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Elliott Wave

Nifty Analysis for Dec 16, 2025Wrap-up: As predicted Nifty achieved its wave 2 target at 25904 and now, heading towards its 3. What I’m Watching for Dec 16, 2025 🔍 Sell Nifty if it breaks 26013 sl 26047 for a target of 25947-25959. and, Buy nifty if it comes near 25947-25959 sl 25904 or if it does not come then buy above 26025 SL 26013 for a target of 26149-26174. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ChartMasteryHQ
1
Tech Mahindra: Structure Still Favors One More Upside LegPrice action from the ₹1383.60 low has unfolded as a clean impulsive sequence, with Waves (1), (2), and a strong Wave (3) already in place. The advance was supported by clear volume expansion , validating the impulsive nature of the move. Momentum also peaked during Wave (3) , with RSI reaching overbought levels — a classic third-wave signature . Following the Wave (3) high near ₹1595.70 , price has transitioned into a corrective phase. The decline is best interpreted as Wave (4) in progress , with only the (a),(b) legs formed so far. The structure continues to respect the typical Fibonacci retracement zone , keeping the broader bullish setup intact. A final (c) leg is still expected before Wave (4) can be considered complete. Importantly, the higher-degree context does not materially alter the forward expectation . Whether the move from ₹1383.60 marks the start of a fresh impulsive advance , or represents the internal Wave C of a larger corrective pattern unfolding as a five-wave structure, the current setup continues to favor one more upside leg — Wave (5) . That said, patience remains key . Focus remains on identifying a proper Wave (4) termination before anticipating continuation higher. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TECHMLong
by WaveXplorer
BSE: Wave B Topped, C-Wave Path in FocusContext BSE looks like it topped out at Wave B, and the price action since then is starting to align with a fresh downside leg. Wave Count View Wave A completed in five waves with extended wave 3, Wave B retraced as a controlled three, and the drop from 2960 fits the profile of a leading diagonal for Wave 1 of C. Bearish Case As long as 2960 holds, the bias stays firmly on the downside. A proper C-wave should unfold in five legs, and the early structure is already pointing that way. Conclusion Momentum favours the bearish interpretation unless the invalidation level is violated. Wave 2 will tell us whether the market wants to continue this decline or flip the script. Disclaimer: Edu Only. DYOR.
NSE:BSEShort
by WaveXplorer
GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution. Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower. The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase. If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at: 4022 (clean sell-side pocket) 3998 (final downside liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Nifty Analysis for Dec 15, 2025Wrap-up: Nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Therefore, b is completed at 25693 and now, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5 but before that it will retest the breakout level of 25908. What I’m Watching for Dec 13, 2025 🔍 Sell nifty only intraday if it breaks and sustains below 26012 SL 26057 for a target of 25922-25904-25887. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ChartMasteryHQ
7
S&P 500: Positioned for a Santa Rally?While tracking the global markets — especially the US indices — one thing stood out clearly. The rally from 6521.92 to 6895.78 unfolded as a clean impulsive move , not a corrective grind. That structural behavior is what made me treat this leg as an impulsive rally (Wave 1/A) rather than just another bounce. Since then, price action has cooled into a Wave 2/B reset , pulling back towards key Fibonacci retracement pocket . Structurally, this looks more like a pause before continuation than the start of a larger breakdown. From a broader sentiment perspective, the backdrop remains supportive. The Fed’s recent rate cut continues to favor risk assets, NVIDIA’s staggering earnings have reinforced confidence in the AI-led growth narrative, and the CBOE Volatility Index remaining subdued suggests markets are not in a fear-driven regime. So… will Santa deliver a rally — or even deliver early? At the moment, the market appears to be positioning itself towards key Fibonacci retracement levels , creating a favorable setup for a potential Santa rally . If the structure holds, Wave 3/C could be the move where Santa shows up with the goods. And if the US index does start unwrapping a rally, history suggests Indian markets rarely stay on the sidelines — definitely something to keep on the radar. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
SP:SPXLong
by WaveXplorer
