ValkyrieBlue

How to Spot Blow-off Tops - ES1!

Education
CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
Here are 3 blow-off tops and 1 failed attempt which all occurred in the last 7 months. Successful completions are marked in solid black. The failed attempt is shown in dotted black.

On all 4 attempts, the price accelerated upwards to different degrees. Each target can be roughly measured based on the price move.

Notice how the failed blow-off begins closer to a price bottom than the successful ones did.

Volume was either steadily increasing or declining during successful blow-offs, compared to the unsuccessful attempt when volume was not clearly trending.

ROC (momentum) was increasing with all 4 attempts. The blow-offs were successful when momentum was at 0 or positive at the start of each blow-off.

Disclaimer: This is my opinion. This is not advice. Trading involves risk.
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