Risk range in ES
Updated
Ahead of FOMC and NFP data on Friday, options pricing for SPY JAN 30 and FEB1 261 and 267 strikes reveal that trade has a high probability of remaining within the current 7-day trading range through JAN 30 expiry. Current probability of exceeding a 1-sd dev move by FEB 1 expiry is approx 41%
Note
Options pricing and analysis is on SPY
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