ETH 15m —supply: breakout or deeper pullback?

Context: Price reclaimed the 15m EMA200 and is pressing the red supply band for the third time. Third tests often weaken resistance if momentum holds.
背景： 價格已重新站回15分 EMA200，正第三次頂到紅色供給帶；按經驗第三次測試若動能延續，壓力會被削弱。

Confluence I’m watching: prior REV prints (4.7–6.0) showing buy-side response, green trendline support, and shrinking pullbacks.
我觀察的共振： 早前 REV 指標出現 4.7–6.0 分的買盤回應、下方綠色趨勢線支撐、回撤幅度縮小。

Bull trigger: 15m close above 4.46k and a successful retest/hold turns the zone into support; room toward 4.48k → 4.52k range high.
多頭觸發： 15分K收在 4.46k 上並回測守住，壓力區轉支撐；有機會推向 4.48k → 4.52k 區間高點。

Bear trigger: Rejection at the band and close back below EMA200 (~4.36–4.38k) opens a move to 4.33k/4.32k (trendline & prior swing).
空頭觸發： 在壓力帶被拒且跌回 EMA200（約 4.36–4.38k）下方，可能回測 4.33k/4.32k（趨勢線與前低）。

Plan: No chasing into resistance—waiting for a confirmed break or a clean rejection setup.
計畫： 不在壓力位追價——等待確認突破或明確的拒絕形態再動作。

Educational only, not financial advice. What levels are you watching?
僅供教育交流，非投資建議。你關注哪些關鍵價位？

#ETHUSDT #Crypto #PriceAction #EMA200 #Breakout #SupportResistance