Bajaj Finance: Impulse Complete, Correction in ControlBajaj Finance completed a clean five-wave impulsive advance , topping out near ₹1,102.5 , followed by a clear loss of momentum. Since that peak, price action has shifted from trend to overlap , signaling a corrective phase rather than continuation. Structurally, the decline is unfolding within a descending channel , fitting well with a W–X–Y corrective structure . The internal swings remain choppy and overlapping — classic correction behavior — with price respecting the channel boundaries so far. During the impulsive rally ( Waves 1–5 ), the 50 DMA acted as dynamic support , confirming strong upside momentum. Post the top, price has slipped below the 50 DMA and is now oscillating around it, indicating momentum fatigue . A sustained hold below the 50 DMA, combined with a rollover in the average , would reinforce the short-term bearish / corrective bias , with the average potentially flipping into dynamic resistance . From a price projection perspective, the ongoing Wave Y is favoring a move toward key Fibonacci retracement levels . The 0.618 retracement near ₹945 stands out as a high-probability reaction zone , while a deeper flush could extend toward the 0.786 retracement near ₹903 if downside pressure accelerates. Risk is clearly defined. A sustained break above the upper boundary of the corrective channel would invalidate the W–X–Y interpretation and signal a structural shift back toward strength . Until then, the path of least resistance remains corrective . Bottom line: The impulsive phase is done. The market is digesting gains. Structure — not emotion — favors patience and respect for the corrective channel. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BAJFINANCEShort
by WaveXplorer
2
IndusInd Bank: Cup Formed, Handle ConsolidatingIndusInd Bank is forming a classic Cup & Handle continuation pattern , which aligns cleanly with a major-degree Elliott Wave structure , strengthening the bullish case. The prior advance established the primary bullish trend (Wave 1 / A) . The subsequent decline unfolded as a complex Wave 2 / B correction , expressed visually as the cup — a rounded, time-consuming base formed through a W–X–Y corrective structure . This phase allowed price to correct without breaking the broader trend, signalling accumulation rather than distribution. The recovery from the base completed the cup and transitioned into the handle , which is developing as a shallow consolidation above key Fibonacci supports . From an Elliott Wave perspective, this handle reflects a pause before expansion , not a reversal, keeping the larger bullish structure intact. With the handle holding above the 0.618–0.50 Fibonacci retracement zone (₹828.90–₹809.35) , the setup favors a major-degree Wave 3 / C advance , typically the strongest and most impulsive phase of a trend. Structure & Bias Pattern : Cup & Handle (Continuation) Elliott Wave alignment: Wave 1 / A: Prior impulsive advance Wave 2 / B: Complex correction forming the cup (W–X–Y) Wave 3 / C: Expected expansion leg post-breakout Bias : Bullish continuation Entry Strategy Early Entry (Aggressive): Channel breakout within the handle, followed by a successful retest — offers early exposure with higher volatility risk. Safer Entry (Conservative): Breakout above the major resistance near ₹892, followed by a retest — confirmation-based entry aligned with Wave 3 / C acceleration. Invalidation Sustained trade below ₹809 invalidates the Cup & Handle thesis and weakens the Wave 3 / C outlook. Bottom line: This is a Cup & Handle powered by Elliott Wave structure . As long as price holds above key Fibonacci support, the path of least resistance remains higher. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:INDUSINDBKLong
by WaveXplorer
Nifty Analysis for Dec 09/10/11, 2025Wrap-up: Nifty is forming a wxy pattern in wave C of major wave 5 has completed wave w at 25153 and wave x at 24587 and heading towards internal wave y of wave 5. In wave y, wave a is completed at 26104 and b is expected to be completed at 25728 once nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Thereafter, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5. What I’m Watching for Dec 09/10/11, 2025 🔍 Buy nifty if it breaks and sustains above 25908 for at least 25 min. SL 25728 for a target of 26142-26093. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ChartMasteryHQ
Nifty Short term view from December, 2025 to March/April 2026Wrap up:- After breaking ATH, Wave X of Nifty has been shifted further and whole of the pattern has been changed. Now, wave w of major wave X is treated as completed at 26277 and wave x of Major wave X is running of which wave a of x of X was completed at 23263 and wave b of x of X is running. Internal wave b of wave b of x of X is completed at 21743 and heading towards wave c. Min. projection of final wave 5 of internal wave c is achieved at 25627 and heading towards its second target 26423. Final target can be found from its internal wave 5 in lower time frame. Expectation:- Wave 5 is expected to be completed in Dec, 2025 or Mid of January, 2026 and thereafter, correction in Nifty starts from Mid January, 2026 to March/April 2026. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ChartMasteryHQ
4
