Here are the market directions and levels for January 3rd, Friday:
Market Overview: The global market shows a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market leans towards a moderately bullish sentiment.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a pullback, but compared to Bank Nifty, Nifty performed better. What can we expect today? The pullback structure suggests it could continue after some consolidation. However, the global market and some parameters do not support this, so we should approach it with caution. Let’s take a look at the charts.
Nifty Current View: The current perspective based on the pullback structure indicates that whenever the market experiences a solid rally, it typically does not break the 38% retracement during profit booking. If the market opens with a gap-down, we could see a maximum correction of 23% to 38%. If the market finds support around this level, we can expect some consolidation between the previous high and the 38% level on the downside. After that, if it breaks the previous high, the rally will likely continue toward 24,324. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View: An alternate perspective based on some parameters suggests that if the gap-down has a solid structure, it could reach the 50% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. However, even with a solid structure, we cannot consider it a correction until it breaks the 50% mark. If it does break that level, we can then consider it a correction. If it does not break the 50% level, it could maintain a bullish bias.
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