Good morning, friends! π Here are the directions and levels for September 4th.
Market Overview
The global market experienced a significant decline in the previous session, structurally indicating a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has been maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment. However, today the market may open with a significant gap-down based on the GIFT Nifty's 200-point negative indication.
I have shared a basic Elliott Wave structure. If the market opens with a long gap-down, then both Nifty and Bank Nifty will react in line with one of the following two variations. Letβs take a look:
Nifty Current View:
If the market opens with a long gap-down, Nifty may find support around the 78% Fibonacci level or a minor demand zone. If this happens, we can expect a 23% to 38% minor bounce back. This bounce back could be part of a sub-wave 4, which is a consolidation wave. Once this consolidation breaks to the downside, we can expect the 5th correctional wave. This is our basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that the market is currently in a range-bound phase, so it may try to maintain its range even if it opens with a long gap-down. If the market takes a solid pullback and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it will likely continue in the range-bound structure. This is our alternate variation.
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