Positional View in Nifty till december, 2025 and January, 2026Wrap up:- In wave 5 of c of b of X, Nifty is making wxy pattern. Wave w has been completed at 25153 and wave x at 24587 and heading towards internal wave y of wave 5. In wave y of wave 5, Nifty has completed wave a at 26104 and b at 25728 and heading towards its wave c for a target of 27244. Buy Nifty at cmp 25758 sl 25728 for a target of 27244 till december, 2025 or mid of january, 2026. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ChartMasteryHQ
3
Hindalco: Terminal Wedge, Reversal Risk HighStructural Context Initially, I considered the decline from 864 toward 770 as a standard ABC correction. But the drop from Wave 2 was far too sharp and drove RSI into deep oversold territory — behaviour that aligns better with impulsive price action. Because of this, the move is treated as a developing 1-2-3 rather than a corrective ABC. This adjustment also aligns perfectly with the broader structure: a completed Wave 3 at 770.15, followed by a three-wave recovery into Wave 4. Wave 4 Completion – Ending Diagonal + Fibonacci Symmetry Wave C of the larger Wave 4(ABC Flat) shows a clean ending-diagonal wedge, and Wave (v) within it reached the 1.618 extension of Wave (i) measured from Wave (iv). This Fibonacci precision adds strong weight to the interpretation that Wave 4 has completed at 833.50. With this level established, the minor bounce into Wave (ii) now acts as the corrective pullback before the expected third wave down. Invalidation remains at the 1.618 level around 833.50 — any move above that would negate the immediate bearish view. Path Ahead – Toward Wave 5 As long as 833.50 holds, the expectation is for a five-wave decline toward the previous structural support near 770.15, completing Wave 5. Wave (iii) should ideally accelerate, and momentum confirmation will be key as price moves into the mid-780s. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:HINDALCOShort
by WaveXplorer
Nifty Analysis for Dec 12, 2025Wrap-up: Nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Therefore, b is completed at 25695 and now, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5 but before that it will retest the breakout level of 25908. What I’m Watching for Dec 12, 2025 🔍 Sell nifty only intraday if it breaks and sustains below 25965 SL 26038 for a target of 25916-25900-25887. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ChartMasteryHQ
Coforge: Ending Diagonal Signals Exhaustion Near Wave (D) HighCoforge has likely completed Wave c of (D) with a clean ending diagonal near the upper boundary of the multi-month triangle structure. This raises the probability of Wave (D) being complete — if price turns down from here. Technical View Ending Diagonal: The final leg into ₹1,986 shows a wedge structure — typical of terminal C-waves inside corrective patterns. Structural Resistance: This move hits the B–D trendline, a natural pivot for Wave (D) completion. Pivot Zone: The 52-week high at ₹2,005.35 is a clean external invalidation. A sustained move above it would contradict the triangle scenario. Trade Setup (If Reversal Confirms) Bias: Short-term bearish (potential Wave E) Trigger: A confirmed bearish reversal candle in the ₹1,985–₹1,995 zone Target: ₹1,700–₹1,750 Invalidation: Close above ₹2,005.35 Note: This is a countertrend short inside a strong rally. Wait for the actual reversal signal — the ED alone is not a sell trigger. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:COFORGEShort
by WaveXplorer
Why Nifty’s Ending Diagonal Turns the Bias BearishAfter my previous bullish take on Nifty (see linked related publications), the view has now flipped. And no — it’s not because the US indices are cracking. And no — it’s not because Bitcoin is collapsing and draining liquidity. Those may add pressure, sure. But the core reason I’m turning bearish is right on the chart — in the structure itself. Daily Chart – Why the Tone Has Changed The key shift came from the overlap at 25,448.95 , which strongly hints that the rally from 24,404.70 unfolded as an ending diagonal , with all five legs subdividing into 3-wave structures (a-b-c). This overlap is what invalidates the impulsive interpretation and turns the structure corrective. That means the entire rise into wave (B) likely finishes a B-wave top , and Nifty may now be moving into wave (C) down. At this point, Nifty could be forming either: An ABC Expanded Flat , or A Running Flat Both are bearish in the short-term and typically resolve with a deeper C-wave. And honestly, there is zero point chasing this market unless we get a decisive close above the ATH — whether on the daily , the weekly , or especially the monthly , which is about to complete and should give a clean directional clue. Until that happens, the risk–reward on fresh longs is questionable. This entire bearish view gets invalidated only if Nifty posts a strong , sustained close above the ATH on higher timeframes. Weekly Chart – Resistance Stack Remains Heavy The weekly structure adds more weight to the bearish bias: Nifty is testing the ATH zone , a major psychological resistance. Price is also hitting the rising trendline , which has already rejected earlier attempts. Both these zones converge right at current levels — not the best place to be aggressive on longs. This is a classic “let the market prove itself” zone. Summary The structure has shifted to corrective due to the ending diagonal overlap. Daily chart suggests an Expanded or Running Flat scenario. Weekly chart shows dual resistance — ATH + rising trendline. No fresh longs unless there’s a clean breakout above ATH on higher timeframes. Monthly candle close will be crucial. Patience > prediction. Let the structure confirm before acting. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer
