Preface: I'm still bearish on BTC as per my most recent analyses. The ETF launch likely signaled a major top, potentially until the halving. My most likely scenario's are shown below.
That being said, I think it's worthwhile to look at the market from different perspectives.
In this analysis I'm going to compare the 2016-2017 bull-run with the 2023 bull-run. Back then, BTC experienced many 30%-40% drops over the course of 2 years. In the end, every dip was a dip to be bought which led to some very good returns.
Thus far, the 2023 (and 2024) bull-run has had several dips around 20%, which all proved to be very good entry points. We had to admit to ourselves that it's possible that the drop after the ETF launch is a dip to be bought.
Furthermore, the dips getting less deep than 8 years ago is a natural consequence of the market maturing and becoming less volatile.
Is this just a dip, or are we facing a longer-term correction? Happy to hear your thoughts!
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