Nifty Trading Strategy for 21st August 2025

📊 NIFTY 15-Minute Trade Plan
🟢 Long (Buy) Setup

Trigger condition:
✅ Wait for a 15-min candle close above 25,095.
✅ After that close, enter on a break of that candle’s high (add a tiny buffer to avoid whipsaws, e.g., +5–10 pts).
Targets:
🎯 25,125 → 🎯 25,165 → 🎯 25,195
Protective stop (SL):
🛑 Below the trigger candle’s low or below most recent swing low, with a buffer (5–10 pts) or an ATR(14, 15-min) × 0.6–1.0 cushion—whichever is wider.
Trade management:
🔁 Book partial at T1 (25–40%), move SL to breakeven; trail under higher lows / VWAP / 20-EMA(15m).
📉 If momentum stalls (long upper wicks, RSI/MACD divergence, or repeated failure near target), tighten trailing SL.

🔴 Short (Sell) Setup
Trigger condition:
✅ Wait for a 15-min candle close below 24,975.
✅ After that close, enter on a break of that candle’s low (with a −5–10 pts buffer).
Targets:
🎯 24,945 → 🎯 24,905 → 🎯 24,860
Protective stop (SL):
🛑 Above the trigger candle’s high or recent swing high, plus buffer (5–10 pts) or ATR(14, 15-min) × 0.6–1.0.
Trade management:
🔁 Book partial at T1, move SL to breakeven; trail above lower highs / VWAP / 20-EMA(15m).
📈 If downside momentum fades (long lower wicks, bullish divergence, repeated reclaim of VWAP), tighten SL.

🧭 Trend & Quality Filters (optional but powerful)
📈 HTF alignment: Prefer longs when price is above 20 & 50 EMA on the 1-hour, and shorts when below.
🔄 VWAP bias: Longs above VWAP, shorts below; be cautious if entries are far from VWAP (mean-reversion risk).
📏 Volatility filter: If 15-min ATR(14) is extremely low, skip marginal breakouts; if ATR is spiking, widen buffers/SLs.
🧪 Structure confirmation: Break-and-close beyond your key level first, then trade the high/low break of that candle—this two-step helps reduce fakeouts.

🧮 Risk Management (non-negotiable)
💰 Risk per trade: 0.5%–1% of capital (max 2% for advanced traders).

📐 Position sizing:
Qty = (Account_Risk ₹) ÷ (Entry − SL in points)
⚖️ Reward-to-Risk: Aim for ≥ 1.2R to T1, ≥ 2R by T2; if your SL is wide, skip the trade unless targets still give ≥1R.

🧯 News risk: Around big events (RBI policy, CPI, major global cues), consider half size or stand aside if spreads and slippage expand.
⏱️ Execution Playbook (IST market timings)
🔔 Wait for the 15-min close beyond 25,095 (long) or 24,975 (short).
🚀 Place a stop entry a few points beyond that candle’s high/low (use your buffer).
🛑 Set SL immediately at the defined invalidation + buffer.
🎯 Scale out at targets; adjust SL to BE after T1; trail thereafter.
📝 Log the trade (setup, size, emotions, adherence) for continuous improvement.

🧩 What If…
📉 Gap opens beyond the level: If price gaps and never gives a 15-min close beyond your trigger, no trade. If it closes beyond and then offers a high/low break, the plan is valid.
🔄 Fast rejection after entry: If the breakout fails and re-enters the range with momentum, exit early (don’t “hope” it comes back).
🪫 Sideways chop: If the trigger candle is tiny and inside a tight range with low ATR, wait for a more decisive close.

🧰 Tools & Settings (suggested)
⭕ EMAs: 20 & 50 on 15-min and 1-hour for bias / trailing.
➖ VWAP: Intraday mean reference.
📏 ATR(14, 15-min): To size buffers/SL.
📊 Volume/OBV: Confirm strength on the breakout candle.
✅ Quick Checklist
15-min close beyond the key level (25,095 long / 24,975 short)
Entry on break of that candle’s high/low with buffer
SL set (swing/ATR + buffer) before order is live
Position size matches risk plan
Partial profit rules & trailing plan ready
No major news in the next 5–10 mins

⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 I am not SEBI registered.
🧠 This content is educational/informational only and not investment advice. Markets involve substantial risk; do your own research and consult a qualified advisor. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.