Instead of calling Gold analysis, I would use the term of trading plan or trading journal to record my trades.
So please note: This is a personal journal only, but NOT a trading suggestion. Please control your own risk if you want to follow, we may have different risk preference and position management strategy.
Date: 2020/08/06
No plan, No trading
Entry reason:
In my last analysis, I already point out the trading plan for either side move. And Gold broke the triangle and hit 2020 with no resistence. It touches 2047 the highest a few hours ago.
Will Gold continue go up? I don't know. There's a possibility there but I won't buy gold for any price above 2000+.
I look back the chart from June 2 month ago and find a quite obvious 5 wave pattern (shown in the chart). I can't really calculate an accurate for the target price for wave-5 and it's from range 2048 - 2088.
Another thing we need to be careful is, the divergence in RSI and MACD indicator, no need to mention that they are all overbought too.
So here's my plan:
Sell when H4 hour MACD or RSI is going down. use M15 indicator to find entry. I'm not an indicator trader, but it's useful when we don't know when a trend changes.
A short period resistence line is 2044.
Thus, I will sell around 2040-2045. SL , 2050 TP 2000.
There will be a buy opportunity for wave B, the good entry point is around 1970 - 1990. And the rebounce will give me a nice profit selling point at 2020+ again.