Ixigo (W) - At a Crossroad: Bullish Trend vs. Bearish Pattern

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After a spectacular run-up, Ixigo (Le Travenues Technology Ltd) has entered a sideways consolidation phase. The current price action presents conflicting technical signals, placing the stock at a critical inflection point where it could either be pausing before another surge or forming a major top.

The Powerful Backdrop
Since April 2025, Ixigo has been in a powerful bull market, delivering an extraordinary gain of approximately 166% in just a few months. Following this rapid ascent, the stock's strong momentum has paused since August 2025, with the price now trading within a well-defined horizontal range.

The Current Dilemma: Two Competing Scenarios
The technical picture offers two distinct and competing interpretations:

1. The Bullish Case (A Healthy Consolidation):
This perspective views the current phase as a normal and healthy pause, where the stock is building energy for its next advance. This argument is supported by:

- Strong Underlying Momentum: Key indicators like the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) remain in a bullish positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still rising, suggesting the primary uptrend remains intact.

2. The Bearish Warning (A Potential Reversal):
Conversely, there are clear warning signs that the rally could be losing steam:

- Potential Double-Top: A Double-Top pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, appears to be forming at the upper boundary of the trading range.

- Elevated Volume: Typically in a bullish consolidation, volume tends to decrease. However, volume has remained relatively high during this phase, which at a potential peak, can be a sign of distribution (selling) rather than accumulation.

Conclusion and Key Triggers to Watch
Ixigo is currently in a state of equilibrium, and a breakout from the current range is required for confirmation of the next directional move.

- Bullish Trigger: A decisive close above the range's resistance would invalidate the Double-Top pattern and signal a continuation of the uptrend. This would open a path towards the ₹380 level.

- Bearish Trigger: A decisive close below the range's support would confirm the Double-Top pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum has faded and a correction towards the ₹275 level could be imminent.

Until either of these levels is breached, patience is warranted. The direction of the break from this consolidation will be the key to identifying the stock's next major trend.

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