retail section. This phase generally tends to have higher volumes. Majority of the retail traders tend to enter at the very end of this phase and get trapped in the market. This is highlighted in an orange rectangle on the chart This cycle often repeats itself forming the basis of the Wyckoff Market Cycle. Since price is fractal in nature these phases occur on all time frames. For illustration purposes we have taken an example of a Nifty chart. I have manually plotted the phases of the market and illustrated how these phases play out however these phases can be coded using pine script as well. I have divided the swing high and the swing low in two parts. The lower section signifies" wholesale area" where the big players would be buyers and the upper section signifies retail prices where the big players would be sellers. Now if you watch the wholesale area carefully all the manipulations are taking place in the downward direction(highlighted in blue rectangle) which is signifying that prices are moving down first before moving up. The retail trader is getting trapped in the false breakout to the upside and the moment that happens he wants to "Buy" and keeps a stop loss below the consolidation only for the stop loss to get triggered first and then price moving in the intended direction. Similarly, in the "retail area", manipulations often occur in the upward direction (highlighted in the blue rectangle). This means prices initially move higher before reversing downward. Retail traders frequently fall into the trap of reacting to a **false breakdown**. When prices appear to break down, these traders rush to "sell" and place their stop-loss orders above the consolidation. Unfortunately, their stop-losses are often triggered first, only for the price to then move in the intended direction afterward. This pattern is a common occurrence in the market, happening almost daily. It underscores the importance of understanding these manipulative moves to strategically place stop-loss orders in safer locations. Relying solely on market phases to make trading decisions is not enough to ensure consistent success. Instead, combining this knowledge with an understanding of the **bigger picture**—the overall price structure and market context—is essential. Once this framework is established, traders can confidently apply any price action strategy for entry and exit points. With practice, identifying these phases on your charts becomes much easier. I hope you find this information valuable, and with some effort, you’ll be able to spot these patterns regularly. Good luck, and happy trading!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by VishalSubandh
11