2
Indus Towers: Channel Breakout Meets Wave TheoryA simple but powerful concept from classical technical analysis — the channel breakout target — plays out beautifully here. This idea, also discussed by Dr. Sudhir Dixit in his book on breakout signals, gives traders a disciplined way to estimate post-breakout targets. After a steady five-wave advance from ₹312.55 to ₹369.55, Indus Towers entered a clean descending channel , forming the corrective Wave 2. The breakout that followed came with a strong volume surge , confirming a clear shift in trend direction. Concept Recap In a channel breakout, the target can be derived by measuring the height of the channel (distance between support and resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point. That gives the 1:1 projection , while stronger rallies often stretch toward 2:1 or 3:1 multiples of that range. Wave Perspective Elliott Wave traders can interpret this breakout as the early phase of Wave 3 , which typically extends 1.0 to 1.618× Wave 1 . In this case, the 1.0× projection aligns near ₹395, while higher targets in the ₹412–₹430 zone fit naturally within Wave 3–5 progression. Key Chart Highlights Descending channel breakout — trend shift confirmed Volume surge validates breakout strength Wave 3 minimum extension ≈ ₹395 Stop-loss below ₹359 keeps the structure intact Takeaway: Even without labeling waves, the logic of a channel breakout offers a structured, rule-based method for identifying profit zones. Combine it with wave theory, and you transform a simple pattern into a roadmap for impulsive rallies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:INDUSTOWERLong
by WaveXplorer
2
Tata Motors PV – Wave B/2 Near Completion, Bounce Zone ActivatedThe ongoing decline appears to be unfolding as a complex corrective structure, with Wave C of the larger Wave B/2 now approaching its typical termination area. Price has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci support at ₹350.35 — a level where deeper corrective phases frequently exhaust themselves. Structurally, the final leg of Wave C shows a clear five-wave micro pattern, and downside momentum has begun to fade. The RSI is printing early bullish divergence, suggesting that sellers are losing strength even as price tests fresh lows. This combination often precedes a relief bounce within the broader framework. As long as the price respects ₹323.45, this corrective interpretation remains valid and a bounce from the current zone is the preferred expectation. A decisive close below the invalidation level would signal that the correction is not yet complete and that a deeper retracement is unfolding. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TMPVLong
by WaveXplorer
Dixon Technologies: Watching a Key Reversal Zone AheadDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Dixon’s decline is developing as a running flat within Wave 2. Wave A and B are already in place, with Wave B stretching above the Wave A origin, which is typical behaviour when the larger trend is still strong. The final leg, Wave C, is still unfolding. Inside Wave C, waves (i) through (iv) look complete, and the market appears to be working on wave (v). Momentum has been weakening throughout the drop, which often leads to an ending diagonal in the final wave of a running flat. The structure so far supports that possibility. The 0.618 retracement near 14,061 is the critical zone for this setup. This level aligns with typical Wave 2 depth and sits right where wave (v) of C can complete. RSI has not yet shown bullish divergence, so a marginal lower low in price, paired with a higher low in RSI, would be the ideal confirmation signal. If price forms the expected small ending diagonal into the 0.618 level and momentum improves, this would complete the running flat and set the stage for the next bullish sequence. Summary Wave 2 forming as a running flat. Wave C still in progress; wave (v) pending. Weak momentum favours an ending diagonal finish. Key reversal zone: 0.618 retracement near 14,061. Watching for bullish RSI divergence before confirmation.
NSE:DIXONLong
by WaveXplorer
6
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg. Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested. The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet. The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal. If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
by Money_Dictators