Breakout Stock/Reversal Trade- IRB Infra Dev Ltd (NSE: IRB) Current Price: ₹60.15 (+1.02%) Volume: 18.14M
1. Pattern Analysis - Cup and Handle Pattern (3 Months) - The chart shows a Cup and Handle Pattern forming over the past 3 months, a bullish continuation setup. - The cup represents a rounded consolidation, while the handle is a brief pullback before the price approaches the resistance at ₹60.
2. Volume Analysis - Current Volume: - The stock traded 18.14M shares, a significant increase in volume compared to previous sessions, indicating strong buyer interest. - Breakout Potential: - A further volume surge beyond the breakout level of ₹60 will confirm the Cup and Handle breakout.
3. Price Action and Observations - The price has rallied sharply from the handle’s low near ₹54 and is now testing the ₹60 resistance zone, which aligns with the cup’s neckline. - Sustained buying pressure above ₹60 will confirm the pattern and indicate the start of a bullish trend.
4. Key Levels to Watch - Resistance: - ₹60: The key breakout level and the cup’s neckline. - ₹66: The next resistance level after a successful breakout. - Support: - ₹54: The base of the handle, acting as a strong support zone.
5. Trade Setup - Entry: - Consider entering the trade if the stock closes above ₹60 with strong volume. - Add Alert: Set an alert at ₹60 to act promptly upon breakout confirmation. - Stop Loss: - Place a stop loss at ₹54, below the handle’s low, to manage downside risk. - Target: - Short-Term: ₹66 (next resistance level). - Medium-Term: ₹72 (measured move from the Cup and Handle height).
6. Volume and Breakout Potential - A volume spike above ₹60 will confirm strong buyer participation and validate the breakout. - The sharp increase in volume during the recent rally adds confidence to the bullish setup.
7. Long-Term Outlook - The Cup and Handle Pattern signals a bullish continuation of the prior uptrend, with significant upside potential if the breakout sustains. - A move above ₹60 will likely attract further momentum, pushing the stock toward higher resistance levels at ₹66 and ₹72.
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